From 4800 Highs to 3850 Lows – ETH Eyes RecoveryAfter a fresh test of the 4800 zone in mid-September, ETH started to decline, with the selloff accelerating after September 22nd, in line with the broader crypto market weakness.
The drop broke below the 4100 technical support and even under the psychological 4K mark, sending price as low as 3850.
Yesterday, however, ETH managed to recover part of the losses and climbed back above 4K, a positive sign for the bulls.
From a structural point of view, the overall trend remains strongly bullish, and I see this move as nothing more than a correction and a hunt for liquidity at lower levels.
Trading Outlook:
• In the coming days, I expect ETH to reclaim the 4100 zone, turning the breakdown into a false break.
• If that happens, the door opens for upside continuation, with potential to retest 4500 and even challenge the 4800 resistance again.
• For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for confirmation before taking a new position.
Trade ideas
How Blockchain Transforms Trading Systems1. Understanding Blockchain: The Foundation
Before analyzing its impact on trading, it is important to understand what blockchain is:
Decentralization – Traditional trading systems rely on centralized exchanges, brokers, and clearinghouses. Blockchain distributes data across a network of nodes, reducing dependence on single intermediaries.
Immutability – Once a transaction is recorded on a blockchain, it cannot be altered or deleted, providing an incorruptible ledger of trades.
Transparency – Transactions are visible to network participants (depending on whether the chain is public or permissioned), reducing information asymmetry.
Smart Contracts – Self-executing codes stored on the blockchain that automatically perform actions when predefined conditions are met.
Cryptographic Security – Transactions are secured by advanced encryption, minimizing the risks of fraud and cyberattacks.
These characteristics collectively enable blockchain to redefine the architecture of trading systems, moving away from reliance on trust in intermediaries toward trust in code and consensus.
2. Traditional Trading Systems: The Current Limitations
To appreciate blockchain’s transformative role, one must examine the pain points of existing trading infrastructure:
Intermediation Costs – Trades typically involve brokers, exchanges, custodians, clearinghouses, and settlement agencies. Each adds complexity, time, and fees.
Settlement Delays – Equity trades often follow T+2 (trade date + 2 days) settlement cycles, tying up capital and increasing counterparty risk.
Counterparty Risk – Trust in intermediaries is necessary, but systemic failures (e.g., 2008 financial crisis) expose vulnerabilities.
Lack of Transparency – Order books, OTC transactions, and derivative trades are often opaque, leading to information asymmetry and sometimes manipulation.
Cross-Border Complexity – International trades face additional hurdles: currency conversion, regulatory compliance, and time zone mismatches.
Cybersecurity Risks – Centralized exchanges present attractive targets for hackers, as seen in multiple data breaches worldwide.
Blockchain addresses these weaknesses by eliminating redundant intermediaries, accelerating settlement, reducing systemic risk, and ensuring transparent records.
3. Blockchain’s Direct Impact on Trading Systems
3.1 Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs)
Unlike centralized exchanges, DEXs operate on blockchain networks, enabling peer-to-peer trading without intermediaries. Benefits include:
Direct control of funds by traders (custody remains with the owner until trade execution).
Lower fees due to reduced intermediary layers.
Global accessibility with no geographic restrictions.
Examples: Uniswap, SushiSwap, PancakeSwap, which allow crypto token trading without central oversight.
3.2 Tokenization of Assets
Blockchain enables real-world assets (stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities) to be tokenized into digital representations. This leads to:
Fractional ownership – Small investors can own fractions of high-value assets like real estate.
Liquidity creation – Traditionally illiquid assets (art, infrastructure) become tradable in secondary markets.
24/7 markets – Unlike stock exchanges, tokenized assets can trade continuously.
3.3 Instant Settlement and Clearing
Through blockchain, settlement can shift from T+2 to T+0, reducing capital lock-ups and eliminating counterparty risk. Smart contracts automatically transfer ownership and funds simultaneously.
3.4 Increased Transparency
All participants can view transaction history, reducing insider advantages and manipulation risks. Regulators also benefit from real-time auditing capabilities.
3.5 Reduced Costs
By removing brokers, custodians, and clearinghouses, blockchain significantly reduces transaction costs and administrative overhead.
4. Blockchain in Different Asset Classes
4.1 Equities
Tokenized shares on blockchain can be traded peer-to-peer.
Startups like tZERO and Polymath are working on blockchain-based equity issuance and trading.
Companies can issue security tokens directly to investors, bypassing traditional IPO channels.
4.2 Commodities
Commodity trades (gold, oil, agricultural products) can be tracked via blockchain for provenance verification.
Tokenized commodities reduce the need for paper-based contracts and increase liquidity.
4.3 Derivatives
Smart contracts automate execution of options, futures, and swaps.
Margin calls and settlements can be programmed into blockchain, reducing disputes.
4.4 Foreign Exchange
Blockchain-based stablecoins and CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) allow for instant, low-cost cross-border currency trades.
This disrupts the $6.6 trillion-a-day forex market.
4.5 Real Estate & Alternative Assets
Tokenization enables fractional ownership of properties, infrastructure projects, and private equity.
Platforms like RealT already allow investors to buy tokenized shares in rental properties.
5. Blockchain and Market Infrastructure
5.1 Clearing and Settlement
Traditionally, clearinghouses manage post-trade processes. With blockchain, clearing and settlement occur simultaneously, reducing systemic risks.
5.2 Custody and Record-Keeping
Blockchain acts as a self-updating ledger, replacing third-party custodians. Ownership is cryptographically verifiable.
5.3 Compliance and Regulation
Blockchain enables real-time auditing, AML/KYC compliance, and traceability of funds. Regulators can gain direct access to immutable transaction histories.
5.4 Liquidity Pools
DEXs use automated market makers (AMMs) to create liquidity pools, replacing traditional order books. This enables continuous liquidity provision without centralized intermediaries.
6. Advantages of Blockchain in Trading
Speed – Settlement cycles reduce from days to seconds.
Cost-Efficiency – Lower reliance on intermediaries reduces fees.
Security – Cryptographic protection minimizes fraud and hacks.
Accessibility – Retail traders worldwide can access tokenized markets with just an internet connection.
Transparency – Publicly verifiable ledgers increase trust.
Programmability – Smart contracts enable complex trading strategies to run automatically.
Global Integration – Seamless cross-border trading with digital assets and stablecoins.
7. Challenges and Risks
Despite its promise, blockchain in trading faces hurdles:
7.1 Regulatory Uncertainty
Different jurisdictions classify blockchain assets differently (security, commodity, currency).
Lack of harmonized regulation limits global adoption.
7.2 Scalability Issues
Blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum face throughput limitations.
High transaction volumes in equity or forex markets may exceed current blockchain capacities.
7.3 Security Concerns
While blockchain itself is secure, DEXs and smart contracts are vulnerable to hacks and exploits.
Private keys remain a weak point in custody solutions.
7.4 Market Manipulation
Low-liquidity tokens are prone to pump-and-dump schemes.
Automated systems can amplify volatility.
7.5 Integration with Legacy Systems
Traditional financial institutions still run on decades-old infrastructure.
Transitioning to blockchain requires significant time, cost, and cultural change.
8. Case Studies
8.1 ASX (Australian Securities Exchange)
Announced blockchain adoption for clearing and settlement (replacing CHESS).
Although delayed, it reflects serious institutional interest.
8.2 DTCC (Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, USA)
Testing blockchain for derivatives clearing, handling billions of trades annually.
8.3 JPMorgan Onyx Platform
Uses blockchain for intraday repo transactions and wholesale payments.
8.4 Uniswap and DeFi Platforms
Over $1 trillion in trading volume executed on blockchain-based DEXs.
9. The Future of Blockchain Trading Systems
Looking ahead, blockchain will likely lead to:
Tokenized Securities Becoming Mainstream – Equities, bonds, and ETFs will exist in tokenized forms.
Global 24/7 Markets – Traditional trading hours will be obsolete.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) – Official digital currencies will integrate into trading platforms.
Automated Smart Derivatives – Entire derivatives contracts will self-execute via code.
Hybrid Exchanges – Combining centralized compliance with decentralized efficiency.
AI + Blockchain Trading – AI algorithms may interact directly with blockchain-based liquidity pools.
10. Conclusion
Blockchain represents a paradigm shift in trading systems. It reimagines the way markets operate by replacing intermediaries with decentralized networks, creating transparency where opacity ruled, and enabling instant settlement where delays were common. By tokenizing assets, blockchain democratizes access to investments, opening global markets to small investors and reducing inefficiencies that have plagued finance for centuries.
Yet, the journey is far from smooth. Scalability, regulation, and integration remain critical challenges. However, just as the internet transformed communication and e-commerce, blockchain is set to transform trading into a faster, cheaper, and more inclusive ecosystem.
The transformation will not happen overnight, but the trajectory is clear: the trading systems of tomorrow will be built on blockchain foundations.
$ETH is trading around $4,000 after hitting the $4,800–5,000 $ CRYPTOCAP:ETH is trading around $4,000 after hitting the $4,800–5,000 resistance zone I mentioned in my last update. As expected, a short-term correction is playing out toward $3,500–$3,200, with possible extension to $3,100, where I’ll be looking to buy again. My bullish targets remain around $5,000 and $6,000, and I’ll share timely updates as the setup develops.
Crypto Market Collapse Just The Beginning!The crypto market has collapsed — but this could just be the beginning.
In this video, I break down my ICT analysis on total market cap, Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH).
Here’s what I cover:
- Why this collapse isn’t a surprise
- The key levels I’m watching for BTC and ETH
- Scenarios for both a deeper move down and a possible bounce
- Why patience is critical until the weekly and monthly closures confirm direction
This is not about panic — it’s about understanding structure, liquidity, and how to wait for the market to give us clarity.
👉 Do you think this collapse is just starting, or will we bounce from here? Comment below and let’s discuss.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoCrash #ICTTrading #CryptoAnalysis
Eth USD SELL Trade Today🔻 ETHUSD Short Setup – Entry: 3965
Ethereum is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3965 resistance zone, setting up for a potential intraday pullback. Key bearish signals include:
- 🔸 Double top formation around 3965
- 🔸 Bearish divergence on RSI (1H/4H)
- 🔸 Volume drop on recent push
- 🔸 Rejection from upper Bollinger Band
📉 Trade Plan:
- Entry: 3965
- Stop Loss: 4005 (above resistance)
- Take Profit Zones: 3900 / 3840 / 3785
ETH to 40k? 2020-21 Fractal PRESS PLAYWhy?
-meme stock mania redux
-stock market bottoms 6 months before economy (April bottom + 6 = October)
-wyckoff accumulation after sign of strength breakout
New
-deregulation of crypto
-staking of ETH ETFs
-RISC-V future, lighter.xyz, zero knowledge proofs
-layer 2 execution to offload retail flow
press play!
fib lines and PLAY idea inspired by @ScottScotty cheers!
ETH – Eyeing $3.3k Sweep Before Loading LongETH has broken down from its recent range, showing lower highs and consistent selling pressure. I’m watching for one more leg lower into the $3,300 area.
Why $3,300?
A clean sweep here would trap shorts and flush out late longs, setting the stage for a strong bounce.
Setup Plan:
Short-term bias: Bearish, expecting continuation lower into ~$3,300
Will not long until we get a reaction at that level
Long trigger: Strong bounce/reversal signals at $3,300 zone
Targets on the bounce: $3,500 → $3,650 → $3,800
Stop loss: Below $3,250
ETH likely has one more dip before setting up for a cleaner move higher. Patience pays here.
$ETH Market OutlookCRYPTOCAP:ETH Market Outlook
Ethereum is currently consolidating, with a critical downside level at $4,000.
If $4,000 does not hold, the next supports are $3,500 and $2,400.
The $2,400 scenario remains highly unlikely, as it would imply a full retracement of the previous rally. In contrast, a pullback to $3,500 represents a 50% correction of the last upward move—a realistic outcome that would signal a temporary setback rather than a trend reversal, potentially setting the stage for continued upside momentum.
At present, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is trading within a range and sitting near the midpoint. Should this level break, the bottom of the range becomes the next logical target.
⚠️ Always DYOR.
ETH chartETH: Testing previous trendline resistance (green trendline, which is off previous ATH) at the moment. If it breaks, I'm looking to add if price drops to the 3350-3100 levels.
Channel bottom +
AVWAP off recent lows +
Aug Low (untested level)
The 200 & 333 SMAs are below the channel bottom and could act as support if there's a channel overshoot to the downside.
Ethereum (ETHUSD) Nearing Support, Ready for a TurnaroundThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for Ethereum (ETHUSD) indicates that the cycle from the August 24, 2025 peak continues to unfold as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. From that peak, wave A concluded at $4,214.14, followed by a wave B rally that reached $4,770.92. Ethereum then turned lower in wave C, which is developing as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Within wave C, wave ((i)) ended at $4,429.03, and the subsequent rally in wave ((ii)) peaked at $4,649.37.
The cryptocurrency has since extended lower in wave ((iii)), hitting $4,074.40, with wave ((iv)) concluding at $4,208.33. Currently, wave ((v)) is underway and appears mature, suggesting it could end soon. As long as the pivot at $4,770.92 remains intact, further downside is possible. The target for wave C can be calculated using the 100% to 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave A, measured from the August 24, 2025 peak. This projects a range of $3,553.64 to $4,013.04. Once Ethereum reaches this zone, it could reverse higher or at least rally in three waves. Traders should monitor this area for potential buying opportunities, as it may signal the end of the current corrective phase and the start of a new upward move.
Bullish reversal off pullback support?The Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 3,858.23
1st Support: 3,724.88
1st Resistance: 4,111.35
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
$ETH stop loss TRIGGERED, the BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern pops upCRYPTOCAP:ETH hit my STOP LOSS at $3895, oh well.
It was a bloody day all over the market and including the stock markets, even #Tesla declined by 4.5%.
But CRYPTOCAP:ETH fights on, not yet oversold on RSI so room for further bleeding, definitely.
WAVE C corrective move could drop the price as low as $3563, before the next impulse wave upwards takes place. Downtrend on the DAILY, first one for half-a-year now.
Leverage has been cleared and now most of it are shorts. Liquidity all the way up to the ATH. And nothing much below down to $3000. So, there is that, too.
Very mixed signals.
Bullish BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern popped up and it would be a good base to find a long entry on shorter timeframes, but the CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance has been too bullish this week for us to long too much💙👽
FLASH CRASH stink orders, why not:
LONG limit orders at:
$3571 and a half-sized one at $3711.
EthUSD BUy 3900🟢 ETHUSD Long Setup – Buy Zone: 3900
Ethereum is showing signs of bullish continuation after a corrective dip into the 3900 support zone. This level aligns with:
- 🔹 Previous demand zone and horizontal support
- 🔹 Bullish divergence on RSI (1H/4H)
- 🔹 Trendline bounce from ascending channel
- 🔹 Volume spike confirming buyer interest
📈 Trade Plan:
- Entry: 3900
- Stop Loss: 3845 (below structure)
- Take Profit Zones: 3980 / 4050 / 4125+
This setup favors momentum traders looking to catch the next leg up. Keep an eye on BTC correlation and macro news for volatility spikes.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 25 September 2025
- Ethereum broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 3714.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently broke the support area between the key support level 4090.00 (which stopped the previous corrections 4 and A) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from the start of August.
The breakout of this ssupport area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave C of the intermediate ABC correction (4) from the end of August.
Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to fall further to the next support level 3714.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
ETHEREUM NEXT DUMP COMING✅ Ethereum has made a massive increase in the past 172 days with over 255%. what comes next after such an increase. from the chat, we can see that Ethereum got rejected from the $4955 level that was the previous high, what we should be expecting from Ethereum right now is a drop to the $3700 to $3300 as these areas stands as a key support level in the market.
📝 Note that if Ethereum fails to how these levels, we could see a massive drop in price to the $2900 level as this is a very good demand zone and it lines up with the 200 EMA which makes these area very significant.
📌 Indicator wise, we can see that Ethereum is trading below the 50 EMA which is very critical for the price, also if we look as the weekly MACD, we can see that it is reducing momentum to the down which we need to take very seriously.
🚨Based on the daily time frame, what we should be expecting is price retrace-ment
to the $4500 price level, this area is a good point of interest and also a supply zone that we need to see Ethereum retest this zone before any further move can be confirmed in the market.
⛔️NOT THIS IS JUST PERSONAL OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DYOR.
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