Today's Trade PossibilitiesBuy the Dip
Green-shaded areas are accumulation/distribution areas.
Nearest Buy the Dip: 24550 - 24490
Pros:
1.prior vpoc @ 24503 (from 9/12)
2.vpoc @ 24412.75
3.pdc 24465.25
4.support @ 24490 (Head and Shoulders Neckline from 9/16)
AGGRESSIVE TRADES
put in orders now 1 MNQ @ 24550. Buy 1 MNQ at 5-point intervals from here to 24490. 19-point target for each trade.
MODERATE TRADES
wait for a good bounce, then place your trades in 5-point intervals, 19-point targets
CONSERVATIVE TRADES
wait for a bounce at or about 24490, then place your trades
Climb the Ladder Breakout Trades
use the above same logic to choose aggressive, moderate or conservative
also affecting these three categories - will you place them in 5-point or 10-point increments? will you overlap them or not? Overlapping is more aggressive. If you don't overlap them, you will wait until the lower entry hits its target before you enter the next trade. A much more conservative (safe) approach.
Pivot Trades
I err on the side of caution
my Pivots: 24247, 24097, 24977
these are subject to change
feel free to pick your own pivots
Trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24574.25
- PR Low: 24495.25
- NZ Spread: 176.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 9/18)
- Session Open ATR: 279.81
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 249K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25217
- Mid: 22503
- Short: 21790
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ – BIAS LONG📈 Breakout & Acceptance confirmed.
We could see some retracement, but Powell’s speech already tested our demand and the reaction was strong.
For the bias to shift into short, we would need a clear violation of the dealing range low — not just a demand violation.
Until then, structure remains bullish.
Nasdaq Echoing December FOMC| NQ1 Short SetupAfter spotting the new day opening gap, I immediately analyzed the charts for a comparable All-Time High NDOG scenario. Sure enough, I found nearly identical price action — unfolding on the same days and with the exact same news catalysts.
I’m planning to short from around 24,600.00, with the expectation that 24,200.00 will get taken out.
Let's see how this plays out⚡
day 3 100 to 1,000,000 Romans 6: 23 for the wages of sin is death, but the free gift of gods grace is eternal life though Jesus Christ. 5m ifvg to the downside, I waited for the pullback proceeded to the one minute chart. Marked all respected gaps then waited for my entry at c.e. of 1:59 gap, I placed my stop just above the gap and t.p. at the 2:21 low.
Trading FOMC DayMost say do NOT trade FOMC day.
I trade it.
5m chart
Buy the Breakout
1.Above 13:50 high I buy 1 contract at each 10-point interval
2.29-point target for each and every entry
Buy the Dip
1.I buy the green shaded areas 31-point target
2.If a certain area bounces well, I keep trading it until it no longer works
Pivots
1.My pivots:24,307, 24,207, 24,147, 24,087, 24,027
2.101-point target for each entry
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24551.75
- PR Low: 24525.00
- NZ Spread: 59.75
Key scheduled economic events:
14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections
- FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
Temp AMP margins increase for expected FOMC volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 9/17)
- Session Open ATR: 270.67
- Volume: 12K
- Open Int: 220K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25217
- Mid: 22503
- Short: 21790
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ idea's for 9/1710 drawings that describe the gut wrenching patterns of MarketMeta with 4 candles and 6 types of levels - this is the Science of trading in practice.
Data driven, methodical, if, then statements that guide our thinking through 4 parts that make up Technical Analysis:
- Mental Analysis
- Comparative Analysis
- Risk Analysis
- Procedural Analysis
Last two days boxed in red - high, low and median ranges.
Yellow lines are hourly timeframe levels.
Dovish Spells or Hawkish Surprises? FOMC Prep for ES, NQ, GCLet’s start with the biggest event this week. Unless, of course, some unexpected headline swoops in and steals the spotlight — because markets love a good plot twist.
Emotions are running high, and volatility is flying around like confetti at a surprise party nobody asked for. But don’t worry, Chair Powell might just play the role of the calm voice in the chaos.
Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed this week. Interestingly, the future path of rate cut expectations has been in the doldrums. Is it a bird or a plane? No, it’s Superman. Likewise here, is it 1 cut or 2 cuts? No, it’s 3 cuts priced at this moment until the end of 2025.
Excuse the humor, but what fun is it if you cannot entertain yourself while analyzing the complexities of markets day in and day out. Execution is boring; risk management is much like dementors sucking out life force when risk is not respected. And analyzing and preparation is where the creativity and fun is.
And as Kurt Angle would say, it is “ True ”.
Index futures including ES futures and NQ futures have all climbed steadily higher since September 2 low. Markets are turning higher in anticipation of a new bull run.
Gold futures are rallying, currently trading above $3700. Since the Jackson Hole dovish pivot, gold has not looked back and has rocketed higher above major resistance.
Our focus is on the Fed meeting. All eyes will be on the forward guidance; risks to inflation, risks for the labor market and FED’s SEP (Summary of Economic Projections). This also includes GDP forecasts and the most anticipated Dot Plot.
Which of the two mandates will the Fed prioritize, labor market weakness or sticky inflation? The interesting thing to note is that despite sticky inflation, markets are anticipating 3 cuts of 25 bps for each of the meetings this year.
Thus far, as we have previously mentioned, the Fed will likely be moving away from their 2% inflation target to an average inflation target in the range of 2% to 3%.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal less inflation are going to fall sharply lower.
Given this, we anticipate gold to continue higher as the US Dollar's purchasing power erodes away, with mounting debt, higher inflation and falling real yields.
The real question we should be asking is:
What if the meeting outcome is hawkish with the Fed delivering just 1 cut in the September meeting and staying on hold for the remainder of the year?
What other risks are there that could pull stocks and indexes lower? And bonds higher?
Tariffs at this point seem like an old talk unless something reinvigorates and puts them on the front and center of market worries.
Based on these thoughts, here are our scenarios:
Base Case:
25 bps cuts and dovish guidance but iterates meeting by meeting approach.
ES & NQ:
Data dependent Fed, that is likely behind the curve and markets may translate this as Fed too slow to react to emerging risks, risks of recession goes higher. In this case, although stocks may push higher with rates coming down initially, in our view, much of this is priced in and this may be ‘sell the fact moment’.
Portfolio adjustment: Sell index futures, Buy Gold and Bonds.
Ultra-Dovish:
Fed’s dot plot confirms 2 additional rate cuts of 25 bps for Oct and Dec meeting and further 4 cuts till end of 2026 to bring terminal rate lower to 250-275.
USD weakens further, real rates sink, reinforcing gold bid.
Portfolio adjustment: Buy everything. Buy the dip.
Hawkish Surprise
Only 25 bps in September, then pause
ES & NQ:
• Sharp pullback as equities reprice for tighter liquidity.
• ES could retrace recent gains, downside risk toward 4,900–5,000 zone.
• NQ likely hit harder due to tech sensitivity to discount rate.
GC:
• Short-term correction as USD firms and yields spike.
• However, downside may be limited if market shifts focus back to debt & long-term inflation risks.
Risk-Off External Shock- Geopolitical event, tariffs
ES & NQ:
• Drop as risk sentiment sours; defensives outperform growth.
• Bonds rally, yields fall, curve steepens if Fed cut expectations accelerate.
GC:
• Strong safe-haven bid, spikes higher regardless of Fed stance.
Comment with your thoughts and let us know how you see the markets shaping up this week
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 24537.50
- PR Low: 24524.00
- NZ Spread: 30.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/16)
- Session Open ATR: 282.21
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 282K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 25217
- Mid: 22503
- Short: 21790
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ 100 HEAD AND SHOULDERS FORMATION CANCELED Hey traders FOMC week and we are back to looking at the Nasdaq. Picking tops and bottoms in these markets is always challenging to say the least.
Well what do we have here?
Market has now broken above the head of this pattern which means no more Head & Shoulders. A close above the right shoulder or the head cancels the formation.
So at this point I don't think anyone knows how the market will react after this weeks FED meeting.
So therefore I think it's a wait and see approach before creating a new trading plan at least imo.
So No Scenarios yet until after FOMC. Watch out for Volatility!😬
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
Bullish Nasdaq-but thread lightly Sep 15-19
CME_MINI:NQU2025 Quick summary / bias
Price put in a clear bullish structure through Thursday → Friday (higher highs, higher lows) but just hit a liquidity sweep up to 24159 and pulled back into a visible Imbalance / order-block area that sits right above the 4H open / purple line at 24001.50.
So my primary bias is bullish as long as price holds the 24000–24040 area.
If price breaks and closes below the origin lows around 23969 → 23909 the bias flips bearish.
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What I see (structure + important levels)
Higher-timeframe context: an impulsive move up from the 23960–23970 region into the 24159 high — that’s a clear displacement and creation of a bullish imbalance (the shaded box on the chart).
Liquidity events: a pronounced wick above 24159 (buy-side liquidity run) followed by a quick sell—classic stop-hunt then retrace into the Price Imbalance.
Key horizontal levels to use:
Resistance / short-term target: 24159.00 (recent high / liquidity high).
Primary support / confluence (buy zone): 24001.50 (purple line / 4H open) and the grey FVG just above it (~24000–24080 area).
Invalidation / bearish trigger: a decisive break below 23969.00 (and especially below the referenced originating imbalance around 23909–23871 on the left).
Current quote on the chart: 24,115.25 (shows we’ve pulled off the 24159 high and are sitting into the gap/OB).
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Trade ideas (clear entries, stops, targets)
A — Primary (preferred) — Long (mean-reversion into Imbalance / structural buy)
Why: Market made an impulsive rally; sweep above 24159 sucked liquidity and then pulled back into the bullish imbalance + 4H open — a high-probability area for continuation if buyers defend it.
Entry (limit or 1-min confirmation): ~24020 (inside the Imbalance / just above 24001.50).
If you trade micro time frames: wait for a 5-min displacement down into the FVG and then a 1-min bullish rejection (tight lower wick + bullish engulf / strong rejection) to enter.
Stop: 23950 (just below the liquidity sweep low / below 23969).
Targets:
T1: 24159.00 (recent high).
T2: 24240 ( extension if T1 runs — measured continuation ).
Risk math (example):
Entry = 24,020; Stop = 23,950 → risk = 70 points.
T1 = 24,159 → reward = 139 points → RR ≈ 1.99 : 1.
T2 = 24,240 → reward = 220 → RR ≈ 3.14 : 1.
Management: scale out (25% at T1, move stop to breakeven, trail rest by structure).
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B — Aggressive Long (breakout continuation)
Trigger: Clean break and close above 24159 and a retest that holds the level.
Entry: Long on retest above 24159.
Stop: below the retest low (e.g., 24120).
Target: next measured move / psychological round levels (e.g., 24280–24320).
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Execution rules / signals (so you’d know exactly what to do)
Prefer entries at confluence: Imbalance + 4H open + prior liquidity level (24000–24040).
Micro confirmation: On the 5-min, look for the displacement into the FVG; on the 1-min look for a clean rejection (long wick and quick bullish candle) before hitting “buy”. This matches your stated process (displacement on 5m, reversal on 1m).
Position sizing: risk per trade = set so your stop distance × size = e.g., 0.5%–1% of account. Don’t risk full target size on one slice—scale in.
If price closes below 23969 on the 1H (or a strong 5-min close below), stand down on longs and look for short entries only after a retest.
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Invalidation & what to watch
Invalidation of bullish view: clean close and follow-through below 23969 (especially if price closes and stays below 23909). That flips the edge to the bears.
Confirmation of continuation: price holds the Imbalance/4H open (24001.50) and reclaims/prints above 24159 with a clean retest (shows buyers absorbed liquidity).
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Remember that confirmation not only validates the idea but it increases the success probability of the idea.