Can Gold Rival ATHs?Early last week, we finally saw the much anticipated correction on Gold. This move was likely a liquidation event, shaking out a wave of over-leveraged long positions that had built up during the prior rally.
On the 4H timeframe, price consolidated and accumulated for most of the week following that flush, suggesting that the market may now be rebuilding liquidity for its next major leg.
With weak hands cleared and positioning reset, Gold could now be preparing to retest its ATHs and possibly break into new territory if momentum and fundamentals align.
Trade ideas
short term bias Buy Entry Model🔴 Supply Zones (Potential Short Entry Areas)
Major Supply: 4,360 – 4,400
Origin of the strong sell-off.
Clean imbalance and strong bearish move afterward.
If price retraces back here, it’s a high-probability short zone.
Entry idea:
Sell: 4,370–4,390
Stop: Above 4,410
Target 1: 4,080 (first demand zone)
Target 2: 3,980 (lower demand zone)
Minor Supply: 4,165 – 4,180
This is a recent reaction zone that rejected price.
Can be used for scalping or short-term intraday short setups if price retests.
Sell: 4,165–4,175
Stop: Above 4,190
Target: 4,080 (nearest demand)
🟢 Demand Zones (Potential Long Entry Areas)
Near-Term Demand: 4,050 – 4,080
The most recent rally base before price bounced higher.
Price has respected this area already once, showing buyers stepping in.
Entry idea:
Buy: 4,060–4,080
Stop: Below 4,040
Target: 4,160 (supply)
R:R ≈ 1:2
Major Demand: 3,970 – 4,010
Strong base formed before the previous impulsive move upward.
If price breaks below 4,050, this would be the next strong long zone.
Buy: 3,980–4,000
Stop: Below 3,950
Target 1: 4,080
Target 2: 4,170
📊 Overall Bias
Short-term bias: Neutral to slightly bullish within the range (4,050–4,160).
Medium-term bias: Bearish while below 4,360 (major supply).
Expect possible range trading between 4,050 and 4,160 before a breakout.
A break below 4,050 could send price toward the 3,970 demand zone.
A break above 4,180 could lead to a retest of the 4,360 supply.
GOLD LONG 1hr setup
### 🧠 **Market Context & Liquidity**
- Gold took out some sellside liquidty
- We’re watching for whether buyers hold above the daily open or if we see a pullback into support.
- Key levels to watch:
- **Resistance:** 4,128 – 4,130 (recent high)
- **Support:** 4,107 – 4,112 (consolidation low & potential buy zone)
---
### 🐊 **Bill Williams Alligator Signal**
- The **Alligator** is awake and aligned — jaws above teeth above lips — indicating a **trending market**.
- Price is trading **above the Alligator**, supporting a **bullish bias**.
- Pullbacks into the Alligator (lips/teeth) are potential entries if structure holds.
---
### 🎯 **Gold (GC1!) Trade Plan – Long Setup**
- **Entry Zone:** 4,110 – 4,128 (support + Alligator confluence)
- **Stop Loss:** Below 4,057
- **TP1:** 4,128
- **TP2:** 4,200 4hr fvg (sibi)
---
### ✅ **Confirmation Needed:**
- Bullish reaction off support with volume.
- No loss of 4,107 level.
- Alligator continues pointing upward.
---
**Bottom Line:**
Gold is in a bullish structure above the Alligator.
Look for longs into support with a tight stop.
Trade the pullback — not the breakout.
A Case Study: GOLD probable price ProjectionA Spectacular and exponential price movement was observed in GOLD for last 3 months.
A Mega BullRun is witnessed in the bullion market across the globe. Gold is considered as the best among multi asset classes. Especially in Indian subcontinent Gold is not only considered as precious metal which holds a greater value but also very auspicious .
Now lets dive deep into its price movement based on Demand Zone Concept.Accordingly how can we position ourselves to get most out of it.
Case1: Daily Demand Zone (DDZ)
If Price reaches Daily Demand Zone then there is high probability of accumulation is observed by market players. and if the price is considered as fair then it may move up. here we can see buying reaction.
Case 2: Weeekly Demand Zone (WDZ)
If price reaches Weekly Demand zone then some more accumulation occurs and then price moves up.
Now the question arises that if we see good buying at daily demand zone then why should price reach weekly demand zone. to understand this i explained briefly about different market players in the follwing link.
How perfectly market players defend their positions is clearly seen in this chart . Please go through it.
WDZ 1 & WDZ 2:
These are the zones where gold was accumulated.
Case 3: Monthly Demand Zone (MDZ)
If ever price reaches this zone it shall be a good level to invest .
Note : price movement may not be as swift as it was in last 3 months.
Quiet in FX Options — But Gold Is Heating Up
Over the past 24 hours, major currency options saw little of interest.
In contrast, precious metals — especially Gold — are attracting serious attention.
Let’s break down the key developments:
🔹 Observation #1: A New Bullish (But Hedged) Portfolio Appears
(See risk profile on screenshot.)
A new SMART option portfolio has entered the market:
Bullish bias, but with a built-in hedge — which reduces its predictive value.
If price drops below $3,800, the portfolio starts generating profit for its owner (via the hedge).
Built on the February 2025 futures contract, under an option series expiring in December 2025.
📌 Yes, it sounds confusing — and it is.
Option series expire, but futures live on.
This creates what we call "expiry risk" — a topic for another deep-dive article.
🔹 Observation #2: Put Activity at 3900 (Dec Series)
There’s growing activity in puts at the 3900 strike — moderate bullish positioning or support.
The bullish structure is hedged — not a pure directional bet.
Bearish positioning remains active.
Price has not yet shown signs of moving toward the main long setup.
I’d recommend at least 2–7 days of observation before considering any reversal trades.
📌 And here's why:
It’s rare for price to move immediately toward the target of a large, long-dated portfolio.
More often, there’s a delay of several days — especially when expiry is still far out.
Watch the flow.
Trade only when the edge is clear.
May the data-driven approach be with you!
Understanding the Foundation of Global MarketsFutures contracts are everywhere, from crude oil and stock indices to interest rates and even Bitcoin. They’re essential tools for traders and institutions to manage risk or capitalize on price speculation.
What Are Futures?
A futures contract is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an asset at a set price on a future date. These contracts can involve commodities, currencies, or financial instruments.
Why Trade Futures?
Futures serve two core purposes
Hedging: Used by businesses to protect against adverse price moves. Example: A Corn farmer locks in $4.00 per bushel using a short futures position. If the price drops, they’re protected by gains in the contract. Conversely, if the price rises, the farmer should theoretically be able to sell the physical product at a higher amount.
Speculation: Speculators are a very important piece to market stability and liquidity. Many traders use futures to attempt to profit from market direction, in other words speculate on market moves. For instance, if a trader buys an E-mini S&P 500 contract at 6500 and it rises to 6550, they profit*. But losses can occur just as quickly if the market moves against the position.
*Always account for fees and commissions when evaluating performance."
Types of Futures Contracts
Commodity Futures — Crude oil, soybeans, gold.
Financial Futures — S&P 500, interest rates, Treasury bonds.
Currency Futures — Euro, Yen, and other FX contracts.
Cryptocurrency Products — Bitcoin, Etherum, Solana.
Key Takeaway
Whether you’re hedging or speculating, futures are dynamic and powerful tools. But they also carry significant risk. The first step is understanding what you're trading and why.
At EdgeClear, we’re here to help you trade with confidence. If you’re new or want to enhance your strategy, follow us on TradingView to learn more about Futures and read our latest Trade Ideas.
CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! COMEX:GC1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1!
Gold Sitting on the Edge – Liquidity Sweep Before the Bounce?Monday didn’t give much movement, and price is now hovering around last week’s low.
I’m expecting a liquidity sweep of the current levels — likely taking out the Daily Low before moving to fill the full Weekly FVG below.
Short-term bias is bearish for the Asian session, but I’ll be watching closely for a shift once that FVG is filled.
If absorption shows up after the sweep, I’ll flip long for the bigger move higher into midweek.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #LiquiditySweep #NOFOMO
The markets are overbought and I am looking for them to go lowerSunday the 26th and I'd like to talk about gold and silver and the market in general since it is oversold an equities and gold and silver can go lower but it doesn't necessarily mean the end of gold and silver. In the video I show why gold could go lower and to me it's a function of markets expanding and contracting if gold makes a new high I would expect for it to correct and that's not bad and it's not the end of gold and silver. If you're listening to my stuff you want to look at the market as having buyers and sellers and you need to know where they are within reason and you should be thinking in terms of patterns.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains extremely bullish, driven primarily by central bank accumulation.
Since 2023, global central banks — led by China — have been buying gold aggressively, creating a long-term demand base.
With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, risk assets like GOLD are expected to outperform as USD (DXY) weakens.
This macro setup builds a powerful bullish narrative that continues to favor long exposure on gold.
📈 Technical Analysis
GOLD has rallied for nine consecutive weeks since mid-August, reaching overbought RSI levels.
Currently, price is showing signs of retracement and consolidation, suggesting an accumulation phase may form before the next impulsive move.
The Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $4010, just below the HTF bullish trendline, acts as a critical support area where a potential deviation and bounce may occur.
📌 Game Plan
I expect GOLD to retrace toward the HTF trendline and Weekly FVG ($4017).
A deviation and bounce from this zone could trigger a new bullish leg.
However, I anticipate 1–2 weeks of accumulation before continuation.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Gold Volatility Surges Above $4000Gold's selloff on Tuesday was its fifth most bearish day's trade since 1970 - according to spot prices from LSEG. Clearly this is a significant event, especially when we consider it occurred at its record high. Let's take a closer look at technical levels.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
Gold’s Pullback: The Dip Everyone’s Afraid to Buy🏆 Gold’s Pullback: The Dip Everyone’s Afraid to Buy 🏆
Gold just gave us the pullback we’ve been waiting for. After an incredible vertical run to $4,400, price has tapped right back into long-term trend support — exactly where past rallies have launched from.
Zoom out on the weekly channel and it’s clear:
Momentum spikes look scary, but historically they’ve reset just before the next leg up.
Volume confirms conviction — this isn’t a fade; it’s a reload.
On the 4H chart, buyers are already defending the trendline like clockwork.
On the 15M, we’re seeing the first signs of stabilization.
💡 My take:
This isn’t the time to panic — it’s the time to position.
“Buy fear, sell greed” wasn’t written for stocks; it was written for gold.
🎯 Watch zone: $4,000–$4,050 — that’s my reload range.
Next resistance: $4,400 → $4,800 if the structure holds.
📈 I’m buying the dip. Are you brave enough to?
#Gold #GC1 #Comex #Futures #BuyTheDip #Macro #Commodities #TrendFollowing #TechnicalAnalysis
GC - Gold UpdateLooks like my last green arrow was wrong and the red arrow wound up being right anyways, lol.
Anyways, you can see on my chart that gold actually went down while MFI was still climbing. Not a good sign. I think gold is done unless something really bad happens in the world, like Russia invading Europe or something along those lines.
Not touching gold for now, at least I made some money off of it last week. Silver is tanking as well.
Gold MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 5th Nov., 25MCX:GOLD1!
MCX Gold Futures — Chart Pathik Insights | 5-Nov-25
Gold futures are under selling pressure, trading stall at 119,749 right at the zero line after a sharp leg down and minor bounce attempts. Price remains weak as sellers control action just beneath the 120,000 psychological mark, pointing to possible further downside unless reclaimed by bulls.
Bearish Structure:
Short setups dominate below 119,918, with every failed retest of the add-long (120,155) keeping momentum with sellers.
Downside Levels:
118,555: First logical target for bears; cover some, trail the rest.
117,787: Aggressive extension if broad liquidation triggers.
Risk Management: Shorts should be managed above the add-long or zero line to minimize risk if a reversal takes hold.
Bullish Structure:
Longs to be considered only above 120,392, needing quick acceptance back in the prior higher band and strong closes above resistance.
Upside Levels:
121,039: Initial resistance for partial or full booking.
121,807: Extension if sentiment flips with volume.
Risk Management: Use the short-entry/zero-line as stops for any fresh longs caught in whipsaws.
Neutral/Inflection:
The 119,797–119,749 band marks the direct battle for the session — choppy price is likely until a firm imbalance emerges. Be patient for confirmation before executing size.
Use these mapped zones for optimal structure, adaptive entries, and aggressive defense.
If these levels clarify your daily plan, boost, comment, and share—your support boosts the learning loop.
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