Trade ideas
Gold Above 4300 – Watching for FVG Fill Before Next LegPrice consolidated all of yesterday’s Asian and London sessions before breaking bullish through NY, clearing the 4300 resistance.
Today, we’re holding above that breakout level and sitting just beneath the weekly high at 4398.
A 4H FVG rests below price around 4345–4360 — that’s my first area of interest for a retrace and possible continuation higher.
If price dips to fill that gap and shows strength, I’ll look for a long toward 4398–4420.
Otherwise, I’ll wait for a clear reclaim above the weekly high before confirming continuation.
Staying patient tonight — the easy part is waiting for the market to tell me what it wants to do.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #PriceAction #NOFOMO
Weekly Outlook — Gold Futures (MGCZ2025)Price is sitting between key levels after last week’s explosive move.
I’m watching 4,300 as immediate resistance — if bulls can’t hold above this level, I expect a sweep toward 4,200–4,150 (H4 + Daily FVGs) before continuation.
Monday might just be a setup day, building liquidity for a Tuesday/Wednesday move.
Key Levels:
🟦 4,392 – Previous Weekly High
🟨 4,300 – Near-term resistance
🟧 4,200 – Daily Low / Support zone
🟩 4,150 – H4 FVG top
Let’s see how Monday sets the tone for the week.
#Gold #Futures #TradingPlan #ICT #PriceAction
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures)
Direction: Buyside Trade
Date: Fri 10th Oct 2025
Time: 12:00 PM
Session: LND to NY Session AM
Timeframe: 1-Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3,998.3
Profit Target: 4,373.6 (+9.39%)
Stop Loss: 3,972.4 (–0.63%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 14.9
⚙️ Model Context
Model 010 – Sweep / Trigger / Entry
Setup Sequence:
Price swept the prior swing low and formed a liquidity grab near the breaker block and demand zone. Clear CHOCH (Change of Character) confirmed on 1H timeframe.
Fib retracement alignment with the 0.618–0.705 zone, providing ideal re-entry confirmation.
Volume expansion occurred at breakout, supported by sustained EMA/WMA alignment.
Structure maintained a strong ascending trendline respecting 50EMA and 200WMA support.
🧭 Narrative Context
Price consolidated in the mid-3,900s region following an extended accumulation phase, with multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) and a high-volume zone below acting as structural support.
Institutional order flow confirmed by consistent re-accumulation and sweep of internal liquidity pockets.
Projection levels 4,259 → 4,373 (Fib 2.618–3.618) highlight continuation potential, targeting extended buyside liquidity above 4,300.
📊 Outcome (as of chart timestamp)
Current price hovering near 4,260+, validating trajectory towards projected extension levels.
Trade remains in the upside continuation phase with structural integrity intact above the 4,120 WMA. Trump’s “Trade War 2.0” rhetoric, combined with renewed geopolitical and tariff tensions, is reviving safe-haven demand. TSM earnings volatility and an anticipated Federal Reserve speech could amplify market uncertainty — typically, this may translate into accelerated gold inflows.
Gold GC1 UpdateI said earlier this week that it's supposed to drop but will wind up going sideways instead and it did. I put my money where my mouth is, and went long on GLD calls and ETF because my MFI indicator went oversold then crossed back over the red line.
We'll see if I'm right or not and if the 3hr MFI indicator actually works as well as I think it does. Bought 30 GLD call contracts and 2k shares of GLD, so it's a very sizeable bet.
Gold Update 22OCT2025: Wave 4 Correction is in Progress Sooner or later, both overbought conditions and bearish divergence tend to play out — and we’re seeing that now.
Gold just experienced a massive and surprising sell-off, with many stop-losses triggered.
The price dropped $300 in a single day, compared to its usual $50 range.
This likely marks the start of wave 4, as expected. Price briefly touched the bottom of the uptrend channel and bounced off quickly.
However, wave 4 is rarely straightforward.
It can take many corrective forms, such as a triangle or sideways consolidation.
It also tends to be larger than wave 2 and should become clearly visible on the chart.
The target range for wave 4 remains $3,750–$4,000. While $4,000 has already been touched, the corrective structure isn’t fully formed yet.
We should wait for wave 4 to fully develop before setting any expectations for wave 5.
Gold Outlook – A Historical Signal of an Impending DeclineSince 1970, gold (GC – CME) has experienced six major crashes, each occurring right after eight consecutive green weekly closes.
In every case, the market first showed what seemed like a “healthy buying phase” — strong optimism and aggressive inflows — before a sharp reversal took place.
Historical data reveals a clear pattern:
In the first week after the streak, gold fell an average of 11.8%.
By week four, the average drawdown deepened to 23.5%.
And within eight weeks, the total average decline reached up to 33%.
This pattern suggests that gold tends to build extreme bullish momentum before major corrections, as traders chase prices higher and sentiment detaches from fundamentals.
Currently, after another extended streak of weekly gains, gold once again sits in the same statistical zone that historically preceded a significant pullback.
If history repeats itself, we may soon witness a sharp correction — a natural reset after an overheated rally.
A good look at some markets that traded very well yesterdayThis is Tuesday morning and I gave a review of a number of markets and I have to apologize for the video that I did for Monday because I picked the worst market... Silver which was contracted and there were all these other possibilities that were set up to go but I picked silver. But this video showed a lot better choice if I'd been more careful and so hopefully this will make up for the previous video. Warren Buffett is giving me indigestion because he is very bearish on gold..... I mean very bearish. Me gold may have a 2 bar reversal that that signifies that the market's going to correct lower since it completed a very profitable ABCd pattern but that's different than saying you're going to lose your wealth if you're an old participant in the markets... Which is what I am so I'm a little concerned because the worst thing I could put my assets in is the American dollar as best I can tell so if I liquidate positions of gold I'm right back where I didn't want to be and that's with the dollar and from what I understand the dollar is Ravishly losing its ability to maintain its purchase power. He does mention that there is a a position you can take where the government guarantees a certain price and it's I don't think it'a bond and it's not the money that you put into your bank account but to me I don't see that as a solution.
Understanding the Foundation of Global MarketsFutures contracts are everywhere, from crude oil and stock indices to interest rates and even Bitcoin. They’re essential tools for traders and institutions to manage risk or capitalize on price speculation.
What Are Futures?
A futures contract is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an asset at a set price on a future date. These contracts can involve commodities, currencies, or financial instruments.
Why Trade Futures?
Futures serve two core purposes
Hedging: Used by businesses to protect against adverse price moves. Example: A Corn farmer locks in $4.00 per bushel using a short futures position. If the price drops, they’re protected by gains in the contract. Conversely, if the price rises, the farmer should theoretically be able to sell the physical product at a higher amount.
Speculation: Speculators are a very important piece to market stability and liquidity. Many traders use futures to attempt to profit from market direction, in other words speculate on market moves. For instance, if a trader buys an E-mini S&P 500 contract at 6500 and it rises to 6550, they profit*. But losses can occur just as quickly if the market moves against the position.
*Always account for fees and commissions when evaluating performance."
Types of Futures Contracts
Commodity Futures — Crude oil, soybeans, gold.
Financial Futures — S&P 500, interest rates, Treasury bonds.
Currency Futures — Euro, Yen, and other FX contracts.
Cryptocurrency Products — Bitcoin, Etherum, Solana.
Key Takeaway
Whether you’re hedging or speculating, futures are dynamic and powerful tools. But they also carry significant risk. The first step is understanding what you're trading and why.
At EdgeClear, we’re here to help you trade with confidence. If you’re new or want to enhance your strategy, follow us on TradingView to learn more about Futures and read our latest Trade Ideas.
CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! COMEX:GC1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1!
Gold Volatility Surges Above $4000Gold's selloff on Tuesday was its fifth most bearish day's trade since 1970 - according to spot prices from LSEG. Clearly this is a significant event, especially when we consider it occurred at its record high. Let's take a closer look at technical levels.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
Gold’s Pullback: The Dip Everyone’s Afraid to Buy🏆 Gold’s Pullback: The Dip Everyone’s Afraid to Buy 🏆
Gold just gave us the pullback we’ve been waiting for. After an incredible vertical run to $4,400, price has tapped right back into long-term trend support — exactly where past rallies have launched from.
Zoom out on the weekly channel and it’s clear:
Momentum spikes look scary, but historically they’ve reset just before the next leg up.
Volume confirms conviction — this isn’t a fade; it’s a reload.
On the 4H chart, buyers are already defending the trendline like clockwork.
On the 15M, we’re seeing the first signs of stabilization.
💡 My take:
This isn’t the time to panic — it’s the time to position.
“Buy fear, sell greed” wasn’t written for stocks; it was written for gold.
🎯 Watch zone: $4,000–$4,050 — that’s my reload range.
Next resistance: $4,400 → $4,800 if the structure holds.
📈 I’m buying the dip. Are you brave enough to?
#Gold #GC1 #Comex #Futures #BuyTheDip #Macro #Commodities #TrendFollowing #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold is in a bubbleGold appears to be running straight up to resistance without ever forming support around $2486. This is not a good sign for gold buyers. I'm highly speculating gold will fall back to $2486. This move is similar to 1979. As in 1979 it went significantly higher than resistance before falling all the way back down to support. So be cautious, this could go much higher than $4220 before coming back to reality.
Good luck!
Gold Still Running Hot — No Real Pullback YetPrice exploded out of the 15m FVG during Thursday’s Asian session and hasn’t looked back. Took a long right off that 8PM impulsive candle, scaling in as we broke back above the Previous Daily High.
Now we’re holding steady above 4345 — the midpoint of the Asian range looks like short-term support. If bulls defend this level, we could see continuation toward 4380–4400.
Friday bias: Bullish, unless 4340 gives out.
No clean pullback = no reason to force entries. Let the market prove it.
#GoldFutures #MGC #ICTConcepts #NOFOMO #DayTrading
GC Update againSurprised they're pumping it again tonight. Appears MFI is not going to hit my red line, they're just gonna melt it up with no real drops.
Missed out, but I'd rather go big on a sure bet than hold a small position continuously. There's no way I'd have sunk $700k into gold for a long term play, though in hindsight I wish I had, lol






















