GC Midweek Outlook – Daily Imbalance Tested, H4 FVG Still in PlaPrice has now completed the move into the Daily FVG (~3425–3443) that I highlighted earlier this week. This is the critical mid-week decision point.
Bearish Case: If price rejects here, downside rotation into the untouched H4 FVG (3377–3396) remains possible before any larger move higher.
Bullish Case: If buyers defend the H1 imbalance and hold above 3412, continuation toward the Monthly High (3451) is on the table.
ADX remains under 25, suggesting no strong trending conditions yet — market is still liquidity-driven.
I’ll be watching the Daily FVG reaction and how price handles the H1 imbalance as key intraday signals.
SGU1! trade ideas
GC - Gold Re-Testing The L-MLH - Short AheadFirst we crack the L-MLH.
Then we got a test and now the re-test.
On a close outside the fork it's a present to short wit stops above somewhere the wicks high.
Profit at the orange Centerline (PTG1) and at the Red Centerline. All in all a wonderful trade with a decent risk/reward.
And if the train leaves without us, NO FOMO please §8-)
How to Trade Morning Star and Evening Star Candlestick Patterns Learn to identify and trade Morning Star and Evening Star candlestick formations using TradingView’s charting tools in this detailed tutorial from Optimus Futures.
Morning and Evening Stars are powerful reversal patterns that often mark turning points in the market. Recognizing them can help you anticipate when momentum is about to shift—and take advantage of new trading opportunities.
What You’ll Learn:
• How Morning Stars signal bullish reversals at the end of a downtrend
• How Evening Stars indicate bearish reversals after extended uptrends
• The three-candle structure of each pattern and what it means for trader psychology
• Why indecision candles (like dojis) play a critical role in confirming momentum shifts
• Using volume confirmation to validate Morning and Evening Star setups
• The importance of context: spotting these patterns at major support and resistance levels
• Setting effective stop losses at the high/low of the pattern for risk control
• Advanced entry tactic: waiting for retracement after confirmation to optimize risk/reward
This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to harness candlestick reversal signals to identify potential market turning points.
The strategies covered could assist you in creating structured setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key chart levels.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objective
Gold Futures | H4 FVG Fully Filled – What’s Next Into Weekly CloEarlier this week I was watching for price to pull back into the new H4 FVG after we closed above the Daily High. Price rejected from the Asian range mid and dropped cleanly into that zone, ultimately filling the H4 FVG completely.
Now on Friday, price sits right at the Weekly Low (3775.9) and the bottom of that H4 gap. This is a key decision point going into the weekly close.
📌 Scenarios I’m Watching:
✅ Bullish: If price holds this filled H4 FVG / W-L zone, we could see a re-accumulation and a push back toward 3388–3392 rejection block and possibly the Daily High (3394.6) next week.
❌ Bearish: If price fails to hold here, the next liquidity pools below are 3367.4 (D-L) and 3362.5.
📌 Key Levels:
Daily High: 3394.6
Weekly Low: 3775.9
Daily Low: 3367.4
Into Friday close, I’ll be watching whether we get acceptance above this zone (bullish continuation setup) or rejection that opens the door to new weekly lows.
👉 What do you think? Will this area hold as support, or do we see a deeper flush before the week closes?
Intraday Bearish Narrative – London Session (Gold Futures)Gold opened the London session under clear downside pressure, extending weakness from the prior U.S. session. After a strong rally into the 3619–3620 area, sellers regained control, forming lower highs and pressing price below the descending trendline (red dashed).
During London hours, attempts to recover above 3600–3606 failed, reinforcing the bearish bias. The current setup aligns with a sell-on-rally structure: price has retested the broken trendline and prior support-turned-resistance zone near 3610–3613, where sellers defended strongly.
As long as price holds below 3613, the bearish structure remains intact, with intraday downside targets layered at:
3593.5 (nearest support, minor liquidity pocket)
3569–3566 (London extension target, key demand zone)
3550–3548 (deeper measured move target if momentum accelerates).
Stops are well-placed above 3610–3613, invalidating the setup if buyers reclaim this supply zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday continuation, favoring shorts beneath 3610–3613 with room for multiple downside liquidity sweeps into the mid-3500s.
A Gold/GLD Drop Scenario You Should Not IgnoreSometimes you don't need a ton of information.
Sometimes, it's just the right moment when a few facts come together, and you make up your mind.
That's the case now with Gold for me.
We know that the behavior changed when Gold left the Fork in July.
We also know that if price leaves a Fork, it's highly possible we’ll see a test/re-test at the L-MLH, the lower median line parallel.
Additionally, Allan H. Andrews, the inventor of the Median Lines/Forks, wrote back then that price could also crawl along the parallel line for a longer period. And if price can't manage to jump back into the Fork—regaining the trajectory of the slope—it will trade in the opposite direction sooner or later.
Last but not least: I checked GLD too. Surprisingly it reached the Centerline just yesterday (See screenshot in the right lower corner of the Chart). So price has a high tendency to turn in the opposite direction when balanced again.
So, there you have it.
I’m planning a short, with profits at the WL as my first target.
But what if it goes wrong, if price climbs higher?
Well, then I’ll probably get stopped out, which is nothing more than part of this business.
Any questions?
Don't hesitate to ask me. It's the only way humans learn—by asking questions.
Cheers
§8-)
Gold Futures (GC1!) UpdateCurrent Price: ~$3,588
Gold recently broke out to new highs but is now pulling back after a sharp rally.
✅ Bullish Case
* Trend is still strong overall (higher highs & higher lows).
* If price holds above $3,550–$3,570, bulls may push for a retest of $3,620–$3,650.
❌ Bearish Case
*If gold breaks below $3,550, a deeper pullback toward $3,480–$3,450 is possible.
🎯 Takeaway
* Short-term pullback after a strong run.
* Key support = $3,550 zone.
* Watch for a bounce to confirm continuation, or a break lower for correction.
📝 Quick Chart Guide for Newbies
* Candlesticks: Green = price went up, Black = price went down.
* Trend: Gold has been trending up since late 2024 (higher peaks & dips).
* Resistance: Around $3,620–$3,650 (where sellers step in).
* Key Support: Around $3,550 (where buyers step in).
👉 In simple terms: Gold is still bullish, but needs to stay above $3,550 to keep momentum.
👉 What’s your bias? Long continuation or short-term pullback?
Don't forget to drop your comments/ideas, boost the post, and follow me for more updates!
-Neo
GC/GOLD bull rally setupHigh potential: looking for a 60 SMA support (~3200) in 2 weeks and then continue the bull rally (green path)
Medium potential: looking for a 20 weekly SMA support (~3140) in 1 month and then continue the bull rally (cyan path)
Low potential: directly break out next week (red path), but indicators do not quite support this case, so it may need some "external news"
Gold Holding Asian 50% -- Bulls Gearing up for London Push?Price retraced cleanly to the Asian session 50% midpoint after yesterday’s strong rally. With the London Killzone approaching, I’m watching for bullish confirmation and a potential continuation higher.
Macro backdrop adds fuel:
Markets are pricing a 90% chance of a September Fed rate cut.
JPMorgan now forecasting four cuts starting this month, reinforcing bullish momentum in Gold.
⚠️ Holiday liquidity could create sharp stop-hunts, so confirmation is key. Looking for orderflow strength before stepping in.
a return to microstructure provides a continuation opportunity 1->3 : creates a higher high ,
with number 2 buyers showing
superior volume with respect to
number 1 sellers
3->4 : we return to the genesis of
the local scope uptrend continuation
what do I think will happen next ?
* obv is in a solid uptrend showing
continued buying pressure
* vwap provides a rejection / support point at
the number 2 low using a lower pivot to anchor
* price has no great reason to come
back above the volume cluster here if selling is the point
* hidden bullish pressure on rsi and
mfi on the lower fracal structure
Gold futuresGold futures have approached the $3500 per ounce resistance level over the past four weeks but have not yet broken through it. The yellow metal may continue trading within the $3200-3500 range for some time. It is worth noting that the long-term trend remains bullish as long as the $3100-3200 support zone holds.
Long-term trend: Up
Resistance level: 3500
Support level: 3100-3200
MGC - WEEK 36 SEPT 2ndLooking for MON, TUE, WED to create high of the week at BS then pull back into the larger range.
CALANDER EVENT
TUES
-10AM - PMI (HIGH)
WED
-7AM - 30-YEAR MORTGAGE RATE (MED)
-9AM - FED SPEACH (MED)
-10AM - JOLT's JOB OPENING (HIGH)
THUR
-10AM - PMI (HIGH)
-12PM - OIL/GAS (MED)
FRIDAY
-8:30AM - NFP / UNEMPLOYMENT RATE