Positioning for a government shutdown: gold, Nasdaq 100, EURUSDUnless Congress can reach an agreement before 1 October, the federal government will shut down. The last major shutdown, during President Trump’s first term, lasted 34 days.
Markets are already weighing the risks of plummeting confidence in the US and its currency and disruptions to the release of important economic data. For traders, this can create volatility and opportunity across major asset classes.
Gold
Gold often benefits from political and fiscal uncertainty. If a shutdown occurs, safe-haven flows could push the metal higher.
Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 has been sensitive to swings in sentiment around government stability and interest rate expectations. A shutdown could amplify volatility. Traders should be mindful of potential gap moves at the weekly open if negotiations falter over the weekend.
EUR/USD
A shutdown that undermines confidence in U.S. fiscal management could weigh on the EUR/USD in the short term. However, Europe faces its own economic issues, potentially keeping the pair range-bound for now.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ US100 Long
Entry Zone: 24,542.
Stop-Loss: 24,360
Take-Profit: 24,717
Risk (Stop distance): ~182 points (24,542 – 24,360).
Reward (Target distance): ~175 points (24,717 – 24,542).
RSI Trend: Recently dipped sharply, showing selling pressure, but possible rebound if support holds. Price is respecting a long-term trendline.
Nas100: Trading Levels in FocusKey Zones in Play
Zone 1 – Yesterday’s High:
Yesterday’s high represents the level where buyers lost momentum and sellers stepped in. If price revisits this zone, traders should expect potential supply pressure. A clean break and sustained hold above would signal renewed strength and could re-ignite bullish momentum.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
This zone is the lower boundary of the previous session and now acts as short-term support. Buyers may defend this level to maintain structure, but its reliability is limited given the fresh all-time high environment and lack of historical confirmation. A decisive break below would weaken the bullish case and could invite deeper retracement.
Conclusion:
With US100 trading close to record highs, these zones provide useful guidelines, but they should not be treated as precise buy or sell triggers. In uncharted territory, reactions are often more volatile, making it essential to treat these levels as reference points rather than absolute decision zones.
Morning Sentiment Brief
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. The recent Fed rate cut and ongoing enthusiasm around AI investments continue to underpin a bullish narrative, keeping the US100 near record highs. However, Powell’s cautious tone this week, stressing data-dependence and warning about stretched equity valuations, has cooled some of the initial euphoria.
Traders are now balancing optimism with prudence. Tech momentum is intact, but profit-taking and sector rotation show that conviction is more selective. Political and regulatory headlines add another layer of uncertainty, leaving the market more sensitive to incoming catalysts. Overall, the bias stays positive, but participants are trading with more caution as the index moves in uncharted territory.
NAS100 Price has dipped into an H4 Demand Zone Price has now retested a demand zone. Look for long confirmations from here. If it reaches supply or retests that broken trendline and gives sell confirmations, then we will short it. However, if momentum to the upside continues, then we long to new ATHs.
US100: Short Trade Explained
US100
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell US100
Entry - 24498
Stop - 24559
Take - 24384
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NAS100 H4 | Bullish momentum to extend?NAS100 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,368.82, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 23,991.90, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 24,087.48, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NASDAQ short then longOn NASDAQ, considering the break of market structure, I want to see a small push higher to 24,581 (Resistance + 4H value) before short term swing sells to 23.6k (Weekly value). Price respected daily value at 24,285. Once I see a close under daily value structure, I'll look for a pb to daily value. Sells at 4hr value and sells at daily value.
US100 Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 Price reacts from the horizontal demand area, shifting order flow bullish. SMC structure favors upside with liquidity targets set at 24,670 zone. Time Frame 4H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NSDQ100 Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24835
Resistance Level 2: 24950
Resistance Level 3: 25055
Support Level 1: 24190
Support Level 2: 24090
Support Level 3: 24000
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USNAS100 – Nasdaq Awaits GDP Data as Bears Hold ControlUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 holds a bearish bias ahead of today’s key U.S. GDP release, with price action leaning lower as traders brace for potential volatility.
A stronger-than-expected GDP print would likely reinforce downside momentum by reducing Fed rate-cut expectations, while weaker data could provide a bullish lift for tech indices.
Technical View
Bearish Scenario:
The index remains bearish while trading below the 24,560 pivot zone.
Immediate downside targets are 24,385 → 24,140 → 23,870.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 24,385 would strengthen momentum toward deeper supports.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed 1H close above 24,570 would invalidate the bearish setup and support a move toward 24,660 → 24,810.
Key Levels
Pivot: 24,500
Resistance: 24,570 – 24,660 – 24,810
Support: 24,380 – 24,140 – 23,870
The Nasdaq remains in a data-driven range, with GDP results likely to decide whether price breaks below 24,385 to extend losses or rebounds above 24,570 to retest higher resistance.
USNAS100 Range Bound Price action price likely to continueThe US NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) is currently exhibiting range-bound price action, with consolidation likely to continue until a clear breakout occurs.
Technical View:
On Wednesday, the index edged slightly higher as investors weighed the measured comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and looked ahead to key U.S. economic data due later this week.
A confirmed breakout above the current consolidation zone could open the path for further upside, with potential resistance seen near the 24,900 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
NAS100 Bullish Scenario, Will The Trend Be Followed?The US100 (NASDAQ) daily chart shows a very strong bullish structure. Since April, the index has been in a steady uptrend, creating higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price broke through the important 24,000 zone and is now consolidating just under 24,542. This consolidation at the highs is a healthy sign of strength, suggesting buyers are preparing for the next leg up.
The zone between 24,000 and 24,200 is now a major support base. As long as the market holds above this region, the bullish outlook remains intact. The next major target sits near 26,551, which lines up with an 8% projected upside move. Momentum remains with the bulls, and dips toward support are likely to be bought up quickly.
📌 Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: 24,500 (current market or on breakout above 24,542)
• Stop-Loss: 23,364
• Take-Profit: 26,551
• Risk/Reward: ~1:1.7