Ethereum Breakout – From Crash to Bull Run, History Repeats?Hello Traders!
Ethereum has once again confirmed a major breakout after years of consolidation. If we study its past cycles, we can see a repeated pattern: deep crashes, long consolidation, and then explosive rallies. The current setup looks no different.
Cycle 1: 2017–2020
ETH crashed nearly 93% , shaking out weak hands.
After 18 months of consolidation , it broke out strongly.
Result → A massive 1760% bull run .
Cycle 2: 2021–2023
ETH faced another 78% crash during the bear market.
This time, consolidation lasted around 46 months .
Breakout again led to a solid bull phase.
Cycle 3: 2025 (Current)
ETH has confirmed a weekly close above resistance – signaling breakout.
Strong volume support adds conviction.
Projection suggests a move toward $16,500+ , about 318% potential upside .
But remember: invalidation if ETH closes below $3,500–3,800 .
Why This Matters
Ethereum doesn’t just move randomly – it moves in cycles . Each cycle has followed the same sequence:
Crash → Consolidation → Breakout → Bull Run
If history repeats, we may be witnessing the early stages of another explosive cycle.
Rahul’s Tip
Always respect both sides of the market. Big targets look exciting, but risk management is everything. Mark your invalidation levels, and never forget: every bull run starts with patience during consolidation .
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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Trade ideas
#ETH/USDT –> Falling Wedge Breakout Within Ascending Channel#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 4500, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 4485.
Entry price: 4525
First target: 4545
Second target: 4573
Third target: 4604
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
"Ethereum/Dollar – Breakout Confirmed, Eyes on $4,830 Target"The ETHUSD 4H chart illustrates a **strong bullish breakout** from a prolonged **consolidation area** that followed a downward trend. The price action confirms a **break of structure** with a clear move above the **descending trendline** and the formation of a **"break order"**, signaling bullish momentum.
After accumulating in a tight range, Ethereum surged upward, breaking through multiple resistance levels and validating **key targets**. The chart defines upside
**target zone** based on price action and historical resistance:
* Target / Sellers Ground: $4,827.83 – $4,830.26
This final target area is marked as “Sellers Ground”, where potential profit-taking or short interest may increase, making it a key zone to watch for reversal or consolidation.
The chart also outlines the **“Immediate Zone”** around $4,215.18 and a strong **Buyers Area** near $4,062.24, which served as the base for the recent bullish move. The price is currently approaching overbought territory, so caution near the final target is advised.
Trade strategically and Find Setup with patience.
ETH Will HIT ATH very soon !!!! ETH is the future that will accompany BITCOIN besides Solana, because ETH has the strongest ecosystem and has been strongly supported by institutions this time. what's more after Tom Lee with his BMNR continues to add support for ETH price, my target may be too low this time. but I believe ETH price is at least 1/2 of bitcoin market cap.
Why ETH Rejected $4,955 & May make a new High at $5,500This is just for educational purposes and not a signal.
This Trend-based extension analysis is just to demonstrate why price rejected at $4,955.
You can also see how many time price resisted the 0.382 and the trend line within the Fib tool before the final breakout post-ATH.
You can also see the reaction at 0.618 with the previous day's very aggressive Bullish candle.
This explains how important 0.382, 0.618 & 0.5 fib levels are.
I hope this analysis helps
ETHUSD / – Bullish Breakout from Consolidation Zone!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has broken out of a well-defined consolidation area , as seen on the 4-hour chart. After a prolonged period of sideways movement between approximately $4,214.58 and $4,460, price action has decisively moved upward, signaling increased bullish momentum.
Key Zones:
*Buyers Area: Around $4,062.24 – previously respected as a support zone.
*Immediate Zone: Near $4,214.58 – acted as a base before the breakout.*Sellers Ground:** From $4,828.89 up to the recent high of $4,955.90– potential resistance area based on prior price rejection.
Targets Ahead:
The breakout has created a bullish structure with potential short-term targets at:
Target 1: $4,599.86
Target 2: $4,659.79
Target 3: $4,728.29
These levels are marked based on historical price action and Fibonacci alignments.
Technical Notes:
Break Order: A breakout move above the consolidation zone, supported by higher lows and stronger bullish candles.
Trendline Support: A rising trendline is supporting the current bullish structure.
Market sentiment appears to have shifted favorably following the breakout.
This chart is for educational and illustrative purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade.
Ethereum Liquidity Sweep Setup for Bullish Continuation📊 Market Analysis Report – ETHUSD
The market has been consolidating within a range after a strong impulsive move down, followed by a period of liquidity sweeps and corrective structure. Price action shows signs of engineered liquidity grabs both above and below recent highs and lows, which indicates smart money activity.
Currently, ETH is transitioning from a compression phase into expansion. The accumulation zone formed in recent sessions suggests a build-up for a larger move. The market appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep to the downside before a potential continuation upward, aligning with the projected path on the chart.
From a structural perspective, the overall cycle points towards bullish continuation after this corrective phase. The projected liquidity sweep is designed to trap early sellers before price accelerates towards higher objectives.
ETH Weekly Chart Update Here’s a breakdown of Ethereum / USD (ETH/USDT, Weekly – Binance, Heikin Ashi) chart:
Trend & Structure
Macro Trend: ETH has been in a strong bullish uptrend since late 2022, recovering from the $800–$1,000 range and pushing toward $4,600+.
Key Resistance: Around $4,950–$5,000 (previous ATH zone from 2021). This level is acting as a major test — a breakout here could confirm continuation to new highs.
Support Levels:
Short-term: $4,200–$4,300 (recent consolidation zone).
Deeper pullback support: $3,500–$3,600 (prior breakout area).
Momentum Indicators (WT Cross / Stoch)
Oscillator is in overbought territory (above 50–60 range) but still pushing upward — this indicates strong bullish momentum but also risk of short-term correction if buyers slow down.
The green signals show momentum continuation, but caution is warranted as we’re near resistance.
Volume
Weekly volume is steady but not at peak levels, suggesting the move may need more accumulation to convincingly break $5,000.
✅ Bullish Case: If ETH breaks and closes above $5,000 on the weekly, it opens the door for price discovery, with next psychological targets around $6,500–$7,000.
⚠️ Bearish Case: Failure to break $5,000 could trigger a retracement back to $4,200 or even $3,600 before another attempt.
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Disclosures:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any securities, cryptocurrencies, or stocks. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
ETHUSD bullish sideways consolidation supported at 4,100The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025- Ethereum reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 4750.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support area located at the intersection of the support level 4250.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of August), 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this from the support area (strengthened by the two intersecting up channels) started the active wave B.
Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 4750.00 (target for the completion of the active wave B.).
ETH USD SELL NOW 4510ETHUSD SELL @ 4510
ETHUSD – Bearish Setup at 4510 | Reversal Play
Ethereum has reached a key resistance zone near 4510, where price action shows signs of exhaustion and rejection. Momentum indicators are flashing bearish divergence, and volume is fading—setting up a clean short opportunity.
📌 Trade Parameters
- Entry: 4510
- Stop Loss: 4550 (above resistance wick)
- Take Profit: 4400 (near support zone)
- Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.75:1
📊 Technical Confluence
- Bearish divergence on RSI
- MACD histogram fading after bullish impulse
- Rejection from upper trendline
- Volume drop on bullish candles
- Lower high structure forming on 1H chart
💬 Trade Narrative
ETHUSD has rallied into a resistance zone but failed to break above 4510 with strength. This setup targets a retracement toward 4400, with tight risk above 4550. If price breaks below 4475, expect acceleration toward the target. Setup remains valid unless bulls reclaim 4550+ with volume.
This trade favors short-term tactical execution, especially with BTC showing signs of consolidation and broader crypto sentiment cooling off.
📣 Trader’s Note:
Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes (15M/1H). If price breaks below 4475 with momentum, consider trailing stop or scaling in.
ETH UPDATEMy former analysis of ETH touch my support and resistance twice total %10 at least %5
But unfortunately it wasnt my path I expected direct and strong candles but we couldnt stay over the resistance and fall twice this may be sign for not the push my main target (red box)
Now we will see third one but if we fail again It wont be good for ETH. I will active my second order if I see weakness So you may want to close all your positions when we hit full target, after TP1 put stop loss to break even and wait this is your choice I will let you know for other uptades keep following
Always manage your own risks this is not a investment advise I am not responsible neither your loss nor profit.
ETH Bulls Target $5,200 Next — Is $5,500 Around the Corner?ETH looks like it’s exiting a sideways/accumulation band and moving back into a bullish regime on the 4-hour chart. The structure recently shifted from range-bound to higher lows → higher highs, which is the first quality check for a sustainable push higher. The move is not yet a blow-off — it’s a controlled attempt to reclaim higher resistance.
On the chart I see three clean bands to treat differently:
• Near-term supply (resistance) sits just under ~$4,950 and extends to ~$5,200. Price has to clear and hold above this zone to confirm a larger breakout and give bulls runway to $5,500+.
• Immediate control / pivot is roughly the present area near $4,500–$4,550 (where buyers re-entered). This zone now acts as short-term support if price holds.
• Lower structural demand is near $4,220 (primary invalidation for this bullish thesis) and below that $3,940 is the deeper cushion where previous buyers stepped in strongly.
Price behavior to watch: a clean 4H close above $4,950 with follow-through opens the path to $5,200; failure there (rejection on heavy tails) turns the move into a “bull trap” and would require caution. Conversely, a breakdown and decisive 4H close below $4,220 invalidates the bullish plan and suggests revisiting lower structural supports.
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Level-by-level careful analysis (why each matters)
• $4,220 (primary support / invalidation) — multiple prior reactions here: a daily/4H close below this suggests sellers regained control and the bullish case fails. Use this as your hard invalidation.
• $4,500 – $4,550 (current control / entry zone) — recent buyers defended this band; it’s where new longs are being accumulated. A hold/clean bounce here is a good risk-controlled entry region.
• $4,950 (first major resistance) — the choke point. This is where supply historically clustered; a close above with volume / hourly follow-through confirms breakout. Partial profit-taking is logical here even if continuation follows.
• $5,200 (secondary resistance / breakout confirmation) — significant supply cluster; a sustained break here targets extension to $5,500+.
• $3,940 (deep support / liquidity pool) — if price collapses through $4,220 this is the next magnet where buyers likely re-appear.
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Numeric recap (all important numbers — copy/paste friendly)
• Current price area to watch: $4,500 – $4,550
• Hard invalidation (stop area): $4,220
• Short-term target / TP1: $4,950
• Breakout confirmation zone / TP2: $5,200
• Extended target / TP3: $5,500+
• Deeper demand if invalidated: $3,940
Estimated risk/reward (if entry ~$4,520 & SL $4,220):
• Risk = $300 (4,520 − 4,220)
• Reward to TP1 = $430 → R:R ≈ 1.43 : 1
• Reward to TP2 = $680 → R:R ≈ 2.27 : 1
• Reward to TP3 = $980 → R:R ≈ 3.27 : 1
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📈 Trade setup (bullets only)
• Entry: buy $4,500 – $4,550 (prefer a constructive 4H bounce inside this zone)
• Stop-loss: $4,220 (clean 4H close below = invalidation)
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): $4,950 → take 30–40% off
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): $5,200 → take another 30–40%; move remaining to breakeven
• Take Profit 3 (TP3): $5,500+ → leave a small runner, trail stop under 4H higher lows
• Trailing stop plan: after TP1, trail SL to breakeven; after TP2, trail SL under each successive 4H higher low or use 1.5× ATR(20,4H) for dynamic trailing
• Risk per trade: keep at 1–2% of account equity; size position so $300 risk equals your dollar risk cap
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Execution & risk notes (brief)
• Prefer confirmation: either a clean 4H bounce from $4,500–4,550 or a clean 4H close above $4,950 (for breakout entries).
• Expect whipsaws near $4,950; partials at TP1 reduce exposure to false breakouts.
• If macro events/US data are due, reduce size or wait for post-event clarity — ETH can gap around high-impact crypto or macro news.
• Re-evaluate if price closes below $4,220 on 4H — cut and re-plan.
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