Trade ideas
#202540 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bullish if we stay above 24900. Every dip is bought and on the 4h chart today is only a minor pullback. We still have daily new ath. Don’t get trapped as a bear. 24900 is around the bull trend line and that’s the latest I expect much more buyers than sellers, if bears even get there. 25000 should be huge support until we get a catalyst.
current market cycle: parabolic buy climax very late in the trend - I think we top out very soon
key levels for next week: 24300 - 25300
bull case: Bulls will likely buy this dip around 25000 and want a continuation of the accelerating trend. If bears give up again, we could very well see a gigantic blow-off top for 25600 or 26000. For now the upper trend line is still resistance but since bears can not even get close to the daily 20ema, another acceleration upwards is more likely than a bigger pullback, as of now at least.
Invalidation is below 24600
bear case: What would bears need to start a bigger pullback for the big bull trend line around 24100? A big catalyst. Bears can not even get two red days in a row, so we can not think too much about bearish scenarios. Bulls who bought every dip made money since April. Daily 20ema has not been touched since early September. Sure it’s overdone but that does not mean it can’t go another 1000 points before turning. Anything below 24900 would be a decent start but for now we can not expect this to just fall.
Invalidation is above 25300
short term: Longs around 25000 have been profitable since last week and only if bears could leave behind a big gap, we could move lower. For now bulls are still in full control.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-08-10: 22000 likely to get hit this year gain.
Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1!
Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart.
Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out.
Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band.
While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks.
Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀
I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
NASDAQ Future long: after resitance broken, new support formed Current Analysis: Nasdaq futures are currently facing a critical support at 22100
I see the chance of a Bullish rebound:
Support Strength: This support was a resistance in past weeks, then it was broken on Feb 14th and act as support in last 3 days.
Additionally, from Dec. 17th to February 12th, price formed a triangle that was broken up on Feb.13th.
Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above 22100, I expect it to rally towards the $22400 area.
Action Plan:
Entry Point: entered long with limit order at 22100
Target: Set a target in the $22425 (high of December 17th)
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 21937.75, below minimum of Feb.20th and with Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25197.00
- PR Low: 25135.25
- NZ Spread: 138.25
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 263.48
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 288K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ - Week 41Weekly candle was boxed and dragged the right until next week.
Dropped down 1 timeframe to the Day and marked the BackSide (BS) & FrontSide (FS) of the nearest range - A range for me is 2 or more of the same color candle so Accumulation ranges and Distribution ranges..
I went down 1 timeframe to the 4hr and marked nearest candles to price - a FS candle and 2 ranges all with the same wicked level with label BS / FS
I went down to the 1hr timeframe and did the same but notice the Inv. BS level is a solid color. Inverse levels, when dashed are usually resistance unless solid.
I see a lot of support under price nearest the orange 4 hr accumulation trend and hourly inv. BS at $24,995.
NQ - SHORT SETUP [Trade of Risk – Counter-Trend Setup]Description:
Market retraced into a supply zone aligned with the 75% premium line after a clean breakdown.
This setup represents a counter-trend trade, with limited statistical edge but potential short-term opportunity if rejection confirms at supply.
Risk is defined above the inefficiency gap.
🔹 Bias: Short (counter-trend)
🔹 Zone: 25,095 – 25,125
🔹 Invalidation: Acceptance above 25,210
🔹 Comment: I don’t like retracement trades — winrate is lower, but R:R remains favorable.
NQ 30-Min: Heavy Volume Zone Support at 24,680At 24,680, there’s a key support where buyers aggressively stepped in after sellers failed to push lower. This heavy volume zone marks the start of a new uptrend, and if price pulls back, I expect buyers to defend this area again with a strong reaction upward.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25058.50
- PR Low: 24995.00
- NZ Spread: 142.0
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 267.04
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded)
No key scheduled economic events
Open weekend gap up: +0.07%
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25204
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ TradesB wave is in. Currently within 1st minutte wave of the intermediate C wave down, of the current 4th wave. Entry of the 382 retracement of the most recent 3rd wave, SL coveres upto 618. Looking for just 161.8% trend based fib of the 1-2 waves. Effectively predicting the terminus of the 3rd wave, we then allow a 4th to occur, then 5 to complete the first wave down of the C wave. Bosch.
Nasdaq-100 | Textbook OB Rejection SSL Target Hit.Price swept the internal liquidity (TS 🐢) and tapped into a premium Order Block (OB), showing clear signs of rejection. This confirms a potential shift in market structure with bearish momentum building up. Alhumdulillah Target Hit✅️
🔹 Key Points:
Buy-side liquidity (BSL) taken before OB mitigation
Strong rejection from OB + Breaker Block (BB) zone
Market structure shift confirmed on 15m
Targeting sell-side liquidity (SSL) below recent swing lows
As long as price remains below the OB, bearish continuation is expected. Watch for short setups aligned with internal structure breaks.
MNQ (NASDAQ Futures) – Bullish Setup Plan | 4H + 1H ConfluenceDescription / Analysis:
This is my structured outlook for MNQ (Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures) for the coming week.
4H Chart Outlook
The 4H trend remains in an uptrend (higher lows).
Price has reacted from a 4H supply zone and is now retracing lower.
Focus is on the overlap between 4H demand and 1H fair value gap as a potential bullish setup zone.
1H Chart Outlook
The 1H trend has shifted into a corrective move (downtrend after BOS).
A clean 1H fair value gap aligns with the 4H demand zone below current price.
Plan:
1.Wait for price to reach the 1H/4H overlap zone.
2.Look for 1H reversal confirmation before considering entry.
3.Refine entry on the 15M chart using BOS/CHOCH and retracement logic.
Trade Plan
1. Primary Setup (Bullish):
Entry: In the 4H + 1H demand/FVG overlap.
Confirmation: 1H reversal signs, refined on 5M.
Target: 1H FVG zone above (around 25,050–25,100).
2. Alternative Scenario:
If price first dips into the Major Bull Reversal Zone (24,600–24,700), wait for a 1H reversal before refining on 15M.
Confluence Rules Applied
4H context provides bias.
1H defines the reversal zone.
15M provides entry precision.
Structure: BOS → Retrace → POI → Entry.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal view of the market. It is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
NASDAQ Outlook – Weekly Structural UpdateContext:
On H1 and Daily, the market confirmed breakout and acceptance, keeping the bullish structure intact.
On the Weekly chart, however, the breakout attempt was rejected, with price closing inside the wick → signaling lack of institutional commitment above current highs.
Key Levels:
Demand H1 (24.775–24.825): first zone to monitor. A clean break here implies a short-term structural shift.
Demand Daily (24.400–24.600): already tested once. If buyers fail to defend, expect a deeper retracement.
Weekly Demand (23.700–24.000): key origin of the last breakout – loss of this zone opens the door to 23.000 handle, aligning with a larger-scale correction.
Flow Insight:
Short-term sellers may gain control if H1 demand collapses.
Daily absorption will determine whether we stay in bullish continuation or enter a weekly retracement phase.
Trader’s Note:
For day traders & scalpers: if H1 demand gives way early in the week, expect a bearish bias throughout the week.
If the Daily demand also fails, anticipate 1–2 weeks of short structure, aligning with a broader correction into weekly demand zones.
⚠️ Risk Approach: Prefer acceptance of stop-loss if positioned at H1 demand. Let the market prove defense at Daily demand before committing size.






















