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Dow Jones Overextended: Watching for an Institutional Unwind 📊 Dow Jones (US30) remains bullish 🟢, but in my view, it’s looking overextended 📈. Price has traded into a key level 🎯 where we could see a potential pullback, especially as we approach the end of the week 📅, when institutions and big money 💼 may begin unwinding positions. 👀 The play here is to watch for the high of the week/day ⏫ and look for a counter-trend reversal 🔄 that could drive price lower into the weekly close 📉. ⚠️ Keep in mind: Monday’s opening often creates a stop run 🛑 possibly offering a deeper pullback, giving us a double dose of liquidity grabs 💧. This sets the stage for a fairly deep retracement, which could present an opportunity to counter trend short if conditions align 🧩. 📌 My focus is on a break below the current range 🔓 as a trigger for potential entry. ⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice 📚
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by fxtraderanthony
Dow Jones Under Pressure as Bond Yields SurgeUS30 – Dow Jones Update The Dow Jones erased 250 points as September began with soaring bond yields, dragging stocks lower after the long weekend. Nasdaq was the session’s biggest loser despite showing pre-market strength. Technical Outlook: The index reached our support target at 44,950, exactly as projected yesterday. For now, price is expected to consolidate within the 45,285 – 45,110 zone before the next move. 🔼 A confirmed 4H close above 45,285 would support a bullish continuation toward 45,460 → 45,680. 🔻 Conversely, sustained trade below 45,110 would re-open the bearish path toward 44,950 → 44,720. Key Levels: Pivot: 45,285 Support: 45,110 – 44,950 – 44,720 Resistance: 45,460 – 45,680 – 45,860
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Will US30 Reach A New Record High After Today's NFP?Fundamental approach: - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) rose this week amid cooling US labor signals that reinforced expectations for a Sep Fed rate cut, while upbeat ISM services activity tempered growth concerns. - ADP private payrolls slowed and jobless claims ticked higher, bolstering bets for easier policy ahead of today's NFP release. This kept risk appetite supported through Thu record-setting close in broader indices. - The ISM Services PMI accelerated to 52.0 in Aug, with stronger business activity and new orders, but continued employment contraction, a mix consistent with disinflationary growth that equity markets favored. Salesforce (CRM) underperformed on a cautious revenue outlook even as rate-cut hopes lifted cyclicals within the Dow complex. - Looking ahead, the index could extend gains if payrolls and earnings metrics cool without signaling a hard landing, as this may cement Fed easing later this month. Today's jobs report and subsequent Fed communications could be key catalysts for rate expectations and index momentum. Technical approach: - US30 bounced up from retesting the ascending channel's lower bounce, confluence with the support at 45000, and EMA21. - If US30 breaches the resistance at around 45700, the index may accelerate to retest the confluencing area of several Fibo Extension levels at around 46680-46900. - On the contrary, closing below 45000 may prompt a further correction to retest EMA78. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by DatTong
US30 UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades...! Confluences And Key Reason: 1. Price creates bullish channel. 2. Market price break bullish channel toward downside. 3. Fresh supply + order flow still in pending. 4. If this supply is valid than we see price further move downside. This is not a financial advice take it with your own risk. In this case confirmation is very important. If price give confirmation than we open our trades. Let's see how it will work.
FX:US30Short
by AzlaanGlobalFX
US30 UPDATE: Pre-Post Potential 4 NFPDear Friends in Trading, 1) NFP Today - Be safe. 2) TIP - Post NFP Mondays: (Applies to all instruments - Forex, Indices & Metals) -----"ASIA + LONDON SESSION's PRICE ACTION IS BIG AND OPEN MOST OF THE TIME"----- Keynote: MARKET STRUCTURE = TREND = INTACT I have highlighted a few possible support and resistance levels, and potential targets. Let me know if anything is unclear? I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight. Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Long
by ANROC
2
DowJones Key Trading Levels ahead of US Employment DataKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45766 Resistance Level 2: 45920 Resistance Level 3: 46080 Support Level 1: 45050 Support Level 2: 44900 Support Level 3: 44730 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
DOW/US30 - BEST STRATEGY OF THE YEAR - LETS GOTeam, carefully plan for tonight on NON FARM PAYROLL HERE IS THE DATA Weekly jobless claims increase 8,000 to 237,000 Continuing claims fall 4,000 to 1.940 million Private payrolls increase 54,000 in August Trade deficit widens 32.5% to $78.3 billion in July Last month, the same day, market drop for two days over 1000 points. PLEASE CAREFULLY structure this - DO SMALL VOLUME FOR THIS ONLY Short now at 45645-45655 - I think the market look EXHAUSTED STOP LOSS tight at 45680 or give more room at 45720 Target 1 at 45525-45500 - take 60%-70% partial and bring stop loss to BE Target 2 at 45425-45380 OR WAIT FOR THIS ZONE TO KILL THE MARKET - 45800-45900 - stop loss at 46050 Target 1 - 45650 -45620 Target 2 - 45550-45520 LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
US30What is the US 30? The US 30, commonly known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow, is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and serves as a key indicator of the overall health of the US stock market and economy. The Dow includes companies from various sectors like technology, finance, health, and consumer goods. How Do US 10Y Treasury Yield, DXY, and Fed Interest Rates Affect the US 30? 1. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) The 10-year Treasury yield reflects long-term borrowing costs and investor confidence in economic growth and inflation. Higher yields often mean higher borrowing costs for companies, which can reduce corporate profits and lower stock prices, including the Dow. Rising yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, leading to a shift away from equities like the Dow. Conversely, lower yields tend to support higher stock valuations as cheaper debt and less attractive bond returns encourage investment in equities. 2. US Dollar Index (DXY) The DXY measures the strength of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. A stronger dollar can negatively impact Dow companies that earn significant revenue overseas by making their products more expensive internationally and reducing translated foreign profits. A weaker dollar generally supports multinational companies’ overseas earnings, potentially boosting the Dow. Currency strength also influences inflation and trade dynamics, indirectly impacting stock market sentiment. 3. Federal Reserve Interest Rate The Federal Reserve sets the federal funds rate, which influences short-term interest rates and overall financial conditions. Higher Fed rates typically raise borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, potentially slowing growth and leading to lower stock prices. Rising rates can also cause investors to prefer fixed-income securities over stocks. Lower or stable Fed rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting higher equity prices. Fed communications about rate intentions are closely watched as key drivers of stock market volatility, including the Dow. Summary The US 30 (Dow Jones) is influenced by interest rates, bond yields, and the dollar's strength. Rising US 10-year yields or Fed rate hikes generally create headwinds for the Dow by increasing costs and attractive alternatives to stocks. A stronger dollar can weigh on multinational earnings and lower the Dow’s performance. Conversely, lower yields, dovish Fed policy, and a weaker dollar tend to support gains in the Dow by making stocks more appealing. These factors together shape investor sentiment, risk appetite, and valuation dynamics in the US stock market.The US 30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that tracks 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. It serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market. The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) affects the US 30 because it reflects long-term interest rates and economic expectations. When the 10-year yield rises, borrowing costs increase for companies, which can dampen profits and lead to lower stock prices, negatively impacting the Dow. Higher yields also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, pulling investment away from equities. The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. A stronger DXY can hurt Dow companies with significant overseas revenue by making their products more expensive abroad and reducing translated foreign earnings, weighing on the Dow. Conversely, a weaker dollar tends to boost these companies and support the index. The Federal Reserve interest rate sets short-term borrowing costs and influences overall financial conditions. Higher Fed rates raise costs for consumers and businesses, potentially slowing economic growth and weighing on stocks. Lower or stable rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting stock prices. Market expectations of Fed moves heavily sway investor sentiment and the Dow's performance. In summary, higher US10Y yields, a stronger DXY, and rising Fed rates often pose headwinds for the US 30, while lower yields, a weaker dollar, and accommodative Fed policy generally support it. These dynamics affect corporate profits, investment flows, and market risk appetite that collectively drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average. U330 ,the structure is giving a pullback into my demand floor and to the moon us30. if bulls keep the trend into the supply structure ,they could be selling from that zone. #us30
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Shavyfxhub
DOW JONES Buy opportunity on oversold 4H RSI.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 31 High and yesterday hit its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and rebounded. Every short-term break just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) of this pattern since August 11, has been the most optimal buy opportunity. Technically as long as the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) holds, the medium-term trend remains bullish. Given also that the 4H RSI made an oversold rebound, first since August 04, we have a strong buy signal currently, which based on the previous Bullish Legs of the pattern, can rise by at least +2.67%. As a result, our short-term Target is 46100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
Us30 sell Trade Setup Observed Entry: Around 45,609 (current price zone). Stop Loss (SL): 45,659 (≈ 50 points above entry). Take Profit (TP): Significantly lower, around 45,300 (green zone). Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.12 → This is a good ratio (favorable reward relative to risk). Position Size: Qty 2. --- 📊 Price Action 1. Strong Upward Impulse: Prior to your trade, the market had a strong bullish rally (large green candles). 2. Consolidation Phase: After the rally, price is ranging in a tight band (sideways movement), marked by small alternating candles. 3.Manipulation is over and distribution si about to start
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Osokam
Dow Jones Bullish Strategy! Can the Market Break Higher?🚀 US30 Index Money-Making Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 📊 🧠 Trading Plan & Strategy (Thief Layer Style) 🚀 Approach: Bullish Hull Moving Average pullback plan — “bulls reloaded” for the next wave. 🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy): Multiple buy-limit layers → 45,200 • 45,300 • 45,400 • 45,500 (flexible to add more based on your own plan). 🛡️ Stop Loss: Reference point at 45,000. Adjust SL responsibly to match your personal risk tolerance & style. 💰 Target: Potential resistance zone (the “police barricade”) sits near 46,300. That’s where traders may consider taking profits. 📢 Note: This is an illustrative plan based on technicals — every trader should adapt TP/SL to their own strategy and risk appetite. 📊 US30 Market Report – September 4, 2025 📈 Current Price Snapshot Trading near 45,000 points, up 0.05% today. Strong monthly performance (+2.4%) and robust yearly gains (+17%). Market showing resilience despite trade tensions. 😊 Retail Traders’ Sentiment 60% long vs 40% short → Tilted bullish. Optimism driven by hopes for earnings growth & Fed rate cuts. Caution remains due to tariff risks. 🏦 Institutional Traders’ Outlook Cautiously bullish positioning. Demand for equities continues, but with moderated exposure. Buybacks + foreign inflows supporting price action. 🌡️ Overall Investor Mood Neutral to positive tone. Economic resilience balanced against policy uncertainty. Healthy breadth across sectors, not just tech. 😨 Fear & Greed Index Currently at 52 (Neutral). Suggests balance — no extremes dominating. Neutral setups often precede steady gains. 💹 Fundamental Score → 8/10 Strong corporate earnings (+12–13% growth projected next year). Balance sheets remain solid. AI & tech themes boosting key components. Tariffs still a drag, but diversified exposure helps. 🌍 Macro Score → 7/10 US GDP growth cooling to 1.5%, but global rebound supports outlook. Inflation ~2.9%; Fed rate cuts expected later. Labor market stable, policy clarity could add upside. 🐂 Overall Market Outlook: Bullish Bias 📈 If support at 45,000 holds, potential move higher toward 46,000+. Drivers: Strong earnings, Fed easing, broad rally. Watch: Trade news headlines remain a key risk factor. 🔎 Why This Plan? Hull MA pullback indicates momentum continuation. Layered entries provide flexibility & better risk distribution. Market sentiment + fundamentals align with bullish bias. Resistance at 46,300 offers a clear take-profit zone. 📌 Related Pairs to Watch CAPITALCOM:US30 FOREXCOM:SPX500 EIGHTCAP:NDQ100 TVC:VIX TVC:DXY ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #US30 #DowJones #Indices #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingPlan #HullMA #LayeringStrategy
OANDA:US30USDLong
by The-Thief
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET... Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition. 1942 - 1947 5-year cycle 1982 - 1987 Cycle 2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error. 27th October is a major timeline to watch Beyond that we have March 2026 TRADE PLAN: We will close all buy entries in October We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle. Follow for more updates
TVC:DJILong
by Fairmont-Markets