MAJOR MARKET SIGNALPlease watch the entire video to understand my overall logic.
Through the years I've gone through many different strategies, learning, refining and sharpening my edge in the markets. Today I truly find myself most in the identity of a "Discretionary Trader" with a mechanical approach.
In this chart break down I am displaying a Monthly Hanging Man Signal Bar.
This is provided to me by the market not a 3rd person subjective strategy. We are going to want to monitor how price behaves at the high and low of prior monthly candle. Breaks of these levels will act as pivot points.
Do you think this could be the start of a massive correction?
NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures
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Market insights
NQ Range (12-18-25)The O/N has retraced 200 of the 400 points needed to get the NDX out of the Danger Zone range. NQ is at KL 25,103 & Diablo. U Turn attempt in the Overnight is underway. After the Washington Street & Meme Coin public address, they may need to try all Long side tricks to stabilize these markets. My 12/16 Short call was a half day early and needed to let the O/N pump/dump play out before the NAZ dropped 600 points. Watch Diablo today and 25,060 level for Long above and Short below. Utilizing KL's for trade entry may help. Many times the opposite direction trades at a KL will provide scalps and provide signals for direction turns (back to opposite direction KL). I would not be surprised to see the VIX pick up and some wild Long side O/N plays should the Reg Session continue to sell off the O/N long side Rig Pumps. Since 12/10 we have seen 3 Long Traps paly into the BTD/FOMO crowd, I would think that these traps are looking for a much lower drop test.
NDX YTD Chart
IDS27 View
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026
- PR High: 24999.00
- PR Low: 24925.00
- NZ Spread: 165.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 426.70
- Volume: 36K
- Open Int: 266K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -5.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26521
- Mid: 25264
- Short: 24008
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Theory: 24,200 target in Globex session 12/17/25This is a theory based on speculation. Normally, we don't speculate but this is backed by technicals.
Trump addressing nation at 9 pm today. Keep that in mind.
All day, market's been dumping. We finished around -1.75% in the red. CME_MINI:NQ1!
Now hear me out. At MOC, we dumped 100 points and the low of day was literally the 3:59:59 pm candle. EST of course.
What happened after 4 pm? Pumped 110 points almost instantly:
Why did that happen? To cause a gap after market and then get dumped on during Globex.
Potentially: what caused the dip? Sure sure some news. But what caused EOD dip other than Market On Close Imbalance?
Potentially: someone knows what 9 pm will be about (Venezuela War?), "My fellow Americans, we're going to war". Something like that. Recall: GWB II & Iraq.
But why address the nation at 9 pm in Globex if it's not bearish? To cause as much dip as possible and let it settle overnight where buyers can buy the dip. That means people who dipped at 3:57-3:59 pm get in lower tomorrow at 9:30 AM.
What's my plan? Trade shorts in Globex tonight if I do trade.
So far the theory is theorying and Globex is dumping with tp below NYC close:
Will probably aim to buy dips low low 24ks tomorrow after market open. Remember the people who exited 3:59 will wanna get in lower. Otherwise it's not worth it for em.
Disclaimer: this is all speculation backed with some technicals. I usually don't trade this way. But if we're talking bearish, look at the 4hr inverse cup & handle & 25076 support break & close below the whole day's range.
NQ idea
Seems like NQ is going to want to grab the Liquidity chilling at this 4hr before making any shot at moving higher. If we just smash through it, we are likely trying the fill the volume imbalance on the Daily Time frame (the blue box)
This market is some what of a hard read since we are in a daily up trend, but in a 4 hour downtrend. This 4hr trend could either be a retracement or a complete structure shift. Only the future can confirm
NQ: 260th trading session - recapIdk whether this is exactly the 260th session. I mean even when I started out I guessed on how many sessions I had, now with not posting but still scalping I just figured this is a good number.
After a month of not really being able to lock in due to personal issues I am finally confident in saying that I am back.
Won't scalp on thursday, but I'll skip school on wednesday so I can scalp then.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026
- PR High: 25363.00
- PR Low: 25294.25
- NZ Spread: 154.0
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 414.92
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 246K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -4.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26521
- Mid: 25264
- Short: 24008
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ_F is at an important spot here. Shorts are valid below 50MA.#NQ_F is really struggling to reclaim the 50MA(25200). In weak markets you should be looking to sell bounces that fail and this market is looking weak. 8MA(25458) is trying to cross below the 21MA(25406) with all 3 MA's curling down. I wouldn't be long here unless price can reclaim 25200 and I would be short on tests of 25120 or 25170 that fail or on a hold below 25940 to target 24820, 24775 and the 100MA(24631). Look out below if the 100MA breaks.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026
- PR High: 25373.25
- PR Low: 25280.25
- NZ Spread: 208.0
Temp 25% AMP margin requirements increase
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Nonfarm Payrolls
Unemployment Rate
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
S&P Global Services PMI
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 430.72
- Volume: 41K
- Open Int: 168K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -4.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26521
- Mid: 25264
- Short: 24008
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Big bearmarket on NQ1! I assume the market is going down ca. 5%The Nasdaq (NQ) is a highly liquidity-driven market, dominated by technology stocks that react strongly to interest rates, monetary policy, and institutional positioning. Price movements are often not driven by news itself, but by where liquidity is resting.
Markets tend to move toward obvious highs and lows because that is where stop orders and resting liquidity accumulate. When the Nasdaq trades above prior highs, it often triggers buy-side liquidity, such as stop losses from short sellers and breakout buyers. Once this liquidity is absorbed by larger players, buying pressure can quickly weaken, creating conditions for a reversal lower.
Another key factor is institutional distribution. During extended rallies, smart money often sells into strength while retail traders continue to buy. This distribution typically occurs near range highs, equal highs, or premium price zones, where liquidity is highest. After distribution is complete, price no longer has the support needed to continue higher.
From a liquidity perspective, a decline in NQ is likely when buy-side liquidity above highs has been taken, price fails to hold above key resistance, market structure shifts from higher highs to lower highs, and sell-side liquidity below recent lows becomes the next target.
In such scenarios, the market seeks sell-side liquidity below previous lows, value areas, or unfilled inefficiencies. This downward move is not random but a natural rebalancing process, allowing institutions to enter or re-accumulate at lower, more favorable prices.
In summary, the Nasdaq falls not because of fear or headlines, but because liquidity has already been collected on the upside, and price must move lower to find new liquidity and restore balance.
NQ | WK 51T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/15/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026
- PR High: 25245.25
- PR Low: 25132.50
- NZ Spread: 252.25
No key scheduled economic events
Index futures contract rollover week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 434.10
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 60K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26521
- Mid: 25264
- Short: 24008
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
My Weekly NQ Analysis
We can see NQ push to the upside is getting heavy and create a MMXM Market Maker Sell Model. Friday had a 500 point sell off. This could be a liquidity grab from 25,200 zone. If so price may show some signs of reversing back to all time highs. But if it continues to fall we could see price go to these targets before the bulls gain control again.
24,600
24,363
23,903 at which if price reaches here and continues downwards it may drop drastically to the equal lows of
23,284 zone. At which you could refer to my previous post with lower levels.
I've marked out a 4hr Sibi that price created Friday Dec 12th (25,400). Price will reveal its intent when entering this zone. As well as Thur/Friday daily gap @25,654 @ which price could reach to these area's before continuing its bear run.
But if Price finds support and maintain structure above CE consequent encroachment or upper quadrants of these two inefficiencies then price will likely target all time highs ATH.
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