NQ - Week 41Weekly candle was boxed and dragged the right until next week.
Dropped down 1 timeframe to the Day and marked the BackSide (BS) & FrontSide (FS) of the nearest range - A range for me is 2 or more of the same color candle so Accumulation ranges and Distribution ranges..
I went down 1 timeframe to the 4hr and marked nearest candles to price - a FS candle and 2 ranges all with the same wicked level with label BS / FS
I went down to the 1hr timeframe and did the same but notice the Inv. BS level is a solid color. Inverse levels, when dashed are usually resistance unless solid.
I see a lot of support under price nearest the orange 4 hr accumulation trend and hourly inv. BS at $24,995.
Trade ideas
NQ - SHORT SETUP [Trade of Risk – Counter-Trend Setup]Description:
Market retraced into a supply zone aligned with the 75% premium line after a clean breakdown.
This setup represents a counter-trend trade, with limited statistical edge but potential short-term opportunity if rejection confirms at supply.
Risk is defined above the inefficiency gap.
🔹 Bias: Short (counter-trend)
🔹 Zone: 25,095 – 25,125
🔹 Invalidation: Acceptance above 25,210
🔹 Comment: I don’t like retracement trades — winrate is lower, but R:R remains favorable.
NQ 30-Min: Heavy Volume Zone Support at 24,680At 24,680, there’s a key support where buyers aggressively stepped in after sellers failed to push lower. This heavy volume zone marks the start of a new uptrend, and if price pulls back, I expect buyers to defend this area again with a strong reaction upward.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25058.50
- PR Low: 24995.00
- NZ Spread: 142.0
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 267.04
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded)
No key scheduled economic events
Open weekend gap up: +0.07%
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ TradesB wave is in. Currently within 1st minutte wave of the intermediate C wave down, of the current 4th wave. Entry of the 382 retracement of the most recent 3rd wave, SL coveres upto 618. Looking for just 161.8% trend based fib of the 1-2 waves. Effectively predicting the terminus of the 3rd wave, we then allow a 4th to occur, then 5 to complete the first wave down of the C wave. Bosch.
Nasdaq-100 | Textbook OB Rejection SSL Target Hit.Price swept the internal liquidity (TS 🐢) and tapped into a premium Order Block (OB), showing clear signs of rejection. This confirms a potential shift in market structure with bearish momentum building up. Alhumdulillah Target Hit✅️
🔹 Key Points:
Buy-side liquidity (BSL) taken before OB mitigation
Strong rejection from OB + Breaker Block (BB) zone
Market structure shift confirmed on 15m
Targeting sell-side liquidity (SSL) below recent swing lows
As long as price remains below the OB, bearish continuation is expected. Watch for short setups aligned with internal structure breaks.
MNQ (NASDAQ Futures) – Bullish Setup Plan | 4H + 1H ConfluenceDescription / Analysis:
This is my structured outlook for MNQ (Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures) for the coming week.
4H Chart Outlook
The 4H trend remains in an uptrend (higher lows).
Price has reacted from a 4H supply zone and is now retracing lower.
Focus is on the overlap between 4H demand and 1H fair value gap as a potential bullish setup zone.
1H Chart Outlook
The 1H trend has shifted into a corrective move (downtrend after BOS).
A clean 1H fair value gap aligns with the 4H demand zone below current price.
Plan:
1.Wait for price to reach the 1H/4H overlap zone.
2.Look for 1H reversal confirmation before considering entry.
3.Refine entry on the 15M chart using BOS/CHOCH and retracement logic.
Trade Plan
1. Primary Setup (Bullish):
Entry: In the 4H + 1H demand/FVG overlap.
Confirmation: 1H reversal signs, refined on 5M.
Target: 1H FVG zone above (around 25,050–25,100).
2. Alternative Scenario:
If price first dips into the Major Bull Reversal Zone (24,600–24,700), wait for a 1H reversal before refining on 15M.
Confluence Rules Applied
4H context provides bias.
1H defines the reversal zone.
15M provides entry precision.
Structure: BOS → Retrace → POI → Entry.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal view of the market. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
NASDAQ Outlook – Weekly Structural UpdateContext:
On H1 and Daily, the market confirmed breakout and acceptance, keeping the bullish structure intact.
On the Weekly chart, however, the breakout attempt was rejected, with price closing inside the wick → signaling lack of institutional commitment above current highs.
Key Levels:
Demand H1 (24.775–24.825): first zone to monitor. A clean break here implies a short-term structural shift.
Demand Daily (24.400–24.600): already tested once. If buyers fail to defend, expect a deeper retracement.
Weekly Demand (23.700–24.000): key origin of the last breakout – loss of this zone opens the door to 23.000 handle, aligning with a larger-scale correction.
Flow Insight:
Short-term sellers may gain control if H1 demand collapses.
Daily absorption will determine whether we stay in bullish continuation or enter a weekly retracement phase.
Trader’s Note:
For day traders & scalpers: if H1 demand gives way early in the week, expect a bearish bias throughout the week.
If the Daily demand also fails, anticipate 1–2 weeks of short structure, aligning with a broader correction into weekly demand zones.
⚠️ Risk Approach: Prefer acceptance of stop-loss if positioned at H1 demand. Let the market prove defense at Daily demand before committing size.
Nasdaq to 25,300? | Long Idea 10/3I believe Nasdaq still has room to climb, with the 25,300 range in sight to finish off the week. The price action closely mirrors the pattern from September 5th–9th, 2025, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see history repeat itself here.
I’m planning to go long from the 25,105 imbalance, holding through all-time highs and into the void through 25,300. Once ATHs are broken, I’ll trail my stop closely to lock in profits.
NASDAQ100 – Key Demand Zone Around 24,800The market is approaching a strong confluence of demand:
75% Discount Line
Previous VAH
Round number 24,800
Demand zone aligned with prior absorption and aggressive buying (super delta)
Trade idea: Long from the demand zone with stop below 24,700 and target aligned with the upper dealing range.
As always, confirmation with footprint / tape is essential before execution.
This could be one of the key opportunities of the week if buyers step in to defend this zone.
We must monitore the zone before execute the trade.
NASDAQ – Short// [H1-M5]After the recent Change of Character (ChoCH) and breakdown into a lower low, the market has established a new dealing range and change of bias. When price action trades inside the premium retracement zone (62.5%–75%), where we identified two heavy negative delta clusters, suggesting aggressive sell-side interest, we have just to wait a trigger.
Internal Supply (H1): aligned with the 62.5%-75% retracement and negative delta.
External Supply (H1): positioned at the extreme premium retracement, acting as a structural resistance wall for the bearish bias.
Unless price achieves a clear breakout and acceptance above these zones, the bias remains bearish, with continuation favored in line with the newly established structure.
NASDAQ Futures (NQ) – Long SetupContext: Market broke out and accepted above the recent dealing range. Structure confirms bullish bias as long as demand holds.
Key Levels:
Fair Value: 50% retracement of range
Discount Zone: 24,675 – 24,600
Demand Cluster: aligned with 75% discount line and LVN
Plan: Expecting retracement into discount/demand area for positioning long.
Execution:
Entry: 24,675–24,600 (demand/discount)
Stop: below 24,600 (invalidates demand)
Target: continuation toward premium levels (above recent breakout highs)
Bias: Bullish continuation unless demand fails.
Nasdaq Is About to Choose: Melt Up or MeltdownNasdaq E-minis (NQ1) are coiling at a key inflection point.
-If 24,874 breaks, a push into 25,100 looks likely.
-Clear that level, and bulls can stretch to 25,300–25,385 for a solid run.
-But if we lose 24,782, pressure builds toward 24,689… and a break there exposes 24,439.
Here’s the part most traders miss: these levels aren’t just numbers; they’re liquidity traps. One side of the market gets baited in, then the other side runs with it.
👉 Smart money already knows which pockets matter most. Retail will find out the hard way.
How are you positioning if NQ1 breaks either way?
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25107.75
- PR Low: 25073.00
- NZ Spread: 77.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls (cancelled due to gov't shutdown)
- Average Hourly Earnings
- Unemployment Rate
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 266.47
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 284K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ Futures (NQ) – Main Long Setup (Payroll Risk Ahead)Primary dealing range bias remains long.
Price is approaching the demand zone aligned with premium/discount levels.
Cluster analysis shows positive delta support around demand.
This is the main setup in line with the broader trend.
📌 Desk Note:
Tomorrow (Oct 3rd) we have the U.S. Payroll report. If price reaches the zone during the news release, liquidity may distort the reaction, and the demand may not hold.
Execution should only be considered if the zone is tested outside of high-impact news.






















