Key levels for reversals back to the upsideI’ve marked key levels where I believe the market could potentially reverse to the upside, allowing the bull run to resume. Of course, fundamentals and news can quickly change the market’s direction, but this represents my current technical analysis that I’ll be monitoring closely.
Trade ideas
NQ UpdateFutures dropped afterhours when Trump announced 100% tariffs on China, so expect a gap down Monday.
Funny thing is, I wasn't very bullish because of that open gap, I added to my KSS puts this morning before the market got Trumped. Was wondering if that was a mistake for about 5 minutes, lol. Lucky or not, timing is everything. Wish it was announced yesterday morning when I had even more puts. Oh well.
In any case, RSI and MFI both went oversold, I was expecting MFI to go oversold which is why I did not go long on stocks this morning. Can't use 3hr indicators during a tank, the market will whipsaw it's way down just like April. Daily indicators might be of some help if this spring repeats.
I also suspected something fishy going on, retail was weak all week, which is why I was shorting KSS, along with the H&S pattern I posted. HD has been tanking for an entire month, there are always people that have inside info, probably Trumps brokers, lol. I'm sure he's feeding info to his family and friends, it's the biggest inside trader scam EVER.
NQ Range (10-06-25, Week 2)Churning in the Churn Zone, back at Mid Level (ML) of range. Watch the 2 yellow dash levels, break to upper/lower churn range is redirect or counter move. Example, White arrow range play stall at 425 should reject to start or lower yellow arrow. Reverse that should NAZ drop to the start or yellow arrow (unless it is the big one). Still favoring the SHORT side and not chasing any upward moves. Go Fed, Tweets, Next Stimulus, Wash ST Capital Management & Margin Services, etc. Just seems like the lift on fumes is good set up for the counter move (if you can play that, example Wash St Hedge Fund). Ya think? No, why not?
Liquidity Sweep on 4H TF know to mark out all the session highs and lows, the one-hour highs and lows, and the four-hour highs and lows, and then wait for a liquidity sweep, then wait for a break of structure, inverse fair value gap, or a 79% extension closure? And then following that, look for a fair value gap getting filled, order block, breaker block, equilibrium getting filled, and then scale down to the one-minute time frame, look for a break of structure, inverse fair value gap, or 79% extension closure, looking for the trend to continue in the right direction, and then take profits at the previous draws on liquidity that haven't been hit yet
NASDAQ - LONG SETUPTechnical Context
The NASDAQ futures confirmed a breakout and acceptance above the previous H1 dealing range, maintaining strong bullish efficiency.
The breakout originated from the Aggressive Demand zone, aligned with the vPOC + VAL confluence (Deep Discount Demand), where strong positive delta initiated the impulse.
Price is now approaching the LVN (25,175–25,200) — an area that previously acted as imbalance and may now serve as support.
If the market retraces into this zone, it will test whether institutional buyers remain active within the prior demand structure.
Execution Plan
Bias: Long
Entry Zone 1: 25,175 – 25,200 (LVN retest)
Entry Zone 2: 25,000 – 25,030 (Deep Discount Demand – vPOC + VAL)
Take Profit 1: 25,365 (previous high)
Take Profit 2: 25,450 (extension target)
Trigger: Price compression and reaccumulation inside the demand zone
Technical Note
Entry should focus primarily on the LVN (25,175–25,200).
Compression analysis at this level must be handled carefully to confirm whether the movement represents true reaccumulation or passive absorption.
If price skips the LVN and retraces quickly toward the Deep Discount Demand (25,000–25,030), the setup becomes cleaner and easier to validate, as this zone holds the original impulse and stronger order flow.
At the moment, it remains uncertain whether the market will retrace or build a new value area above current levels, continuing the trend without a deeper pullback (>37.5%).
📅 Note: Friday’s NFP (Payroll) could trigger volatility and distort short-term efficiency.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25321.50
- PR Low: 25286.50
- NZ Spread: 78.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- Unemployment Rate
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 264.53
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26020
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
A Pawn for a KingFact or Fiction; Truth or Falsehood; 1+1 = 2 or 1+1 = ...-3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3...; Order or Chaos.
The chaos caused by an explosion is recreated using math, algebra and geometry, not the other way around.
We live in a mathematically designed universal. It only makes sense that a Trading Plan should use mathematical principles.
A Pawn for a King Trading Plan stands on such principles. I used it to trade this most recent run up.
I will use 2 contracts of MNQ to illustrate this plan, thereby making it accessible to more people.
The px bounced on a very strong Support - the pink line. I got in at 24,994.5. Again, using +2 contracts of MNQ as an example. Now here is where the plan (i.e. the math) gets interesting - I sold 1 contract @ 24,994. I used 21.5 points for each target. My first target was 25,016. I sold 2 contracts @ 25,015.5. I continued this mathematical pattern for the rest of the run up - that is I added 22 points to each entry of +2 contracts and to each entry of -2 contracts.
It will look like this:
24,994.5 +1; 24,994 -1
24,994.5 +1; 25,016 -1
25,016.5 +1; 25,016 -1
25,016.5 +1; 25,038 -1
25,038.5 +1; 25,038 -1
25,038.5 +1; 25,060 -1
25,060.5 +1; 25,060 -1
25,060.5 +1; 25,082 -1
And so on. The last 2 trades were -2 @ 25,390 and +2 @ 25,390.5. This left me 1L. Then the px pulled back. Using this example, you would have made $690.48 profit.
Now it gets very interesting. Compounding profits kick in. At 25,390 I sold 2 contracts. I always try to get about a 200-point pullback. It bounced at support 25,192.5 - a 197-point pullback. I bot back one of the -2 25,390 contracts. 197 points x 1 contract x $2.00 per point - Commission (.91 x 2) = $392.18 profit. Then I started the process all over again using the same pattern as listed above. It looks like this:
25,192.5 +1; 25,192 -1 this is the 1 contract I just made $392.18 profit on
25,192.5 +1; 25,192 -1
25,192.5 +1; 25,214 -1
25,214.5 +1; 25,214 -1
25,214.5 +1; 25,236 -1
25,214.5 +1; 25,236 -1
25,236.5 +1; 25,236 -1
25,236.5 +1;
25,236.5 +1;
This is where the trade stands right now. Profit so far on this leg: 21.5 points x 2 contracts x $2.00 per point - Commission (.91 x 4) = $82.36 x 2 = $164.72 profit
Total profit:
$690.48 + $392.18 + $164.72 = $1,247.38
I know this is a lot of detail and sounds confusing. Once you do this it will become very clear, and you will see the simplicity. I've given you enough detail so you can do it. Now I challenge you to demo trade it. It is very important that the first trade you enter is divisible by 2 and that the first sell order is .5 x that first entry quantity (i.e. .5 x 2) and slightly less. I make it $.50 less. If I made it $.25 less the chance of creating a wash trade would increase and I don't want to hear from the trade desk for doing so.
You will soon see that this plan grows profits exponentially.
NQ UpdateI guess it doesn't matter that the gap below didn't fill all the way. Remaining gap is really small anyways.
MFI indicators seem to be working again, went overbought before market opened so the algos sold it off. Amazing how resilient this market is, they sold off everything (commodities, crypto, index futures) AGAIN, and everything seemed to have bounced right back up.
On Investing dot com, I'm showing a gap after the one hour break, but it doesn't show here so not sure if it's real. Tomorrow is probably gonna be a whipsaw day anyways, small caps are forming a pennant.
NQ Levels on this Thursday!As we begin the trading day on the Nasdaq 100 futures, I’m closely watching key structural levels that could set the tone for early momentum and intraday sentiment. The first area of interest is the overnight high, which often acts as an initial resistance zone where early buyers may hesitate or take profits. Above that, I’m monitoring the previous day’s high and any unfilled gap levels, as a clean break and hold above these could trigger a short-covering rally toward higher liquidity pools. On the downside, the overnight low and prior day’s value area low serve as immediate support, with a sustained break below opening the door for a deeper pullback toward the next volume node or demand zone. I’ll also pay attention to pre-market structure—whether we’re building acceptance within a range or showing directional imbalance—to gauge if the session is likely to develop into a trend day or rotational chop. Volume and order flow confirmation around these levels will ultimately dictate whether the Nasdaq 100 continues higher or retraces to test lower supports.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25369.50
- PR Low: 25340.50
- NZ Spread: 65.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Fed Chair Powell Speaks
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 269.14
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 291K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26020
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Final sell off ahead of FOMC | Head n ShouldersI believe price will stage one final sell-off before resuming its push toward higher highs. On the 4H chart, a potential Head & Shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting price may fill the hourly gap at 24,856 before or during the FOMC release.
The 15-minute chart offers a more precise entry compared to the 1H and 4H timeframes.
I plan to enter within the 25,149–25,150 price range, provided my bias remains valid heading into the New York open.
Lets get it!⚡
NQ 10/7Distribution is looking for support while shorts are planning their next move.
Will supporters in their long pants be influential enough to change the trend?
The daily (red) support under price is currently holding it up and price needs a 4hr BS or FS candle to continue to ladder up from.
If price falls to a 4hr (orange) trend, then price will need to create a 1hr support candle to ladder from, then can price break our of the 1hr distribution trend.
Will price deep dive the trend to the nearest support level though and then regain the trend? Some call that a liquidity trap. I would be concerned for that scenario since the chart suggests its possibility.
The shorts at top marked with the Inv BS and Inv FS levels look fairly clear but they are hourly levels (yellow) against a daily (red) or 4hr (orange) level which are stronger in timeframe/strength.






















