From Shutdown Relief to AI Anxiety — Two Narratives Driving ESMarket Theme
The week began on a strong footing, driven by a bullish Sunday reopen in ES after news broke that the 43-day government shutdown was set to end, following the Senate’s late-night support for a potential agreement on November 9th. This relief catalyst created early upside momentum, pus
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Survived a Market Selloff | +$241 Trading S&P Futures (Day 71)Ended the day +$241 trading S&P Futures, but it didn’t come easy.
The market started off range-bound, and I traded the highs and lows cleanly — up $300 by 1PM.
Then the bottom fell out, and I got caught in a false range break, watching my account swing from +300 to -500.
Thankfully, I bought at BIA
The Truth About Timeframe Analysis (No One Wants to Tell You)*You’re not confused because the market is chaotic.
You’re confused because your framework is garbage.*
🔥 Timeframes Don’t Lie — But Traders Do
Let’s be real:
You jump between timeframes looking for “confirmation,”
but all you’re really doing is collecting excuses.
1H looks bullish
15M looks l
Day 72 — AI Bubble Fears Hit the Market | S&P Futures RecapStarting to get a bit worried about the stock market. Everything feels tied to NVDA earnings this week, and we’re starting to lose major support levels across multiple timeframes. I took a few losses overnight, so I went into the morning a bit more hesitant and wanted to wait until the market slowed
ES UpdateQuite the pump on NVDA earnings especially considering the stock is up only 5% AH.
Appears the algos are on and pumping, so I expect to go overbought, but that depends on jobs report (Sept data) and Fed meeting minutes tomorrow.
I'm guessing we get a 3 day rally like the last pump (overlay is the
Trendline Support hitPrice has pulled back into a key technical zone and is now testing a long-term rising trendline that has held multiple times throughout the past several weeks. This trendline has acted as a structural support area, aligning with prior swing lows and validating the broader uptrend structure.
Today’s
I Broke My Own Rule & Paid $515 for It | Day 70 RecapLost $515 today trading S&P Futures, and it was 100% on me.
After promising yesterday that I’d trade small, I accidentally entered ES instead of MES overnight — and that mistake cost me $800 in minutes. The rest of the day was a slow crawl back from that emotional hit.
It’s a painful reminder that
Day 73 — Perfect Rejection at the 2-Hour MOB | S&P Futures TradiEnded the day +$529.40 trading S&P Futures. Today was a solid bounce back, with the morning analysis playing out almost perfectly. I managed to catch the top of the day and ride the momentum down right as we rejected the 2-hour MOB. It felt good to be in sync with the market structure, especially wi
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Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently Asked Questions
The nearest expiration date for Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures (Dec 2024) is Dec 20, 2024.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures (Dec 2024) before Dec 20, 2024.









