US30 The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the US30 next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 45417
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 45314
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 45580
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones (US30) 4H AnalysisHey guys another quick one from me, here we see price is holding a strong upward trendline while consolidating between 45,160 support and 45,730 resistance level. Always look left because stucture leaves clues.
A retracement toward the 45,375 (50% Fib) level could offer a bullish entry.
If buyers hold above 45,160, price is likely to push higher toward 45,980 (127.2% Fib extension) and possibly 46,092 (141.4% Fib).
A break and close below 45,160 would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift momentum back to the downside.
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation as long as 45,160 holds.
🎯 Targets: 45,730 - 45,980 - 46,092.
🔑 Invalidation: Break below 45,160.
US 10 Major Rotation: MACD Quadrant Matrix Signals Sector ShiftsBased on the MACD Quadrant Matrix – 10 US Majors, we are seeing clear evidence of rotation between mega-cap tech stocks and large-cap value leaders.
🔹 Quadrant 1 (Leading – MACD Positive, Momentum Positive):
Strong performers remain in this quadrant: GOOGL, BRK.B, UNH, AAPL, TSLA. These stocks show sustained buying pressure and positive momentum.
🔸 Quadrant 2 (Weakening – MACD Positive, Momentum Negative):
META is starting to lose momentum despite a positive MACD → this could signal either consolidation or early weakness.
🔻 Quadrant 3 (Lagging – MACD Negative, Momentum Negative):
MSFT and NVDA are under pressure with both MACD and momentum turning negative. These names face higher downside risk if weakness continues.
🟢 Quadrant 4 (Improving – MACD Negative, Momentum Positive):
AMZN is in recovery mode, showing early signs of improvement. A breakout from this quadrant could push it into leadership.
Market Takeaway:
Rotation suggests select tech leaders (MSFT, NVDA) are moving into a corrective phase.
GOOGL, AAPL, TSLA remain strong leadership candidates.
Defensive large caps (BRK.B, UNH) continue to act as stable outperformers.
Trading Strategy:
Favor holdings in Quadrant 1 leaders (GOOGL, AAPL, TSLA, BRK.B, UNH).
Watch AMZN in Quadrant 4 for a potential breakout.
Be cautious with MSFT, NVDA in Quadrant 3 due to continued downside risk.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss levels on weakening names.
Diversify between growth and defensive leaders to balance exposure.
US30 At a Monumental High - Parabolic or Poised to Pull Back?US30 Technical Analysis: 🏭 At a Monumental High - Parabolic or Poised to Pull Back? 📉
Asset: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD)
Analysis Date: September 5, 2025
Current Closing Price: 45,411.3 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4)
Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W
Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐
The US30 is trading at an all-time high in a powerful, near-parabolic advance. 🚀 While the trend is unequivocally bullish, the index is displaying extreme overbought conditions and is testing a major psychological barrier at 45,500. This represents a classic FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) zone. A decisive breakout could see an extension of the rally, but the risk of a sharp, profit-driven pullback is significantly elevated. 📊 Prudence suggests waiting for a better risk-reward entry rather than chasing the move. This analysis outlines key levels for intraday traders 🎯 and swing traders 📈.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍
1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart):
Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish. Price is miles above all key moving averages, which are fanned out bullishly.
Momentum: 🟡 Exhaustion Signs. The rally has been almost vertical. Such moves are unsustainable in the short term and often conclude with a volatile correction.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories:
Parabolic Rise 📈➡️📉: The chart structure is parabolic. While bullish, these patterns are notoriously fragile and prone to sharp reversals as traders take profits.
Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: The rally is a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This implies the completion of a cycle and warns that a larger, more complex corrective phase (Wave A-B-C or a deep Wave 4) is increasingly probable. A typical retracement target would be the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the entire Wave 3 rally.
Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is extremely far above the Cloud on all timeframes, indicating massive bullish momentum but also a severe over-extension from equilibrium. A mean reversion pullback towards the Cloud is a high-probability event.
Gann Theory ⏳: The 45,500 level is a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break above could target the next Gann angle, but rejection here is a significant risk.
3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance (R1): 45,500 - 45,600 (Key Psychological & Parabolic Resistance) 🚨
Resistance (R2): 46,000 (Projected Target if breakout occurs)
Current Closing Price: ~45,411
Support (S1): 44,800 - 45,000 (Immediate Support & Prior Breakout Zone) ✅
Support (S2): 44,200 - 44,400 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & 21-day EMA) 🛡️
Support (S3): 43,500 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement)
4. Indicator Consensus:
RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is well above 75 on both timeframes, signaling severely overbought conditions. 📛 This is the strongest sell signal the RSI can give and warns against new long positions.
Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is consistently piercing the upper band. A reversion to at least the middle band (20-period SMA) is a matter of when, not if.
Moving Averages: The bullish alignment is perfect but stretched. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart is critical short-term dynamic support.
Volume & VWAP: Volume may be declining on the most recent highs (a bearish divergence), suggesting the rally is running on fumes. 📉 Price is extremely extended from any logical Anchored VWAP level.
Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯
A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts):
Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: This is the highest probability play. Watch for bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star 🌠, Doji) at or near the 45,500 resistance.
Entry: On confirmation of rejection (e.g., a break below a small consolidation low).
Stop Loss: Tight, above 45,600.
Target: 45,000 (TP1), 44,800 (TP2).
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Fade) ⚠️: Chasing a breakout here is high-risk. If price breaks above 45,500, it's safer to wait for a pullback to that level for a support re-test before considering a long.
B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts):
Strategy: WAIT FOR A PULLBACK. The risk/reward for new long entries at this altitude is terrible. 🚫
Ideal Long Zones: Wait for a dip to 44,200 - 44,400 or even 43,500. This would provide a much healthier entry to ride the next potential leg up in the primary bull trend. ✅
Bearish Risk: A daily close below 44,000 would signal a deeper correction is underway, potentially targeting the 43,000 zone.
Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️
Key Risk Events: All US economic data (especially jobs and inflation reports) and Fed speaker comments are potential catalysts for a volatility explosion. 🔥 The market is priced for perfection.
Position Sizing: Extreme caution is advised. This is a low-probability environment for new entries. Risk should be halved (e.g., 0.5% of account) due to the high volatility and unpredictability at peaks.
Conclusion: The US30 is in a spectacular bull run but is in a High-Risk Zone. 🎲 This is a time for profit protection for existing longs, not for FOMO buying. 🚫📈 Swing traders must be patient for a pullback. Intraday traders can look for short-term reversal signals. The most likely outcome is a healthy and necessary correction to recharge for the next move. 📉
Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 44,200 | 🔴 Caution/Correction likely between 45,000-45,600
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Dow Jones in Accumulation: Breakout Will Set the TrendMarket Overview:
US30 is stuck in a sideways range 45,000–45,600 after a strong rally. This consolidation looks like an accumulation phase before the next impulse. Price remains above the EMA (144), confirming buyer strength.
Technical Signals:
Accumulation range: 45,000–45,600.
EMA (144) acts as support.
No breakout – no strong move.
Key Levels:
Support: 45,000 – 44,800 – 43,300
Resistance: 45,600 – 46,000
Scenario:
Main: breakout above 45,600 opens the path to 46,000–46,400.
Alternative: close below 45,000 could trigger a decline towards 44,800–44,300.
Conclusion:
Dow Jones is building energy. Once the range is broken, a strong trend will follow.
US30: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 45,228.37 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones Under Pressure as Bond Yields SurgeUS30 – Dow Jones Update
The Dow Jones erased 250 points as September began with soaring bond yields, dragging stocks lower after the long weekend. Nasdaq was the session’s biggest loser despite showing pre-market strength.
Technical Outlook:
The index reached our support target at 44,950, exactly as projected yesterday.
For now, price is expected to consolidate within the 45,285 – 45,110 zone before the next move.
🔼 A confirmed 4H close above 45,285 would support a bullish continuation toward 45,460 → 45,680.
🔻 Conversely, sustained trade below 45,110 would re-open the bearish path toward 44,950 → 44,720.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 45,285
Support: 45,110 – 44,950 – 44,720
Resistance: 45,460 – 45,680 – 45,860
Dow Jones eyes new highs with NFP in sharp focusThe Dow was trading flat ahead of the release of the NFP data. A goldilocks report - one that is not too weak or too strong - is the best outcome for stocks as this will cement expectations for a September rate cut. A significantly weaker report will raise recession worries while a very strong number could weigh on rate cut bets, and pressure risk assets at least initially anyway.
The price action on the DOW has been near perfect after a retest of the 45K broken resistance from above giving way for a big bounce this week. With a couple of short-term resistance levels such as 45470 and 45315 taken out, these will now be the initial support levels to watch moving forward. The next upside target is liquidity resting above the all time high of 45,763.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Us30 sell Trade Setup Observed
Entry: Around 45,609 (current price zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 45,659 (≈ 50 points above entry).
Take Profit (TP): Significantly lower, around 45,300 (green zone).
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.12 → This is a good ratio (favorable reward relative to risk).
Position Size: Qty 2.
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📊 Price Action
1. Strong Upward Impulse: Prior to your trade, the market had a strong bullish rally (large green candles).
2. Consolidation Phase: After the rally, price is ranging in a tight band (sideways movement), marked by small alternating candles.
3.Manipulation is over and distribution si about to start
Dow Jones Overextended: Watching for an Institutional Unwind 📊 Dow Jones (US30) remains bullish 🟢, but in my view, it’s looking overextended 📈. Price has traded into a key level 🎯 where we could see a potential pullback, especially as we approach the end of the week 📅, when institutions and big money 💼 may begin unwinding positions.
👀 The play here is to watch for the high of the week/day ⏫ and look for a counter-trend reversal 🔄 that could drive price lower into the weekly close 📉.
⚠️ Keep in mind: Monday’s opening often creates a stop run 🛑 possibly offering a deeper pullback, giving us a double dose of liquidity grabs 💧. This sets the stage for a fairly deep retracement, which could present an opportunity to counter trend short if conditions align 🧩.
📌 My focus is on a break below the current range 🔓 as a trigger for potential entry.
⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice 📚
US30 Bullish Setup: From Pullback to Measured Moves📊 The US30 (Dow Jones) is trending bullish on the 4-hour chart ⏰. We’ve just seen a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️, and I’ve taken a long position 📈. In the video 🎥, I break down how I set my targets 🎯 using the Fibonacci retracement 🔢 — first identifying the equilibrium pullback, then projecting measured moves above for profit targets 🚀. (Not financial advice ⚠️)
Will US30 Reach A New Record High After Today's NFP?Fundamental approach:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) rose this week amid cooling US labor signals that reinforced expectations for a Sep Fed rate cut, while upbeat ISM services activity tempered growth concerns.
- ADP private payrolls slowed and jobless claims ticked higher, bolstering bets for easier policy ahead of today's NFP release. This kept risk appetite supported through Thu record-setting close in broader indices.
- The ISM Services PMI accelerated to 52.0 in Aug, with stronger business activity and new orders, but continued employment contraction, a mix consistent with disinflationary growth that equity markets favored. Salesforce (CRM) underperformed on a cautious revenue outlook even as rate-cut hopes lifted cyclicals within the Dow complex.
- Looking ahead, the index could extend gains if payrolls and earnings metrics cool without signaling a hard landing, as this may cement Fed easing later this month. Today's jobs report and subsequent Fed communications could be key catalysts for rate expectations and index momentum.
Technical approach:
- US30 bounced up from retesting the ascending channel's lower bounce, confluence with the support at 45000, and EMA21.
- If US30 breaches the resistance at around 45700, the index may accelerate to retest the confluencing area of several Fibo Extension levels at around 46680-46900.
- On the contrary, closing below 45000 may prompt a further correction to retest EMA78.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DowJones Key Trading Levels ahead of US Employment DataKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 46080
Support Level 1: 45050
Support Level 2: 44900
Support Level 3: 44730
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 UPDATE: Pre-Post Potential 4 NFPDear Friends in Trading,
1) NFP Today - Be safe.
2) TIP - Post NFP Mondays: (Applies to all instruments - Forex, Indices & Metals)
-----"ASIA + LONDON SESSION's PRICE ACTION IS BIG AND OPEN MOST OF THE TIME"-----
Keynote:
MARKET STRUCTURE = TREND = INTACT
I have highlighted a few possible support and resistance levels,
and potential targets.
Let me know if anything is unclear?
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
DOW/US30 - BEST STRATEGY OF THE YEAR - LETS GOTeam, carefully plan for tonight on NON FARM PAYROLL
HERE IS THE DATA
Weekly jobless claims increase 8,000 to 237,000
Continuing claims fall 4,000 to 1.940 million
Private payrolls increase 54,000 in August
Trade deficit widens 32.5% to $78.3 billion in July
Last month, the same day, market drop for two days over 1000 points.
PLEASE CAREFULLY structure this - DO SMALL VOLUME FOR THIS ONLY
Short now at 45645-45655 - I think the market look EXHAUSTED
STOP LOSS tight at 45680 or give more room at 45720
Target 1 at 45525-45500 - take 60%-70% partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 45425-45380
OR WAIT FOR THIS ZONE TO KILL THE MARKET - 45800-45900 - stop loss at 46050
Target 1 - 45650 -45620
Target 2 - 45550-45520
LETS GO
Dow Jones Index Wave Analysis – 4 September 2025- Dow Jones Index reversed from key support level 45000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 45765.00
Dow Jones Index recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 45000.00 (former strong resistance, which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Dow Jones Index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45765.00 (which reversed the Index in August).