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JAPANESE YEN / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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AUD/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 96.919 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUD/JPY - Channel Pattern (05.09.2025) The AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 97.26 2nd Resistance – 97.52 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
Bullish continuation?AUD/JPY has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 96.68 1st Support: 96.14 1st Resistance: 97.47 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUD/JPY Rally Stalls Ahead of July HighThe recent rally in AUD/JPY seems to have stalled ahead of the July high (97.43) as it no longer carves a series of higher highs and lows, and failure to hold above the weekly low (96.06) may push the exchange rate toward the 95.10 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 95.20 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region. A breach of the August low (94.40) brings the July low (93.97) on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension). At the same time, a push above the July high (97.43) brings the 97.90 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) to 98.30 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone on the radar, with the next region of interest coming in around the January high (99.17). --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
AUDJPY Short couter TrendAUD/JPY – SELL Plan Entry: 96.80 – 97.20 → key supply zone, price was rejected here multiple times. SL: 97.60 → above the previous high to avoid false breakouts. TP1: 96.10 (near EMA20) TP2: 95.60 (near EMA200) RR: ~1:2 – 1:3 Note: This is a counter-trend setup. Only enter after clear bearish rejection (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing). If price breaks strongly above 97.50, plan is invalid. Price has first time in 30 mins timeframe HH-HL Trade Active
Short
by Hforex21
Waiting for a 'risk on' trade: AUD JPY fall to stall? Similar to Tuesday's ISM data, Wednesday's 'job openings data' has added fuel to the FED rate cut narrative, once again 'bad news is good news'. The VIX is below 17, the S&P is positive and US yields are 'testing' the 4.2 support level. It is a narrative I envision could remain until NFP. I currently view any of the USD, JPY or CHF as a 'shortable'. The initial USD weakness upon the 'jobs openings data release' looked a little stretched following the previous days reversal (I hope that makes sense?) and I'm currently waiting for 'nice support' on the USD charts before feeling confident in a trade. The JPY initially has (what I would call) 'fake strength', USD JPY fell in correlation with falling yields. But if USD JPY and yields stall the fall, I'd be very happy with a JPY short, in fact, that's probably my preferred scenario. Alternatively, if I feel confident in a trade and the CHF is weaker than both the USD and JPY, I'd be happy to go with a CHF short. the next time I'll look at the charts will be either, a couple of hours after market close, or (more likely) early in the European session.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
AUD/JPY at Make-or-Break Zone: Final Squeeze Before a Big Drop?1. Technical Analysis AUD/JPY is trading around 96.90, testing the 97.00–97.50 resistance zone. This area has been rejected multiple times in the past and represents a key technical cluster. The RSI is approaching overbought territory, signaling stretched conditions. Price action shows potential exhaustion of the recent rally: the current candle is struggling to break resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a correction towards the 95.00–94.50 demand zone. Structurally, as long as there is no weekly close above 97.50, the preferred scenario remains short from resistance. 2. COT Report AUD: Non-Commercials remain heavily net short (129k short vs 28k long). Downside pressure on the Australian Dollar remains strong, supported by institutional positioning. JPY: Non-Commercials are skewed to the long side (170k long vs 86k short), signaling institutional demand for the Yen as a safe-haven asset. 👉 The COT combination indicates a structural bias in favor of JPY strength and AUD weakness, reinforcing the bearish AUD/JPY outlook. 3. Retail Sentiment 79% short vs 21% long. The majority of retail traders are already short, which increases the risk of a short-term squeeze. However, since price is testing a major resistance zone, upside potential remains limited. A possible “stop hunt” towards 97.50–98.00 would still align with the broader bearish setup. 4. Seasonality AUD in September: Historically weak, with average negative returns between -0.6% and -1.6% across different time horizons. JPY in September: Historically strong, with average positive returns of +0.5% to +1.5%. 👉 Seasonality supports a bearish view on AUD/JPY for September. 5. Strategic Outlook AUD/JPY is at a critical turning point. The macro (COT & seasonality) and technical context support a bearish rejection from 97.00–97.50. However, retail positioning suggests the market may orchestrate one last squeeze towards 98.00 before reversing. Suggested Strategy: Wait for confirmation of rejection or a false breakout at resistance to enter short positions, targeting 95.50 initially and 94.50 as an extension.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
AUD/JPY – Possible Reversal WatchReport from the War Room: AUD/JPY is pressing into a strong resistance zone — the battlefield is set. Momentum is high, but we need confirmation before moving. Two scenarios may unfold: Shooting Star Reversal → clean rejection candle at resistance. Triple Top Reversal → structure forming with multiple rejections at the same zone. What we’re waiting for: ✅ A clear reversal signal (shooting star or triple top confirmation) ✅ Engulfing candle to seal the shift in control ✅ Volume strength to show conviction from sellers ⚔️ War Room Lesson: Resistance zones are where battles are fought, not where trades are guessed. Patience is our weapon — we wait for VMS alignment before striking. 👉 The battlefield decides when we engage, not our emotions.
by darlwright
AUD/JPY – 1H Chart | Supply Rejection at ResistancePrice tested the 97.14 resistance zone (strong supply area) but failed to sustain above. A clear rejection candle has formed near resistance, aligning with previous supply levels. Resistance Zone: 96.90 – 97.14 Current Price Action: Breaking below support after rejection Bias: Bearish from resistance zone Targets: First support at 96.27 Extended support at 95.79 Invalidation: Break and close above 97.15 This setup shows strong supply rejection with potential downside continuation.
Short
by QUANTSUTRA
AUDJPYAUDJPY — Long Idea (8H) Setup: Uptrend intact. Price pulled back in a falling channel/flag and bounced from the lower boundary. Structure shows a bullish breakout attempt from the flag with RSI pushing higher. Why Buy: Classic trend-continuation (bull flag) following the prior impulse leg. Higher-low held; momentum turning up. Entry (choose one): Conservative: Buy on an 8H close above the flag/channel top (breakout candle close). Aggressive: Buy the retest of the broken channel top (flip to support) if it holds. Invalidation / Stop-loss: Below the flag swing low (the last reaction low inside the channel) or, if using the retest entry, a few pips below the retest low. Targets: TP1: Prior swing high / mid resistance in the dotted zone. TP2: Measured move = height of the flagpole projected from breakout (upper resistance band). Management: Partial at TP1, move SL to breakeven; trail below 8H higher-lows or the 8H trendline to ride extension. Risk/Reward: Aim for ≥ 1:2 (better if entry comes on a clean retest). Invalidation conditions: 8H close back inside the flag after breakout, or loss of the higher-low (stop hit).
Long
by SurgiForex
AUD/JPY Stages Five-Day RallyAUD/JPY approaches the August high (97.07) as it stages a five-day rally, and a breach of the July high (97.43) may push the exchange rate toward the 97.90 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) to 98.30 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) region. Next area of interest comes in around the January high (99.17), but AUD/JPY may no longer reflect a bullish price series if it struggles to clear the August high (97.07). Lack of momentum to hold above the 95.10 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 95.20 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push AUD/JPY toward the August low (94.40), and failure to defend the July low (93.97) may bring the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone on the radar. --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
AUDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 96.750. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 95.476 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1