Trade ideas
GER40 – Bullish Breakout Toward Key ResistanceThe German DAX (GER40) has broken above the 24,470.00 resistance level, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. Buyers are maintaining strong momentum, aiming for the next key target near 25,209.27, with a potential extension toward 25,587.34 if momentum sustains.
Support at: 24,470.00 🔽 / 23,888.55 🔽
Resistance at: 25,209.27 🔼 / 25,587.34 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: While price holds above 24,470.00, buyers could continue driving price toward 25,209.27 and 25,587.34.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 24,470.00 would weaken the bullish structure, exposing 23,888.55 as the next downside target.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DAX: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,671.00 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,764.14 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX Attacking New ATH German DAX is in a very nice recovery, breaking above the corrective channel resistance line, so apparently we are in risk-on mode on this index, which sooner or later could revisit all-time highs. Keep in mind this could already be a fifth wave, but there’s still room for 25,000 or even 25,500. What I really like on the smaller intraday time frame is the strong recovery since October 1st, and notice there’s a gap from October 2nd — these gaps can often act as reversal points, especially once they get filled on the cash market. L
ooking at the cash chart, it seems that gap could still get filled during the current fourth-wave correction, which could be a very nice spot for the market to resume higher toward the previous July 2025 highs. The gap fill could be an important support, while the short-term invalidation level is at 23,834 — as long as this one holds, the intraday trend remains up.
Germany 40 Index – Focus on the All-Time HighDespite weaker than expected factory orders (4th monthly fall) and industrial production (3 year low) data from Germany earlier this week, which both unexpectedly fell, highlighting weaker growth prospects and structural issues that urgently need to be addressed to support the country’s key industrial corporates to deal with the impact of US tariffs and competition from China, the Germany 40 index has steadily moved back towards its all-time high of 24648.
In fact, since the end of a disappointing range bound September, the Germany 40 has risen around 800 points or 3.4% as investors look to rotate back into European markets in a search of lower valuations compared to US companies, especially in the technology sector.
Now, in what has been a week light event week, with Q3 earnings about to start, the focus for traders could be whether the technical trends indicate there is enough momentum to push towards new record highs, or whether the recent gains may lead to some profit taking ahead of the Friday close.
Technical Update: Focus on the All Time High
Recent activity in the Germany 40 index has been contained between 23235, the May 23rd session low, and 24648 the July 10th all-time high. The price action within this range has reflected a more balanced tone, with a clear tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
A decisive closing breakout through either boundary may be needed to suggest the next directional move.
As the chart above shows, the most recent price activity since the 23285 September 17th low has seen prices recover, a move that is now testing the important resistance level marked by the July 10th all-time high at 24648.
Traders could well be watching closely to see if this new strength leads to a clear closing upside breakout, or if the range between 23235 and 24648 is to remain intact.
Potential Resistance Levels:
One could argue that having previously attracted sellers and held firm as a ceiling since July 10th, 24648 remains the first key resistance to watch. A closing break above this level might signal renewed bullish momentum and open the door for further upside in price.
While a close above 24648 doesn’t guarantee continued strength, it could encourage further upside attempts.
When in new all-time high territory, pinpointing resistance becomes more difficult, but Fibonacci extension levels can offer useful reference points. These projections can be used to help frame potential resistance levels.
While a successful close above 24648 has yet to materialise, such a break could prompt traders to shift their focus towards 25162, the 38.2% extension or even 25482, which is the 61.8% level.
Possible Support Levels:
Of course, the July 10th high of 24648 currently remains intact on a closing basis and continues to serve as the first possible resistance level, marking the upper boundary of the current sideways range. As such, it may once again prove effective in capping price strength. If this resistance holds, it could see renewed selling pressure, raising the risk of fresh price declines.
As shown in the chart above, the 24273 low from October 6th, represents the last correction low in the current rally and may now act as an initial support. If this level breaks it could signal potential for downside moves towards 24133, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and possibly further to the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 24000.
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GER30 H4 | Extension of Bullish Momentum ExpectedGER30 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,270.66, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 24,040.97, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 24,652.43, which acts as a swing high resistance.
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GER30 Trading Plan: Pending Orders, Breakout Levels, and Targets📉 GER30 (Germany Index) – Market Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏦
Hey Traders 👋,
Here’s a swing/day trade plan I’m watching on the GER30 (Germany Index). This setup is designed with a layered pending order strategy once confirmation hits.
🔑 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish (waiting for sellers to breach the 4H Moving Average ✅ confirmation needed)
Entry Trigger: Breakout of MA @ 23300 ➝ after breakout confirmation, entries can be considered at different price levels.
Layered Entries (Sell Limits):
23500
23450
23400
23350
23300
(You can expand layering based on your own strategy)
⚠️ Important Note: Only activate sell limit layers after breakout confirmation. No confirmation = no entry.
🛑 Stop Loss
Suggested SL: 23650
But remember: risk management is personal! 🎯 Set your SL at your own comfort level.
🎯 Target
Exit Zone: 22900
Why? SMA acting as strong dynamic support, plus oversold conditions & potential liquidity traps.
Again ➝ this TP is optional. You’re in control of your profits. 💰
📌 Core Notes (Read Carefully!)
This plan uses multiple layered sell-limit entries (cash flow layering style).
Don’t jump in blindly! Wait for the moving average breach on 4H to confirm bearish momentum.
SL & TP are not recommendations, just references. Trade at your own risk.
🔗 Correlation / Related Pairs to Watch
FX:GER30 – Core instrument
XETR:DAX – Same Germany Index benchmark (futures)
FX:EURUSD – Often inversely correlated with DAX strength when EUR reacts to macro events
SP:SPX / CAPITALCOM:US30 – Global equity indices; U.S. flows can impact German equities
OANDA:XAUUSD – Gold as a hedge; risk-off flows sometimes push capital out of equities and into gold
Watching these pairs can give better context to the strength/weakness of GER30 📊.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#GER30 #DAX #Germany30 #IndexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockIndices #MarketFlow
Bearish reversal off swing high resistance?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as a multi swing high resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 24,550.50
1st Support: 24,231.02
1st Resistance: 24,660.54
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DAX eyes breakout to 25KFollowing last week's powerful rally, the DAX’s overall uptrend remains intact, with this week's consolidation serving as a healthy pause for momentum to reset. As long as short term support around 23,750 holds, any pullbacks could be supported by the bullish traders looking to chase momentum, rather than signs of weakness. Even if the index dips a bit lower, this wouldn't necessarily invalidate the bullish breakout, but ideally the 23800-24000 area will need to hold.
Traders will be watching for indications of renewed upward momentum as the week unfolds. A breakout above the trend resistance of the mini consolidation pattern could pave the way for July high near 24,650, which appears increasingly likely. And above that level, we could see the onset of a rally towards 25,000 and potentially higher.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DAX break out againDAX held the 24,300 support level we highlighted previous and it has just broken out to a new high on the week and month. It looks like we will get that follow-thru to a new all-time high we were looking for so long as this level now remains intact.
If a new high is made, why stop there? Expectations of more German stimulus continues to drive markets higher. So i wouldn't be surprised if the DAX even reached 25K handle in the coming days.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is testing the top of its sideways trend in a new impulsive phase that looks set to be followed by a breakout. Price is trading at 24,414, significantly above its VWAP of 23,744. The RSI at 66.4 indicates upward momentum. Support lies at 23,057 with resistance at 24,500.
UK 100 has broken out with a fresh leg into record highs, continuing its bullish trajectory. Price is at 9,498, clearly above the VWAP at 9,282. The RSI at 72.4 shows strong momentum, in overbought territory. Support is at 9,072 and resistance aligns with the current price.
Wall Street extends its bullish impulsive phase, reaching new record highs, currently at 46,863. VWAP is at 46,236, affirming the strong trend. The RSI at 71.9 shows overbought conditions. Support is at 45,637 while resistance is untested at these highs.
Brent Crude remains in a neutral range phase, trading at 6,535 just below its VWAP of 6,680. The RSI at 43.0 suggests a lack of buying pressure. Support is at 6,394, while resistance is higher at 6,967.
Gold continues its very strong bullish impulsive run with no signs yet of any major pullback, currently trading at 3,936 and well above its VWAP of 3,760. The RSI at 85.8 indicates extreme overbought conditions. Support lies at 3,576, while resistance is at the current high.
EUR/USD remains range-bound in a neutral trend, trading at 1.1664, just below its VWAP of 1.1749. RSI at 42.7 suggests weakening momentum. Support is at 1.1664 with resistance at 1.1850.
GBP/USD stays in a neutral trend and range phase, with price at 1.3422 and VWAP at 1.3491. RSI at 44.8 shows mildly bearish sentiment. Support is at 1.3331 and resistance at 1.3651.
USD/JPY is attempting a breakout of its neutral range phase to set up a new uptrend, trading at 150.33 above its VWAP of 148.11. The RSI at 63.7 indicates bullish momentum building. Support is at 145.99, with resistance at the current level.
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor.
Technicals
• Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding.
• Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf).
• Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break).
• Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart).
• Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal.
• Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end.
Fundamentals
• Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse.
• Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration.
• Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating.
• Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure).
Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DAX40 Bullish breakout sideways consolidation supported at 24255The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Bullish continuation breakout ahead?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential overbought pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 24250 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 24250 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
24550 – initial resistance
24650 – psychological and structural level
24800 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 24250 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
24100 – minor support
24000 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 24250. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.