Trade ideas
Weekly engulfing candle A Trump tariff announcement produced a huge engulfing candle, lets see what happens this week?
Trump's form is he always undo's his threats pretty quickly so be careful, but this market was over stretched and crying for a correction.
Is this enough?
will the buy the dip buyers return?
Earnings season is here and
we have interest rate cuts looming ...
So volatility is here for a while
be careful out there
Giving Back Profits - The Trap of 'Just One More'NOTE : This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. If anything, I’m posting this to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so you can execute your own trading system with calm, patience and confidence.
The trouble doesn’t start with the win.
It’s what happens after the win that sets the course for the unwind.
Take this scenario as an example.
You finish the morning well in the green.
You are focused, composed in flow
And then the thought creeps in:
“Just one more”
“I’m on fire.”
“Let's make it count”.
That’s when strong sessions turn into regret.
What’s really happening inside you:
Thoughts: “If I’d sized bigger earlier, I’d have more.” “Stopping now is leaving money on the table.”
Feelings: Euphoria, Invincibility. Subtle disbelief that this winning streak could end.
Behaviours: Taking marginal setups, holding too long, over-sizing.
Body cues: Elevated energy, buzzing restlessness, almost addictive “high.”
Trigger: A profitable trade or session - the buzz of winning.
This isn’t opportunity. It’s the discomfort of stopping.
Your brain has just been flooded with dopamine - the chemical of reward and anticipation.
When you stop, that rush fades fast.
The body doesn’t like the drop, so it urges you to keep going.
It’s not greed - it’s biology.
Your system is craving the stimulation that came with the win.
The mind interprets that craving as “one more setup.”
But what it’s really chasing… is the feeling of being alive in the action.
Learning to sit with that energy, without acting on it is emotional mastery.
Mastery isn’t about cutting winners it’s about knowing the difference between pressing your edge and chasing the feeling.
One comes from clarity and alignment with your plan.
The other comes from chemistry and compulsion.
Both feel powerful in the moment but only one keeps you in the game.
Once you can see that impulse for what it is a chemical pull, not true opportunity the next step is learning how to regain control before it takes you off plan.
How to shift it:
Define the finish line: set a daily stop time or target and honour it. End when you said you would. Winning traders know when to walk away.
Reframe the win: Booked profits aren’t ‘missed opportunity’. They’re proof that you’ve followed your process and protected your edge.
Closure ritual: write: “Today I protected my edge.” Train your body and mind to link stopping with success, balance and composure.
👉 The market always offers “just one more.” The pros know: the real edge is keeping what you’ve earned.
Highlighting once again the post on Non Farm for anyone that missed it. The announcement is currently rescheduled for Friday 10th (due to the US Government Shut Down). Link below:
Jacob's LadderAn Amped Up Pawn for a King. Are you ready for some more?
-1 MNQ @ 24999.50; Position: -1
+2 MNQ @ 25000.00; Position: +1
+2 MNQ @ 25110.00; Position: +3
-2 MNQ @ 25015.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18
+2 MNQ @ 25120.00; Position: +3
-2 MNQ @ 25025.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18
+2 MNQ @ 25130.00; Position: +3
-2 MNQ @ 25035.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18
+2 MNQ @ 25140.00; Position: +3
-2 MNQ @ 25045.00; Position: +1; Profit: +28.18
-1 MNQ @ 25050.00; Position: 00; Profit: +08.18
Total Profit: $120.90
From the above table our average Long Position was +2. We just traded a span of 50 points and made $120.90. And we have a Pawn we sold @ 24999.50. For now, that Pawn is a drag on profits. We all know that PX doesn't go straight up. Pullbacks are part of the PX action. At some time, we will be able to buy back that Pawn for a profit. If the PX never pulls back to 24999.50 that's OK. We will pick up other Pawns along the way and we will redeem them for profit. I typically redeem them for 200 points.
The typical way of trading +2 MNQ would look like this: qty 2 x 50 points - 1.82 commission = $98.18. Don't forget the stop loss. You must have a stop loss. Or so they say. End of story.
Compare that with our profit of $120.90
120.90 - 98.18/98.18 x 100% = 23.14116%
We made an extra 23.14116%. That adds up to real $$$. Add to that some Pawns you buy back along the way and we're flush. But that is not the end of the story. We did not use any stops. Not one.
It is more blessed to give than to receive.
A Pawn for a King: More DetailsHe fears that he failed at explaining this strategy in a crystal-clear manner the first time. So, he will attempt to explain it more carefully, more precisely. Any confusion is not the fault of the reader. It is the fault of the author.
He starts this at a bounce on a good strong support. This is a bull market strategy (plan), so it begins with a bto entry. What makes this plan work is that it is done in pairs. The pairs must be in a 1 to 2 ratio.
For example, let's say we just had a bounce on a strong support and we begin A Pawn for a King ladder. We just had such a bounce. So, he started a new ladder. Here it is.
NQ+1 @ 24820.50; fx:24820.75 @ 01:08:52///NQ-1 @ 24820.00; @ 01:08:43; -33.20
NQ+1 @ 24820.50; fx:24820.75 @ 01:08:52///NQ-1 @ 24842.00 @ 02:05:37; +406.80
NQ+1 @ 24842.50; fx: 24843.00 @ 02:05:37///NQ-1 @ 24842.00 @ 02:05:37; -38.20
NQ+1 @ 24842.50; fx: 24843.00 @ 02:05:37///NQ-1 @ 24864.00 @ 03:01:02; +401.80
NQ+1 @ 24864.50; fx: 24865.00 @ 03:01:02///NQ-1 @ 24864.00 @ 03:01:02; -38.20
NQ+1 @ 24864.50; fx: 24865.00 @ 03:01:02///NQ-1 @ 24886.00 @ 03:12:41; +401.80
NQ+1 @ 24886.50; fx: 24886.50 @ 03:12:41///NQ-1 @ 24886.00 @ 03:12:41; -28.20
NQ+1 @ 24886.50; fx: 24886.50 @ 03:12:41///NQ-1 @ 24908.00 @ 03:22:46; +411.80
NQ+1 @ 24908.50; fx: 24908.75 @ 03:23:07///NQ-1 @ 24908.00 @ 03:22:46; -33.20
NQ+1 @ 24908.50; fx: 24908.75 @ 03:23:07///NQ-1 @ 24930.00 @ 03:28:28; +406.80
NQ+1 @ 24930.50; fx: 24930.75 @ 03:28:30///NQ-1 @ 24930.00 @ 03:28:28; -33.20
NQ+1 @ 24930.50; fx: 24930.75 @ 03:28:30///NQ-1 @ 24952.00 @ 12:58:08; +406.80
NQ+1 @ 24952.50; fx: 24952.50 @ 12:58:08///NQ-1 @ 24952.00 @ 12:58:08; -28.20
NQ+1 @ 24952.50; fx: 24952.50 @ 12:58:08
That first line is highlighted in his ledger. This is the Pawn that he sacrifices to capture the King.
He subtracts 200 points from that entry and sets an alert on his chart. If / when that alert is triggered, he waits for a good bounce on a strong support and starts the process all over again.
He will buy 2 NQs and sell 1 NQ $.50 less. He will also buy back that first Pawn, the one he sold on the first line - -1NQ @ 24820.00. Going forward he now buys 3NQs and he sells 3NQs on the same ladder as above i.e. every 22 points he buys 3NQs and $.50 less he sells 3 NQs.
Anytime is a good time to paper trade this plan. Now is not an ideal time to start trading this plan with real $$$. The best time to start is at the beginning of a new quarter.
It is a very simple plan, but it does take a little time to get proficient.
It is a very powerful plan. It doesn't take long for it to become a locomotive any engineer would be proud of.
The fellow hopes he didn't make any typos. It is very tedious typing out all those numbers and all too easy to err.
He also hopes this makes the plan crystal clear. He apologizes if his first publication was not.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24931.50
- PR Low: 24897.00
- NZ Spread: 77.0
Key scheduled economic events:
12:20 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 370.72
- Volume: 45K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26020
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ & ES After Hours Comment Thursday 16-10-2025Observing the recent price action, it’s clear that price failed to find meaningful support within those blue zones — however, the sensitivity and reaction around these levels were evident.
The main mistake today was overlooking the fact that, just above the previous day’s highs — which the NQ managed to take out while the ES didn’t — there was a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily timeframe. This area could easily have acted as a resistance zone and triggered a full reversal.
At the same time, the YM had two equal lows sitting just beneath current price, marking a strong liquidity pool.
Overall, it was a poor analysis day on my part — I was off, even though I did mention there would be short setups emerging. Hopefully, you recognized along the way that there was no valid long confirmation, and managed to stay out of losing trades.
Back here tomorrow at 08:45 AM NY time (45 minutes ahead of the market open).
PF
A trade I could've took, but wanted YOU to take instead! Im 5 years in this trading game, I see the market so vividly now. I thank God for everything. Through the struggles, losses and wins. I can see me quitting my 9 to 5 very soon. This is to show you guys that i eat between the lines on the 1minute timeframe. I really do this. I might start going live , I'll think about it. It might be too much pressure.
Why Global Markets Matter for GrowthGlobal markets play a central role in the development and growth of economies around the world. In an increasingly interconnected world, no economy operates in isolation. Trade, investment, technology, and financial flows cross borders at an unprecedented scale, shaping the pace and quality of economic growth. Understanding why global markets matter for growth requires examining their multifaceted influence on investment, productivity, innovation, employment, and resilience.
1. Access to Larger Markets
One of the most immediate benefits of global markets is access to a larger pool of consumers. Domestic markets are often limited in size, particularly for smaller or developing economies. By participating in global markets, firms can scale their operations, sell to international consumers, and achieve higher revenue.
For example, companies in countries like South Korea or Germany have leveraged global demand for electronics and automobiles to grow rapidly. Access to foreign markets allows businesses to produce at larger scales, reduce per-unit costs, and benefit from economies of scale. These efficiencies, in turn, contribute to higher profitability and reinvestment in growth initiatives, such as research, infrastructure, and human capital.
2. Attraction of Foreign Investment
Global markets are also crucial for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio investment. FDI provides not just capital but also advanced technology, managerial expertise, and global best practices. Countries that are well integrated into global markets become attractive destinations for multinational corporations seeking efficiency, skilled labor, or strategic locations.
Foreign investment can accelerate growth by funding new projects, improving infrastructure, and creating jobs. For instance, the inflow of FDI into India’s technology and manufacturing sectors has fueled innovation, increased employment, and enhanced productivity. Beyond direct capital, foreign investment signals confidence to other investors, creating a virtuous cycle of growth and integration into global economic systems.
3. Enhanced Competition and Productivity
Integration into global markets exposes domestic firms to international competition. While this can be challenging, it encourages businesses to improve efficiency, innovate, and adopt better management practices. Competition ensures that resources are allocated more effectively, firms focus on core competencies, and consumers benefit from higher quality products at competitive prices.
Research shows that countries more integrated into global trade networks experience higher productivity growth. For example, Vietnam’s integration into global supply chains for electronics and apparel has forced domestic firms to adopt advanced technologies and production methods, improving overall productivity and growth.
4. Technology Transfer and Innovation
Global markets facilitate the exchange of ideas, technology, and innovation. Firms that operate internationally gain access to the latest technological advancements and can adopt them faster than purely domestic firms. This process—often referred to as technology transfer—enhances productivity and encourages the development of new products and services.
Innovation is further stimulated through collaboration with foreign partners, exposure to international best practices, and learning from global competitors. Countries that embrace global markets tend to have stronger innovation ecosystems, which can drive long-term economic growth. For instance, the rise of China’s high-tech manufacturing sector was fueled by its engagement with global markets, allowing it to adopt and eventually innovate on advanced technologies from abroad.
5. Diversification and Risk Management
Global markets allow countries and businesses to diversify their economic activities, reducing dependence on a single sector or market. Diversification helps stabilize economic growth by mitigating the impact of domestic shocks or downturns in specific industries.
For example, countries reliant solely on commodity exports may face volatility when global commodity prices fluctuate. Engaging in global markets—through trade, investment, or financial integration—enables economies to spread risk and maintain more stable growth. Access to global financial markets also provides avenues for risk hedging, such as currency and commodity derivatives, which help businesses plan and invest with confidence.
6. Employment Generation and Human Capital Development
Participation in global markets often leads to higher employment opportunities. Export-oriented industries, multinational operations, and global supply chains require labor, often leading to job creation in manufacturing, services, and technology sectors.
Beyond job creation, global engagement improves human capital. Exposure to international standards, training, and work culture elevates skills and productivity. Workers in globally connected industries often receive better training and experience, which contributes to overall economic growth and competitiveness. For example, countries like Ireland and Singapore have leveraged global market access to develop highly skilled labor forces, fueling sustained growth in technology, finance, and services.
7. Capital Market Development
Global markets are not limited to trade and investment in goods; they also include financial markets. Countries with integrated capital markets can attract international investors, diversify funding sources, and lower the cost of capital.
Access to global capital allows governments and firms to finance large-scale infrastructure projects, research and development, and business expansion. Moreover, global financial integration promotes transparency, efficiency, and the adoption of international best practices in governance and regulation, further supporting sustainable growth.
8. Strengthening Macroeconomic Resilience
Global market participation helps economies become more resilient to domestic economic shocks. By having access to multiple trade partners, diversified investment sources, and integrated financial networks, countries can buffer themselves against downturns in any single market.
For example, during global recessions, countries with strong trade and investment links may still maintain growth by leveraging alternative markets or attracting counter-cyclical investment. In contrast, economies isolated from global markets often face deeper and longer recessions due to a lack of external support.
9. Driving Policy Reforms and Institutional Development
Engagement with global markets often necessitates reforms in policy, regulation, and institutions. To attract investment and participate effectively in international trade, countries adopt policies that improve transparency, ease of doing business, property rights, and financial regulation.
These reforms, spurred by global market participation, create a more conducive environment for growth. For instance, reforms in trade policies, taxation, and investment protection in countries like India and Vietnam have been directly linked to their successful integration into global markets and sustained economic growth.
10. Promoting Sustainable and Inclusive Growth
Finally, global markets have the potential to promote more sustainable and inclusive growth. Trade and investment can encourage the adoption of environmentally friendly technologies, higher labor standards, and corporate social responsibility practices.
International engagement also provides opportunities for developing economies to integrate into high-value supply chains, generating employment and reducing poverty. While globalization has its challenges, responsible participation in global markets can align economic growth with social and environmental objectives, contributing to broader development goals.
Conclusion
Global markets matter for growth because they provide access to larger consumer bases, attract foreign investment, stimulate competition and productivity, facilitate technology transfer, and enhance employment and human capital development. They also promote diversification, strengthen financial markets, and drive institutional reforms, contributing to more resilient, sustainable, and inclusive economic growth.
In an interconnected world, the countries that engage effectively with global markets are better positioned to harness resources, innovation, and opportunities that drive long-term prosperity. Conversely, isolation from global markets can limit growth potential, reduce efficiency, and slow the pace of modernization. For policymakers, businesses, and investors, understanding the dynamics of global markets is crucial for crafting strategies that leverage international opportunities while managing risks.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24992.25
- PR Low: 24936.50
- NZ Spread: 124.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
- PPI
AMP margins temp raised for pre-RTH expected economic volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 379.49
- Volume: 30K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26020
- Mid: 23571
- Short: 21939
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ range levelsWe have a clearly defined range to now buy low and sell high, then pray for the breakout in your favor.
The Peak Vol and S/R levels are my areas to trade reactions. Not looking for anything long over Peak Vol unless very strong buying comes in.
The hopium trade for the day is to get short at the local GP at Peak Vol and break the lows.
Bullish MONDAY Price dipped into the long term weekly FVG
And respected it now. My thoughts are Monday could be a bullish day where price start to rally back up because we are in a very deep discount right now and have lots of range to cover so I think we could see some upside objectives.
also if we open and Gap down then there’s a big change we continue lower but I hope that is not the case because it would become a full on market crash. this is a minor correction nothing major
Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1!
Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart.
Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out.
Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band.
While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks.
Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀
I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
Nasdaq-100 | Textbook OB Rejection SSL Target Hit.Price swept the internal liquidity (TS 🐢) and tapped into a premium Order Block (OB), showing clear signs of rejection. This confirms a potential shift in market structure with bearish momentum building up. Alhumdulillah Target Hit✅️
🔹 Key Points:
Buy-side liquidity (BSL) taken before OB mitigation
Strong rejection from OB + Breaker Block (BB) zone
Market structure shift confirmed on 15m
Targeting sell-side liquidity (SSL) below recent swing lows
As long as price remains below the OB, bearish continuation is expected. Watch for short setups aligned with internal structure breaks.
NQ UpdateI guess it doesn't matter that the gap below didn't fill all the way. Remaining gap is really small anyways.
MFI indicators seem to be working again, went overbought before market opened so the algos sold it off. Amazing how resilient this market is, they sold off everything (commodities, crypto, index futures) AGAIN, and everything seemed to have bounced right back up.
On Investing dot com, I'm showing a gap after the one hour break, but it doesn't show here so not sure if it's real. Tomorrow is probably gonna be a whipsaw day anyways, small caps are forming a pennant.