GBP/USD:Anticipating a Bearish Scenario for the British PoundFollowing our successful forecast on the British Pound (link below), we are now poised to take advantage of another shorting opportunity as the price retests the previous supply area. This retest suggests a possible bearish scenario on the horizon.
Our analysis is further supported by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which indicates a notable increase in retail long positions. This influx of long positions among retail traders often precedes a bearish reversal, providing additional validation for our anticipated market movement.
As the British Pound retests the supply area, we foresee a potential new bearish impulse forming. This aligns with our strategic outlook, where we aim to capitalize on the expected downward momentum. The convergence of technical analysis and trader sentiment data strengthens our confidence in this bearish forecast.
In summary, we are preparing for a bearish scenario for the British Pound, leveraging the retest of the supply area and the insights gained from the COT report. This approach ensures we remain well-positioned to take advantage of the expected market movements. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis.
Previous Forecast:
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Trade ideas
British Pound (GBPUSD) is getting close to 2007 crash!!!
CoT index shows Commercials(blue line) are in 3-year extreme low AND Retailers(green line) are in extreme high. Almost every time we are in this situation the asset goes down. The last time was May 2021 you can see what happened afterwards.
This is the CoT indicator of commercials net positions. Commercials net position is getting close to 2007 level where the big sell off took place.
Here is the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicating that the market typically reaches a peak around August first. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
GBP (GBPUSD, 6B1!) Weekly Forex Forecast.... BULLISH!Bias is Bullish, overall.
Price has formed several +FVGs on the way to the DOL.
Potentially, a pullback to one can propel price higher to the draw on liquidity at 1.2810.
I do not think price pullback further than this +FVG at 1.2745. This is also the location of the
Volume Imbalance seen on the Daily TF.
3:1 RR on British Pound Futures Hey everyone, Lord MEDZ here! In today's video, I'm going to break down an exciting trade I caught on Pound Futures this past Friday. Utilizing the smart money concept and the Wyckoff aka Turtle Soup setup, I'll walk you through my thought process, entry points, and strategy. Don't miss out on this detailed analysis and how you can apply these techniques to your own trading. Let's dive in!
GBP (GBPUSD. 6BM2024, GBP FUTURES)... BULLISH!Bias is Bullish.
Came very close to the DOL, and
barely missed the FVG. I expect
both will be tapped next week.
The IFVG, price trading through
the swing high, and the +FVG, are
multiple confluences that support
the idea that price will find support
at these levels and continue higher.
Expecting price to tap the +FVG
before heading higher.
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GBP (GBPUSD, 6B1!) From Bullish to BEARISHPrice is currently in a W/D1 -FVG. Therefore, I am Bearish.
Look at the position of price in the trading range. Reached into Premium last week, then back into Discount a bit. We Open this week with price heading up, in the near term.
Looking for the signature for sells.
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GBP (6B1!, GBPUSD) ... BEARISH!Bearish.
Price has raided an old swing
low, and then mitigated a +OB.
Expecting a bullish reaction in
the near term, up to the local
lows. The market will resume
the bearish trend afterwards.
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GBP futures 4/11/2024Prior to CPI and Prior to 4 weeks before the CPI of 4/11/2024
We had 4 weeks of sell signals through COT report.
Date - Net position
03/19/24 -78,920
3/12/24 -78,920
3/5/24 -64,123
27/2/24 -51,590
Because of these net position changes I have decided to short GBP.
So far Cotton short trade is correct currently making 4%
AUD Lost .5%
EUR Lost .5%
POUND FUTURES SELL SHORTWaiting for rejection off the liquidity zone.
Then I will look to sell from that zone.
Selling only after the break below the HMA and the retest of the liquidity zone
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management*
6BV3On the backside of the short we can ape in for the bounce off the bottom, would not recommend futures as the open interest on the contracts will be low, options is how to play this. Safe side is sell the put (don't advise selling naked unless you can manage the trade at all hours) or a credit spread to hedge any risk. This will provide ample time to collect the premium through any volatile price actions. I will be buying the call (naked) this is a much riskier trade and the "WIN HERE" line is meant for me not sellers of the premium.
Disclaimer I took the trade out yesterday but still feel there is room to publish the idea. This is why I recommend selling the premium rather than buying the call.
GBPUSP (6B1!) Intraday trade - SHORTLooking like cable wants to retest the STONG support zone it broke recently.
As we know, when support breaks, it becomes RESISTANCE.
A good BREAKOUT entry would be below the 12:00am candle today.
Please remember, Jackson hole is today so exercise extra caution and if needs be, reduce your lot size. Remember, protect your profit.






















