Trade ideas
Potential bearish drop off?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the multi swing low support.
Pivot: 3,934.93
1st Support: 3,691.52
1st Resistance: 4,093.31
Disclaimer:
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TAKE YOUR CRYPTO PROFITS NOW.Eth dropped from $1,463.72
to $80 in 2018.
$4,382.31 to $1,1700 in 2021
$4,868.53 to $880 in 2022
$4,090.92 to $1,384 in 2024
$4,104.83 to $1,384.66 in 2025
If you are reading this then you likely are invested in ETH or BTC or an ALT. This is your 2nd or 3rd bullmarket. You're deciding right now if you should take profit while you still have a little profit left or hold and pray for an ALT SEASON. If you consider Cryptos getting wiped out nearly 100 percent then rallying back up over 1000 percent to the old price an Alt Season then go ahead. You have already lost most of your profit this cycle so far. The charts are saying sell but you're ignoring the clear signs like you did last bullmarket. You need to take profits while you still have some left. Ethereum will be alot cheaper in a month or two. You can always buy more. Don't mess this up like you did last cycle. Get out!!!!! The technical indicators says its over for now. Be smart and sell!!!!! You lost a lot of profit so far. You know I'm right. The last few cycles you tried to get the top and lost your profits and had to wait all over again. You know I am right. The point of investing in Crypto is to make a living while you are still alive or still young. ALTS will give back all your profits in a short time and leave you waiting for next cycle like last time.
ETHUSD: Last Wave of Impulse or Start of a Big Correction?Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario:
ETH holds above ~$3,800 and breaks resistance at ~$4,500 → wave factor (5) intensifies → possible rise to ~$5,000.
Consolidation:
The price remains between ~$3,800 and ~$4,500, forming a sideways range, accumulating energy for the next move.
Bearish scenario:
Breakdown of support at ~$3,800 with volume confirmation → corrective wave A-B-C begins → test of ~$3,400–3,600.
✅ Conclusion
ETH/USD is at a key point for the coming week: either the bullish upward momentum ends, or a significant correction begins.
Watch for support at ~$3,800 to hold—a breakout could very well change the direction of the movement.
If the resistance at ~$4,500 is broken, the upward momentum will activate.
Primary targets: ~$5,000 if up, ~$3,400–$3,600 if corrected.
I’ll Be Bearish If This Happens In Crypto🚀 Extreme Fear In Crypto — But I’m Still Bullish!
In this video, I break down the current market situation and why, despite extreme fear and bearish sentiment, I’m still bullish. Just like I called the recent dump weeks ago, I’m now spotting signals for a potential pump soon.
I also explain:
-What would invalidate my bullish bias and make me turn bearish
-Total Market Cap, BTC, and ETH analysis using ICT concepts
-Key levels to watch and possible scenarios for the coming week
Stay patient and stay focused — the market always gives us clear signals if you know where to look.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. The content shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Trading and investing in cryptocurrency involve high risk — you could lose some, or all, of your money. Always do your own research and make sure you understand the risks before making any financial decisions.
Comparison: Gold’s Triple Top vs. EthereumLet’s take a look at the charts. Gold formed a triple top before breaking out strongly, and the current Ethereum structure looks strikingly similar, only moving much faster.
The gold chart you see here developed over 15 years, while Ethereum’s pattern has taken shape in just 4 years.
When a resistance level is tested multiple times, it often eventually breaks.
I’m sharing this analysis to help you recognize recurring patterns across markets. History doesn’t repeat itself perfectly, but it often rhymes.
#ETH/USDT : Another Attempt To Resume Upward Movement#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 3826, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 3874.
First target: 3920.
Second target: 3969.
Third target: 4200.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Momentum Cooling Off, Eyes on $3,700 Support ZoneETHUSD – Daily Chart | Momentum Cooling, Consolidation at Key Support
Market Context:
Ethereum’s daily chart continues to show a controlled consolidation after the strong rally earlier this quarter.
Price action remains confined between the $3,700–$3,850 support zone and $4,350–$4,450 resistance.
While sentiment across crypto remains moderately positive, short-term indicators suggest fading momentum and compression rather than a confirmed breakout.
________________________________________
Trend Structure:
The broader trend remains constructive, but recent daily candles have formed lower highs — suggesting a mild corrective bias.
As long as ETH holds above $3,700, the long-term structure stays intact; a break below would open the door for a deeper pullback toward $3,400–$3,600.
A decisive close above $4,450 would confirm renewed momentum and likely invite trend-following participation.
________________________________________
Moving Averages:
The 20-day EMA is flattening and currently near price — acting as short-term resistance.
The 50-day EMA sits slightly above, showing the market is still in a pause within its bullish structure.
The 100- and 200-day EMAs remain well below current levels, confirming the long-term trend remains intact.
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Momentum Indicators:
RSI (14): hovering around 45–48, reflecting neutral-to-slightly-bearish momentum. A reclaim above 55 would indicate buyers returning.
MACD: histogram narrowing, signal lines converging — momentum cooling but not yet reversing.
Stochastic RSI: mid-range, curling upward — early sign of potential energy buildup.
ADX (14): around 20–25, suggesting weak trend strength; look for ADX rising above 25 for confirmation of direction.
ATR: contracting steadily — volatility compression often precedes expansion.
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Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,350–4,450 — multi-touch supply zone.
Next Resistance: 4,600–5,000 — major breakout region if momentum builds.
Support: 3,700–3,850 — critical daily support, repeatedly defended.
Secondary Support: 3,400–3,600 — previous accumulation area.
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Indicator Summary:
RSI & Stoch RSI → Neutral; momentum reset after an overbought phase.
MACD → Flattening; no strong divergence, just cooling momentum.
ADX → Low; confirming a sideways, non-trending environment.
EMAs → Flat; short-term equilibrium within a long-term bullish trend.
Volume → Gradually declining on dips, suggesting no panic selling.
________________________________________
Outlook:
Ethereum’s daily chart reflects a classic consolidation within an ongoing uptrend.
Until price closes firmly beyond either $4,450 or $3,700, traders should expect range-bound action and momentum-reset conditions.
The next significant move is likely to align with an RSI breakout above 55 , MACD expansion , and a rising ADX above 25 — all signaling renewed directional strength.
________________________________________
Summary:
ETH remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, but short-term momentum has cooled.
Volatility compression, neutral oscillators, and flattening EMAs define a market gathering energy for its next impulsive phase.
As long as $3,700 holds, the broader outlook stays constructive — this is the “calm before expansion”.
Etherium Bullish Target 71000$When i analyze ETH chart on a weekly basis, and the sentiment in the political aspect, people
do not understand the power of sentiment and political power.
We have identified five key aspects to consider that can impact the price of ETH over the next year or more.
1, Regulation: GENIUS Act, FIT21, and changes in SEC/CFTC roles
2, Staking & ETF: Approval requests for spot-ETH ETFs, including staking
3, Politics: Crypto reserve and access via 401(k)
4, Technology: Pectra upgrade + EF treasury management
5, Market Reaction: Strong price increases fueled by institutional interest
Also, Treasury stock based on ETH accumulation is coming to life on the principle of Micro strategy "Strategy"
On the LOG chart, we can see what price of ETH is heading for. Personally, my first target is $71000 within the next year.
This is not guaranteed at all, but we must consider all the aspects mentioned.
I think the BTC 4-year cycle is dead, and we will get a completely new cycle due to institutional and political reasons.
Trade at own risk !!
ETHUSD H1 | Possible Bearish Turn Ahead”ETH/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this levle to the downside.
Sell entry is at 3,936.30, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 4,079.07, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,703.89, which is a multi-swing low support.
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ETH 1h Triple Bottom – Eyes on 4200 BreakoutThe Ethereum 1-hour chart displays a textbook triple bottom formation, with clear support established around the 3700–3750 level (see attached chart). This pattern emerged after multiple retests, indicated by green lines marking three distinct lows. The triple bottom suggests sellers may be exhausted and buyers are defending this zone.
Bullish divergence is also visible in both RSI and MACD indicators. Both momentum oscillators show higher lows, adding strength to the reversal signal. Price action remains inside a descending channel, but the repeated rejection from the green support zone and visible volume buildup increases the probability of a breakout.
If momentum continues, a successful rally could challenge overhead resistance at 4200, which coincides with previous range highs and a significant volume profile cluster. The red resistance zone is defined as the primary target area for longs. Should this level be breached, further upside will depend on market conditions and macro sentiment.
Trade Plan
Entry: Around 3760–3800 upon confirmed bullish reversal or close above channel resistance.
Take Profit: Primary target at 4200; partials recommended between 4100–4200.
Stop Loss: Below 3700, upon invalidation of the triple bottom.
Notes
Watch for confirmation and volume spike before entering. A failure to hold the green support invalidates the setup.
NFA.
ETHUSD – 1H Long Setup (SMC | ICT | Bill Williams Confluence)
Bias remains **bullish** after a clean sweep of **sell-side liquidity** and strong rejection from the demand zone. Price has confirmed a **break of structure** and is now reacting off a **breaker block** aligned with an **inverted fair value gap (IFVG)** — solid confluence for continuation.
### 🧭 Technical Breakdown
1. **Liquidity Sweep:** Price cleared out **sell-side liquidity** under the 3,800 zone — engineered liquidity before reversal.
2. **Breaker Block (BB):** FOR our entry
3. **IFVG:** Price filled the IFVG inside the BB and respected it perfectly, showing balanced re-pricing.
4. **Bill Williams Confluence:**
* Alligator lines tightening, signaling end of corrective phase.
* Price starting to trade above the green (lips) and red (teeth) lines — early signs of bullish acceleration.
5. **Structure Context:** Market structure shifted bullish on the 1H following the sell-side sweep and last week low being run.
### 📈 Plan
* **Entry:** From breaker block / IFVG confluence (3,800–3,830 zone).
* **Stop:** Below 3,713 (beneath liquidity low).
* **Targets:**
* 🥇 3,900 → intraday liquidity pool
* 🥈 4,020 → FVG fill above
* 🥉 4,090+ → 4H supply / OB
### ⚡ Bias
As long as ETH holds above the breaker block and 3,820 zone, I maintain **long bias** expecting expansion toward 4K+.
Classic **SMC + ICT synergy**: *Sell-side sweep → Structure shift → Breaker block + IFVG → Expansion*.
Finally 5k? - ETH weekly update Oct 20 - 26thWelcome to my very shortterm analysis on Ethereum.
Currently, I think the most probable scenario is that we are in a wave 3 of the intermediate cycle and a wave 2 in the minor cycle. This structure is part of the first wave of the primary cycle. Alternatively, This structure could also potentially be a triple three pattern or a triple three with a triangle as the last pattern, as drawn into the chart. Those two alternatives are not my main scenario, because the structure of the X is clearly a five-parter and no valid pattern has this characteristics. Moving on, as you can see I expect the wave 2 of the minor cycle to be deeper than normal, because Liquidity is sitting just above the start of the minor wave 1 and as second waves in crypto often move a bit further, I do expect them to do that here to. It is only important to keep an eye on the chart, because as Ethereum breaks the low of the minor wave 1, the scenario will be invalidated. As price evolves it is also critical that Ethereum sustainably breaks the high of the minor wave 1. Indicators for the ending of the second wave could be negative or low funding rates, a low RSI and liquidity forming above the first wave's high because traders expect the price to drop further and open leveraged positions. Speaking of liquidity, the ETF shows more outflows than inflows and on-chain data is also showing large funds distributing they're Etehreum. This could also be a part of the fifth and last wave of the cycle, where institutionals sell and the retailers being the exit liquidity.
Till next update have a successful week, see ya✌️.
Ethereum Uptrend Under Pressure, Setup in PlayETH/USD is clinging to uptrend support, providing a level that can be used to build setups around. The first thing that stands out is the inability for the price to bounce meaningfully, differentiating it from last week, at least so far. Secondly, prior to Wednesday’s bearish candle, there was a string of dojis, indicating that while the recent price action has been bearish, there’s still plenty of indecision out there as to whether the move will extend.
As things stand, momentum signals favour downside with RSI (14) and MACD shifting from neutral to bearish territory. However, marginal bullish divergence between RSI (14) and price provides an early warning signal that downside pressure may be in the process of bottoming. As such, while selling rallies and downside breaks is preferred, until one of those eventuates, there’s still opportunity to look for short-term countertrend trades.
If we see a definitive break of the April uptrend and push below the October 17 low beneath $3700, shorts could be established with a stop above either level to protect against reversal. $3500 and $2930 screen as two potential targets.
However, if the trendline continues to be defended successfully, longs could be established with a stop beneath either today’s or the October 17 low for protection. $4100 or the 50-day moving average loom as possible targets.
Good luck!
DS
Ethereum Buying OpportunityGold has seen a massive decline, and capital often seeks new strongholds during such shifts. With investors moving away from metals, crypto — particularly Ethereum — looks like an attractive alternative.
From a technical standpoint, ETH has experienced a healthy correction and is now forming a bullish wedge pattern, hinting at potential upside momentum. The structure suggests that accumulation is taking place before a possible breakout.
If the price breaks and holds above the upper trendline, a strong rally could follow, offering a potential 25% upside from current levels.
📈 Target zone: Around $4,713
💡 Setup bias: Bullish continuation after consolidation
Ethereum’s blend of solid fundamentals, renewed investor attention, and technical setup could make it one of the top assets to watch in the coming days.
ETH 30-Min – The 200MA Holds the Key
This is ETH on the 30-minute chart.
The 200MA has been the main pivot for price action lately — and it might decide the direction for the rest of the week.
Last Sunday around 08:00, price attempted to conquer the 200MA, leaving a small wick above it.
Shortly after, it flipped the 200MA into support and climbed higher into the weekly close.
Today at 00:00, ETH retested the same level, bounced again, and pushed higher until 15:30, when it lost the 50MA and started a short-term drop.
At 17:30, it found support again at the 200MA — and since then, every 30-minute candle has closed higher.
If ETH continues to hold above the 200MA, momentum could build for a move higher through the week.
Lose it, and the structure shifts back to consolidation.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
$eth 15 min , new york setup 🧠 Session-Based Liquidity & Manipulation
Asia low was swept — liquidity grab confirmed.
Price is now stabilizing above the Alligator, signaling potential reversal.
🐊 Bill Williams Alligator Signal
Alligator is coiling and turning up — bullish awakening in progress.
Price holding above lips/teeth supports long bias.
🎯 Corrected ETHUSD Trade Plan – Long Setup
Entry Zone: 3,846 – 3,850 (retest of Alligator support)
Stop Loss: 3,777 (below recent swing low — as per chart)
TP1: 3,875 (first liquidity above)
TP2: 3,900 (next HTF level & Asia high)
✅ Confirmation Needed:
Bullish candle close above 3,850.
Hold above Alligator lips (~3,840–3,845).
Volume spike on the move up.
Bottom Line:
Asia low taken, manipulation complete.
Alligator supports bullish reversal.
Long above 3,846, stop below 3,777.
— origami_capita133 | TradingView
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