Trade ideas
DowJones Key trading levels ahead of FOMC minutesKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46930
Resistance Level 2: 47060
Resistance Level 3: 47200
Support Level 1: 46420
Support Level 2: 46290
Support Level 3: 46190
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES waiting for a rebound on its 4H MA50.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us last week (October 01, see chart below) an excellent Buy Signal on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) that almost instantly hit our 47000 Target:
This time it is the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) that is providing the new buy opportunity as following the 47000 Higher High of the Bullish Leg, the index pulled-back on a Bearish Leg.
As you can see, the symmetry within this pattern remains high with all three Bullish Legs so far rising by around +2.75% and the 4 MA50 / 4H MA100 providing support for the Bearish Legs.
As a result, we expect a new short-term rebound, as long as the 4H MA50 holds, targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at 47180.
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US30: Consecutive breakouts signal an emerging downtrend
SPREADEX:DJI – When price rejects the high, the market begins to shift
On the 30-minute chart, price action is clearly signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a transition toward a bearish structure.
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🧠 Price Action Analysis
1. First Failed Breakout
Price initially broke above the ascending trendline that had held since early October — but failed to hold the breakout.
➤ A classic early warning of buyer exhaustion, often seen during distribution phases.
2. Multi-Layered Resistance Zone
The 46,725 – 46,779 region has become a clustered resistance zone, rejecting price repeatedly.
➤ Multiple rejections here suggest dominant selling pressure, with strong supply overhead.
3. Second False Breakout
A more subtle second breakout attempt followed — but again, price was swiftly rejected.
➤ Consecutive failed breakouts typically indicate a lack of conviction and precede sharp reversals.
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📉 Trend Structure Has Shifted Bearish
• Lower highs and lower lows now visible
• Price broke below the previous trendline
• Pullback attempts failed to reclaim broken support
• Market is respecting resistance instead of support
➡ These are clear signs of a short-term downtrend emerging.
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🔻 Trading Strategy: Favoring Sell Setups in the New Bearish Context
✴️ Scenario 1: Sell at Retest of Proven Resistance Zone
• Optimal Sell Zone: 46,700 – 46,750
• This area has already triggered two failed breakouts — a third touch could be the ideal trap for late buyers
• Watch for bearish rejection candles (pin bars, bearish engulfing, etc.)
Suggested Sell Limit Order:
→ Entry: 46,730
→ Stop Loss: 46,830 (above prior swing high)
→ TP1: 46,500
→ TP2: 46,300
→ Risk-Reward: At least 1:2
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✴️ Scenario 2: Momentum Sell on Breakdown of Local Support
• Trigger Level: 46,580 — if price breaks below with strong momentum (long red candle, increased volume)
• Confirms trend continuation after consolidation
Suggested Sell Breakout Order:
→ Entry: 46,580
→ Stop Loss: 46,680
→ Target: 46,350 – 46,200
→ Tip: Use smaller position size if breakout appears weak to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout
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🎯 Trade Management
• Only enter trades with clear price rejection or momentum confirmation
• Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit to lock in safety
• Exit the trade if price closes above 46,830 — that would invalidate the bearish thesis
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False breakouts leave a trail — for those who know how to read it. It's not a failure. It’s the market whispering that direction has changed.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US30 - Potential BuyHi traders,
We are looking to BUY CMCMARKETS:US30
Stay tuned :)
Price Action:
Short-term sell bias toward 41,700 zone based on lower high and projected weakness.
Watch reaction at 41,700—if buyers return strong with a new higher low, it resumes uptrend.
Invalidation: If price breaks above 42,800 with strength and closes above, sellers are overwhelmed—trend continues.
Good Luck :)
Study, Study, Study! Lorenzo Tarati
US30: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 46,689.60 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 46,759.66 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DowJones pre US Open key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46908
Resistance Level 2: 47014
Resistance Level 3: 47210
Support Level 1: 46493
Support Level 2: 46409
Support Level 3: 46270
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Possible False Breakout and Short-Term The US30 has recently shown strong consolidation near its top resistance zone, forming a new record high around 47,100. However, the breakout above this level appears to be losing momentum, raising the possibility of a false breakout.
If price fails to hold above 47,100 and shows signs of rejection, this could trigger a short-term corrective move each key support and resistance zone highlighted on the chart remains critical to watch. The market’s reaction — whether a clean breakout or a rejection — will likely determine the next directional move should the index respect the current resistance and reverse, the next significant short-term support to monitor is located near 45,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
US30 H4 | Continuation Of Bullish MomentumBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 46,380.64, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 45,840.03, which is a pullback support.
Tak eporfit is at 47,070.78, which is a swing high resistance.
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Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 46,388.60
1st Support: 45,835.17
1st Resistance: 47,231.62
Disclaimer:
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ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT 5-YEAR BULL CYCLEWe would look at the 20 year cycle in the stock market, there are two individual 20-year cycles running together at a time. One cycle defines tops and the other identifies the major market lows. We would also look at the 20- year periodicity of repeating market fractals and the 5-year bull cycle that commences at the beginning of each 20-year cycle.
In subsequent updates we will identify the 8 - 13 subdivision of the 20-year cycle. To make the chart clean we have only indicated the cycle that defines bottoms. Top cycles will be identified in the description and both cycles combined on one linear scale to see how they relate to the 5-year bull cycle.
Our pivot point is taken at the 22nd August 1921 low.
First Cycle duration:
22/08/1921 - 27/04/1942 = (7553 days /1079 weeks /248.2 months)
= 20 years, 08 months, 05 days.
Cycle 2:
27/04/1942 - 25/06/1962 = (7364 days / 1052 weeks / 242 months)
= 20 years, 01 month, 29 days.
Cycle 3:
25/06/1962 - 16/08/1982 = (7357 days / 1051 weeks / 241.7 months)
= 20 years, 01 months, 22 days
Cycle 4:
16/08/1982 - 07/10/2002 = (7352 days / 1051 weeks / 241.7 months)
= 20 years, 01 month, 21 days
Cycle 5:
07/10/2002 - 10/10/2022 = (7308 days / 1044 weeks / 240.1 months)
= 20 years, 0 month, 03 days
By observation, cycle 3 and 4 have the same duration 7357 days while cycle 2 is (+7 days) off 7357 days, i.e 1 candle on the weekly timeframe. Now, looking at the beginning points of each cycle, within the identified ellipses we see a striking fractal that has been consistent in all 5 cycles.
Cycle 1 and 2
Cycle 3 and 4
Cycle 5 and 6
The 20-year cycle that defines tops are on :
27th May 1946
7th February 1966
24th August 1987
8th October 2007
XX - XX - 2027
Cycle 1 origin point is on 22/08/1921 but has a split focus at two points, one on the 1921 pivot and the other on the much popular May 1924 low.
Representing both cycles (Bottoms and tops)
This shows that between the two origin points is approximately a 5-year cycle
This cycle is actually an astrocycle and varies according to the changing speed.
By observation, Fractal 1 is very much identical to fractal 4 and fracal 2 very much identical to 5. A time span of 60 years averagely separate fractals 1 and 4 as well as 2 and 5. This leaves the 1962 - 1966 cycle, 60 years from 1962 puts the origin for the new identical fractal at the October 2022 low.
The above justifies that if the cycle is not inverted then a point on the current price action should not be broken. Also it negates the numerous calls for a crash that has been chanted since the 2020 low and never materialized.
HOWEVER, there is the 101-year cycle which alternate tops for bottoms and vice versa after its completion, and considering the pivot from 22/08/1921 the 101 years ended at the October 2022 low.
Interesting... check back as we would go through the numerical expansions that shed more light on what to expect forward, price levels, and time resistances.
Thanks for your time, all opinions are much appreciated, questions would be answered too.
Good luck.
BUY EVERY DIP, HOLD FOR THE NEXT 7-MONTH CYCLE UNTIL OCTOBERThere are the current turmoil by tariffs and perceived recession, yet, the cycles strongly support a further advance from the March lows until October 2025. The bottom in March 2020 formed the base for the 5 year bull cycle nested within the larger 13 year cycle.
PRICE
The 2020 crash low formed at 18213.65, the decline in 2022 formed a bottom at 28660.94. We would have a price range Low - Low of (+10447.29 pts)
(28660.94 - 18213.65) = 10447.29 units
By projection if the range between the first two bottoms is 10447.29 we would expect the third bottom connecting three expanding points to be at 1.618 of 10447.29 points from 28660.94
28660.94 + (10447.29 x 1.618) = 45564.66
This makes the current top at 45073.63 through 45564.66 level a major support whereas its also a minor resistance for some correction and we expect price to move through this level.
TIME
Time connecting the three points 23/03/2020 - 03/01/2022 - 10/10/2022 with March 2020 as starting point would give us a time count (0.0 - 651 days - 931 days).
We find that between the two bottoms the top in Jan 2022 came in at 651 days. By projection we expect the next bottom to be at least 209 weeks or 1463 days from 10/10/2022 with a top located at a Phi variation of 651.
We would project a time range 1064 - 1099 days for a top and a decline into the third bottom 1463 days from 10/10/2022 and 2394 days from 23/03/2020. Trade safe, good luck.
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET...
Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition.
1942 - 1947 5-year cycle
1982 - 1987 Cycle
2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression
Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error.
27th October is a major timeline to watch
Beyond that we have March 2026
TRADE PLAN:
We will close all buy entries in October
We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle.
Follow for more updates
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD
Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥
📊 Trade Plan Overview
Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close)
Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks.
Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis).
Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧
Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point).
Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️
Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!).
Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸
Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights
The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines:
Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️♂️:
Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision.
Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level.
Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains.
Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢
Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets.
Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading.
Macro Environment:
Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY).
Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth.
Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks.
Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside.
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊:
Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials.
Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties.
Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data.
Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️
Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy.
Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports).
Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀
Bullish trend intact with no recession signals.
Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings.
Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA.
NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum.
FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts.
📝 Final Notes
This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
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