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JAPANESE YEN / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia (AUD): The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%. Japan (JPY): The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025. 2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties. Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008. 3. Bank Lending Rates Australia: The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025. Japan: The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025. 4. Interest Rate Differential Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%. 10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%. 5. Carry Trade Advantage Mechanism: Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential. Current Advantage: The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment. Risks: If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades. Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal. 6. Summary Table Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact 10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage) Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage) Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long Conclusion The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Could BOJ's "HOLD" on Rates Turn AUDJPY "On Its Head"?Here I have a Multi-Timeframe analysis on OANDA:AUDJPY which is giving multiple signs of Higher Prices potentially to come!! First on the Daily we can see that Price formed a Hammer Candle after testing the March 11th Support Zone and as the next Daily candle forms (Today), we are already seeing a Bullish Confirmation candle begin! *Bullish Engulfing would be a textbook Confirmation Candle! Now zooming into the 4Hr / 1 Hr Charts, this Hammer is formed by what looks to be a very Strong Reversal Pattern, the Inverted Head and Shoulders! Now we are still waiting for the Confirmation of the Pattern where Price needs to rise to the "Neckline" or Resistance Level. Once Confirmed, we will look for a Breakout of the Pattern and if Validated, could deliver great Long Opportunities as a Breakout and Retest of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern! If the Pattern is Successful, we could expect the Price Target to be at the next level of Resistance being the 95.3 - 95.6 Area! Fundamentally, the BOJ begins the week with Policy Rate decision Monday evening where they forecast a HOLD on Interest Rates, staying at .5%. This could have drastic implications on the JPY, potentially weakening it.
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
AUD/JPY Bulls Eye 95+ After Bullish ReversalAUD/JPY bounced sharply on Thursday, snapping a 3-day losing streak with a solid bullish-range session. The rally kicked off from a bullish pinbar above 92, where the higher low reinforces support and the broader bullish case. The 1-hour chart shows a clean breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a target around 95.50. With resistance at the April high (95.30), March high (95.75), and the 96 handle, there’s still room for bulls to run. Dips toward 94 may offer opportunities to join the trend — but a break back below the neckline would shift the tone back to risk-off. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
Trade Idea: Sell AUD/JPY## 🟠 Trade Idea: **Sell AUD/JPY** **Bias**: Bearish **Date**: June 16, 2025 --- ### 🔻 Why I’m Selling AUD/JPY **1. AUD is Weakening** * Australia’s economy is slowing. * Business and consumer confidence are falling. * The RBA may **cut interest rates** soon. * Exports are under pressure due to **China’s slowdown**. **2. JPY is Strengthening** * The Yen gains in **risk-off markets** (like now). * The Bank of Japan is holding firm — and may turn more hawkish. * Japan’s inflation is still above target. --- ### 📊 The Setup This pair reflects **opposite forces**: * AUD = Risky, weakening * JPY = Safe haven, steady or strengthening --- ### 🔍 What I’m Watching * RBA’s policy signals * Japan’s inflation data (June 20) * Global tensions — which help JPY * China’s economic updates --- ### ⏳ Short-Term Outlook * Potential move lower if Aussie data weakens or global risk grows. * Target zone: Watching for downside toward recent support areas.
Short
by Wainainarobert
1
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block ✅Daily order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Forming A Bullish Set-upAUDJPY is recovering very nicely after touching the 86 support level, which goes back to the 2023 low. That was clearly an important zone from there we’ve seen a sharp and impulsive bounce in the last two months, even breaking above the trendline resistance connected down from the 2024 highs. This breakout suggests that bulls may be back in control and could still drive the pair toward the 98–100 area later this year. If we get a retracement in the near term, keep an eye on the 91.70 - 90.00 zone as potential support. GH
Long
by ew-forecast
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT| ✅AUD_JPY made a retest of The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900 Level of 106.083 and as you Can see the pair is already Making a local pullback from The level which sends a clear Bearish signal to us therefore We will be expecting a Further bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by ProSignalsFx
1
AUDJPY - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25On AUD/JPY from here (93.50), the odds favor a slide back toward 86.05 over a rally to 100.94: Down‐trend bias After topping near 108 last summer, price has carved a lower high (~96) and is struggling under 94–95. Range dynamics You’re in the bottom half of the 86.05–100.94 band; mean‐reversions tend to gravitate back toward the “midpoint” or beyond, and this one has already tested the bottom once in April. Momentum Recent daily closes have made lower highs, and there’s no bullish divergence on RSI to suggest strong lift. Drop below 86.05 first ~65% Rally above 100.94 first ~35%
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy
AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 93.507. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 93.232 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
3
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅15' Order block ✅1H 50EMA ✅Daily order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY Rejects Resistance – Bearish Momentum May ResumeHey Traders, AUDJPY has recently reversed from the key resistance zone near 94.60, showing signs of short-term weakness. Price action has broken below the previous structure and is now attempting a retest of the 93.80 area, which could act as fresh resistance and trigger the next bearish leg. Current Market Conditions: The pair rejected a major resistance zone (94.60) after forming a swing high and printing consecutive bearish candles. Currently retesting the broken support-now-turned-resistance at around 93.80. A confirmed rejection here may accelerate the move toward the next support around 93.05, and further down to 92.30. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: AUD is under pressure following weaker-than-expected Chinese data, Australia’s largest trading partner, raising concerns about reduced demand for Australian exports. Meanwhile, the JPY is seeing slight safe-haven bids as global equities show mixed sentiment ahead of the U.S. CPI and FOMC decision. This macro setup favors a bearish bias on AUDJPY as risk appetite cools and the yen regains some strength. Targets: TP1: 93.05 TP2: 92.30 TP3 (extended): 91.80 if downside momentum intensifies Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Above 94.20 to protect against bullish breakout Confirm rejection at 93.80 before committing to position sizing Risk no more than 1-2% per trade; stick to your plan. Technical Outlook: Strong bearish rejection from resistance Retest of key level aligns with structure-based entries Downward price channel may be forming if support breaks Conclusion: AUDJPY appears ready for further downside if 93.80 holds as resistance. Watch for more bearish confirmation before entry—this setup offers solid R:R potential for both day and swing traders. Sign-off: "Patience in trading is not waiting without action, but waiting with purpose." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
Short
by SignalSage_Ben
AUDJPY BUY TRADE PLAN📈 AUDJPY Elite Trade Plan – 📅 Date: June 12, 2025
🎯 Plan Type: Tactical Intraday (Valid for 1–2 Days)
 📊 Style: Price Action + Multi-Timeframe Institutional Flow
🔁 Order Type: Market Order on Confirmation (Not a Blind Limit) 🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook: 🟢 Weekly: * Price rebounding off mid-structure after long downtrend. * Bullish momentum building — candle body expansion for the first time in weeks. 🟢 Daily: * Higher lows established; price holding above key level 92.80. * Bullish rejection seen with follow-through — potential path open toward 95.00. 🟢 H4: * Clean bullish pullback into structure; demand at 93.40–93.60 held. * No selling momentum visible — structure building for upside continuation. 🟢 H1: * Reversal impulse confirmed with strong London close engulfing pattern. * Price now consolidating near 93.60 — preparing for bullish continuation. ✅ Primary Trade Idea – Buy on Demand Retest Component Level / Detail 🎯 Entry Zone 93.60 – 93.70 (H1 demand + broken structure) 🛑 Stop Loss 93.15 (Below 4H demand and invalidation) 🎯 TP1 94.25 (structure high) 🎯 TP2 94.65 (HTF continuation target) 🎯 TP3 95.00 (HTF bearish OB – final exit) 🧠 Entry Style Market Order on bullish M15/H1 candle confirmation 🕰️ Time Horizon 1–2 day hold (Intraday to Short-Term Swing) 🔮 ForexGPT Elite Forecast Bias Direction Probability Rationale 🟢 Bullish 75% Strong HTF demand held, bullish close into structure, session flows aligned 🔴 Bearish Trap 25% Only if price breaks below 93.10 with volume – No signs of failure yet 📌 Execution Summary: 💡 “I will only trigger the buy if I see a clean bullish confirmation from 93.60–93.70 zone — ideally an engulfing or rejection wick on M15/H1. If confirmation appears, I’ll execute a market order with SL at 93.15, targeting up to 95.00 depending on momentum.” ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: * 💼 Size accordingly for 1.5R–2.5R target structure. * 🔁 Trail stop once TP1 is achieved to secure partials. * 🕒 Avoid entry during high-volatility news unless structure reconfirms. 📢 This is NOT investment advice. Always manage risk.
🔒 Trade plan valid until structure breaks. Updates required on major candle shifts.
Long
by jibkhan111