NQ Short (12-09-25)Basically same idea as Monday, not expecting much until Fed Decision. The O/N did use some failed auctions to pump the NAZ above nearside Danger Zone of 25,620-40 to upper resistance and KL 25,735, we are back under DZ at this time. Range today may be 630-730 for next move should the NAZ stay above 25,580, under play lower KL's.
Trade ideas
NQ Targets (12-05-25)Yellow arrow is lower target and 25,766 is upper Turn Zone. Past three days have been struggling to stay in range above orange TL below. O/N will have to pump it up and Reg Session will have to sell it off (big). Other option is snail life higher into Friday - Monday Long Play, just watch the head fakes long and failure of Dead Zone dip buying lift.
NQ Short (12-08-25)NAZ is barley alive and showing signs of slowing to the upside, while kicking out some very quick 100-200 drop test bombs. NDX may need to gap fill at 25,898 and we could see an M with decent drop test (Fed Day would work). On NQ it is looking like Turn Zone at 26k or so. After the drop test and final 2 weeks of the year, we may look Long with low volume PA & Mr. Retail and his BTD strategy. This may set up a better Short in 2026.
NDX YRD
MAJOR MARKET SIGNALPlease watch the entire video to understand my overall logic.
Through the years I've gone through many different strategies, learning, refining and sharpening my edge in the markets. Today I truly find myself most in the identity of a "Discretionary Trader" with a mechanical approach.
In this chart break down I am displaying a Monthly Hanging Man Signal Bar.
This is provided to me by the market not a 3rd person subjective strategy. We are going to want to monitor how price behaves at the high and low of prior monthly candle. Breaks of these levels will act as pivot points.
Do you think this could be the start of a massive correction?
NQ Short (12-11-25)The yellow arrow is from my Monday Post, the Short Trade at KL 828 was a classic Edge Trade in the opposite direction at a Key Level. NAZ move back to mid level of the 1,000 point Churn Zone. Just felt that balance would show up and recent weak PA up was setting up a Long Trap. The Orange TL is what to watch and started back on 10/22. NAZ may rotate around, short under and long above. IDS27 view below
Alt Trading: Asia Fib Strategy Long, NQ1, December 8th 2025With this long I want to systematically exploit the overnight Asia range instead of just marking it and guessing. I waited for a liquidity sweep of the Asia low, followed by price entering the standard deviation fib -2 to -2.5 range. Then a long confirmation on the invalidation of a bearish iFVG. Setting my risk SL and TP to respect higher timeframe key liquidity levels 💪
NQ UpdateNQ MFI hit oversold on the afternoon drop, chart doesn't show it because it only shows where it closed on the 3 hr.
Wasn't quite sure about gap direction tomorrow, so I didn't enter into a trade on this one yet. Gap direction will depend on inflation numbers, but I expect tech to rally for at least a couple of days just like small caps (RTY) did.
IS THE NASDAQ 100 ABOUT TO FORM A HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP?Hey Traders Happy Holidays to all!
So as we enter this volatile time period what better way would it be for stocks to close out the year with a bang and break the all time high when Santa Claus comes to town!
Hmmmm..... acutally I don't mean to be the Grinch that stole Christmas but lets not got too excited just yet the market has rallied strong since the volatile bottom in April and it is looking very heavy right now.
So I always say the charts tell a story and from what I see on the chart is a possible Head & Shoulders formation in the Nasdaq 100.
I think the line in the sand is going to be 24,145 if that breaks we could see it fall hard. The way should trade the Head & Shoulders is wait for market to close below the neckline then go short with a stop above the right shoulder or the head.
I think next week FED meeting Wed Dec 10 will tell us more truth be told alot of traders take the holidays off so expect very thin trading and low volume as we get closer to end of year. Sometimes its a good idea to take time off from trading too clear our heads and minds to prepare for new year.
So therefore here are todays Scenarios...
Bullish- wait for market to break the all time high and close above 26,410 then buy a pullback and be careful because Jan is seasonally bearish time for stocks until March/April. Or wait for market to fall and buy back in March/April when you see signs of bottom formation.
Bearish- For all you bears out there keep sharpening your claws. 😁 Ok seriously being bearish or shorting the stock market is a bad thing to do long term because the odds are always against us due to strong bull market runs. However there are 2 times a year when the odds go in our favor and that is Jan-March and Sep-Oct. So with the charts now showing a possible Head & Shoulders top about to form this could be one of those times to go short on a break below the neckline.
Commitment of Traders- none until end of Jan due to Govt Shutdown but last report showed Nasdaq with extreme long positioning which could be good sign also for over extended longs about to close positions if selloff begins.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Look For Valid Buys Only!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Dec. 8 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ is showing bullish order flow, and it has been strong over the past couple of weeks.
Trading above 25,600 is making looking for shorts a no no.
A weakened US Dollar supports the idea of higher prices.
Wait for valid buy setups.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Looking at three of Bobby's marketsNovember 8th we looked at three of Bobby's markets plus Tesla. Bobby's markets are the smaller contracts which are the way you want to trade until you're comfortable with a larger contracts< I didn't state this but if you're inclined to trade more than one contract it may be much more prudent to trade the smaller contracts anyway as long as they have enough volatility. I have a real neat idea and I don't want to talk about it but I'm looking into something that I do not normally do but I'm going to make a decision I'm going to include a strategy for the equity markets..... Tesla would be an example of what I would be looking at and trade if I find certain setups. I haven't traded equity markets for well over 2 decades.... But it is something I might consider and if I do make that decision I will be very clear on the reasons... The tools I use the decisions I make are absolutely representative of what I'm doing. I don't need your money, I don't want your money.... I will show you what I'm doing and what I'm thinking and I will never tell you to take a trade because I don't want your lawsuit. So stay tuned.
Elliot wave suggests correction on NQ for wave (2) -> [5]Instrument: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ)
Bias : Short-term corrective downside after a completed impulse, then continuation higher.
1. Bigger picture – why I expect a correction
From the low around 23,890 we’ve put in a very clean 5-wave impulsive advance:
* Wave (i)–(ii) starts the move off the low.
* Wave (iii) is clearly the strongest and longest leg – classic extended 3rd wave behaviour.
* Wave (iv) is a shallow sideways consolidation.
* The current high is labelled (1), with the last leg subdividing as an ending diagonal in wave (v): overlapping structure, contracting highs, and loss of momentum.
That wedge-type structure at the top usually signals trend exhaustion , not the start of fresh impulsive upside. So my base case is that the first motive wave up from 23,890 is complete and we’re now looking for a textbook wave (2) pullback. We also can back this data up with volume nodes we can observe during the NY Cash sessions. Who are clearly showing signs of distribution.
Wave (2) corrections most often retrace 50–61.8% of wave (1) in a 3-wave A-B-C structure – exactly what the chart is projecting.
2. Expected path – the A-B-C into the blue box
From the current highs around 25,600–25,700 I’m looking for:
1. Wave (a) down
First impulsive leg lower, ideally breaking out of the wedge and pushing into the rising yellow trendline zone around ±25,200.
2. Wave (b) retrace up
Corrective bounce that stays below the stop zone and forms a lower high.
3. Wave (c) down into the blue box
Final flush into the confluence zone marked in blue, where:
50% retrace of wave (1) sits around 24,800.
61.8% retrace sits around 24,600
There’s also a previous structural support / prior wave-4 area.
Labelled as the end of wave (2) on the chart.
This blue rectangle is my primary target area for the current correction and also my preferred zone to look for fresh longs if the structure behaves as expected.
4. Trade idea #1 – Aggressive short from the wedge
This is the “ catch the correction ” play for traders comfortable trading against the higher-timeframe trend.
Idea: Short against the completed wedge / wave (1) high, targeting the A-B-C correction into the blue zone.
Entry zone:
Around current prices in the 25,580–25,600 area (wedge top / prior minor highs).
Stop-loss (hard invalidation for the short):
Above the red “Stop” band and the labelled high at 25,746.75
If price breaks and holds above this level, the idea of a completed wave (1) and immediate correction is likely wrong – stand aside.
Profit targets:
TP1 – first leg / (A) completion:
Around the rising yellow trendline near 25,150–25,250
Take some off here if you want to pay yourself on the initial impulse.
TP2 – upper edge of blue box (50% fib): 24,822.25
TP3 – lower edge of blue box (61.8% fib & (c) completion): 24,600–24,650 are
For reference, using an approximate entry at 25,600:
Risk: 25,740. – 25,600 ≈ 138.75 pts
Reward to TP2: 25,600 – 24,800 ≈ 780 pts (~5.7R)
Reward to TP3: 25,600 – 24,660 ≈ 940 pts (~6.8R)
So the idea offers an attractive reward:risk , as long as you accept the possibility that the correction may be shallower or more complex than the “ideal” projection.
What I want to see step-by-step if I’m in this short:
1. A convincing break down out of the wedge.
2. Follow-through selling to the yellow trendline (wave (a)).
3. A choppy overlapping bounce that stalls under the stop zone (wave (b)).
4. One more push down with increasing momentum into the blue box (wave (c)) – where I’ll look to exit shorts and flip bias.
5. Trade idea #2 – Conservative swing long from the blue bo x
If you don’t like shorting a strong trend, the more conservative plan is to ignore the short and only look for longs once the correction has played out.
Idea :
Buy the end of wave (2) in the blue box for a continuation higher in wave (3).
So we are trying to buy the dip in a strong trend.
Buy zone (long trigger area ):
Blue box between roughly 24,800–24,600.
Ideally after we’ve seen a full A-B-C structure into this zone and some kind of reaction. (rejection wicks, bullish divergence, lower-timeframe 5-wave impulse off the lows, etc.).It could also be a more complex correction like WXY, However most of the time we expect a wave 2 more str8 forward price action.
Stop-loss for the long:
Conservative, structure-based invalidation remains the red line at 23,890
A break below this low would invalidate the wave (1)–(2) interpretation and suggest something more bearish is underway.
Tactically, some traders may opt for a tighter stop just below the blue box (e.g. under 24,550), but that’s a money-management choice, not a structural one.
Upside objectives:
First objective is a retest and break of the 25,746 high .
From there, if this is indeed the start of wave (3), extensions towards **26,000+** become realistic (1.0–1.618 extensions of wave (1), not drawn in detail here but implied by the dashed grey path).
6. Invalidation and what would change my mind
Short-term bearish idea is invalid :
if price closes decisively above 25,75x without first breaking down. That would suggest that wave (1) is still extending, or that we’re in a different pattern (e.g. a larger ending diagonal or a complex topping structure). In that case I step aside and reassess.
Medium-term bullish roadmap is invalid if price trades below 23,890 . Then the whole impulse from the low is likely mis-labelled and I would expect a deeper bearish structure. However this
7. Final notes
This is an Elliott Wave–driven roadmap, not a guarantee. I’m planning to:
Treat the current region as exhaustion of wave (1).
Use it either for an aggressive short into the A-B-C correction,
Or wait patiently for the blue box to develop for a more conservative long into a potential wave (3).
As always: manage your risk, size appropriately, and don’t trade this blindly. This is a trade idea and educational analysis, not financial advice.
Since lack of time I was not able to post many trade ideas in the past months. However I'm going to try to get back some more ideas in the future! Please leave feedback and comments!
NQ DEC. WEEK #2NQ remains on a cautiously bullish footing as it consolidates after a recent rebound — price is hovering around the 25,800 area while testing a resistance band between roughly 25,350–25,550. Strength in tech stocks and favorable sentiment — driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates soon — are underpinning support.
On the downside, failure to break decisively above the resistance zone could prompt a pullback toward support levels near 25,000–24,850, especially if macro-data disappoints or yields rise.
That said, if bulls regain control and push past 25,550, the next upside target lies near the ATH (26,000–26,300) — making a move toward those highs the baseline bullish scenario. These are scenarios for this week, let's see what we get
4 DEC 2025: NQ1! MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
NYKZ PM:
NYKZ AM SSL PURGED & 9AM + VENOM BSL BEING STALKED AND TARGETED
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Trendline Break Signals a Possible Shift Back Toward ATH on NQThe broader market structure continues to maintain its upward trajectory, despite the recent corrective leg. Price responded decisively from a key demand area and has now broken above the multi-touch descending trendline that defined the pullback phase. This type of structural break is often interpreted as an early sign that bearish momentum is fading.
Several technical elements stand out:
• The long-term uptrend remains intact, supported by higher swing lows
• A sharp rejection from the recent low suggests renewed participation from buyers
• The descending trendline has been cleanly reclaimed, indicating a potential shift in market character
• A wide, untested range overhead remains a notable area of interest should momentum continue to build
This analysis highlights the evolving structure and the levels currently shaping market behavior. This is not a trade signal, but rather an observation of the technical conditions I’m monitoring.






















