Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures
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Market insights
NQ | Week 49 | 1hr chartT.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
NQ Targets (12-05-25)Yellow arrow is lower target and 25,766 is upper Turn Zone. Past three days have been struggling to stay in range above orange TL below. O/N will have to pump it up and Reg Session will have to sell it off (big). Other option is snail life higher into Friday - Monday Long Play, just watch the head fakes long and failure of Dead Zone dip buying lift.
4 DEC 2025: NQ1! MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
NYKZ PM:
NYKZ AM SSL PURGED & 9AM + VENOM BSL BEING STALKED AND TARGETED
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
4 DEC 2025: NQ1! MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
NYKZ AM:
SILVER BULLET + 2022 MODEL
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25648.75
- PR Low: 25608.50
- NZ Spread: 90.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 438.85
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 306K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ UpdateNQ MFI hit oversold on the afternoon drop, chart doesn't show it because it only shows where it closed on the 3 hr.
Wasn't quite sure about gap direction tomorrow, so I didn't enter into a trade on this one yet. Gap direction will depend on inflation numbers, but I expect tech to rally for at least a couple of days just like small caps (RTY) did.
MAJOR MARKET SIGNALPlease watch the entire video to understand my overall logic.
Through the years I've gone through many different strategies, learning, refining and sharpening my edge in the markets. Today I truly find myself most in the identity of a "Discretionary Trader" with a mechanical approach.
In this chart break down I am displaying a Monthly Hanging Man Signal Bar.
This is provided to me by the market not a 3rd person subjective strategy. We are going to want to monitor how price behaves at the high and low of prior monthly candle. Breaks of these levels will act as pivot points.
Do you think this could be the start of a massive correction?
Elliot wave suggests correction on NQ for wave (2) -> [5]Instrument: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ)
Bias : Short-term corrective downside after a completed impulse, then continuation higher.
1. Bigger picture – why I expect a correction
From the low around 23,890 we’ve put in a very clean 5-wave impulsive advance:
* Wave (i)–(ii) starts the move off the low.
* Wave (iii) is clearly the strongest and longest leg – classic extended 3rd wave behaviour.
* Wave (iv) is a shallow sideways consolidation.
* The current high is labelled (1), with the last leg subdividing as an ending diagonal in wave (v): overlapping structure, contracting highs, and loss of momentum.
That wedge-type structure at the top usually signals trend exhaustion , not the start of fresh impulsive upside. So my base case is that the first motive wave up from 23,890 is complete and we’re now looking for a textbook wave (2) pullback. We also can back this data up with volume nodes we can observe during the NY Cash sessions. Who are clearly showing signs of distribution.
Wave (2) corrections most often retrace 50–61.8% of wave (1) in a 3-wave A-B-C structure – exactly what the chart is projecting.
2. Expected path – the A-B-C into the blue box
From the current highs around 25,600–25,700 I’m looking for:
1. Wave (a) down
First impulsive leg lower, ideally breaking out of the wedge and pushing into the rising yellow trendline zone around ±25,200.
2. Wave (b) retrace up
Corrective bounce that stays below the stop zone and forms a lower high.
3. Wave (c) down into the blue box
Final flush into the confluence zone marked in blue, where:
50% retrace of wave (1) sits around 24,800.
61.8% retrace sits around 24,600
There’s also a previous structural support / prior wave-4 area.
Labelled as the end of wave (2) on the chart.
This blue rectangle is my primary target area for the current correction and also my preferred zone to look for fresh longs if the structure behaves as expected.
4. Trade idea #1 – Aggressive short from the wedge
This is the “ catch the correction ” play for traders comfortable trading against the higher-timeframe trend.
Idea: Short against the completed wedge / wave (1) high, targeting the A-B-C correction into the blue zone.
Entry zone:
Around current prices in the 25,580–25,600 area (wedge top / prior minor highs).
Stop-loss (hard invalidation for the short):
Above the red “Stop” band and the labelled high at 25,746.75
If price breaks and holds above this level, the idea of a completed wave (1) and immediate correction is likely wrong – stand aside.
Profit targets:
TP1 – first leg / (A) completion:
Around the rising yellow trendline near 25,150–25,250
Take some off here if you want to pay yourself on the initial impulse.
TP2 – upper edge of blue box (50% fib): 24,822.25
TP3 – lower edge of blue box (61.8% fib & (c) completion): 24,600–24,650 are
For reference, using an approximate entry at 25,600:
Risk: 25,740. – 25,600 ≈ 138.75 pts
Reward to TP2: 25,600 – 24,800 ≈ 780 pts (~5.7R)
Reward to TP3: 25,600 – 24,660 ≈ 940 pts (~6.8R)
So the idea offers an attractive reward:risk , as long as you accept the possibility that the correction may be shallower or more complex than the “ideal” projection.
What I want to see step-by-step if I’m in this short:
1. A convincing break down out of the wedge.
2. Follow-through selling to the yellow trendline (wave (a)).
3. A choppy overlapping bounce that stalls under the stop zone (wave (b)).
4. One more push down with increasing momentum into the blue box (wave (c)) – where I’ll look to exit shorts and flip bias.
5. Trade idea #2 – Conservative swing long from the blue bo x
If you don’t like shorting a strong trend, the more conservative plan is to ignore the short and only look for longs once the correction has played out.
Idea :
Buy the end of wave (2) in the blue box for a continuation higher in wave (3).
So we are trying to buy the dip in a strong trend.
Buy zone (long trigger area ):
Blue box between roughly 24,800–24,600.
Ideally after we’ve seen a full A-B-C structure into this zone and some kind of reaction. (rejection wicks, bullish divergence, lower-timeframe 5-wave impulse off the lows, etc.).It could also be a more complex correction like WXY, However most of the time we expect a wave 2 more str8 forward price action.
Stop-loss for the long:
Conservative, structure-based invalidation remains the red line at 23,890
A break below this low would invalidate the wave (1)–(2) interpretation and suggest something more bearish is underway.
Tactically, some traders may opt for a tighter stop just below the blue box (e.g. under 24,550), but that’s a money-management choice, not a structural one.
Upside objectives:
First objective is a retest and break of the 25,746 high .
From there, if this is indeed the start of wave (3), extensions towards **26,000+** become realistic (1.0–1.618 extensions of wave (1), not drawn in detail here but implied by the dashed grey path).
6. Invalidation and what would change my mind
Short-term bearish idea is invalid :
if price closes decisively above 25,75x without first breaking down. That would suggest that wave (1) is still extending, or that we’re in a different pattern (e.g. a larger ending diagonal or a complex topping structure). In that case I step aside and reassess.
Medium-term bullish roadmap is invalid if price trades below 23,890 . Then the whole impulse from the low is likely mis-labelled and I would expect a deeper bearish structure. However this
7. Final notes
This is an Elliott Wave–driven roadmap, not a guarantee. I’m planning to:
Treat the current region as exhaustion of wave (1).
Use it either for an aggressive short into the A-B-C correction,
Or wait patiently for the blue box to develop for a more conservative long into a potential wave (3).
As always: manage your risk, size appropriately, and don’t trade this blindly. This is a trade idea and educational analysis, not financial advice.
Since lack of time I was not able to post many trade ideas in the past months. However I'm going to try to get back some more ideas in the future! Please leave feedback and comments!
NQ/QQQ: Be careful breaking below this channel.Be careful breaking this up channel.
Historically, rate cuts tend to coincide with a cooling economy. While the immediate market reaction may be optimistic—driven largely by expectations of easier financial conditions—rate cuts have often been followed by a weaker market cycle over the subsequent six months. This pattern reflects the underlying macroeconomic slowdown that typically prompts the Federal Reserve to ease policy in the first place.
IS THE NASDAQ 100 ABOUT TO FORM A HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP?Hey Traders Happy Holidays to all!
So as we enter this volatile time period what better way would it be for stocks to close out the year with a bang and break the all time high when Santa Claus comes to town!
Hmmmm..... acutally I don't mean to be the Grinch that stole Christmas but lets not got too excited just yet the market has rallied strong since the volatile bottom in April and it is looking very heavy right now.
So I always say the charts tell a story and from what I see on the chart is a possible Head & Shoulders formation in the Nasdaq 100.
I think the line in the sand is going to be 24,145 if that breaks we could see it fall hard. The way should trade the Head & Shoulders is wait for market to close below the neckline then go short with a stop above the right shoulder or the head.
I think next week FED meeting Wed Dec 10 will tell us more truth be told alot of traders take the holidays off so expect very thin trading and low volume as we get closer to end of year. Sometimes its a good idea to take time off from trading too clear our heads and minds to prepare for new year.
So therefore here are todays Scenarios...
Bullish- wait for market to break the all time high and close above 26,410 then buy a pullback and be careful because Jan is seasonally bearish time for stocks until March/April. Or wait for market to fall and buy back in March/April when you see signs of bottom formation.
Bearish- For all you bears out there keep sharpening your claws. 😁 Ok seriously being bearish or shorting the stock market is a bad thing to do long term because the odds are always against us due to strong bull market runs. However there are 2 times a year when the odds go in our favor and that is Jan-March and Sep-Oct. So with the charts now showing a possible Head & Shoulders top about to form this could be one of those times to go short on a break below the neckline.
Commitment of Traders- none until end of Jan due to Govt Shutdown but last report showed Nasdaq with extreme long positioning which could be good sign also for over extended longs about to close positions if selloff begins.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
NQ | 12/4The T.A is explained in every other post.
I look for the first and last accumulation candles in an accumulation range - An accumulation range consists of two or more accumulation candles. when price is below there candles/range they act as resistance. Therefore I mark the bottom side of the accumulation candles except for the Last accumulation candle which topside is the swing high.
I also look for the first and last distribution candles in a distribution range - A distribution range consists of two or more distribution candles. when price is ABOVE there candles/range they act as Support. Therefore I mark the top side of the distribution candles except for the Last distribution candle which bottom side is the swing low
Each level is color coded to a timeframe
Pink = month
grey = week
red = day
orange = 4hr
yellow = 1hr
light blue =15min
green = 5min
3min= purple
1min = white. .
NQ | Thursday December 04, 2025**NQ**
HTF Bias: **Bullish**
The Asian high was raided during the London open. Price then retraced, swept the Asian low, and traded into the daily volume imbalance before pushing higher and taking the PDH.
Currently, price remains inside the London session range.
**Buyside Targets:**
> London high at 25,693.25
> November 13, 2025 old high and November 12 old high
**Sellside Targets:**
> London low at 25,603.25
> Previous dealing range 50% at 25,557.50
3 DEC 2025: NQ! MARKET RECAPLAY OF THE LAND
NASDAQ E-MINI CONTINUOUS FUTURES
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25658.75
- PR Low: 25633.75
- NZ Spread: 56.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 450.27
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 304K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone






















