TL01 trade ideas
Tesla possible LongTesla’s recent breakout above the long-term descending trendline is a positive technical signal, suggesting that market sentiment may be shifting toward a bullish phase. However, the breakout lacks strong volume confirmation, leaving the possibility of a false breakout on the table.
The key battle zone now lies between USD 349.29 and 367.40 — if bulls can push and sustain the price above this range, the door opens for a larger rally toward the USD 400+ area. On the other hand, failure to hold above USD 331 would put the breakout at risk, potentially sending the price back into the USD 308–290 support zone.
In short, Tesla stands at a technical crossroads: momentum favors buyers, but confirmation through sustained price action and volume is essential before a strong uptrend can be confirmed.
TSLA Is Coiling at Key Resistance — $354 Break Is KeyTesla just popped up on my turnaround screen. A deeper look at TSLA’s recent daily candles, reveals that the bodies are getting smaller compared to the big surges we saw earlier in the year. That’s classic “energy compression,” not a big reversal pattern like a bearish engulfing or evening star, but more of a tight pause near the upper range. We’ve basically gone from wide, high-momentum candles in April–June to a sideways drift with low volatility, which is exactly the kind of setup that tends to precede an impulsive move.
Trend-wise, TSLA had a monster parabolic run into Dec 2024, then took a serious hit from Feb to Apr 2025. Now sentiment’s shifting — it’s less about fearing more downside and more about not wanting to miss the next leg up. You can see it in how dips toward $280–$300 keep getting bought. Momentum indicators agree: MACD is flat and hugging zero (neutral but primed), RSI is sitting at 57, not overbought, so there’s still gas in the tank for another rally before hitting exhaustion.
Structurally, TSLA’s stuck between two Darvas boxes. The lower one is $280–$340, the upper is $370–$480. Right now we’re pressing against that $340 ceiling, a true decision zone. Break it with strong volume and you’re looking at $354, $372.5, maybe even $391. Fail here, and it’s back toward $300–$280.
Fibonacci retracements from the $465 high to the $280 low line up nicely with this view. $322 is the 23.6% level, $354 is the 38.2%, $372.5 is 50%, $391 is 61.8%, and $422 is 78.6%. We’re currently just above that $322 mark, fighting for $354 — reclaiming it would be a pretty bullish milestone.
Bottom line, TSLA looks like it’s coiling for a breakout. The $340–$354 range is the trigger zone. Watch for a volume surge and a daily close over $354 to confirm we’re moving into the next box. If that doesn’t happen and we slip under $300, expect a retest of $280.
Tesla (TSLA) – Swing Buy SetupTesla (TSLA) – Swing Buy Setup
Bias:
Bullish short-to-medium term, targeting a strong supply zone above.
Technical Breakdown:
Price has completed a 5-wave structure to the upside, breaking above a wedge pattern and filling a volume gap.
Current price action shows a clean breakout with potential continuation toward the $416.06 supply target.
Key demand zone sits below current price, acting as a retest area after breakout.
The strong supply target at $416 aligns with historical resistance and unmitigated order block.
Entry Zone:
Ideal pullback entries: $325–$335 range (grey demand zone).
Confirmation with bullish candle close on the retest for safer entries.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $380 (minor structure resistance)
TP2: $416 (strong supply zone)
Invalidation Level:
$297.82 – Break below here invalidates bullish structure.
$TSLA TASince 2019, NASDAQ:TSLA has been trending within a long-term bullish channel. From 2019 to Jan 2023, price completed a 5-wave Elliott impulse sequence, with each impulse wave showing bearish volume divergence — confirming volume peaks and overbought RSI conditions into the Oct ’21 top.
This was followed by a retracement triangle, kicking off a 3-year corrective phase in a 5-3-5 Elliott retracement structure. The impulsive down legs were accompanied by rising volume, while the corrective bounces saw declining volume. The final bearish wave showed exhaustion, with bullish divergence emerging via stable-to-rising volume and a flattening RSI.
An 8-wave Elliott fractal then formed, with volume alignment, ending at a $222 support zone — confluencing with peak volume and a historically oversold RSI. From here, price formed a bull pennant and has since broken above resistance, albeit on weak volume — suggesting possible whipsaw risk.
If price closes firmly above resistance, the next leg could target the upper channel near $488.
Tesla Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 081225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 335/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If you want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Is this a higher high on Tesla daily?!I haven't been trading @TSLA for awhile but while I was doing some charting this is what caught my eye.
The lower highs and lower lows trend seems to maybe have come to an end. It broke the trendline, making a higher high & looks like I might turn that last lower high into support now...we will see.😎
LONG | TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA is pressing against a key confluence zone $352–$356 (TP1), aligning with daily and weekly resistance. A confirmed breakout could open the path toward $367 (TP2) and $404 (TP3) in the medium term.
Supports: $326 / $318 – must hold to maintain bullish momentum.
Bias: Bullish if above $326; consolidation or pullback likely if rejected at $356.
A monthly close above $367 would confirm a long-term cup breakout, projecting toward the $500 area over the next cycles.
TSLA – TA + GEX Confluence for August 13, 202530-Minute Price Action
TSLA remains inside a descending triangle after an earlier breakout attempt toward $345.75.
* Resistance: $345.75 – repeated rejections, forming the triangle’s upper boundary.
* Support: $339.03 – near-term floor; $332.99 – key downside pivot.
* Indicators:
* MACD is attempting to recover from negative territory, showing early momentum shift but still lacking strong follow-through.
* Stoch RSI in the mid-to-high zone — room for continuation up if buyers push through resistance, but also vulnerable to a quick fade if rejected.
1-Hour GEX Insights
* Highest Positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall: $350 – strongest upside resistance zone.
* Key Call Walls Above: $347.5 (2nd gamma wall), $350 (primary wall), $355–$357.5 (3rd wall).
* Put Support: $327.5 (first gamma support) and $320 (major downside defense).
* IVR: 4.7 – very low implied volatility rank, making long options relatively cheap.
TA + GEX Combined Read
The 30m descending triangle structure is pressing TSLA into a decision point.
* The $345.75 resistance aligns closely with the $347.5 GEX wall — meaning bulls need strong volume to break out.
* A breakout above $347.5 opens a cleaner path toward the $350 gamma wall, where heavy hedging could either cap price or trigger a gamma squeeze to $355+.
* A failure to clear $345.75 combined with a break below $339 could invite sellers to push toward $332.99 and possibly $327.5 GEX support.
Trading Scenarios for August 13
* Bullish Breakout: Long calls or debit spreads above $347.5 targeting $350–$355.
* Bearish Breakdown: Puts or put spreads if $339 breaks, targeting $333 and $327.5.
* Sideways/Neutral: Credit spreads in the $339–$347 range could work given low IVR, but expect volatility if $347.5 breaks.
Reasoning
The 30m chart’s descending triangle suggests consolidation before a larger move. The 1h GEX data confirms the critical nature of $347.5 and $350. A breach above these could accelerate buying via gamma squeeze mechanics, while a breakdown under $339 targets deeper GEX supports.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
Tesla: Upward Pressure, but Bears May Soon Regain ControlTesla has once again faced upward pressure, which pushed the stock toward resistance at $373.04. However, our primary expectation is that the bears will soon regain control, setting off further sell-offs within the ongoing downward impulse. Step by step, this magenta five-wave move is expected to break below support at $215.01. If price moves above the $373.04 level, our alternative scenario will become significantly more relevant. If the stock even surpasses the higher threshold at $405.54, we will ultimately shift to this alternative view and classify Tesla as being in a sustained uptrend of blue wave alt.(III) , which would extend beyond $488.50. In this 39% likely scenario, wave alt.(II) would already be complete.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Break Above July HighTesla (TSLA) Shares Break Above July High
As the chart indicates, Tesla (TSLA) stock is demonstrating a pronounced upward trend. Specifically, its price:
→ has risen for four consecutive days;
→ has moved above its July high;
→ has gained over 10% since the start of August.
Why Is TSLA Rising?
Among other factors, TSLA’s share price is being driven by:
→ News that Tesla has extended the estimated delivery time for the Model Y from one–three weeks to four–six weeks (according to Barron’s). This may signal an increase in orders, boosting market optimism after the first two quarters showed a notable decline in electric vehicle sales.
→ Statements from Elon Musk regarding the development of the robotaxi project. According to him, Tesla’s robotaxi service will be publicly available next month. Musk also noted that Tesla has achieved several additional breakthroughs in artificial intelligence that will make car control remarkably similar to that of a human driver.
Can TSLA continue to rise?
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
When analysing the TSLA chart on 24 July, we identified a broadening triangle pattern with its axis around $317. Since then:
→ the price tested the lower boundary of the triangle and reversed upwards (as indicated by the arrow);
→ importantly, it broke through the upper boundary. This was made possible by the improvement in the fundamental backdrop (as reflected in the news), leading to a shift in market sentiment in favour of buyers.
Yesterday, the NASDAQ recorded the highest trading volume in August, with the daily candle closing below its midpoint – a sign of increased seller activity, further confirmed by the most recent long bearish candle on the hourly chart.
Given the above (as well as the RSI indicator approaching overbought levels), we could assume that TSLA’s share price could see a short-term correction following its rally in early August. Should the market follow this scenario, the price could pull back to the area highlighted in purple, which represents a significant support level, as it lies close to:
→ the upper boundary of the triangle (former resistance);
→ the lower boundary of the ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ the 50% retracement level of the A→B impulse;
→ price zones of strong upward movement (a bullish imbalance zone, as described by the Fair Value Gap pattern of the Smart Money Concept methodology).
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Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
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#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
-
The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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TSLA Momentum Unstoppable To $370— Don’t Miss Out! 🚀 TSLA Weekly Options Analysis — Bullish Momentum Confirmed! (2025-08-11) 🚀
### 🔥 Key Highlights:
* **RSI Signals Bullish:** Daily RSI at **59.5**, Weekly RSI at **54.9** — momentum is building strong!
* **Massive Weekly Gain:** +13.62% this week, breaking past key moving averages & resistance levels.
* **Options Flow:** Call/Put ratio at **1.77** — traders and institutions betting big on upside!
* **Volatility:** VIX low at **15.8** — ideal environment for bullish directional trades.
* **⚠️ Volume Caution:** Weekly volume at **0.8x** last week — watch closely for institutional commitment shifts.
---
### 📈 Consensus:
Most models say: **BULLISH** ✅
* Momentum + Options Flow + Low Volatility = Perfect setup
* Volume dip is a caution flag but not a dealbreaker (yet).
---
### 🎯 Trade Setup: Buy Calls on TSLA
| Parameter | Details |
| ----------------- | ------------------------------------ |
| **Strike** | \$370 |
| **Expiry** | Aug 15, 2025 |
| **Entry Price** | \$0.53 (market open) |
| **Stop Loss** | \$0.26 (50% loss) |
| **Profit Target** | \$1.06 (100% gain) |
| **Position Size** | Risk 2-4% of account (1-2 contracts) |
---
### ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
* Moderate gamma risk — manage actively as expiry nears
* Watch volume trends for sudden shifts
* Confidence level: **75%** — strong bullish signals but stay nimble!
---
### 📊 JSON Trade Snapshot for Algo Fans
```json
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 370.00,
"expiry": "2025-08-15",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.06,
"stop_loss": 0.26,
"size": 2,
"entry_price": 0.53,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-11 14:59:39 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
💡 **TL;DR:** TSLA’s weekly surge + bullish options flow make \$370 calls a compelling play this week. Manage risk, watch volume, and aim for that 2x profit target!
Tesla Short Term Breakout?With Robotaxi, American Party, Elon, Trump... Fugayzi, Fugazi.
What goes with TSLA from a technical standpoint? Let's take a dive.
If we take $215, the yearly low, as a bottom. We can see the $292 level is both the 50% Fib level, and the yearly high before 5/9 , when a clear breakout happened .
This level was tested again during 6/5 (failed, but support at the classic 61.8% support at $275).
And again during 7/7.
We then can draw two inferences: the 2025 support line, and the 2025 wedge breakout line.
Today, we have a clear breakout against that wedge line. Is this the breakout we are looking for? How much will the upside go?
The next key level is $370 . The yearly high this year. We need to see a clear breakout above this level to confirm NASDAQ:TSLA in full blown bull mode.
The blue line indicates a likely scenario for the upcoming months.
Let me know what you think.
Long TESLATrading Fam,
Today my indicator has signaled a BUY on $TSLA. The technicals align. M pattern looks to have completed at strong support (RED TL) and is bouncing upwards inside of a solid liquidity block. Buyers are stepping in. I'm in at $315 and will shoot for $430 (probably taking some profit along the way). My SL is currently $241 but will trail as we enter profit.
Best,
Stew
TSLA: We're in a rangeLet's put it this way, we aren't going below $260.
Fo those that have been accumulating since 2022, patience has been a virtue. It may continue to be one. However, I can confidentially say, I think $815 is a mix term target. Long term... The sky is the limit.
I have my reasons for my investments.
If you want to or don't want to invest that's up to you and more power to you.
$TSLA – Wedge Breakout with Rotation PotentialNASDAQ:TSLA – Breaking Out of a Big Wedge After Earnings Reversal
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) just broke its wedge pattern after a strong post-earnings recovery, and the price action says a lot about where sentiment is shifting.
🔹 Earnings Flush → Strong Absorption
Earnings reaction was ugly — big gap down and heavy selling.
Since then, NASDAQ:TSLA has been shrugging off negative news — sales data, guidance cuts, analyst downgrades — all absorbed without breaking down.
This tells me buyers are quietly accumulating.
🔹 Rotation Narrative
The rest of the Mag 7 has been ripping for months.
NASDAQ:TSLA is the laggard — and now traders are rotating into the one big name that hasn’t moved yet.
If it holds here, the upside could be sharp.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Starter Long: Took an entry on the wedge trendline break.
2️⃣ Why Not Full Size Yet? This is day 4 of the move — in my playbook, that’s a starter size only.
3️⃣ Add Trigger: If we get an inside day or small dip that holds above the 9 EMA, I’ll add the rest of the position.
4️⃣ Stop: Under the wedge breakout level for now.
Why I Like This Setup:
Wedge break + rotation narrative + strong news absorption.
Market psychology turning — when a stock stops going down on bad news, it’s often about to go up.
Starter now, add on the dip = structured risk.