GoldFail to brake out of the triangle indicating manipulation sweeping the highs closing back in the range. If price reject the 50% of the daily wick look for a short set up cuz lower prices be the best probability.
Trade ideas
Gold futures to break back down the 4000?As we all know Gold has had an incredible rally this year,
Though, it's been consolidating for the last two weeks, and as far as the structure of the consolidation, some of the liquidity has been taken from the daily FVG on Oct the 30th, leaving a permanent high on the H4 chart with a nice bearish candle
Then it consolidated again for a bit, got an impulse to the downside, retraced with difficulty back to the H4 order block, to consolidate again last 2 days of last week. Finally , it printed what could be more of a permanent high on friday afternoon.
The combination of this, plus the last two day's candles looking bearish, starts to advocate for a bearish bias.
Therefore I'd like to see the price go and reach for the low of the range, after it's breaking the H4 structure
Of course this idea could be invalidated, if Gold was to break above the recent high and the Daily FVG, then we'd reasses the situation.
Still, I would be cautious for longs, Gold has been very extended for a very long time, needs to cool off a bit so we can go buy some coins again!
Cheers!
Gold’s Tight Range = Big Opportunity! Watch These Key Levels.COMEX:GC1! COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures) | Market Analysis & 2025 Outlook
After hundreds of requests since my last ideas, I’ve decided to share another detailed breakdown — this time for Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! . Let’s dive in.
COMEX: COMEX:GC1! Breakdown
Fundamental Analysis → NEUTRAL to BULLISH
Gold remains range-bound as markets await clearer direction from global inflation data and U.S. rate expectations. Safe-haven demand continues to support the metal, but a strong dollar has kept price capped.
Technical Analysis → RANGING (Neutral Bias)
Currently consolidating within a 4H range since October 25th, with price bouncing between resistance near 4045 and support around 3940.
A close below 3940 opens the door for lows near 3823.
A close above 4045 could trigger a move toward the fair value gap around 4235.
If price sustains above 4235, the next major target would be a breakout beyond the all-time high at 4398.
This sideways structure suggests accumulation before a decisive move — traders should stay patient for a confirmed breakout before committing heavy capital.
Sentimental Analysis → Market in Waiting Mode
Gold traders are showing hesitation — institutions and retail alike are waiting for key macro catalysts. The current equilibrium reflects indecision rather than reversal.
My Suggestion:
While the bias remains neutral, a smart strategy is to wait for confirmation from the range extremes.
Trade Plan:
BUY Setup: If we see a strong 4H or daily close above 4045, aim for 4235, then 4398.
SELL Setup: If price closes below 3940, look for continuation to 3823 before considering long re-entries.
Use proper risk management — risk small until direction confirms.
Conclusion
Gold’s current range offers both opportunity and caution. Be patient and let the breakout guide your next move. Remember — the market rewards discipline more than prediction.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, drop a LIKE, COMMENT, and FOLLOW for more updates and technical setups.
See you soon on the next trade idea! ✨📊
Trade idea for monday1. Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play)
Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout and 30-min candle close above 4,020–4,030.
Retest Entry: Enter on retest of 4,010–4,020 zone.
Targets:
TP1: 4,060 (first resistance)
TP2: 4,100
TP3: 4,160
Stop-Loss: Below 3,980 (below breakout candle or wedge support)
R:R: ~1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on target.
2. Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play)
Entry: If price rejects 4,020–4,030 and closes below 3,995.
Targets:
TP1: 3,960
TP2: 3,945 demand zone
Stop-Loss: Above 4,030
R:R: ~1:2 potential
GC UpdateRemember earlier this year, I said the target for gold was $4k? Well, I guess a lot of other people had the same idea, lol. It's settled in at $4k, and I don't think it'll move for a while.
No more updates until it does something. Maybe we need to poke it with a stick.
Gold Gearing Up — Watch $4,000 for the Next Bull RunXAUUSD testing $4,000 support. A bullish reaction here could ignite the next leg up. Smart money likely re-entering — I’m looking to buy dips around this level with eyes on $4,200+.
COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUEUR FX_IDC:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
GOLD FUTURERS: Critical levels for tradingMCX GOLD : Trading sideways with minor dips. Bias :Positive
Positional Buy :Once it starts giving a close above 1,21,000 for a fresh rally towards 1,22,000+
Positional sell :Once it gives a close below 1,20,000 for 1,17,000/1,10,000 levels
Major Support :1,20,000/1,17,000/1,10,000
Major Resistance :1,21000-1,21,100(For educational purpose only)
1H BUY OPPO. AFTER BREAK OF LEVEL1. Break of 4015 buy 1H CANDLE.
2. buy on retest on 3 levels:
a) 4013-4008 LEVEL.
b) 3987-3981 level.
c) 3977-3965 level.
if 1H candle close down 3956 level.
setup fails. out of it or stop buying now.
Part two emphasis on goldI was supposed to do some work on Trading View to set up my tools but I failed to do that and this turned into an analysis of price action as it pertained to gold...
Probably tomorrow there will be another video but it will be focused on fixing the tools to make my life a lot easier and as I said if I get that result from my friend we will make it available to other people at no cost.
US Employment Data Positive for GOLD Prices. Can GOLD reverse?GOLD is declining in falling channel pattern however seems to be taking support at the marked trendline.
US Employment data came just in where number of jobs added was better than expectations which would mean a stronger labour market and inflation might stay elevated which is good for GOLD/SILVER due to safe haven demand in the long term.
Keep an eye on GOLD prices.
1H DIRECTION SHIFT SELLING OPPORTUNITY1. If Direction Shift happens in internal structure, it's a signal of selling oppo.
2. On Base wait for one Hour selling engulf candle enter on retest and sell.
3. TP1 is 3990 and TP2 is bigger till 3790
Comex Gold As prices seen in a consolidation phase from past 7 sessions. Current Support intact $3900 coincide 50DEMA along 50% fib retracement level, if prices fail sustain above support level, can see towards next support zone $3800--$3600 alien with 61.8% Feb. retracement level.
In other scenario, if prices sustain above support level, above 20DEMA-$4000 prices can will see gaining the strength towards $4200.
Whereas if US-China Trade deal tensions, Fed's unchanged rate, US shutdown can continued to see gold stuck into a long time consolidation phase .
Waiting on the Sweep – ADP Should Provide the CatalystChoppy week so far with price distributing and grinding lower. Last week’s low still hasn’t been taken, so my macro target remains the same. I’m looking for ADP tomorrow during NY session to provide the volatility needed to run liquidity and complete that sweep.
Not predicting direction on the release itself — I’ll be waiting for a liquidity grab and displacement before considering an entry. If price runs stops above today’s Asia high or drives directly into last week’s low, I’ll be watching for the post-news retrace to an FVG/structural level to participate.
Patience here — the move is close, but confirmation > anticipation.
XAUXAUStraight from perplexity - Potential for a Return to $4,200
Gold prices have fluctuated but repeatedly tested the $4,200 level, and the consensus among many experts is that, despite recent corrections, gold could readily revisit or sustain levels near $4,200, depending on global economic events, monetary policy (especially Fed rate decisions), inflation, and geopolitical uncertainties.
Gold futures max in 4hGold futures max in 4h and trying to identify the trendlines to find entry stop-loss and targets based on 4h time frame.
Gold MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 5th Nov., 25MCX:GOLD1!
MCX Gold Futures — Chart Pathik Insights | 5-Nov-25
Gold futures are under selling pressure, trading stall at 119,749 right at the zero line after a sharp leg down and minor bounce attempts. Price remains weak as sellers control action just beneath the 120,000 psychological mark, pointing to possible further downside unless reclaimed by bulls.
Bearish Structure:
Short setups dominate below 119,918, with every failed retest of the add-long (120,155) keeping momentum with sellers.
Downside Levels:
118,555: First logical target for bears; cover some, trail the rest.
117,787: Aggressive extension if broad liquidation triggers.
Risk Management: Shorts should be managed above the add-long or zero line to minimize risk if a reversal takes hold.
Bullish Structure:
Longs to be considered only above 120,392, needing quick acceptance back in the prior higher band and strong closes above resistance.
Upside Levels:
121,039: Initial resistance for partial or full booking.
121,807: Extension if sentiment flips with volume.
Risk Management: Use the short-entry/zero-line as stops for any fresh longs caught in whipsaws.
Neutral/Inflection:
The 119,797–119,749 band marks the direct battle for the session — choppy price is likely until a firm imbalance emerges. Be patient for confirmation before executing size.
Use these mapped zones for optimal structure, adaptive entries, and aggressive defense.
If these levels clarify your daily plan, boost, comment, and share—your support boosts the learning loop.
Follow Chart Pathik for unbiased pivots, process-backed logic, and practical market learning.
Choosing Your Path in Futures TradingThere’s more than one way to participate in the futures markets. Whether you're hands-on or prefer a more passive approach, selecting the right method depends on your trading goals, risk tolerance, and available time. Here’s a breakdown of the most common approaches used by active and aspiring futures traders.
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If you like full control over your trades, this approach is for you. It requires staying up to date on market news, analyzing charts, and executing your own trades according to a plan and framework which can be referred to as your “strategy.” Experienced traders may prefer this model for its flexibility and transparency.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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These systems use predefined rules to analyze data and execute trades without manual intervention. They can be ideal for traders who want to capitalize on algorithmic speed and logic while minimizing emotional decision-making, or for traders who might not have the time to dedicate to self-directed trading.
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For a more passive route, managed futures allow you to invest in futures contracts through a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) or Commodity Pool Operator (CPO). The advisor handles the trading, using their expertise to manage risk and seek opportunity.
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Prefer to have a trusted guide by your side? With broker-assisted trading, a professional helps execute trades, manage risk, and offer support—all tailored to your preferences.
Key Takeaway
Every trader’s journey in the futures markets looks different. Whether you thrive on taking full control of your trades, prefer automated systems, or rely on professional guidance, the key is to find the approach that aligns with your goals, risk tolerance, and lifestyle.
Understanding the options available self-directed, automated, managed, or broker-assisted empowers you to trade more confidently and effectively.
Call to Action
At EdgeClear, we’re dedicated to helping traders at every level find the tools, guidance, and support they need to succeed. Explore our platforms, connect with our expert brokers, or follow us on TradingView to discover more Trade Ideas and educational content to refine your edge.
GC week 45threw this together real quick.
T.A explained -
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Gold Update 04NOV2025: Wave 4 Dropped Into Target AreaGold futures dropped into the pink-box target area based on the Fibonacci retracement between $3,750 and $4,000.
As expected, the RSI has reached the 50 “waterline”, where it could find some support and start moving around that level.
Many traders lose money in fourth waves, as they can be “anything” and often last longer than one’s pocket. I’ve outlined a triangle shape in wave 4 just for visual context.
The range built through the peak of wave 3 around $4,400 and the bottom of recent panic selling near $3,900 will likely contain most of the volatility in wave 4.
It can take time… testing one’s patience.
Bearish Scenario (primary)Bearish Scenario (primary)
Bias: Still bearish until price can reclaim 4020+ on 4H.
Setup idea:
Entry: 4008–4012 (retest of imbalance / EMA cluster).
Stop-loss: 4022–4025 (above 4H minor swing and trendline).
Targets:
TP1 → 3980 (1H structure low / EMA200 zone)
TP2 → 3960 (liquidity sweep below wedge support)
TP3 → 3920 (major 4H demand zone)
Confirmation: Wait for 15m rejection wick or lower-timeframe MSS/CHOCH within that zone.
Bullish Alternative (reversal breakout)
If price closes a 4H candle above 4020 with strength:
Entry: Retest of 4010–4012 as support.
Stop-loss: Below 3995.
Targets:
TP1 → 4040 (previous supply zone).
TP2 → 4080 (liquidity above equal highs).
Summary
Structure compression signals potential breakout soon.
Since momentum is still bearish and price is failing to reclaim 4H EMAs, short from resistance is higher-probability.
Watch reaction to 3980 — if it holds firmly with bullish divergence, the wedge breakout north could begin.
Gold Bulls Defend the $4000 Level as Bears Struggle for ControlGold closed lower for a second week, and prices are now meandering around the 4000 handle. We can see that the last time it tried to break back below such a milestone level, gold bear sonly managed a single weekly close below 3000 before the rally continued.
I doubt we’ll see another 1000 directly from current levels, and my bias is actually for the retracement to eventually dip lower before its bullish trend resumes. But for now, traders could seek false breaks below 4000 in anticipation of at least a minor move higher.
My video from Friday provides a bullish bias on the daily timeframe over the near term which still stands. But for those on intraday timeframes, notice that bullish engulfing candles have appeared on the 1-hour chart on the prior two occasions that gold tried (but failed) to break beneath 4000. It’s as if gold bears are trying to force the golden beach ball below its 4000 waterline.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
GOLD COMEXGold looks weak and face Resistance in 4010 and 4050. On 1hour good setup for short. Target near 3810 and SL NEAR 4050 .
