NQ Range (08-25-25)Going back to Range play this week. We are in the middle of a long lasting trend of a Friday-Monday Long Play, this has been the redirect of any drop going back a year or two. Total guess this week, Blue Arrows are Key Levels to watch for hit/reversals. The Shaded Zone above is a Turn Zone that will/may reject and send the NAZ 23,486 or 486 1st then TZ try. Go Fed, BTD & FOMO for another Decade. The Buy The Dip Strategy seems to TRUMP all strategies and Wash Street is banking on that. Still feel we go lower prior to any new ATH. Look sideways to lower and stay long in any O/N Session.
NQ2! trade ideas
NQ Short (09-02-25)NAZ H/S to failed auction bottom retest (TLX 234, Turd Zone), for next big move. Seems like Tariff social media noise from Wash Street is in question and may bring some BALANCE or reality (Short). Play KL's lower and watch for the O/N to switch gears with some selling, NDX 21,850 Gap Fill may be in the mix. Go Fed, BTD, FOMO with Mr. Retail into the Long Trap.
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Double Correction Targets 22752 DownsideNasdaq Futures (NQ) display a bearish sequence with a lower low from the 13 August high, signaling potential for further declines. The decline from this peak is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. From the 13 August high, wave W concluded at 23035. The subsequent wave X rally formed a zigzag pattern, with wave ((a)) peaking at 23369.25 and wave ((b)) dipping to 23076.75. The Index then climbed in wave ((c)) to 23804.49, completing wave X.
The Index has since resumed its descent in wave Y, breaking below the wave W low at 23035, confirming the next downward leg. From wave X, wave (a) ended at 23370.5, followed by a wave (b) rally to 23509.5. The Index then continued lower in wave (c) to 23025.25, finalizing wave ((w)). Currently, wave ((x)) is underway, correcting the cycle from the 29 August high before the Index turns lower again. In the near term, as long as the pivot at 23804.49 remains intact, expect any rally to falter in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, leading to further downside. The projected target for wave Y lies between 22111.1 and 22752, based on the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave W.
NASDAQ (NAS 100): Short Term Sells to the Weekly +FVG!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ failed to make a new ATH last week, indicating some weakness in the market. Frequently, Swing failures precede reversals, and this seems to be the case on the Daily TF.
Look for price to confirm bearish intent, as the sell side liquidity targets draw price down to the +FVG at 22.582.
A bullish BOS at current levels would invalidate this trade idea.
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/29/2025 Session (Correct)CME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23762.00
- PR Low: 23735.00
- NZ Spread: 60.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Month end ahead of early close Monday
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 8/29)
- Session Open ATR: 283.13
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 286K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
#202535 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral. I see the current range from 22800 - 24069 and the middle of it is 23460ish and we closed right at it. Bears can argue a head & shoulders on the daily chart and bulls still have two decent bull trend lines going for them. I don’t think around 23500 you can have any edge. I’d like for this to not hit 24k again but the odds for that are low. Best to wait.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels for next week: 22700 - 24100
bull case: Bulls got a new ath and the market is overdue for a pullback but that does not mean we will get one. Bulls are still in full control as long as they keep the market above 22800. Having said that, it’s overdone, overbought and we are likely at the peak of the bubble.
Invalidation is below 22780
bear case: Bears need to do more. Anything below 23000 would be a start. That would break both trend lines and opens the possibility for 22000 over the next weeks. For now I don’t think it’s good to sell around the midpoint of this triangle.
Invalidation is above 23800
short term: Neutral around 23500. Same as last week.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-08-10: 22000 likely to get hit this year gain. 20000 seems a bit much for 3 months left.
Is Nasdaq still Bullish?I’m still sensing bullish momentum on Nasdaq. My expectation is for price to retrace back into this week’s NWOG before making a push toward last week’s NWOG and the 1-hour gap at 23,583.00. There’s also a possibility we dip to fill the gap at 23,400.00 first, but if that scenario plays out, I don’t see price maintaining its bullish momentum afterward.
On the weekly chart, price continues to strongly respect the Bullish OB formed in the first week of August. As long as this level holds, I expect momentum to carry us higher in the near term.
We'll see tomorrow morning⚡
NQ - Nasdaq Short Playbook for the next weeksIn the NQ, they took out the high and then hit it on the head day by day. It finally stopped below the 1/4 line. If you look closely, you see that this was the slanted zone of Support — just like the slanted Resistance.
"As above, so below."
...write me in the comments who said this already a couple hundred years ago §8-)
The small Modified Schiff Fork tells a story too.
Price reached the Center Line and got rejected. Now it's on its way down towards the small Fork's L-MLH. A break of it would indicate further selling ahead.
And the last bastion is the green support level, which stems from the second-to-last prior confirmed Swing Low.
Beyond this level, it's only a question of time before price hits the Center Line.
And — God forbid — below the Center Line, the Sh...t hits the fan. So you better run... behind price with a decent short trade and ride it down to the Abyss.
No worries, I'm with you §8-)
Happy Monday, folks!
NQ Bearish BiasNQ is consolidating below a key resistance after a strong selloff from recent highs.
Price failed to hold above 23,750 and is now building a lower-high structure under 23,550.
Unless buyers reclaim that zone, the path of least resistance looks lower with targets near 23,130–23,200.
What do you think? Like and follow for more insightful ideas.
MNQ Prop Account Risk Management – From $50K to $300K
1) Core funding rules (simple & strict)
Account inputs
Acct = account size
TTD = trailing drawdown buffer your prop gives (e.g., Apex $50K → $2,500)
tickValue and tickSize depend on the product (for MNQ: tickSize = 0.25, tickValue = $0.50, $2.00 per index point)
Budgeting
Daily loss cap (never exceed):
DailyCap = 0.10 × TTD (≈ 10% of TTD)
→ $50K example: 0.10 × 2,500 = $250/day
Per-trade risk (normal):
RiskTrade = 0.50 × DailyCap (≈ 50% of daily)
→ $50K example: 0.50 × 250 = $125/trade
Max trades per day (if all losers):
DailyCap / RiskTrade → typically 2 losses max. Stop trading.
Tip: if you’re warming up or drawdown is tight, use RiskTrade = 0.33 × DailyCap (3 bullets per day).
Position sizing
Choose a stop distance in points from your 15s setup (tight range, reduces variance).
For MNQ:
RiskPerContract = StopPoints × $2.00
Contracts = floor( RiskTrade / RiskPerContract )
Trailing drawdown protection
Hard daily stop: auto-flatten when Unrealized+Realized <= -DailyCap.
Two-strike rule: 2 consecutive full-risk losses → walk away.
No add-to-loser; scale-in only if the first risk is reduced (BE+ or partials).
2) Timeframe workflow (why 15s works)
Context / bias: 10–15-minute chart → trend, key levels, session regime.
Execution: 15-second chart → micro pullback, CHoCH/confirm, ALGTP setup zones.
Psychology: the 10–15m avoids overreacting; 15s keeps risk tight.
Risk discipline: 15s makes it easy to place objective small stops (e.g., 10–20 points MNQ), aligning with prop TTD constraints and avoiding rule violations.
3) Concrete numbers (MNQ examples)
Assume MNQ (Micro NQ):
$2.00 per point per contract (0.25 tick = $0.50)
Three example stops from 15s structure: 10 / 15 / 20 points
Risk per contract
10 pts → $20
15 pts → $30
20 pts → $40
Position sizing formula
Contracts = floor( RiskTrade / (StopPoints × 2) )
4) Scaling plan by account size
I’ll assume TTD ≈ 5% of account (matches Apex 50K→2.5K). If your prop’s TTD differs, just plug your TTD into the same formulas.
Account TTD (≈5%) DailyCap = 10% TTD RiskTrade = 50% of Daily MNQ contracts (10 / 15 / 20-pt stop)
$50K $2,500 $250 $125 6 / 4 / 3 (=$120/$120/$120 used)
$100K $5,000 $500 $250 12 / 8 / 6
$150K $7,500 $750 $375 18 / 12 / 9
$250K $12,500 $1,250 $625 31 / 20 / 15
$300K $15,000 $1,500 $750 37 / 25 / 18
How to read: For the $50K plan with a 20-point stop, Contracts = floor(125 / 40) = 3.
With 15-point stop: floor(125 / 30) = 4. With 10-point: floor(125 / 20) = 6.
Important fine-tuning
If your fills slip or you trail early, reduce Contracts by 1 to keep real risk ≤ plan.
In fast conditions, switch to 10-second (ALGTP’s funding preset) or even 5-second for entries. It shrinks stop distance yet still respects the 10–15m bias.
5) Trade plan checklist (ALGTP flow)
When to trade
Timeframe panel (your “snow” focus): higher-timeframe bias aligned (10–15m green for longs / red for shorts).
Price is above Setup Trigger and confirms at CHoCH/Confirmation Trigger (for longs), or symmetric for shorts.
Momentum not exhausted (avoid entries directly into TP3/TP4 clouds).
When not to trade
Opposite bias on 10–15m.
Entering right into Capital Defense / Max Exhaustion zones.
After 2 full-risk losses or when DailyCap is reached.
Entry & management
Entry at Setup Trigger or micro retest on 15s.
Initial stop just beyond Capital Defense (or last micro-swing).
Partial TP ladder: TP1 (momentum hold), TP2 (intensity), trail to BE+, then leave a runner toward TP3/TP4.
Trailing: switch to smart trailing only after TP1; before that, protect initial risk.
6) Simple formulas you can keep on your desk
DailyCap = 0.10 × TTD
RiskTrade = 0.50 × DailyCap
Risk/contract = StopPoints × $2.00 // MNQ
Contracts = floor( RiskTrade / Risk/contract )
Example (50K, TTD 2,500):
DailyCap = 250
RiskTrade = 125
Stop 15pt → Risk/contract = 15 × 2 = $30
Contracts = floor(125 / 30) = 4
If you also trade MES (Micro S&P): tick $1.25 (0.25 pt), so $5 per point. Replace $2.00 with $5.00 in the formula.
7) Why this is prop-friendly
Keeps risk anchored to TTD, not to account notional.
Forces few, high-quality attempts (2–3 bullets max/day).
15s (or ALGTP’s 10s funding preset) compresses stop distance, making the same TTD support more contracts without violating rules.
The 10–15m bias prevents revenge trading and wrong-direction scalps.
Thinking the impossibleIm thinking the impossible likeliness of NQ pushing higher testing 24000, before pulling back to create a leg down before moving higher again later. Sept & October is a possible red candle to allow long term buyers to buy at a lower price, perhaps similar to Feb and March pullback or perhaps not. The monthly candles are getting smaller during the past 2 months, which was also demonstrated in Feb and March. Price exhaustion based on a Demark 13 similar to Jun and July 24 before the pullback in August to October 24 adding the conviction of a probable pullback. Nobody can be certain what will happen in the future, just thinking the probable likeliness. Just an idea to ponder.
Nq & Es Premarket comment 28-08-2025Good morning everyone,
My overall bias remains bullish, with the Dow Jones and S&P (ES) showing stronger upward momentum compared to the Nasdaq. I will wait for the market open at 09:30 NY time to see if the market offers any long opportunities within a discount zone.
Of course, there is also the possibility that price may continue moving higher without any pullback. The main target remains the ATH on ES.
Wishing you all disciplined and successful trading.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Nq & Es After Hours Comment 28-08-2025Good evening everyone,
As the saying goes, a picture is worth a thousand words. Just look at how price delivered today — exactly in line with the outlook I shared earlier.
I hope you all managed your decisions well and had a successful session.
See you tomorrow, shortly before the market open.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23458.25
- PR Low: 23434.25
- NZ Spread: 53.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
12:00 | Crude Oil Inventories
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/4)
- Session Open ATR: 299.73
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone