NSDQ100 key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25180
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25500
Support Level 1: 24655
Support Level 2: 24490
Support Level 3: 24330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trade ideas
NAS100 Trade Plan: Counter-Trend Opportunity Into Friday CloseI’m currently watching the NASDAQ NAS100 📊 and looking for a potential setup as we head into the Friday close. The market has pushed into the weekly low, and I’m anticipating the possibility of a retracement, which could offer a counter-trend opportunity during the New York session. 🚀📉📈 All details are broken down clearly in the video — this is not financial advice. ⚠️
New Highs Before a Major Correction?The NASDAQ remains firmly within its main ascending trend channel, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries since mid-2023. After a sharp dip triggered by tariff-related headlines, the index quickly recovered, reaffirming bullish momentum and establishing a new support base along the lower trendline.
We’re now approaching the 2nd Fibonacci extension level drawn from the previous major top to the last significant bottom — a key confluence area that historically signals potential exhaustion of the current leg up.
Based on the current price trajectory, this zone could act as a probable top region, marked by the green resistance box on the chart. If the market reacts here, a technical correction or consolidation phase could unfold, retracing back toward the support zone around the mid-channel (highlighted in green).
The “500 Days Rich Man Theory” line (July 2026) may coincide with a macro cycle inflection point, suggesting a timing window for trend reversal or cooling period before the next long-term advance resumes.
Smart Money Positioning on US100 – Liquidity Flow ExplainedRepeated failed highs, deep liquidity sweeps, and a tightly trapped range — the US100 is showing textbook smart money behavior.
Let’s decode how liquidity pockets, fake breakouts, and institutional accumulation are shaping the next 600+ point move.
🧭 Market Story – Where We Are Now
The US100 has been in a broad liquidity cycle after a strong rally.
Price is consolidating within a re-accumulation or distribution phase, hinting that smart money is positioning quietly before expansion.
🔹 Key Liquidity Zones
🟩 Breakout Level – 25,600
The make-or-break point.
Holding above 25,600 = bullish continuation potential.
Losing it = likely sweep back into liquidity below.
🔵 Liquidity Pocket – 26,150 → 26,350
This zone is loaded with stop liquidity.
Multiple failed breakouts = engineered liquidity traps.
A decisive breakout with volume could unleash a sharp institutional expansion toward 26,600–26,800.
🔴 Weekly Low Zone – 24,660 → 24,610
Where the market performed a major liquidity sweep before reversing.
Strong reaction = signs of accumulation.
A revisit here could form the final liquidity grab before the next rally.
🧩 Structure Breakdown
Sweep of Lows → Reaction — liquidity collected below prior swing lows.
Box Phase → Accumulation or Distribution — institutions building orders.
Trendline Rejections → Liquidity Creation — every “failed attempt” tells a story.
Compression Phase → Expansion Loading — pressure building before the breakout.
⚖️ Possible Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Breakout
Price holds above 25,600
Clean break above 26,150–26,350 liquidity pocket
Expansion move likely toward 26,600–26,800
🩸 Bearish Liquidity Trap
Rejection from 25,600 → 24,823 / 24,660 zone
Final liquidity sweep before strong reversal
Watch for aggressive bullish recovery candles
💡 Institutional Insight
Each failed breakout isn’t weakness — it’s intent.
Smart money builds liquidity where retail enters wrong.
When both sides’ liquidity is consumed, true direction begins.
👉 Liquidity is not just a zone — it’s market psychology visualized.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The US100 demonstrates the full liquidity cycle at work:
Sweep → Trap → Accumulate → Expand.
Every fakeout clears inefficiency and builds the fuel for the next impulse.
Don’t chase — track where liquidity builds and follow the flow.
📊 Final Thoughts
The index is coiling between 25,600 and 26,350 — volatility is loading.
Above → Expansion Phase (trend continuation)
Below → Liquidity Sweep Phase (bullish trap setup)
Patience > Prediction.
Let the liquidity tell the truth — not emotions.
💬 Your Turn:
Do you expect a clean breakout or another trap before lift-off?
Share your bias below — let’s discuss how liquidity might play it out!
Nasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US ShutdownNasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US Shutdown
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index has started the week on a positive note amid growing expectations that the longest government shutdown in US history may soon come to an end.
According to Reuters, a bill has been introduced in the Senate proposing amendments to extend government funding until 30 January. The news acted as a bullish catalyst for equity markets. Still, the question remains – is the risk truly behind us?
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 4 November, we:
→ Drew an ascending channel;
→ Noted signs of momentum exhaustion, as mentioned in our previous headline.
Since then, price action has evolved as follows:
→ The lower boundary of the channel provided support (1), prompting a brief rebound;
→ The 25,770 level acted as resistance (2) on two occasions, strengthening the bears’ confidence to push for a downside breakout — which ultimately succeeded.
The index’s subsequent movements have now more clearly outlined the formation of a descending channel (shown in red).
From the demand-side perspective:
→ After a false bearish breakout below 24,680 (showing characteristics of a Liquidity Grab pattern), the market staged an aggressive rally from point B;
→ Today’s session opened with a bullish gap, and the price has moved above the red median line.
From the supply-side perspective:
→ The 25,500 level, where sellers gained control during the previous channel breakout, may now act as resistance;
→ If the A→B move is viewed as an impulse, today’s rally appears to be a corrective rebound consistent with Fibonacci proportions — suggesting that downward momentum could resume within the red channel.
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NSDQ100 The Wek Ahead, Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25180
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25500
Support Level 1: 24655
Support Level 2: 24490
Support Level 3: 24330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ-100 (USTEC) | Elevated risks arise Sentiment:
- Extreme Fear in the market (F&G = 23)
- Investors are bearish (49% bearish vs 37% bullish)
- Volatility elevated but not extreme (VIX 20)
- Higher Put activity and an elevated put/call ratio (1.11)
- Hedge funds unwinding crowded AI longs (50% market cap concentration)
- Record institutional options activity positioning for Q4 2025-Q1 2027
- COT report: No latest data due to the US government shutdown
Interpretation:
- Put hedge elevated = cautious as institutional hedging and distributing stocks to retail
- Extreme Fear + High Bearishness = Potential buying opportunity (later stage)
- When sentiment is this negative, often near bottoms
Fundamental:
- Valuation Concerns:
- 24-25x Forward P/E - vs 20-22 for 5-year average
- 3.08-3.37x P/S ratio - 2.35-2.41 for 5-year average
- Dec Fed cut probability is declining
Technical:
- USTEC broke the ascending trendline and EMA21, indicating potential mean reversion to EMA78, which is just above the support cluster at around 24000.
- Breaking below 24000 may prompt a decline to the following support cluster at around 23000, which is a prominent zone for sentiment contrarians step into the market if market fear remains at an extreme level.
My take on this:
- The distributing process may last for a while before reaching more extreme panic sentiment, prompting consideration of a contrarian approach based on technical levels.
- Therefore, we need to watch the price action to determine the best entry setup for the Long position. Then, for now, short-term pressure is the better take.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
US100 Price Action Outlook Weak High Target&Liquidity SweepZonesThe chart highlights a weak high above current price action, suggesting potential upside liquidity targets. Below, key downside levels at 25,067 and 24,739 mark liquidity pools and possible retracement zones if price rejects current resistance. The structure shows a recent break of structure with both bullish and bearish scenarios in play.
Price is reacting near a resistance area after a recent bounce. The weak high above suggests liquidity may be targeted before any reversal. If price rejects this zone, the next downside levels to watch are 25,067 and 24,739, where liquidity sits and buyers may step in. Structure remains mixed, with both upward liquidity grabs and potential pullbacks likely
Will NAS100 Sustain Its Bullish Momentum After the Pullback?NAS100 🚀 Bullish Swing Setup | SuperTrend Pullback & Layered Entry Strategy
🎯 TRADE IDEA: NAS100 (US100) BULLISH SWING
Capitalize on a structured pullback in the NASDAQ 100! This plan leverages a proven indicator confluence for a high-probability long opportunity.
📊 ANALYSIS & CONFIRMATION:
Trend: Primary Bullish Trend is intact. ✅
Trigger: Price is pulling back into a demand zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward entry.
Indicator: The SuperTrend ATR Line is acting as dynamic support on the 4H/Daily timeframe. A bounce from this level confirms our bullish bias.
⚡ STRATEGY: "THE THIEF" LAYERED ENTRY
This method uses multiple limit orders to average into a position, perfect for volatile markets like the NASDAQ.
Entry Zone: Look for entries between 25,200 - 25,600
Layer Example:
🟢 Limit Order 1: 25,600
🟢 Limit Order 2: 25,400
🟢 Limit Order 3: 25,200
👉 You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital and risk appetite.
❗ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Stop Loss (SL): A decisive break below 24,800 would invalidate the bullish structure.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY protective stop. Dear Thief OG's 👑, you MUST adjust your position size and SL based on your personal risk management strategy. Protect your capital first!
🎯 PROFIT TARGETS:
Primary Target: 25,600 (Initial resistance & profit-taking zone).
Key Reasoning: We anticipate a reaction here due to:
Moving Average resistance.
Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes.
A "trap" for late buyers.
👉 Smart Move: Consider taking partial profits at 25,600 and trailing your stop for the remainder. Escape the trap with your profits! 💰
⚠️ REMINDER: Dear Thief OG's 👑, your Take Profit (TP) is your own decision. Secure gains based on your trading plan and market behavior.
🔍 RELATED ASSETS & MARKET CORRELATION:
Watching these related instruments can provide confirmation and a broader market view.
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 🟡 NEGATIVE CORRELATION
A weakening Dollar ( TVC:DXY DOWN) is generally bullish for Nasdaq. If the Dollar is falling, it adds confidence to this long thesis.
USTECH (CFD on Nasdaq 100): 🟢 DIRECT CORRELATION
Moves in sync with NAS100. Perfect for cross-verifying price action and volume.
NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:TSLA (Mega-Caps): 🟢 HIGH IMPACT
These heavily weighted Nasdaq components drive the index. Bullish momentum in these stocks supports a rising NAS100.
FOREXCOM:SPX500 (S&P 500): 🟢 POSITIVE CORRELATION
A strong S&P 500 often lifts the Nasdaq. Monitor for overall U.S. market strength.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
What's your entry strategy for the NAS100 this week?
#NAS100 #US100 #TradingView #SwingTrading #Bullish #SuperTrend #TradingStrategy #IndexTrading #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy
Nasdaq slides down as markets wobbleNasdaq is being pushed down, driven by raising concerns about valuations of AI companies despite strong earnings from NVDA and other giants. Volatility (VIX) stays near 20 but the hard landing for Nasdaq might boost it and lead to another several days of bearish rally as shown at the chart. According to statistical studies, bearish swings for Nasdaq rarely last for more than 19-20 days, so if it continues to move down, it might reverse in 5-10 days at the statistic support level, as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
Nasdaq Holds Firm After Support Rebound| Focus on 25820 BreakoutUSNAS100 | Overview
The price retested our support at 25430 and bounced perfectly, just as outlined in the previous analysis.
After reaching the resistance zone, the index is now consolidating between 25700 and 25820, awaiting a decisive breakout.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm bullish continuation, targeting 25960 and 26170.
However, a 4H close below 25700 would indicate the start of a bearish correction, with downside potential toward 25570 and 25430.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25230
Outlook:
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25700, with upside targets at 25960–26170.
A confirmed 4H close below 25700 would shift the short-term tone to a bearish correction toward 25570–25430.
US100 | Building Liquidity for a Potential Push Toward 26,000NASDAQ (US100) is consolidating between 25,400–25,750, forming a potential accumulation zone below short-term liquidity. A clean break and retest above 25,750 could trigger a bullish expansion toward the 26,000–26,200 range, where major buy-side liquidity sits.
Market Structure:
Bias: Bullish (HTF structure shifting higher)
Key Demand Zone: 25,400 – 25,450
Breakout Zone: 25,750
Target Zone: 26,000 – 26,200
Invalidation: Below 25,400
Concepts: Liquidity Grab | Market Structure Shift | Demand Zone | Breaker Block | Smart Money Flow
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQ NAS100 Under Pressure – Watching for a Break of StructureThe NASDAQ is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart. Sellers are gradually stepping in, and we can see US100 bearish momentum starting to take control. The market is under pressure, and price action is hinting at potential continuation to the downside.
I’ll be watching closely for a NAS100 break below the current range low — if price retests that level and fails to reclaim it, that would confirm a bearish market structure shift 🔻. Such a setup could provide a high-probability short opportunity as momentum accelerates to the downside.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — purely for educational and analytical purposes.
US100 – Bullish Reversal Setup-H4: Turning bullish with a new high at 25,667.
Pullback: Formed a lower high, now H1 shifting bullish again.
Plan: Looking for buys above 25,542, SL below last H1 LH.
Adjustment: If another H1 LH forms and breaks upward, trail SL for tighter risk.
-Fundamental: Shutdown-end hopes , supporting the bullish scenario.
US100 – Consolidation Between FVGs, Watching for Bullish BreakouHello traders,
On the daily timeframe, NASDAQ (US100) is currently consolidating between a bullish and a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Both sides present clear liquidity areas, and the market is preparing for its next directional move.
From my perspective, I’d like to see the price tap into the bullish FVG first, react from that zone, and then invalidate the bearish FVG on its way higher.
If this scenario plays out, the next targets would be the equal highs (EQH) and eventually a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if a daily candle closes below the bullish FVG, this idea becomes invalid and we could expect further downside movement.
For now, I remain bullish while the bullish FVG holds. 📈
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