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Gold continuation underway?On a 4 hour time frame, looking like we potentially completed a reacc model. Price potentially continuing to retest and blow through highs. Will be looking for entries on day trades in the green highlighted area if we start to squeeze. Ultimate target will be the 1.61 fib of the range. (I use fibs as targets when we are running blue skies. I will want to see us riding the 10EMA on the hour, entries will be made on the 1 min on flag breakouts while above and riding the 10EMA on the 1 min.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by ItsMayo
3
Gold Context: December Open & Holiday Inventory CheckCOMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1! Traders. Here is the context update as we transition into the new month. Market Context (Holiday Drift): The auction drifted higher on thin volume during the Thanksgiving and Black Friday shortened sessions. This extension was largely driven by a lack of sellers rather than aggressive buying, leaving us with a "thin" structure. Structure & Inventory: We have significant inventory resting back at 4200 – 4170, sitting just above the Previous Week High (PWH). Current Action: Price is holding the holiday extension. The Problem: The move up lacks heavy volume support. We have "unfinished business" below at the breakout zone. Plan & Execution: Monday marks the start of fresh December flows. I am not interested in chasing this extension at these highs. Stance: Flat / Patient. The Test: I want to see Gold rotate back to test the inventory at 4200 – 4170 first. Decision: We need to verify if buyers will defend this zone (turning old resistance into support) before committing to a new directional bias. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
1
GC | Week 49 | 1hr chartT.A explained - BackSide (BS) FrontSide (FS) Inverse BS (Inv.BS) Inverse FS (Inv.FS) BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
COMEX:GC1!
by StudyGuideTA
5
Silver: A Sell Signal?COMEX: Micro Silver Futures ( COMEX_MINI:SIL1! ) What happened to the silver market? A previous all-time-high (ATH) record of $49.95 per ounce was set on January 17, 1980, and stood for 45 years until silver broke $50 in October 2025. Since then, silver prices kept climbing nonstop and setting new ATH records almost daily. Last Friday, November 28th, silver reached $56.86. COMEX Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ) locked in an impressive 98% return year-to-date, which makes silver the top performer across all major asset classes year to date. The strength of silver is supported by a confluence of factors including inflows into bullion-backed ETFs and expectations of a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Investors rotated assets out of stock amid recent market weaknesses, benefiting the safe-haven assets gold and silver. In addition, gold purchases have slowed in recent months due to the record high prices. Some investors may choose silver as an alternative hedging asset. However, a key metric suggests that the tide is about to change. A Refresher: In my writing published on April 28th, I introduced the Gold-Silver Ratio, a financial term that measures the relative value of gold to silver. The Gold-Silver Ratio may be used as a buying or selling signal. When to Buy Silver : A high Ratio, typically above the 95:1 mark, suggests that silver is undervalued relative to gold. This is often interpreted as a buying signal for silver. • Recalling that in the April 28th writing, we explored the idea of buying silver at $33 when the Ratio stood at 100. Silver prices went up 72% since then. When to Sell Silver : When the Ratio is low, say around 80:1, it indicates that silver is relatively expensive. Investors might consider selling silver and buying gold. • As silver caught up with gold with its recent rally, the Ratio is declining all the way down to 74. This is a level indicating silver is very expensive relative to gold. From a mean-reversing point of view, the Ratio may rebound back to the 80-90 range soon. In my opinion, gold could show more strength compared to silver in the new year. • Global central banks have slowed gold purchases recently. Gold getting expensive did not cause the pause. Annual budget depleting may be a more plausible reason. A new year comes with new budget, and I expect central bank buying to resume in 2026. • Silver is part precious metal and part industrial metal. Global GDP in 2026 is projected to slow to 2.9% to 3.1%, with downside risks from geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty, according to the IMF. Industrial use of silver could slow as well. • Expectations of Fed rate cuts are rising. The stock market could rally again, causing investors to rotate money out of safe-haven assets. In my opinion, gold could stand its ground better than silver, with central bank purchases serving as a key support. In this scenario, the Ratio rises because silver falling faster than gold. Trade Setup with Micro Silver Traders could apply the insights from the Gold-Silver Ratio with trading strategies using COMEX Micro Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ). There are a number of reasons why shorting silver makes sense: • Traders expect mean-reversion of the Gold-Silver Ratio will occur soon. • Investors expect Fed rate cuts to be bullish for stocks and bearish for precious metals. • Traders with portfolio of spot silver or silver ETF want to hedge their positions. The big advantages of using futures contracts are capital efficiency and leverage. Micro Silver contracts have a notional value of 1,000 troy ounces of silver. With Friday settlement price of $57.455, each January contract (SILF6) has a notional value of $57,455. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $4,000 at the time of writing. This suggests a built-in leverage of 14.4 (= 57455/4000) for futures contracts. By putting a deposit equivalent to 70 ounces, traders could gain the full exposure of 1,000 ounces of silver. If silver prices move down by 10%, a short position in Micro Silver futures would gain 144% (= (57455*0.1) / 4000). Micro silver futures (SIL, 1000 oz) and standard-size silver futures contracts (SI, 5000 oz) contracts together form a deep liquidity pool. On November 28th, SI had trade volume of 109,967 contracts and an open interest (OI) of 155,222 contracts. SIL had volume and OI of 79,015 and 14,900 contracts, respectively, according to data from CME Group. To hedge the risk of rising silver prices, a trader could set a stoploss on his short-silver order. For illustration, a short order is executed at 57.455 with a stoploss at 59.0. If silver goes up 10% to $63.2, the maximum loss will be $1,545 (= (59-57.455)*1000), well within the margin account balance of $4,000. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
GOLD: Bullish! Look For Valid Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Dec. 1-5th. Gold rallied last week, breaking the rangy consolidation. The strong close indicates the potential for some bullish follow through going into this week. Look for valid buys. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level. 📌 Game Plan The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range. My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations. If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900. 💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below. For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Gold (30m) – NPC Volatility Zones After Range CompressionGold Futures (COMEX), 30m using NeuroPolynomial Channel (NPC) After the recent range compression, Gold is sitting inside a nonlinear stabilization pocket rather than a momentum phase. Current Statistical Position: • Price hovering near NPC Core Cluster • Distance from lower stress band: ~1.2% • Distance from upper expansion band: ~2.0% • Compression vs prior leg: ~0.58 NPC Volatility Map: • Upper Expansion Zone: +1.8% → +2.3% • Core Equilibrium: Current range • Lower Rejection Band: −1.2% • Breakdown Re-Entry Zone: −2.6% Scenarios (not predictions): Holding above core → rotation towards upper band Losing core → retest lower volatility zone This is a structure + probability map, not a trade signal.
COMEX:GC1!
by NeuralMarkets
Gold Weekly Playbook: Key Levels, Scenarios & Sentiment Triggers1. Macro Update Gold continues to trade within a macro environment defined by shifting rate expectations and evolving recession probabilities. With the Fed maintaining a data-dependent stance, the market remains highly sensitive to inflation and employment prints. Cooling inflation supports the case for rate cuts, pulling real yields lower and creating a constructive backdrop for gold. Conversely, stubborn inflation pushes the narrative toward “higher for longer,” often slowing upside momentum and encouraging more rotational price action. This doesn’t immediately turn GC bearish, but it does cap impulsive continuation as traders reassess forward guidance. Recession sentiment is the second major driver. Rising recession odds tend to benefit gold as investors rotate into safe-haven assets, even without imminent Fed easing. A persistent soft-landing narrative—stable labor markets, steady consumption—can reduce defensive flows and temper gold’s velocity. Overall, the macro backdrop remains cautiously supportive, but still very catalyst-driven. 2. What Has the Market Done? Gold has exhibited constructive price action, with the recent week imbalancing up and out of the 17 Nov weekly balance/value area. Importantly, the market closed at the highs of the week, signaling sustained buyer aggression and broad acceptance of higher prices. Weekly value and Volume point of Control (VPOC) have shifted upward, reinforcing a meaningful change in participant behavior: buyers are willing to transact at progressively higher prices, and sellers have not shown the ability to force price back into prior balance. This upward migration of value marks a firm shift in short-term sentiment. The market is also now at an important structural zone at 4251.3—the 13 Oct weekly VPOC and the 20 Oct weekly Low value area (LVA). How the market reacts at this level—rejecting, stalling, or accepting—will be a telling indicator of whether buyers maintain control or whether sellers can slow the advance. 3. What to Expect in the Coming Week The key level to watch this week: 4254.9 - Previous week/month’s settlement price This level acts as a major pivot for directional conviction. Holding above settlement supports the case for continuation; a sustained move below it increases the likelihood of rotation or deeper testing. Bullish Scenario If the market holds and accepts above 4254.9, upside continuation becomes likely. Target 1: 4378.6 (Weekly 1 Standard Deviation (SD) High) – expect responsive sellers. If market accepts above 4378.6: Target 2: 4436.2 (ATH region) – extended bullish objective. Bearish Scenario If the market fails to hold above 4254.9, expect sellers to target 4195.3 (previous week’s VPOC). Additional downside triggers: If buyers cannot reclaim 4261.3 (previous week’s high), pressure may push price through prior value toward 4136.5. If buyers then fail to reclaim back above 4195.3: Next target: 4131.2 (Weekly 1 SD Low / 17 Nov VPOC / Bid Block 3 midpoint). Continued seller control may extend the move toward 4070/80, aligned with the 2-week composite VAH and upper boundary of Bid Block 2. Neutral Scenario If neither buyers nor sellers show conviction, expect two-way consolidation around previous week’s settlement, 4254.9, between 4316.7 and 4193.1 (10 Nov weekly high / 20 Oct LVA / weekly 0.5 SD high). This remains the most probable balance zone unless a macro catalyst drives breakout behavior. This week’s structure is clean: one major pivot and clearly defined pathways for both sides. Whether GC breaks out or slips back into rotation will hinge on how price behaves around 4254.9. What’s your outlook for Gold this week? Drop a comment and give this post a boost so more traders in the community can join the discussion! Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan with proper risk management.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by EdgeClear
1H Rally-Base-Rally Long Setup | Weekly & Daily AlignedMarket structure remains bullish across the higher timeframes with the Weekly, Daily, and 1H all trending upward. I’m focusing on the most recently created valid 1H Rally-Base-Rally demand zone for a potential long entry. This zone is high quality because it: ✅ Removed opposing supply zones ✅ Broke a valid trendline on departure ✅ Shows strong impulsive buying pressure ✅ Is the most recent institutional demand on the 1H Plan is to wait for price to return into this zone for continuation with the higher-timeframe trend. As always, patience and risk management first no chasing price.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by kellygnd
MGC LongsPrice is forming a rounded double-bottom structure right on the rising trendline (blue), suggesting buyers are quietly stepping back in after multiple rejections from the lower demand zone (4,050–4,060). We’re currently pushing into a key mid-range resistance at 4,085–4,095. This level has acted as a heavy decision zone for several sessions, so I’m watching for one of two things: Primary Bias (Bullish) A controlled pullback into the 4,060–4,065 demand zone Buyers hold structure above the trendline and EMAs Break and hold above 4,090 Then continuation toward 4,110 → 4,130 liquidity pockets The white projection illustrates the ideal retest-and-continue scenario. Key Notes EMAs are beginning to curl up and tighten — early sign of momentum shift Liquidity sits above 4,105–4,115 from prior wicks Clean invalidation below the trendline / demand at 4,050 Overall, this is a reversal-structure forming at higher-timeframe support, with a potential push into the next major supply zone if intraday demand continues to hold.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DrewCharts
The Calm Before the Expansion — Gold Pre-Setup MapGold rejecting the Asian Range low and showing early signs of reversal. Missed the London setup after oversleeping, but tonight I’m watching for a retrace back into the H1 FVG + lower HVN. That pocket sits just under 50% of yesterday’s Asian range and lines up with weekly volume sitting just outside of value. If price pulls back into that zone and shows displacement, I’m looking for continuation to the upside and potential expansion toward the H4 FVG above. Premature breakouts tonight may be traps.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
3
Gold Mega MCX Futures — Inverse Head & Shoulders - Pattern TradeMCX:GOLD1! By Chart Pathik | 20 November 2025 Gold Mega MCX Futures — Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Suggests Positional Bullish Reversal Market Overview Gold Mega MCX Futures have constructed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart, indicating a notable bullish reversal opportunity after an extended downtrend. This structural pattern reflects gradual absorption of supply, leading to a strong recovery scenario for positional traders. After testing the lows near 121,800 (forming the head), gold has rebounded to repeatedly test resistance at the neckline around 124,455. The right shoulder completed with a swift reversal, and prices are now pressing against breakout territory. Sustained closes above the 124,455 neckline confirm classic breakout conditions for a multi-session rally. Technical Structure and Pattern Logic The Inverse Head & Shoulders structure, observed here, is a high-probability bullish reversal setup favored by institutional participants at the end of persistent downtrends. The "head" forms at the extreme swing low (121,800), with each "shoulder" forming on higher lows, reflecting indifference turning into accumulation and finally conviction. The pattern's neckline resistance is sharply defined at 124,455, which, when broken decisively, unlocks the full post-breakout measured move potential. Early aggressive entries are possible on high-volatility tests of the right shoulder at 123,255, setting up for add-on positions if a neckline breakout occurs. Breakout Validation and Volume Confirmation Key volume expansion on rallies above the neckline is crucial for confirming the breakout. A surge in open interest or strong momentum during/after a breakout candle provides additional confirmation and increases the probability of a sustained move. Pattern Target Projection Pattern Target: 128,100 This target is projected by measuring the distance from the neckline (124,455) to the head (121,800), then adding it above the neckline breakout. Key Levels to Watch Early Entry: 123,255 (for aggressive traders on pullbacks toward the right shoulder) Break-Out Entry: 124,455 (confirmation on a convincing breakout and close) Stoploss (Positional): 121,800 (well below head formation, protecting capital and structure) Pattern Target: 128,100 (full measured move from bottom to neckline) Scenario Analysis If gold closes above 124,455: Momentum is likely to accelerate toward 128,100, with the trend reinforced by any volume spike and reduced selling pressure at higher prices. If gold fails at the neckline and closes back below 123,255: A failed breakout or pattern trap could lead to a retest of 121,800 or even a deeper corrective phase if macro sentiment or global cues turn adverse. Broader Market Context This reversal setup comes as broader market volatility in precious metals fades and macro conditions appear stabilizing. Physical demand, safe-haven flows, and a potential resurgence in global risk aversion could further support the bullish thesis. Historical Significance The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is respected by traders for timing momentum shifts at major turning points. A similar structure triggered a sharp rally in gold Mega MCX Futures during Q4 2020, and the post-breakout rally then lasted for several weeks. Market Psychology and Trader Positioning This pattern shows a market transitioning from capitulation and fear (the head), through reluctant bullishness (shoulders), to widespread conviction (neckline breakout). Large players will often accumulate around the shoulder and neckline and then aggressively push prices through resistance once weak hands exit. Outlook In the coming sessions, a sustained breakout above 124,455, validated by strong candle closes and higher volume, should favor multi-session long positions targeting 128,100. Pullbacks into the 123,255–124,455 area are accumulation zones for swing or positional traders. Chart Pathik View This pattern marks a structural turning point after a corrective phase. Patience on retests, strict risk management with stoploss at 121,800, and riding the full pattern target are the ideal tactics. As gold transitions from a downtrend into a potential expansion phase, structure, discipline, and measured scaling are essential to positional success. Last time this Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on MCX Gold Futures produced a similar outcome was in June 2020, leading to a 10% rally in the following weeks.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by ChartPathik
Gold Holds $4000Gold has retraced lower from last week’s high, though it is holding above 4000 for now. Two bullish pinbars have also formed on the daily chart, hinting at a potential swing low. A break above yesterday’s high could see bulls target the 4200 handle, with a move through the 4250 high bringing the 4300 handle and monthly S1 into view. However, keep in mind the weekly chart may be forming a Wave B within a broader ABC correction. I’ll also be watching for signs of a swing high on the daily chart and a potential resumption of the move lower from the record high. A 100% projection of Wave A from B implies a downside target near 3800. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by City Index
Gold Futures – Compression Before Explosion?Gold (GC1!) is coiling tightly just above the $3,998 level, teasing a big move as it hugs the 0.618 fib zone at $3,921. It’s the definition of compression — and when gold coils like this, something always gives. 📍 Key levels on the radar: $3,998 – Current pressure zone $3,921 – Fib support + breakout base $3,602 – Worst-case flush if demand fails $4,489 – Fibonacci extension target if this rips We’ve got an ascending pitchfork, clean market structure, and a massive range breakout setup. These kinds of patterns don’t sit idle for long. Gold remains a beast in uncertain macro conditions — don’t underestimate what happens when fear, rates, and inflation mix. Trading Wisdom 📜 The bigger the coil, the nastier the move. Don’t focus on direction — focus on readiness. Gold pays those who stay patient and deadly. Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor