NQ Targets (11-24-25)The downtrend is on and will play inside the Diablo's (red diagonal lines) until breakout. 24,600 to 24,056 is Churn Zone and 24,708 and 24,226 are KL's to watch for opposite direction trades 1st and follow through 2nd. NAZ did come close to -10% level in the overnight, popped back up on a Friday (typical). The original Short call was aiming at all the O/N gaps up from prior Rig lift (from O/N), these have been cleaned out. The NDX chart will show these that started on 10/24 through 10/29. Note, from here the math gets interesting and can be illustrated on the NDX chart. We may see heavier selling in the O/N as 11/20 was an outside day reversal close. Notice on the NDX chart that the recent 58% lift can erased will only a 37% drop and the YTD 24% high is erased will only a 19% drop. Heavy volume lower after light volume (off session) lift. Keep in mind that the O/N has a new limit down of -7% (old was -5%). Keep in mind the drawdown math effect = pain. Unless we see a retest that can get above NDX Danger Zone and get back above the Upper TZ or long term trendline (orange, 25,095). NDX 25,095 - 23,233 is Churn Zone until breakout. NQ - NDX differential is about 200 points.
NDX Chart
Trade ideas
NQ 25,155: Heavy-Volume Resistance + FVG Short SetupNQ is forming a strong resistance at 25,155, sitting at the start of a heavy-volume zone created during a sharp selloff. This is where sellers previously built short positions and are likely to defend again. A bearish Fair Value Gap aligns perfectly with the same level, strengthening the zone. A pullback into 25,155 offers a clean short opportunity.
nq 15 min update Overall Idea
(Not financial advice)
The chart shows a price pattern forming after a strong move upward and downward, followed by a consolidation phase. The diagram highlights targets, supports, and a gap fill area, helping determine bullish vs. bearish scenarios.
Wave Structure (A → E)
(Not financial advice)
On the left side, there's a labeled price swing (A–B–C–D–E).
This represents a sequence of higher-lows and lower-highs, ending at point (E).
Point (E) acts as the base from which the next structure begins.
Triangle Wedge Pattern
(Not financial advice)
Right after point (E), the market forms a tightening triangular structure
Upper descending line seller pressure
Lower ascending line buyer pressure
This pattern shows compression before a larger movement.
Gap Fill Area
(Not financial advice)
The GAP FILL zone inside the triangle marks an area where price previously skipped quickly.
Price often returns to such zones, creating
temporary support
or a magnet before continuation
Price Targets
(Not financial advice)
1ST TARGET
Primary upside objective if price breaks above the triangle.
2ND TARGET
A farther target indicating strong bullish expansion.
Support Levels
(Not financial advice)
1ST SUPPORT
Closest support maintains bullish structure.
2ND SUPPORT
A deeper structural support.
3ST SUPPORT
Strongest support and major turning point.
Bullish vs. Bearish Line
(Not financial advice)
The dashed horizontal line at the bottom marks the key boundary
Above → bullish
Below → bearish
NQ 15 MIN Overall Idea
(Not financial advice)
The chart shows a price pattern forming after a strong move upward and downward, followed by a consolidation phase. The diagram highlights targets, supports, and a gap fill area, helping determine bullish vs. bearish scenarios.
Wave Structure (A → E)
(Not financial advice)
On the left side, there's a labeled price swing (A–B–C–D–E).
This represents a sequence of higher-lows and lower-highs, ending at point (E).
Point (E) acts as the base from which the next structure begins.
Triangle Wedge Pattern
(Not financial advice)
Right after point (E), the market forms a tightening triangular structure
Upper descending line seller pressure
Lower ascending line buyer pressure
This pattern shows compression before a larger movement.
Gap Fill Area
(Not financial advice)
The GAP FILL zone inside the triangle marks an area where price previously skipped quickly.
Price often returns to such zones, creating
temporary support
or a magnet before continuation
Price Targets
(Not financial advice)
1ST TARGET
Primary upside objective if price breaks above the triangle.
2ND TARGET
A farther target indicating strong bullish expansion.
Support Levels
(Not financial advice)
1ST SUPPORT
Closest support maintains bullish structure.
2ND SUPPORT
A deeper structural support.
3ST SUPPORT
Strongest support and major turning point.
Bullish vs. Bearish Line
(Not financial advice)
The dashed horizontal line at the bottom marks the key boundary
Above → bullish
Below → bearish
Next week NQ BearishNext week’s price outlook appears bearish.
Market structure shows a clear downtrend following the confirmed break of the previous swing low.
Price is expected to retrace into the iFVG before continuing lower toward the downside order block.
The iFVG aligns precisely with the lowest tick of the highest candle of the prior move and sits in the correct position relative to the previous supply zone.
The order block below is a high-probability area, as five liquidity lows are positioned directly above it.
NQ1! – Bearish Descending Channel, Short Setup Active Nasdaq 100 futures remain trapped inside a bearish descending channel on the 4H chart after failing to reclaim the 25,500 zone.
Key points: Series of lower highs along the blue upper trendline
Strong rejection every time price touches the channel top
Support cluster 25,000–24,800 tested multiple times but showing weakening bounces
RSI slipping toward oversold, but momentum still favors sellers
Bearish plan
Current price rejecting the upper channel again around 25,300–25,320
→ Short entry zone 25,280–25,320
Target 1: 25,000
Target 2: 24,800 (lower channel boundary)
Target 3: 24,500 (channel breakdown target)
Stop-loss above 25,450 (clear invalidation)
Risk/Reward → 1:1.8 average Bullish reversal only on strong break and close above 25,400–25,450 with volume (then first target 25,800). As long as we stay inside this channel, bias is short. Holiday-thinned liquidity can accelerate the move on Friday open.
Short setup live.
Weekly Market Forecast: Indices Are Weak! Wait For Sells!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of Nov 24-29th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NQ Week 48 T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Thanksgiving NQ LevelsNasdaq-100 E-mini futures are trading near 25,318 this morning, showing a modest rise driven by growing optimism about a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December. This momentum follows renewed strength in major tech names—especially AI-linked stocks—which has helped lift the broader Nasdaq Composite over the past several sessions. With expectations of lower rates, dovish Fed signals, and improving confidence in growth and tech sectors, the near-term outlook points toward continued upside or steady consolidation at current levels. However, gains may be capped if enthusiasm around AI fades or if upcoming economic data weakens the argument for rate easing.
Happy Thanksgiving to you all
Gobble, gobble!!
If Nasdaq can crack the pressure line then...🔱 We have a Hagopian on the down-move. 🔱
Price was (so far) not able to reach the L-MLH of the red fork.
If buyers can eat through the pressure cheese, then the Long-Play is on.
Most often we see price breaking the pressure line and then coming back to it, scaring out the early longs, just to rush upwards again. So don’t panic if this happens. Place a proper stop and you're good.
As for targets, there is the red Centerline and the white Centerline.
On a break of the red CL, we have a high chance to see the same scenario as with the pressure line: UP-Down-MoreUp.
First snow in Switzerland arrived and Santa is preparing the reindeer to bring us some dough ;-)
Wish you all a profitable Friday.
Nasdaq 100 (NQ): Hyper-Extended Momentum – Breakout or Exhaust
Category: Trend Analysis / Support & Resistance
Ticker: NQ1! (CME)
Analysis:
We are looking at the Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ1!) on the 1H timeframe using the Dynamic Support & Resistance (DSRTL) system. The market is currently displaying a textbook example of a high-momentum breakout that has pushed into statistical extremes.
Here is the breakdown of the current technical landscape based on the indicator's Matrix Logic:
1. The "Hyper Extension" State (S1 / D1)
The indicator’s dashboard has triggered a "HYPER EXTENSION" alert. This specific state occurs when two conditions are met simultaneously:
• Static Breakout (S1): Price has cleared the horizontal resistance structures (indicated by the volume clusters).
• Dynamic Overextension (D1): Price has pierced above the upper limit of the dynamic trend channel (the purple trendlines).
2. Bias: Extreme Bullish
The current bias is rated as "Extreme Bullish". The trend is undeniably strong, confirmed by the positive Volume Delta (+965) shown on the dashboard. The price action is aggressive, creating a steep angle of ascent that has moved away from the mean.
3. The Warning Signal: Exhaustion Risk
While the trend is up, the system issues a cautionary note: "Exhaustion Risk. Trail stops."
In technical terms, when price action moves into "D1" (Dynamic Overextension), it indicates that the asset is trading significantly above its standard deviation or channel geometry. Historically, markets often seek mean reversion or consolidation after such rapid expansions to sustain the trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Dynamic Support (Immediate): The top of the purple channel (approx. 25,220) acts as the first layer of defense. A retest of this level is common after a breakout.
• Static Support (Structural): The breakdown level of the previous resistance, now turning into support around the 24.95K region.
Scenario Conclusion:
This is a pure momentum play. Traders should be aware that while the path of least resistance is up, the probability of a "snap-back" or consolidation increases the further price stretches above the dynamic channel. This is not a signal to short the trend immediately, but rather a signal to manage risk tightly on existing long positions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and explains the logic of the DSRTL technical indicator. It does not constitute financial advice.






















