Go for the Gold - I dare you 12 HOUR CHART:
This one of my personal charts... these days I build most of my indicators, however you cannot share them unless they published.
Up top is the RSI, super fancy I know.
The lines are extreme volume highlighted in the RSI.
This is yearly Fibonacci shown, and this is history in the making.
However you might see a problem. RSI set to 18 not 14.
Pumping the market on Columbus Day, just a tad divergent.
If you look at gold and silver as much as I do - you be alarmed how many times when you open your chart you read a news notification "safe-haven".
This is programming - its over and over. Look for yourself through the thunderbolts at the bottom of the chart.
I've highlighted some points of interest below.
The best to all of you.
Trade ideas
Gold’s Relentless Ascent: Consolidation or the Next Breakout?Gold futures rose 2.3% for the week ending 10/Oct, marking the eighth consecutive weekly gain and lifting prices to a new all-time high above USD 4,000 per ounce. Despite the record-setting week, performance was mixed. Late in the week, gold came under pressure as risk sentiment improved following a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas. Additional pressure came from a more hawkish tone in the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting minutes.
The main catalyst on 10/Oct (Fri) was President Trump’s threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods over rare earth restrictions. The move sharply escalated trade tensions, driving a surge in uncertainty—as reflected by higher implied volatility (IV)—and briefly weighing on gold near the USD 4,000 level. By 13/Oct (Mon), Trump’s subsequent comments signalled that the escalation might be short-lived, improving sentiment and propelling gold to a new all-time high.
This paper analyses signals from gold options and technical indicators to evaluate gold’s historical behaviour around all-time-high levels and assess the probability of a correction following record-setting peaks.
Gold Options Show Bullish Bias but Cautious Trading
Source: CME QuikStrike
CME Gold options activity for the October and December expiries reflects a modestly bullish market sentiment, with call interest exceeding put interest.
Most positions are concentrated in December 2025, showing a focus on year-end contracts. Overall, sentiment is positive but cautious, with traders managing short-term risks.
Source: CME QuikStrike
New open interest over the past week has turned sharply cautious, with a notable buildup in put options. While long-term optimism remains, the recent increased put positioning signals emerging downside risks.
Source: CME CVOL
CME Gold volatility has climbed alongside its price surge, although notably the IV spike on 10/Oct (Fri) when Trump announced higher tariffs on China was much smaller than the one observed in April. The skew spike and convexity spike were also smaller than before suggesting less bullish positioning.
Technical signals for Gold futures remain firmly bullish, with short-term moving averages and the MACD reinforcing upward momentum.
RSI indicates overbought conditions, although this typically signals a potential reversal, prices may continue to rise, supported by strong fundamental and macroeconomic factors.
Gold futures traded above the monthly pivot throughout October, breaking past the R1 level on 13/Oct (Mon), signalling a strong ongoing uptrend.
The Accumulation/Distribution indicator shows rising buying pressure since mid-August, peaking on 08/Oct (Wed) before briefly easing and recovering thereafter.
Historical Trends Around All-Time-High Price Level
The rally in gold prices over the past two years has been exceptionally sharp, with few historical parallels. However, similar periods of sustained bullish momentum can be identified. When filtering for occasions in which the RSI exceeded 80 (indicating extreme overbought conditions) and the MACD line rose above 70 (signaling strong, sustained bullish momentum), two notable instances emerge: 2011 and 2020. In both cases, gold reached new all-time highs.
These same technical thresholds were recently triggered again as gold set a new all-time high on 13/Oct (Mon). Historically, such signals followed multi-year rallies characterized by a steady bullish regression trend. At the final stage of each rally, prices broke above the regression trend in a blow-off top pattern.
The recent activation of both extreme bullish signals, along with the breakout above the trend, suggests a similar blow-off top may be forming. In the previous instances, this pattern was followed by immediate corrections: gold prices fell 9% in 2011 and 5.6% in 2020 within a month of setting new highs. It should be noted that past performance is not indicative of future trends.
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GOLD: Bullish, But Retracing! Short Term Sell Opportunity!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st.
Gold is still bullish, the current pullback it's in notwithstanding. Waiting patiently for valid buy setups is the sure way to go.
That being said, there is sell setup that could present an short-term opportunity. The Daily -FVG is currently holding price in check. Should price return to it and it continues to hold, a valid sell opportunity could present itself.
Be careful, as it is counter-trend. They can be lower-probability.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
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The markets are overbought and I am looking for them to go lowerSunday the 26th and I'd like to talk about gold and silver and the market in general since it is oversold an equities and gold and silver can go lower but it doesn't necessarily mean the end of gold and silver. In the video I show why gold could go lower and to me it's a function of markets expanding and contracting if gold makes a new high I would expect for it to correct and that's not bad and it's not the end of gold and silver. If you're listening to my stuff you want to look at the market as having buyers and sellers and you need to know where they are within reason and you should be thinking in terms of patterns.
GC UpdateIf gold was done, silver would have flat out tanked instead of going sideways.
Overlayed the last flat, expanded to the last ramp up. We're gonna see sideways movement until teh Fed decides on even more rate cuts and end to QT. Then we're headed to over 5k.
You'll know if it's happening if it sets a new high. All previous tanks did not set a new high before tanking.
short term bias Buy Entry Model🔴 Supply Zones (Potential Short Entry Areas)
Major Supply: 4,360 – 4,400
Origin of the strong sell-off.
Clean imbalance and strong bearish move afterward.
If price retraces back here, it’s a high-probability short zone.
Entry idea:
Sell: 4,370–4,390
Stop: Above 4,410
Target 1: 4,080 (first demand zone)
Target 2: 3,980 (lower demand zone)
Minor Supply: 4,165 – 4,180
This is a recent reaction zone that rejected price.
Can be used for scalping or short-term intraday short setups if price retests.
Sell: 4,165–4,175
Stop: Above 4,190
Target: 4,080 (nearest demand)
🟢 Demand Zones (Potential Long Entry Areas)
Near-Term Demand: 4,050 – 4,080
The most recent rally base before price bounced higher.
Price has respected this area already once, showing buyers stepping in.
Entry idea:
Buy: 4,060–4,080
Stop: Below 4,040
Target: 4,160 (supply)
R:R ≈ 1:2
Major Demand: 3,970 – 4,010
Strong base formed before the previous impulsive move upward.
If price breaks below 4,050, this would be the next strong long zone.
Buy: 3,980–4,000
Stop: Below 3,950
Target 1: 4,080
Target 2: 4,170
📊 Overall Bias
Short-term bias: Neutral to slightly bullish within the range (4,050–4,160).
Medium-term bias: Bearish while below 4,360 (major supply).
Expect possible range trading between 4,050 and 4,160 before a breakout.
A break below 4,050 could send price toward the 3,970 demand zone.
A break above 4,180 could lead to a retest of the 4,360 supply.
Gold MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 24 Oct., 2025$MCX:GOLD — Chart Pathik Insights | 24-Oct-25
Gold continues to advance, holding firm at 124,247, consolidating just above the zero line at 124,104 after a robust upside move from the midweek lows. Today’s levels lay out key turning zones for session traders who demand structure and decisive signals.
Bearish Outlook:
Short setups become actionable below 123,179, particularly if sellers regain control at or beneath the add-long (123,450) and long-exit (122,955) zones.
Downside Levels:
122,683: First short target for quick booking or cover.
121,804: Deeper extension should downward momentum continue.
Risk Control: Keep stops tight above 123,450; cover or reduce position if price closes above for more than one bar.
Bullish Outlook:
Long ideas gain traction above 123,721, with momentum confirmed on advances above 123,945 and strong closes above resistance.
Upside Levels:
125,525: Targeted resistance for intraday trend profit-taking.
126,404: Major extension if breakout energy persists.
Risk Control: Manage risk on new longs at 123,450 or 123,179, as per session volatility and entry structure.
Neutral Zone:
124,104 stands as the near-term control line. Price persistence here will keep trade choppy — let the market break cleanly above or below to trigger the next leg of activity.
Reference these levels to stay structured and always play within your system.
If these insights support your gold strategy, show your love: boost, comment, and share! Your feedback keeps these levels coming for all learners and disciplined traders.
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Gold Mcx Future update on 23/10/2025 Price 1,23,500/- Per 10g MCX GOLD (DEC 2025 FUTURES) — QUICK MARKET UPDATE
As of 23 Oct 2025 · 13 : 25 UK / 17 : 55 IST
Last Trade: ₹ 1 23 500 (– 0.9 % intraday · heavy sell-off in progress)
Bias: Bearish | Market Regime: High-volatility unwind | Sentiment: Fear building
Market Pulse
Gold is sliding sharply as intraday longs unwind across MCX and COMEX.
The ₹ 1 24 000 support gave way within the last hour, triggering algorithmic selling and dealer gamma hedges.
At ₹ 1 23 500, the market has erased most of this week’s bounce and is back in line with the lower end of the October value zone.
Macro cues are unsupportive:
The US 10-year yield hovers near 4 %,
USD Index firm around 98.8,
ETF flows negative for a third week.
The combination keeps risk assets on the defensive and gold under pressure.
Technical Read
Structure: Lower-high sequence confirmed.
Daily EMAs: 21 < 55 < 89 < 200 → bearish alignment.
Immediate range: ₹ 1 22 800 – ₹ 1 24 200.
Momentum: RSI ≈ 42, MACD below signal → trend weakness intact.
Failure to hold ₹ 1 23 400 could open the door toward ₹ 1 22 900 and then ₹ 1 22 400.
Order Flow Snapshot
Large sell blocks have reappeared near ₹ 1 23 900 – ₹ 1 24 100.
Cumulative delta remains negative (≈ – 2 000 lots).
No evidence yet of strong absorption by physical or hedging accounts.
Cross-Asset Signals
Asset Last Change Comment
XAUUSD 4 102 $ – 0.2 % Mirrors MCX weakness
USD Index 98.8 + 0.2 % Dollar bid caps metals
US 10Y Yield 3.99 % + 0.8 % Real-rate headwind
Crude Oil (MCX) ₹ 5 425 + 5.3 % Inflation beta higher
Silver (MCX) ₹ 1 48 670 + 2 % Still outperforming gold
Strategy Desk View
Gold is now in short-term breakdown mode after a textbook failure at the ₹ 1 24 300 zone.
The path of least resistance is lower until buyers defend the ₹ 1 22 800 band.
Momentum traders remain short-biased; positional players can look to cover part-profits near ₹ 1 22 400 – ₹ 1 22 600.
Volatility likely to stay elevated as dealers remain short gamma.
Bottom Line:
The rally attempt is over for now. With the dollar firm and yields sticky, MCX Gold could retest the ₹ 1 22 000 area before stabilising.
Expect two-way volatility but the bias remains sell-on-rise until the market closes back above ₹ 1 24 600.
Disclaimer: This note is for market insight and educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Trade responsibly and manage risk.
#Gold #MCX #Commodities #MarketUpdate #BullionAdvise #Finscan #Trading #Macro #InstitutionalFlows
Gold Today's gold chart has 11 drawings from the monthly timeframe in pink to the 15min timeframe in blue.
top down analysis favors the higher timeframe levels for strength but the best entries are found on the lower timeframes fractals confirming the larger timeframe direction.
Gold has broken an accumulation trend and is now looking for the liquidity from above to test the support at lower levels. We'll look back later and see which levels were taken and where liquidity was hiding,
price just tested a 4hr trend so price is in between the 1hr timeframe support ladder and daily resistance. If price can hold the 1hr timeframe, it has a chance to regain the daily trend or at least back test it.
GOLD LONG 1hr setup
### 🧠 **Market Context & Liquidity**
- Gold took out some sellside liquidty
- We’re watching for whether buyers hold above the daily open or if we see a pullback into support.
- Key levels to watch:
- **Resistance:** 4,128 – 4,130 (recent high)
- **Support:** 4,107 – 4,112 (consolidation low & potential buy zone)
---
### 🐊 **Bill Williams Alligator Signal**
- The **Alligator** is awake and aligned — jaws above teeth above lips — indicating a **trending market**.
- Price is trading **above the Alligator**, supporting a **bullish bias**.
- Pullbacks into the Alligator (lips/teeth) are potential entries if structure holds.
---
### 🎯 **Gold (GC1!) Trade Plan – Long Setup**
- **Entry Zone:** 4,110 – 4,128 (support + Alligator confluence)
- **Stop Loss:** Below 4,057
- **TP1:** 4,128
- **TP2:** 4,200 4hr fvg (sibi)
---
### ✅ **Confirmation Needed:**
- Bullish reaction off support with volume.
- No loss of 4,107 level.
- Alligator continues pointing upward.
---
**Bottom Line:**
Gold is in a bullish structure above the Alligator.
Look for longs into support with a tight stop.
Trade the pullback — not the breakout.
OOO GOLD IS THAT A DOUBLE TOP?I feel like I see a double top formed on the daily! The real test will come with the fib pull back in the 4249-4255 price range but only price will show us but I think we are seeing a key area for gold and If I had to choose I would say we may be heading for a minor pullback to let off some steam and also take some par profits!
Let me know yall thoughts tho and what do you think! GD luck tomorrow, I cant wait for the NY session.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains extremely bullish, driven primarily by central bank accumulation.
Since 2023, global central banks — led by China — have been buying gold aggressively, creating a long-term demand base.
With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, risk assets like GOLD are expected to outperform as USD (DXY) weakens.
This macro setup builds a powerful bullish narrative that continues to favor long exposure on gold.
📈 Technical Analysis
GOLD has rallied for nine consecutive weeks since mid-August, reaching overbought RSI levels.
Currently, price is showing signs of retracement and consolidation, suggesting an accumulation phase may form before the next impulsive move.
The Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $4010, just below the HTF bullish trendline, acts as a critical support area where a potential deviation and bounce may occur.
📌 Game Plan
I expect GOLD to retrace toward the HTF trendline and Weekly FVG ($4017).
A deviation and bounce from this zone could trigger a new bullish leg.
However, I anticipate 1–2 weeks of accumulation before continuation.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Gold 1hr levels onlyUpdated levels for today
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
GOLD POSTING SELL TD COMBO 13On October 2, a NINE setup was completed. The setup started on September 22.
TDST is at 3705.8 (Friday September 19, close)
TD COMBO day 13 was completed on Monday October 20 at the close 4359.4
A overbought are are is thus established
The support of the structure TDST is at 3705.8
Can Gold Head Lower?This is the price action I’ll be watching on Gold early next week. Considering the strong bullish momentum we’ve seen in recent weeks, this setup carries higher-than-usual risk, but also offers a clean technical structure and favorable R:R if confirmed.
Last week, comments from President Trump regarding potential 100% tariffs on Chinese imports briefly pressured safe-haven assets. He acknowledged that such tariffs would be unsustainable long term, triggering a late-week pullback in Gold and Silver as risk appetite improved slightly.
However, even if Gold resumes its upward trajectory, it’s important to remember: we trade probabilities, not certainties. This scenario presents a solid probability for short-term downside continuation. This model is supported by both technical exhaustion and shifting short-term fundamentals that could provide the momentum needed for a retracement.
Is There an End to Gold’s Price Surge?The price of gold has already reached $4,300 per ounce. As we have repeatedly mentioned in our analyses, once gold starts moving upward, there’s no stopping it — and this prediction is now being confirmed.
Since mid-August 2025, gold has gained nearly $1,000 per ounce in just two months. Few could have imagined such a move, yet it was entirely foreseeable given today’s global conditions.
The world remains deeply unstable — with the shift toward digital currencies, ongoing wars, and soaring national debts that push governments to borrow endlessly. These factors drive investors and ordinary people alike to seek safety in gold and real estate.
The momentum behind gold is unlikely to end in the coming months. As we’ve projected before, the price trend remains strongly bullish.
At World-Signals, we expect a minor correction just before the $5,000 level, likely a pullback of $400–$500, followed by a continuation of the uptrend throughout 2026.
It’s not impossible that those holding just a few gold bars by 2026 could find themselves millionaires.






















