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ETH/USDT — Comprehensive EW & Fib RoadmapETH/USDT — Comprehensive EW & Fib Roadmap **Structure:** From the **Jun ’22 bear-market low → Mar ’24** forms **A/3**; **Apr ’25** prints **B/4**. Since April we’re advancing in **daily Wave C**, now focusing on **(iv)–(v)** completion toward terminal levels. This continues my earlier public idea/thread on ETH’s multi-degree terminal advance. --- 1) Multi-timeframe context * **Primary count:** Weekly corrective **A–B–C** from ATH with the current leg = **Wave C**. Within it, daily is progressing to finish **Wave (v) of C** (terminal risk once complete). Core EW rules/guidelines (no W2 > 100% of W1; W3 not the shortest; W4 typically avoids W1 territory; alternation) frame the count and invalidations. ( ) * **Fibonacci basis:** Using standard retracement/extension clusters (0.382/0.5 retraces; 1.618/2.0 extensions) for targets and pullback zones. --- 2) 2025 zoom-in (from the Apr ’25 **B/4** low) * We have a completed **(i)–(iii)** push into the **Aug ’25 high ≈ $4,956** (marked **Wave 3** on the chart). * **Wave (iv)** most likely **bottomed 10 Oct ’25 ≈ $3,429**, landing in the blue retrace box (**0.382 ≈ $3,575**; **0.5 ≈ $3,233**). * From that low, price carved a fresh **1–2** to the upside → launching pad for **③ of (v)** toward terminal targets (bearish reversal risk once (v) completes). *(All levels and labels are taken from the provided chart screenshots.)* --- 3) Confluence zones & path to completion * **Resistance pivots from prior swings:** **1.618 ≈ $4,528.7** then **2.0 ≈ $5,099**. * **Terminal target cluster for (v) of C:** * **$5,900** (first box edge), * **$6,447** (upper confluence), * **$8,731** (stretch/throw-over if momentum overshoots). These align with typical EW/Fib projections for a terminal wave; diagonals often end with throw-overs and sharp reversals thereafter. --- 4) Risk management & invalidation * **Structure invalidation of the immediate 1–2→3:** sustained break **below $3,200–$3,180** (beneath 0.5 box & October spike-low context) = defer (v) and expect a deeper/complex (iv). * **Momentum tell:** A push into the $5.9k–$6.45k band with fading momentum/divergence would fit terminal behavior; diagonals frequently reverse hard after completion. --- 5) Alternate (lower-probability) * If price closes **below $3,429** and holds, treat the current advance as incomplete corrective work; wait for a **new 1–2** before re-engaging on the long side. (Rule-based posture per EW hard rules/guidelines.) --- ## Trade Idea (non-advice; execution-ready) **Bias:** Long the **1–2** base for a run into the terminal cluster, then de-risk into strength. **Entry (Option A — pullback ladder):** * **$3,575 → $3,233** (0.382–0.5 “blue box”). Scale in 3–4 tranches. **Entry (Option B — confirmation add):** * Add on decisive **daily close > $4,529** (1.618 pivot) targeting the $5.1k box next. **Stop / Invalidation:** * Hard stop **$3,180** (beneath the 0.5 box & Oct spike low). Re-assess if hit. **Targets / Scale-out plan:** * **T1:** **$5,100** (2.0 ext / prior resistance). * **T2:** **$5,900** (terminal box edge). * **T3:** **$6,447** (upper confluence). * **Stretch:** **$8,731** only if momentum remains strong (take partials aggressively; diagonals can “throw-over” then snap back). ( ) **Position sizing & management:** * Risk **≤1–2%** of equity per idea; trail under higher lows once price converts **$4,529** to support; aggressively reduce above **$5.9k** if momentum divergences appear. ( ) --- Reference / Continuation This analysis continues my prior ETH terminal-advance roadmap on TradingView; review for the higher-timeframe diagonal context and publishing notes. ( ) --- Disclosure Educational analysis only; **not financial advice**. Risk per trade **≤ 1–2%**.
Long
by WaveFibs
1
ETH/USDT | Ethereum Rebounds Strongly – Eyes on $5K Next!By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, price continued to rise and reached as high as $4,200. It is currently trading around $3,800, and if it can hold above this level, we could expect further upside movement. The next potential bullish targets are $4,300, $4,500, $5,000, and $5,500. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
Ethereum Market AnalysisEthereum Market Analysis Introduction Hello dear traders! In this analysis, I have updated the status of the popular Ethereum chart In the previous analysis, for Ethereum on a long-term basis, we identified the CHoCH (Change of Character) trend change with precision and specified the best buy zone. { Ideal time to buy with Confirmation }. According to our forecast, after the price enters the buy zone, the market moved up to the main target, which was the old high. Now this is a daily analysis and it shows us the small upward steps. My analysis is very simple and straightforward, and there is no need for further explanation. If the CHoCH trend changes in the daily analysis, I will present a new analysis to you. Wishing you success and enjoy. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the cryptocurrency market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
Short
by fereydoon1199
Can Short-Term Holders Rescue Ethereum From a Drop to $3,500?At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $3,846, holding just above the $3,802 support level. The altcoin king is likely to remain rangebound as market conditions show limited volatility. Ethereum’s price currently fluctuates between $4,154 and $3,802. This consolidation range could persist in the coming sessions, with ETH possibly retesting resistance if short-term momentum returns. However, if bearish conditions intensify and Ethereum loses the $3,802 support, a further drop could follow. A breakdown below this level may send the price under $3,742 and toward $3,500, invalidating the bullish thesis and signaling deeper market weakness ahead.
by BeInCrypto
ETH - Ping-Pong Between The Rails!📦Ethereum keeps respecting a neat descending channel on 4H📦: repeated rejections from the upper rail (red arrows) and clean bounces from the lower rail (blue arrows). After the latest tap of the lower boundary, ETH is attempting a rebound within the range. 🏹 As long as the lower rail holds, I’ll look for continuation toward the mid-channel first, then the upper boundary. If momentum accelerates, the structure high near 4,265 becomes the key level to reclaim for a larger push. ⚔️A 4H close back below 3,642 would weaken the setup and open the door for a deeper retest toward 3,300, where the broader defense sits. In short: trend-following longs from the lower rail, manage partials into the mid-range, and keep eyes on the upper rail for the next decision point. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
ETH Weekly Setup: Confluent Support Zone - $3440–Bounce Incoming📈 ETH/USDT – Weekly Timeframe Bullish Confluence Multiple technical factors aligning for a potential bounce in Ethereum: ✅ Triangle Breakout + Retest – Price retesting the upper trendline of a multi-month symmetrical triangle after a clean breakout. Classic continuation setup. ✅ Fibonacci .618 Support – The golden ratio level (~$3400–$3500 zone) has historically acted as strong dynamic support. Bounces from .618 are high-probability in trending markets. ✅ RSI at 50 Support & Retest – Weekly RSI holding the midline (50) as support. This level often marks the transition from correction to resumption of uptrend. ✅ Higher High Structure Intact – Weekly timeframe still printing higher highs. As long as $3240 holds on close, macro uptrend remains valid. ✅ Triple Bottom Formation – Price has tested ~$3440 three times in recent weeks. Triple bottoms at key levels often precede strong reversals. 🎯 Expected Move: Bounce toward prior swing high (~$4000–$4200) if support holds. ⚠️ Invalidation: Weekly close below $3240 – would break triple bottom neckline and shift bias to bearish. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. #ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Long
by xcrypto_comm
1
ETH/USDT: Price Decline Warning, Caution for Buy Opportunities!The ETH/USDT pair is currently facing clear downward pressure after failing to break through the strong resistance at 4,150.00. The 4-hour chart shows that Ethereum is moving in a short-term downtrend, with prices heading towards the important support level of 3,780.00. The strong rejection from this area indicates that the current market sentiment is leaning towards selling. The market's cash flow also reflects short-term distribution, and the RSI indicator shows that ETH has previously entered overbought territory, and may continue to correct downward. These factors suggest that Ethereum could continue to face selling pressure, especially if the support levels are not strong enough to hold the price. Impact of Recent News: 1. Australia's Core Inflation Data Rises Sharply: Australia's core inflation index increased by 1.0% in Q3, exceeding the forecast of 0.8%. This reduces expectations of a near-term rate cut and could affect ETH/USDT if the USD strengthens. 2. Expectations on U.S. Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy: The market expects the Fed to maintain high interest rates, which could strengthen the USD and put downward pressure on ETH/USDT. Conclusion: Given the current downtrend and pressure from technical indicators, ETH/USDT is likely to continue decreasing over the next 48 hours. However, traders need to be cautious and closely monitor the support level at 3,780.00. If the price shows strong signs of recovery from here, it could present a good opportunity to enter the market.
Short
by Kairo_Vexen
10
ETHUSDT: Price Aims For $4,200 ?- Here Is Why...Hi Teams, Lets take a view on ETHUSDT. it have been scaling on a momentum range of support and resistance for this couple of days. presently the price is at the support zone, retracing slowly as seen in the chart formation. Key points; More clear confirmation above the support level would set off a bullish rise toward $4,200 as next partial target. However a breakout below the support level would be triggering the price to downward movement. Thanks for reading.
Long
by Blaisefxacademy
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) – Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Technical OutlookETH has completed a clear 5-wave impulsive structure followed by an ongoing ABC corrective pattern on the daily timeframe. Currently, price is testing the 78.6–100% Fibonacci retracement zone ($3,400–$3,700) — a key area that often marks the end of wave C and the start of a potential new impulsive wave. Bullish Scenario: If ETH confirms support above $3,400 with a strong bullish reversal candle and increasing volume, it may trigger a recovery toward $3,800 → $4,200 → $4,700. Breaking above $4,200 would further validate the bullish continuation setup. Bearish Scenario: A daily close below $3,400 would invalidate the bullish wave count and could extend the correction toward lower structural supports. Key Levels Support: $3,400 – $3,700 Resistance: $3,800 / $4,200 / $4,700 Stop-loss (for long setups): Below $3,350 Overall, ETH is approaching a critical decision zone — watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next leg. #ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #TradingView #CryptoTrading #BTC #ETHUSDT
by YazeedKG
1
Ethereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODELEthereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODEL 📊 Market Sentiment On 29/10, the FED lowered rates by 25BPS, as expected. However, Powell’s comments introduced uncertainty regarding another cut in December, stating that further policy moves depend on incoming data. Interestingly, one FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a shift from September when all members supported easing. Following the statement, rate-cut expectations dropped from 95% to 68%, prompting traders to take profits and hedge, creating a short-term bearish sentiment across markets. Despite this, the mid-to-long term outlook remains bullish, given the broader liquidity cycle and easing policy bias. 📈 Technical Analysis Ethereum is currently accumulating inside a well-defined range. Price failed to sustain above the $4950 range high and has started retracing toward the HTF bullish trendline, a potential reaction zone aligning with prior liquidity pools and confluences. If price holds around this zone, ETH could seek the range high again once momentum returns. 📘 Model in Use – Trendline Deviation with HTF LR into Key Zone (TDLRKZ Model) This model identifies setups where price deviates from HTF trendlines while interacting with liquidity zones and key structural levels. The goal is to align HTF context with LTF confirmation for high-probability trend continuation setups. Model Steps: 1️⃣ Identify the HTF trend direction and only trade in that direction. 2️⃣ Mark the HTF bullish trendline supporting price. 3️⃣ Spot HTF Key Zones likely to act as reaction areas. 4️⃣ Locate nearby liquidity pools or order concentrations. 5️⃣ Wait for confluence: when all align, confirm with a 4H market structure break for entry. 📌 Game Plan Looking for ETH to retrace into $3350 and reject from that level. If a 4H break of structure occurs and daily candle closes above $3350, this will trigger a long-biased setup. 🎯 Setup Trigger → 4H structure break after tagging $3350 → Daily close above $3350 📋 Trade Management → Entry: After confirmation above $3350 → Stop Loss: Below swing low that caused 4H break of structure → Targets: TP1: $4150 (EQ) TP2: $4550 TP3: $4950 (Range high) → Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is reached. 💬 Check my Substack for deeper macro and sentimental breakdowns — free subscriptions are open. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always DYOR before trading.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
ETH-----Sell around 3930, target 3850 areaOctober 30th Ethereum (ETH) Contract Technical Analysis: On the daily chart, yesterday's close was a small bearish candle, indicating a continuous decline. The price is below the moving average, and the accompanying indicators show a golden cross with decreasing volume. While the overall trend is clearly downward, attention should be paid to the possibility of a breakout and continuation of the downward movement. In the short term, focus on range-bound trading, with resistance around the 3950 area. The hourly chart shows a generally downward trend with some volatility. Although the decline hasn't been particularly strong, experience suggests a high probability of a sharp drop, so this opportunity should be seized. Today's ETH Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy: Sell at the 3930 area, stop loss at the 3960 area, target 3850 area;
Short
by GoldenSpaceship
ETHUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis !!ETHUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis Trend: ETH has found support at the intersection of a long-term downtrend line and a horizontal demand zone ($3,850–$3,900 area). This area has held steady several times and is acting as a base for the price. Structure: The price has recently pulled back after rallying to $4,220, but continues to make higher lows on this timeframe, indicating that the bullish structure remains intact as long as $3,900 remains stable. Key Levels: Support: $3,850–$3,900 (trend line and horizontal zone) Resistance: $4,220 (recent swing high), $4,830 (key target—see green arrow projection) Perspective: If ETH remains stable above $3,900 and bounces back from this support, the next targets will be $4,220 and then $4,830. A breakdown below $3,850 would weaken this bullish outlook. ETH remains bullish above support, and an upward move towards $3,900 is highly likely. Watch for a break above and sustain above the $4,220 level for further momentum. DYOR | NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
ETH/USDT 1W🔹 Overall Trend We are still in an uptrend (trend line maintained from the March low). However, momentum is weakening—a series of lower highs is forming, suggesting a local correction within the main trend. 🔹 Key Technical Levels 🟢 Resistance: 4,179 USDT – the current level that the price is testing as resistance. 4,407 USDT – the next strong resistance, where previous rejections occurred. 4,877 USDT – the main resistance resulting from the August highs. 🔴 Support: 3,916 USDT – almost identical to the above (demand zone). 3,561 USDT – key structural support; loss of this level = possible trend change. 🔹 Formation and Structure The current pattern could form a potential ascending triangle, with the trendline (black) connecting the lows and the horizontal resistance lines marking the upper boundary of the consolidation. If a breakout occurs above 4,180–4,400, a move to 4,800+ is possible. However, if we break the trendline and 3,900, a move to 3,560–3,400 could occur, or even a test of 3,000 with significant selling pressure. 🔹 Volume Volume is decreasing during consolidation → typical of an accumulation or distribution phase. No clear breakout signal – the market is waiting for a trigger (e.g., macroeconomic data, ETFs, news about ETH 2.0). 🔹 Stochastic RSI (Bottom of the chart) Located in the oversold zone (<20). The %K line (blue) is attempting to cross the %D line (orange) from below – a signal of an early rebound. If confirmed next week, a local rebound from the 3,900–4,000 zone could occur. 🔹 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish: Breakout from the trendline + breakout above 4,180 → target 4,400, then 4,880. Confirmation by increasing volume and the Stoch RSI emerging from oversold territory. ❌ Bearish: Breakout of the trendline and 3,900 → target 3,560, then 3,200. Increasing downward volume + no bullish reaction at the support levels.
by cryptodailyuk
Growth ahead of the Trump-Xi Jinping meeting in South Korea.CRYPTOCAP:ETH / #Ethereum 🔹 Donald Trump and Xi Jinping (October 19, 2025) A positive outlook is shaping up for Ethereum, and it sure looks like a classic W reversal is in the works. There's a ton of negativity swirling right now, with a lot of folks expecting prices to dip even lower (I was bracing for that final flush-out myself, but it looks like they scooped up the dip and are busy forming this reversal setup). During that Ethereum drop on October 10-11, BitMine Immersion Technologies beefed up its reserves with 104,336 ETH worth $417 million. As of this writing, the company's sitting on 3.03 million ETH valued at $12.18 billion, making it the biggest corporate whale holding Ethereum. Whales and public companies are aggressively snapping up Ethereum and stacking their bags. All that's left is to speculate where Ethereum's gonna top out and where they'll start dumping all this volume 8k? 10k? I've pulled together some screenshots that back up the bullish signal: 1️⃣ Liquidations on the Hyperliquid exchange: As you can see on the chart above, once we break $5,000, a massive wave of short traders are gonna get wrecked that could spark another leg up in price momentum. 2️⃣ Coinbase order book: Check it out—above $5,000, there are limit orders lined up for profit-taking, so Ethereum might follow a similar path straight up to $8,000. 3️⃣ Current big orders on Binance and Coinbase exchanges. 4️⃣ OKX ETH/USDC liquidation heatmap. Wrapping it up: On the daily chart, we're seeing a reversal pattern forming as a W (I call it the "pirate reversal" myself), and keep in mind that after the chaos on October 10-11, more than 1.6 million traders got absolutely rekt. I doubt everyone's gonna pile back in buying or flipping to long positions anytime soon that plays right into the hands of the big market puppeteers and market makers. They'll pump the price higher, whip up the hype, and offload their Ethereum stacks at the top. Snapshot:
Long
by SergioRichi
Ethereum Faces Bearish Pressure After 0.618 Fibonacci RejectionEthereum price action is displaying clear local weakness, with signs pointing toward a potential rotation back to high-timeframe support at $3,385. The recent rally failed to break above the prior swing high, instead forming a lower high — a signal of fading bullish momentum. The rejection at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement was accompanied by increased bearish volume, confirming that sellers have regained control in the short term. Price is now testing local support around $3,900, a crucial level that must hold to avoid triggering a deeper corrective phase. Key Points: - Rejection Zone: Ethereum was rejected at the 0.618 Fibonacci, confirming local weakness. - Lower High Formation: Indicates loss of bullish structure and potential trend reversal. - Critical Supports: $3,900 (local) and $3,385 (high timeframe) are the key downside levels to watch. From a structural perspective, Ethereum’s inability to sustain momentum signals growing bearish pressure across lower timeframes. What to Expect: If $3,900 fails to hold, expect ETH to rotate toward $3,385 support. However, reclaiming and closing above the 0.618 Fibonacci could invalidate the short-term bearish setup and reintroduce upside potential.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
14
ETH Short Setup🚨 ETH Short Setup Ethereum just confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS) after failing to hold above both EMAs. This rejection — together with a liquidity sweep near 4230 — signals potential continuation to the downside. 🎯 Trade Plan Overview: Entry: 4020–4050 Stop: 4100–4120 Targets: 3960 → 3840 Risk/Reward: 1:3 📊 Key zones: EMA short attention zone ✅ Support: 3920–3960 equilibrium Watch for bullish divergence before reversal 🔔 Subscribe for daily ETH and BTC market updates, crypto trading strategies, and AI-powered technical analysis!
Short
by vasilevigor3