ETH Correction Complete? Bullish Setup Reemerges As I mentioned in my previous ETH analysis, while my medium-term outlook remains bullish, I was anticipating a short-term correction.
That’s exactly what unfolded. After retesting the 4750 resistance zone, Ethereum began to retrace, reaching the support area just below 4300 earlier today.
Currently, the price is rebounding, and there’s a strong probability that the corrective phase has ended.
I’m now looking to re-enter long, as even a move back to the recent highs could offer a 1:2.5 risk–reward setup — a solid short-term opportunity within the broader bullish structure.
Trade ideas
$ETH 3rd Cycle the retest before parabolic.We can see that Ethereum has exhibited a similar pattern before every major bull run.
1st Cycle (2017)
Retest of the demand zone, followed by a parabolic rise.
2nd Cycle (2020)
Same structure, same momentum.
3rd Cycle (2025)
We are now back in the same zone, Pre-Parabolic phase after retest.
This is not just a correction, it will be the beginning of the next major wave of Ethereum.
$ETH Performing Ascending Channel
An ascending channel, or rising channel, is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to identify a security's ongoing uptrend. It is characterized by the price fluctuating between two parallel, upward-sloping trendlines.
Key components
Higher highs and higher lows:
The price consistently makes higher swing highs and higher swing lows over a period of time, indicating steady bullish momentum.
Parallel trendlines:
Two parallel lines are drawn to frame the price action.
Upper line (resistance):
Connects the higher swing highs. It represents the point where selling pressure is strong enough to temporarily stop the price from rising.
Lower line (support):
Connects the higher swing lows. This line indicates where buying pressure is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Bearish drop off?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 4,422.34
1st Support: 4,129.91
1st Resistance: 4,566.08
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ETH/USD — Ethereum Consolidates Below $4,450 as Bulls Defend KeyAfter reclaiming its September high near $4,752, Ethereum (ETH) faced renewed selling pressure and pulled back toward the 20-day EMA (≈ $4,400). The broader trend remains intact, but bulls must defend this area to prevent a deeper correction.
Spot Ethereum ETFs have attracted over $1.3 billion in inflows since early October, fueling optimism. However, mixed sentiment on Wall Street — including concerns that crypto treasury firms like Bitmine may struggle long term — has kept traders cautious.
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Technical Outlook
ETH/USD remains trapped in a bullish flag pattern. The upper Bollinger Band near $4,752 capped the last rally, while the lower band continues to act as short-term support.
For bulls to regain control, Ethereum needs to close above $4,443, which would open the way to $4,605, a key resistance repeatedly tested in September.
A daily close above $4,605** would confirm a breakout**, potentially sending ETH toward the confluence zone of the previous monthly high and the upper channel limit around $4,832–$4,958.
If buyers maintain momentum beyond this zone, the next Fibonacci targets are:
• $5,135 — 138% extension.
• $5,444 — 361% extension and medium-term bullish objective.
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Bearish Scenario
If ETH fails to hold $4,395 (20-day EMA) and closes below it, a deeper pullback becomes likely:
• First support: $4,293–$4,220 (50-day EMA zone).
• Next levels: $4,055 and $3,975–$3,945 (Golden Pocket).
A decisive breakdown below $3,875 would shift sentiment bearish, exposing $3,723 (78% Fibonacci) and potentially the 200-day EMA around $3,550–$3,516.
Failure to hold this region would bring $3,388–$3,365 (August low) into play as the final downside target.
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Indicators
• RSI (Daily): Back in the neutral 45–55 zone, needs to stabilize to preserve bullish potential.
• RSI (Weekly): Still holding a buy signal but trending lower.
• MACD: Momentum fading; histogram contracting near zero.
As long as RSI remains above the neutral line and the price holds the 20-day EMA, Ethereum retains potential for a Q4 recovery.
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Key Resistance: $4,443 • $4,605 • $4,752 • $4,958 • $5,135 • $5,444
Key Support: $4,395 • $4,220 • $4,055 • $3,945 • $3,875 • $3,516
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📈 Outlook: Ethereum is consolidating below resistance but remains within a bullish structure. A break above $4,605 could reignite upside momentum toward $5K+, while a drop below $4,220 risks deeper retracement toward $3.8K–$3.5K.
Time and Price Prediction for Ethereum - Canada - Toronto Time🔍 Key Chart Patterns & Structures
Head and Shoulders pattern marked at the top (with "Right Shoulder" labeled).
An ABCDE Elliott Wave structure is labeled (A to E).
Final movement projected as a G Wave toward the bottom.
📍 Major Time & Price Targets Identified
These are marked by orange labels:
Time & Price Target 1 — around 4,425 near intersection of trendlines D and e.
Time & Price Target 2 — lower target, around 4,275.
Time & Price Target 3 — higher target (~4,550), suggesting a bullish scenario.
Time & Price Target 4 — this label is duplicated at two different locations:
One around 4,275 again.
One higher near 4,425 (possibly indicating uncertainty between scenarios).
🕒 Follow Time Zones (Blue Labels)
These mark specific times to watch for possible market reactions or wave completions:
Follow Time 1–5 span from Oct 10 to Oct 11, potentially marking the development of wave E and G.
🔴 Support & Resistance Levels
4,369.17 and 4,227.06 are key horizontal price levels (likely S/R).
4,074.01 appears to be a final target for the bearish wave G.
ETHUSD 30-MIN – Holding Zone Reaction Ahead BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Market Overview
After sweeping liquidity from the upper rejection zone, ETH experienced a controlled sell-off, reaching into the strong blue holding zone. The current structure shows early signs of absorption and a potential W-shaped reversal forming. If buyers defend this area, we could see a breakout toward the 4 535 and 4 672 reaction zones. Otherwise, failure to hold this block could drive price deeper toward the yellow demand base for the next bullish reload.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 : 4 435 | 🎯 Target 2 : 4 535 | 🎯 Target 3 : 4 672
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1 : 4 250 | 🎯 Target 2 : 4 100 (deeper demand)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 : 4 435 – 4 672
Support 🟢 : 4 280 – 4 100
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
A dangerous market on the swing of a new quarterSeptember ended, a month of seasonal sales and 4 weeks of sluggish market decline, which I predicted in the last review. October and December are the months of seasonal growth in the 4th quarter, but the bears continue to hold the market. The quarter opened neutrally on the ETH. An opening above 4100 provides an opportunity for retests of 4750-5000, however, an opening below 4250 is a slightly stronger signal for a stable consolidation below 4k and an attempt to retest 3500. The current market growth is still only a retest of the 4500-4750 range before the likely continuation of sales. It will be possible to talk about the continuation of medium-term growth only with a repeated breakdown of 4750, in which case active purchases of altcoins will begin. With the current market, the probability of a further flat and a slow fall for most coins prevails. Bitcoin opened the quarter below 115k, which further increases the likelihood of a market drop with sales up to a 90-100 k retest.
The oil price also continues to fall, which negatively affects the markets. If there is a rebound in brent to $67.5-$69 in the new week, then the probability of a breakdown of $ 4750 in ether will begin to prevail. If brent falls below 64, there will be a chance of a hike to 3900 on the ETH by the end of next week.
Today, the opening level of the new week on the ETH is of great importance. When opening above 4500, the probability of a breakdown of 4750 will increase significantly and we will not see sales below 4250-350. When opening below 4500, a breakdown of 4750 will be possible only against the background of weighty arguments, extremely negative statistics on the United States or oil growth.
With the current negative market and the prevailing probability of further altcoin decline, I am still cautiously considering coins for operation. The only oversold group with the probability of growth from its current position is still the fantokens. Among them, I am considering atm city juv acm for work. These tokens do not have binance futures, which reduces the opportunities for large speculators to sell and insures against a pattern similar to alpine and asr. These tokens also have extremely high undeveloped targets on large timeframes up to 5-7 x.
ATM opened the quarter above 1.5, which is a very positive signal. After drawing the shadow on a new monthly candle with a retest of 1.35, there is a high probability of a bullish reversal of the current monthly candle with a stable approach to the 2.1-2.5 test at least. In the event of a breakdown of 2.5, further growth towards 5-7.5 will be very active. With a negative market and ether falling to 3500, there is a possibility of a delay and flat ATM with a rebound from 2.1 and growth from the second half of the quarter.
According to CITY, there is also a good quarter opening above 1.0, which can lead to stable growth on the 2.1-2.5 test this month with a further trend.
For ACM and JUV, there is also a good opening of the quarter above the supports, but the candlestick pattern on large timeframes is more negative, and therefore growth may be more sluggish after the breakouts of ATM and CITY.
Among other altcoins, so far I am considering only chess pivx and fio, which can give an increase of up to 50-70% from current levels against the background of the lack of assignment of the monitoring tag in the first week of the new month. However, the opening of the quarter for them is quite negative, which is likely to lead to new price drawdowns, especially in the event of a drop in ether. In work, it is worth keeping a moderate position with the expectation of possible drawdowns to 0.100-115 for pivx, 0.05 for chess and 0.0125-150 for fio. Topping up can be confidently done from these levels, a hike below is possible only if the monitoring tag is assigned in the following months, or there is a strong drop in ether up to 2500.
I will consider other coins to work only after the breakdown of 4750 on ether.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 8 October 2025
- Ethereum reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 4000.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed from the resistance zone located between the key resistance level 4750.00 and the round resistance level 5000.00 (which stopped sharp impulse wave (1) in August).
The resistance level 4750.00 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the nearby resistance zone, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next round support level 4000.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave 2).
ETH - Macro OutlookHere is ETH from a zoomed out perspective.
Currently ETH has double topped around its previous ATH in 2021. This is currently a very bad sign for the macro trend and could end this bull market if it is not negated (check out our last post on the lowertime frames to see how it might be possible to negate this).
Also, I have outlined something very important on the charts which are the lows since our 2022 bear market low.
We have had many Higher lows (creating an uptrend), before the tariff collapse we saw in early 2025 creating lower lows (establishing a downtrend), and since the low in April 2025 we have started a series of higher lows again (creating another uptrend).
This is important as we can still see ETH's trend is in an uptrend. The only way this could be negated and the macro double top would play out is if we break our last low which could start a series of lower lows into the bear market.
We are in Q4 of the post halving year which usually indicates market cycle tops before a 1 year bear market (according to past data), so it is very important that we pay attention to these trends at this time.
ETH - Inverse H&S PatternWanted to outline this potential pattern we have noticed on the lowertimeframes, then will zoom out and make a higher timeframe post as well.
The main range ETH has been trading in for a while now is between our red line and white line. There have only been two deviations both above and below this pattern before the range was reestablished.
If ETH is to break the $5k ATH resistance level then this bullish pattern that could be developing could give ETH the fuel to push through.
This pattern is an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is ETH can hold the levels price is currently at.
After getting rejected at our red line ETH fell to around the $4,250 level for a while creating a rounding bottom and "LEFT SHOULDER"
Price rebounded, was rejected at our red line again, and plummeted below our white line creating a lower deviation and also what we can identify as the "HEAD" of this pattern.
Price rebounded once again all the way to the red line, got rejected and now have been falling back to the $4,250 level. If we can see bulls hold this level and form the predicted "RIGHT SHOULDER" of this pattern, then the next time price visits the red line we should break through it decisively.
If that is the case, the Measured Move price target of this potential Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern would be $6k.
EthUsd - Break And Retest Short SetupKey Structure Areas:
Previous Support Zone (highlighted in green) is now acting as resistance.
Break of Structure (BOS) indicates a shift in market direction from bullish to bearish.
Target Zone marked near a prior weak low / support (S) zone.
Setup Explanation:
Break of Structure (BOS):
Price breaks below the previously strong support zone.
Signals bearish momentum and a potential trend reversal.
Retest of Support as Resistance:
After the BOS, price pulls back into the old support zone.
This zone now acts as resistance, confirming the change in polarity.
Entry Point:
The ideal entry is marked at the retest level within the resistance zone.
Candlestick reaction (e.g., rejections or wicks) confirms seller strength.
Target Area:
The target is the weak low marked with an “S” — a previous swing low that may now be liquidated or swept.
This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a short trade.
Key Trading Concepts Used:
Market Structure: BOS identifies trend change.
Support/Resistance Flip: A classic and reliable trading concept.
Liquidity Sweep Target: Going for the weak low assumes it will be tested or broken.
Potential Trade Summary:
Direction: Short / Sell
Entry: ~$4,397 (at retest of resistance zone)
Target: ~$4,343 or lower
Stop-loss: Above the resistance zone (around $4,420)
Ethereum broke below the key $4,500 levelEthereum broke below the key $4,500 level
Market Overview
Altcoins appear poised for a significant breakout as market dominance gradually shifts away from Bitcoin. The Altseason Index continues to rise, signaling that a broader altcoin rally may be approaching once again.
Ethereum Market Update
Ethereum (ETH) has declined by 3.6% in the past 24 hours, breaking below the key $4,500 level. Despite this drop, current metrics suggest the move is part of a healthy market correction rather than a structural breakdown.
The correction has triggered notable withdrawals from staking pools, reflecting temporary uncertainty among holders seeking to realize profits.
Technically, ETH has tested local support at $4,330 and is showing early signs of stabilization. The RSI is near oversold territory, suggesting that selling pressure may be easing. If the price holds above this support, a potential rebound toward the $4,500–$4,760 resistance zone could follow. However, a close below $4,330 might expose ETH to deeper retracements.
Development & Ecosystem News
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has voiced support for Kohaku’s zk-based privacy roadmap, calling it a positive step toward strengthening privacy and security across the Ethereum ecosystem.
In a post on X, Buterin emphasized that achieving full-stack privacy and data protection remains one of Ethereum’s core objectives.
Kohaku — a fork of Ambire — integrates zk-based protocols such as Railgun, designed to reduce on-chain transparency risks and encourage privacy-first wallet development. A working prototype of Kohaku will be showcased at the upcoming Ethereum Foundation Devcon, and its open-source codebase will be available for developers worldwide to build upon.
Ethereum in my mindFollowing those days ETH seems bullish in daily candels but could be that we revisit the $4,000 for the reversal trigger on a long opportunity targeting $,4,750, but first we need to hold above the $4,500 for the coming days.
But still we need to wait for a confirmation to be sure before joining a position.
Technical Analysis of a SELL Trigger – RMBS Smart Detectorthe RMBS Smart Detector identified a bearish trigger under the following conditions:
RMBS value: ‑3.7
ADX: 37 (indicating a strong trend)
Bearish crossover between short‑term and long‑term moving averages
Market structure shifting into a downtrend with previous support levels breaking
This breakdown is for educational purposes only — it explains the technical reasoning behind the bearish trigger as well as the market context at the time.
It does not provide trade recommendations or promise any specific outcome.
🔍 You can explore and try the " RMBS Smart Detector " script directly from my TradingView profile – available in the “Scripts” section.
inverse head and shoulder buildingi dont see the problem?
ethereum has hit the long term channel bottom that been lasting since april on 25 sept $3840.
After hitting this bottom ethereum has rallyed 24%.
now ethereum is taking a breath of that rally and is nearing the $4276 support zone wich is also the 0.5fib zone.
i expect ethereum to find support here or a little above as we are in the golden fib zone.
even if the 0.5 fib zone does not hold we still have the 0.61 fib zone wich is also at the bottom of the channel again.
if we find support at the 4260 zone we are also at the bottom of the left shoulder of the inverse head and shoulders forming.
if we reverse there we are looking at another jump back to the 4750 zone and then watching for a inverse head and shoulders breakout wich has a target of psychological level $6000
Of course. Here is a technical analysis of Ethereum (ETH) in EngOf course. Here is a technical analysis of Ethereum (ETH) in English:
Ethereum is currently consolidating at a critical technical juncture. On the daily chart, the price has been contained within a $3,400 to $3,750 range, forming a tightening pattern that often precedes a significant volatility expansion.
Key moving averages are clustered tightly. The 30-day EMA (around $3,550**) and the 60-day EMA (around **$3,520) are providing a dynamic equilibrium point, but their convergence indicates a lack of strong directional momentum. The MACD histogram is flatlining near zero, with its lines intertwined, reflecting a market in perfect balance. The RSI is neutral, oscillating in the mid-40s to mid-50s, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
The immediate and crucial resistance is the range high at $3,750**; a decisive break above this level could trigger a rally towards the key psychological barrier of **$4,000. On the downside, the $3,400** level is paramount, acting as both a psychological and a technical support, closely aligned with the 100-day moving average. A breakdown below this support could open a path toward **$3,200.
Volume has been conspicuously low during this consolidation, underscoring market indecision. The current setup is a classic springboard, coiled for a directional move. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout with increasing volume before committing to a significant position.






















