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🔹 Observation #1: A New Bullish (But Hedged) Portfolio Appears
(See risk profile on screenshot.)
Bullish bias, but with a built-in hedge — which reduces its predictive value.
If price drops below $3,800, the portfolio starts generating profit for its owner (via the hedge).
Built on the February 2025 futures
🔹 Observation #2: Put Activity at 3900 (Dec Series)
There’s growing activity in puts at the 3900 strike — moderate bearish positioning or support
🧠 Bottom Line:
The bullish structure is hedged — not a pure directional bet.
Bearish positioning remains active.
Price has not yet shown signs of moving toward the main long setup.
I’d recommend at least 5–7 days of observation before considering any reversal trades.
📌 And here's why:
It’s rare for price to move immediately toward the target of a large, long-dated portfolio.
More often, there’s a delay of several days — especially when expiry is still far out.

Symbol: Gold Futures (COMEX)
Timeframe: 30 Minutes
🔹 Trade Direction: SELL
🔹 Entry Point: 4,157.78
🔹 Take Profit (EA Target Point): 4,056.89
🔹 Stop Loss: 4,176.60
💹 Analysis Summary:
Price is moving within a short-term bearish correction phase.
After a small pullback to the 4,157–4,160 area, a downward continuation is expected.
The target area aligns with previous support near 4,056, offering a potential -2.36% move.
⚙️ Technical Setup:
Trend: Bearish (Downtrend)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 3 (favorable)
Expected Move: ≈ -98 points (-2.36%)
🧭 Strategy:
Wait for the price to test 4,157–4,160 for short entry.
Take Profit: 4,056
Stop Loss: 4,176
Look for confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or lower high) before entering.
