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NQ & ES Premarket Comment Friday 24-10-2025Good morning everyone. Today we are operating within a Premium Zone. After witnessing price extend beyond the indices’ all-time highs (ATHs), our focus now shifts exclusively to short opportunities, should they arise. We’re trading within an extended upper range where only short setups make sense following the market’s open. It’s TGIF Strategy mode today — the goal is to target lower clusters/liquidity zones and aim for a weekly close below the highs. Our key objectives are the internal liquidity pools, fair value gaps (FVGs), and most importantly, the mean line (equilibrium point). Stay disciplined and patient. When price aligns with your personal model’s rules and confirms your bias — execute the short. If confirmation doesn’t come, do nothing. Let the market deliver its lessons. See you later in the final commentary of the week. PF
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by FTAKAS
Bullish continuation for NASDAQ? 📊 CME_MINI:NQZ2025 Analysis – Oct 18, 2025 🧠 Market Context: Price recovered back into Premium of range (the upper part of the current weekly range) after the drop to 24,158. Creating an inside week that managed to provide a Bullish close. Inside Week consolidated in an 1H frame. Price currently upper band (Premium) of 1H consolidation. Trapped Sellers at discount of 1H range which happens to be previous week Opening Gap High area. Lack of US scheduled Red Folder news until Friday morning. 8:30am 📕 Core CPI m/m 📕 Weekly wick 50% at 25196 📕 CPI y/y 9:45am 📕 Flash Manufacturing PMI 📕 Flash Services PMI Price referencing areas between 25,050–25,210. Premium of a weekly range. 🔼 There are several thing to note here: 🎯 Daily wick 50% at 25121.75 🎯 Weekly wick 50% at 25196 🎯 A Daily REQ Close and Open ( Origin of Weekly Short) at 25354.00 🎯 And REQ (Relative Equal) Highs and ATHs (All Time Highs) at 25394.00 Price can continue to explore Premium of weekly range using these as targets but keep in mind the potential for weakness and reversal formations along these levels. High timeframe bias as well as structure still Bullish, keeping in mind that Price is currently within a Bearish Range (Friday October 10, 2025) Mondays PA and range might clarify wether Bias will remain Bullish, or if there will be any more signs of weakness and reversal formations. 🔻 There are several thing to note on the short side here: 🙁 Trapped Sellers ( Passive Liquidity) at discount of 1H Range and accumulation or Lower Band. 📉 Week Opening Gap (Reference partially) at discount of bigger range 📉 Weekly Low at 24410.00 📉 Previous Weekly Low at 24158.50 🧩 Context: Still questioning whether Fridays drop could be labeled as Price displacement and considered signal, or Rebalance. The difference will be noticed Mon-Tues. Still uncertain on 💲 Dollar TVC:DXY Pending Bullish continuation confirmation or reversal back into chop.
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by JP_Tru
4
NASDAQ 100 - US100 // Short Setup Macro Overview After the daily structure break, the market retraced into the origin supply zone, confirming the redistribution phase. Today, price re-entered the macro Value Area and is now approaching the VAH, where institutional activity may lead to a new redistribution cycle toward the lower value edge (VAL). The medium-term bias remains bearish — the short-term structure has realigned with it. Context Summary – Daily: confirmed bearish structure after origin breakdown. – Re-entry into macro VA after short-term extension. – VAH at 25,130–25,227 aligns with supply + negative delta clusters. – Fibonacci 0.75 level (25,228.50) marks the center of premium liquidity. – Bias remains short below VAH. Execution Plan Bias: Short Entry Zone: 25,087.50 → 25,228.50 (Supply + VAH + 0.75 Fib) Stop Loss: 25,370 TP1: 24,800.00 TP2: 24,650.50 (VAL) Trigger: Redistribution on negative delta cluster near VAH.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by philipemav
Bond Market Overview in Global TradingIntroduction The global bond market is one of the largest and most influential components of the financial system, often considered the backbone of global capital markets. Bonds—also known as fixed-income securities—represent loans made by investors to borrowers, typically governments, municipalities, or corporations. In return, the borrower agrees to make periodic interest payments (coupons) and repay the principal at maturity. With a total value exceeding $130 trillion globally, the bond market surpasses the global equity market in size. It serves as a vital mechanism for governments to finance deficits, corporations to raise capital, and investors to achieve stable income streams. In global trading, bonds play a key role in portfolio diversification, interest rate management, and economic stability. 1. The Structure of the Global Bond Market The bond market can be broadly divided into sovereign bonds, corporate bonds, and municipal or supranational bonds. These segments cater to different types of issuers and investors: 1.1 Sovereign Bonds Sovereign bonds are issued by national governments to fund public spending, infrastructure projects, and fiscal deficits. Examples include U.S. Treasuries, UK Gilts, German Bunds, and Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs). They are considered the safest instruments in their respective countries, especially when denominated in a nation’s own currency. The U.S. Treasury market is the largest and most liquid, serving as a global benchmark for interest rates and risk-free returns. 1.2 Corporate Bonds Corporations issue bonds to finance operations, mergers, or expansion without diluting ownership through equity issuance. Corporate bonds typically carry higher yields than government bonds due to increased credit risk. They are classified as: Investment Grade Bonds: Issued by companies with strong credit ratings (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Nestlé). High-Yield or Junk Bonds: Issued by companies with lower credit ratings, offering higher returns to compensate for default risk. 1.3 Municipal and Supranational Bonds Municipal bonds (or “munis”) are issued by states or local governments, primarily in the U.S., to finance public infrastructure like schools, hospitals, or transportation systems. Supranational organizations—such as the World Bank, IMF, or Asian Development Bank—also issue bonds to support global development initiatives. These bonds are typically low-risk due to strong institutional backing. 2. How the Bond Market Works 2.1 Primary Market The primary market involves the initial issuance of bonds. Governments issue bonds via auctions, while corporations issue through underwriters in public or private placements. The primary market provides direct funding to issuers. 2.2 Secondary Market Once issued, bonds trade in the secondary market, where investors buy and sell existing bonds. Prices fluctuate due to changes in interest rates, inflation, credit ratings, and market sentiment. Major secondary markets include the U.S. Treasury market, the London bond market, and electronic platforms like Tradeweb and MarketAxess. Liquidity in these markets ensures that investors can easily adjust portfolios and manage risks. 3. Key Features and Metrics Understanding the global bond market requires familiarity with core concepts: 3.1 Coupon Rate The coupon rate is the fixed or floating interest rate paid by the bond issuer to the bondholder. For instance, a 5% coupon bond with a $1,000 face value pays $50 annually. 3.2 Yield Bond yield reflects the effective return an investor earns. It varies inversely with bond prices—when interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and yields increase. Common types include: Current Yield Yield to Maturity (YTM) Yield Spread (difference between yields of two bonds) 3.3 Duration and Convexity Duration measures a bond’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. Longer-duration bonds experience greater price volatility. Convexity refines this measure, accounting for nonlinear changes in prices relative to yields. 3.4 Credit Rating Credit rating agencies—such as Moody’s, S&P Global, and Fitch—assess the creditworthiness of issuers. Ratings range from AAA (highest quality) to D (default), guiding investors on risk levels. 4. Participants in the Global Bond Market The bond market brings together a diverse set of participants: Governments: Issuing debt to fund national spending or manage monetary policy. Corporations: Raising long-term capital for expansion. Institutional Investors: Pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds seeking stable returns. Central Banks: Managing monetary policy by buying or selling bonds (quantitative easing or tightening). Retail Investors: Accessing bonds through ETFs or mutual funds. In global trading, institutional investors dominate due to the market’s scale and complexity, though retail participation has grown with digital bond platforms. 5. Global Bond Market Instruments The diversity of instruments reflects varying risk appetites and investment horizons: 5.1 Fixed-Rate Bonds These bonds pay a constant coupon over their lifetime. They offer predictability, making them popular among conservative investors. 5.2 Floating-Rate Notes (FRNs) Coupon payments adjust based on a benchmark rate (e.g., LIBOR, SOFR). FRNs protect investors from rising interest rates. 5.3 Zero-Coupon Bonds Issued at a discount, these bonds pay no periodic interest but return the face value at maturity. They appeal to long-term investors seeking capital appreciation. 5.4 Inflation-Linked Bonds Examples include U.S. TIPS and UK Index-Linked Gilts, which adjust coupon and principal payments for inflation, preserving real returns. 5.5 Convertible Bonds Hybrid securities allowing investors to convert bonds into equity under certain conditions. These offer growth potential alongside fixed-income stability. 5.6 Green and Sustainable Bonds These fund environmentally friendly or socially responsible projects. The green bond market has surged past $2 trillion, reflecting global ESG investment trends. 6. Importance of Bonds in Global Trading Bonds serve several crucial functions in international finance: 6.1 Capital Formation They enable governments and corporations to raise large amounts of capital efficiently. 6.2 Benchmark for Interest Rates Sovereign bonds—especially U.S. Treasuries—serve as global benchmarks for interest rates, influencing mortgage rates, corporate debt costs, and derivatives pricing. 6.3 Portfolio Diversification Bonds typically have low correlation with equities, reducing overall portfolio volatility. 6.4 Safe Haven Investment During economic uncertainty, investors flock to high-grade government bonds, particularly U.S. Treasuries, as a refuge from market turbulence. 6.5 Monetary Policy Tool Central banks use bond markets to influence liquidity and interest rates. For example, through open market operations or quantitative easing (QE). 7. Factors Influencing Bond Prices and Yields Bond performance depends on macroeconomic and market dynamics: 7.1 Interest Rates The most critical factor—bond prices move inversely to interest rates. When central banks raise rates to combat inflation, existing bond prices fall. 7.2 Inflation Higher inflation erodes the purchasing power of fixed returns, reducing bond attractiveness unless yields rise accordingly. 7.3 Credit Risk Downgrades in an issuer’s credit rating or default concerns can cause sharp price declines, especially in corporate or emerging market bonds. 7.4 Currency Movements Global investors face exchange rate risk when investing in foreign bonds. A weaker local currency can erode returns. 7.5 Economic and Political Stability Geopolitical tensions, wars, or policy uncertainty often drive investors toward stable, developed-market bonds. 8. Major Global Bond Markets 8.1 United States The U.S. bond market, led by Treasury securities, is the most liquid and widely traded globally. Corporate bond trading is also highly active, supported by transparent regulations and deep investor demand. 8.2 Europe The Eurozone bond market includes government bonds from Germany, France, and Italy, as well as Eurobonds—international bonds denominated in euros but issued outside the Eurozone. 8.3 Asia-Pacific Japan, China, and India have growing bond markets. Japan’s low-yield JGBs influence global interest rate dynamics, while China’s bond market—now the world’s second largest—has opened to foreign investors via programs like Bond Connect. 8.4 Emerging Markets Countries like Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, and South Africa issue sovereign and corporate bonds that offer higher yields but carry elevated currency and credit risks. 9. Technological and Regulatory Developments 9.1 Digital Bond Trading Technological platforms have transformed bond trading from traditional over-the-counter (OTC) methods to electronic trading networks. Platforms such as Bloomberg, MarketAxess, and Tradeweb enhance transparency, liquidity, and efficiency. 9.2 Blockchain and Tokenization Blockchain technology allows tokenized bonds—digital representations of bond ownership on secure ledgers. These innovations promise faster settlement, lower costs, and greater accessibility. 9.3 ESG and Sustainable Finance Regulations Regulatory bodies in the EU and other regions are promoting green disclosure frameworks, ensuring transparency in ESG-linked bonds. 9.4 Monetary and Fiscal Coordination Global bond markets increasingly reflect coordinated central bank actions, as seen during COVID-19 stimulus efforts and post-pandemic tightening cycles. 10. Challenges and Risks Despite its stability, the bond market faces key challenges: Rising Interest Rates: As central banks tighten monetary policy, bond prices decline, causing capital losses. Sovereign Debt Crises: Excessive government borrowing (e.g., Greece 2010, Argentina 2018) can trigger market shocks. Liquidity Risk: In less developed or high-yield markets, bonds may be hard to sell quickly. Currency Volatility: Cross-border investors face exchange rate fluctuations that impact returns. Climate Risk: Environmental disasters and transition risks can affect bond valuations, especially for sectors with high carbon exposure. 11. The Future of the Global Bond Market The future trajectory of the global bond market will be shaped by technological innovation, sustainable finance, and monetary policy evolution. Digital Bonds and tokenized securities are expected to revolutionize issuance and settlement. Green and social bonds will continue expanding, aligning finance with climate goals. Artificial intelligence and data analytics will enhance credit risk assessment and trading strategies. Interest rate cycles post-2025 will redefine global yield curves as inflation stabilizes. Furthermore, greater participation from retail investors and emerging economies will democratize bond investing, creating a more balanced and inclusive market. Conclusion The global bond market is an intricate, dynamic, and essential part of the international financial system. It serves as a source of funding for governments and corporations, a tool for investors to earn stable income, and a mechanism for central banks to execute monetary policy. In an era of technological transformation and shifting geopolitical landscapes, the bond market’s role remains indispensable in balancing risk, facilitating investment, and promoting economic growth worldwide. As sustainability, innovation, and global integration advance, bonds will continue to anchor financial stability and serve as a foundation for responsible global trading.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/24/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 25303.00 - PR Low: 25276.00 - NZ Spread: 60.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY) 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | New Home Sales AMP Futures temporarily setting US Equity Indices Margins to 25% for expected volatility spike for U.S. Economic News Releases Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM) - Session Open ATR: 385.77 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 284K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26020 - Mid: 23571 - Short: 21939 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by mv3trader5
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Targeting Wave (5) Upside Nasdaq Futures (NQ) advances steadily toward completing the cycle that originated at the April 7, 2025 low. The index targets a fresh all-time high. This rally develops as a textbook impulsive structure. Wave (3) culminated at 25,275. Wave (4) then corrected lower and finished at 24,166.26. The 1-hour chart captures this progression clearly. The internal structure of wave (4) took the form of an expanded flat. Wave A ended at 24,984.75. The Index then rallied in Wave B to 25,394. Wave C completed the pattern with a decline to 24,166.26. Wave (5) now drives the index higher. From the wave (4) low, wave 1 rose to 25,179.5 and formed a leading diagonal. Wave 2 pulled back to 24,410. The advance then nested with wave ((i)) peaking at 25,368 and wave ((ii)) finding support at 24,804.75. This nesting confirms the underlying bullish trend. Provided prices hold above 24,166.26, any near-term dip should attract buyers at the 3, 7, or 11 swing levels, aligning with structural support zones. Upside momentum remains intact. The minimum target extends from the October 21, 2025 high. An inverse Fibonacci retracement of 123.6% to 161.8% yields a range of 25,490 to 25,701, consistent with classic wave extensions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
"Second verse, same as the first!"A throwback to 1965's Herman's Hermits "I'm Henery the Eighth, I am". This is the same chart as yesterday's only using a Daily Chart. I want to emphasize the power of the market forces at work right now. I want you to see and feel the history being made. It is unfolding day upon day, week upon week and month upon month before our eyes and upon our charts. Cup 1 is also a Daily double bottom, bouncing on the 50-day sma shortly after the 50 has crossed the 200-day sma. Not only that but it has two hammers bouncing on the 50 and a Bull Engulfing Candle and decent volume. Cup 2, aka Monster Head & Shoulders, aka Ajax, which has been dominating our charts for some time, has two hammers on strong Support (aka "glorious" Hector's footing for defeating Ajax in a splendid battle). Don't miss the volume that came in on Friday, 9/26. China's Temper Tantrum, Friday, 10/10, while big in size, cannot withstand The Fourth Industrial Revolution Bulls. Isn't it interesting that it is part of two cups - the bottom of Cup 3 and the top of Cup 4? Communist China cannot stop the forward march of Free Market Capitalism. Truth defeats Falsehood! Indeed, we traders shall have a new dance floor, and our capital will have a new ballroom.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 25059.50 - PR Low: 25000.25 - NZ Spread: 132.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 10:00 | Existing Home Sales Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM) - Session Open ATR: 396.82 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 281K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26020 - Mid: 23571 - Short: 21939 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by mv3trader5
Forty Thousand Foot ViewCharles Payne recently said his favorite pattern is a Cup & Handle pattern. His guest agreed. I use a chart like this to get the big picture. I want to emphasize several things. 1.Cup 1 is huge. It said, "Here is a foundation for building upon." You can see how it has fulfilled that bold statement and how strongly it has held fast. 2.Cups 2 & 3 are upside down, cup 3 higher than cup 2. These two cups are saying, "Things are going higher." 3.Cup 4, which is still forming, is saying, "Look here. We are building a new dance stage similar to Cup 1's dance stage and a whole lot of partying is going to happen when it is completed." 4.This is the most important takeaway for you. One Thousand ninety-three points separate the rims of cup 1 and cup 4. With the trading plans I have detailed in prior posts I have traded that 1,093 points many times over and so can you. From 9/2 - 10/20 using these plans I grew my account by 44.7%. I'm not at all saying look how great I am. I am saying look what you can do. Finding a trading plan that works is vital to success. It took me years and thousands and thousands of demo trades and live trades trying to replicate the trade ideas of others that I got from many and varied sources. The results were ever so disappointing. One day I said, "Sidgate, you are a fellow of Common Sense. I challenge you to create a trading plan that works." I took him up on that challenge and I share those results with you. What's the catch? There has to be a hook here somewhere... As corny as it may sound - it is indeed more blessed to give than to receive. I have found that as I have shared these plans and charts with you my trading results have improved. I don't think that would have happened had I not spent so many hours examining every little detail of my charts and trading plans in order to clearly communicate them to you. I know I've made typos and simple math errors along the way. When I go back and see them, I cringe. Hopefully, you can learn despite those cringeworthy events. Again, this is a 40,000-foot view. A very important view. For all entries and exits I use a 5-minute chart and 5-minute cups & handles. The 5-minute chart sure can get busy. I am very thankful Trading View gives us the option to hide drawings. Just a little aside - today's low, the place where it bounced, was almost exactly on one of the handles of a 5-minute cup. I am still a work in progress...
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 25285.50 - PR Low: 25257.75 - NZ Spread: 62.25 No key scheduled economic events Quick dip and rotation back towards ATH Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM) - Session Open ATR: 385.15 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 290K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26020 - Mid: 23571 - Short: 21939 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by mv3trader5