Crude Oil Futures
Trade ideas
The world will be a SCARY place if this happens. This is the perfect chart for Halloween.
If this breakout is real and the measured moves get reached - the human race (outside of the WEF oligarchs and their AI technology) is in DEEP TROUBLE.
I predict the much talked about WW3 if this unfolds as per the chart!
Crude Oil Futures (Dec 2025) Daily Chart Analysis
Crude Oil Futures (Dec 2025) Daily Chart Analysis
Price is trading around 60.15 after a bounce from the 56 area. The recent move up has slowed, shown by smaller candles and reduced volume. Structure shows a lower-high pattern overall, but the market is currently holding above a short-term higher low. This suggests consolidation, not a confirmed trend continuation yet.
Key Levels:
Resistance at 62. Price has rejected this zone twice.
Support at 60. Market is sitting just above this level.
Major support at 56. Strong reaction level where price last bounced.
What I See:
Volume increased on the push up, then faded.
Recent candles show hesitation, indicating indecision.
Price is ranging between 60 support and 62 resistance.
Bullish Scenario:
A break and daily close above 62 would signal upside momentum.
Targets: 64 then 67.
Bearish Scenario:
A break and close below 60 sets up a move toward 58 and potentially a retest of 56.
Current Bias:
Neutral. Price is consolidating. Waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown is prudent.
Range trades are possible between 60 and 62 with tight risk management.
Catalysts to Watch:
Crude reacts strongly to fundamentals including geopolitical events, US inventory data, and OPEC communication. Manage risk accordingly.
Follow for more. Happy Trading.
The Professor
Crude oil: Sell around 62.50, target 60.00-58.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil fell again, in line with our expectations. Today's crude oil price remains bearish. Sell on any rebound. The strategy for crude oil remains to follow the market. Consider selling if crude oil rebounds to 62.50 today. This level has been successfully suppressed. The impact of crude oil inventory data is only temporary. There are no recent data that will have a significant impact on crude oil prices. Focus on the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Fundamental Analysis:
The previous smooth Sino-US trade negotiations were positive for the US dollar, leading to a sharp drop in gold's safe-haven sentiment. Another major data point this week is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil: Sell around 62.50, target 60.00-58.00.
WTI Crude (NYMEX): Reading Regime Shifts & Trims with CCIThis post shows how we use CCI to read regime changes, turn‑backs (hedge/cover), and trim zones on WTI Crude Futures (NYMEX).
Our CCI is free in the TradingView community scripts—search “CCI ” and add.
Why CCI on WTI?
WTI rotates between strong expansions and mean‑reversion. A momentum oscillator that measures deviation from a moving average is a simple way to read those cycles. We use CCI for three things:
Regime Change (bias) — zero‑line cross with rising momentum/velocity.
Risk/Trim — readings that push past ±100 (adaptive bands) then lose momentum.
Turn‑backs (hedge/cover) — a curl against the trend that doesn’t reclaim the zero line.
How to read the chart (1H shown)
Bullish regime: CCI flips green and closes above 0 → bias long until the zero line is lost.
Trim longs: when price runs and CCI spends time > +100, momentum fades (hook down) — take partials.
Bearish regime: CCI flips red below 0 → bias short until zero is reclaimed.
Turn‑back = hedge/cover: in a bearish regime, a yellow “curl up” from red (still below 0) is treated as a countertrend pop — reduce size/cover partials, not a full flip.
Extremes are a risk gauge, not a signal: WTI can stay > +100 or < −100 while the trend persists; wait for momentum to shift.
Playbook (quick checklist)
Long setup
✅ CCI crosses above 0 with slope up
🎯 Add on pullbacks that hold > 0
✂️ Trim when CCI spends time > +100 and hooks down
⛔ Exit/scale out on loss of 0
Short setup
✅ CCI crosses below 0 with slope down
🎯 Add on rallies that fail < 0
✂️ Trim when < −100 and hooks up
⛔ Exit/scale out on reclaim of 0
Settings used (defaults)
Period 14, Smoothing 5, Source HLC3, Sensitivity 6.
Optional: glow on; purely visual.
What’s different in CCI
Double‑EMA smoothing → cleaner waves
Volatility‑adjusted bands around ±100
Momentum/velocity context
Built‑in Buy/Sell + Strong alerts
Add it on TradingView: Indicators → Community Scripts → search “CCI ”.
Note: Educational only; not financial advice.
Crude Oil 📊 Crude Oil — 4H Chart | CLZ2025
📉 Current Price: $60.47 (−1.37%)
WTI has broken below the $61.00 support zone, showing short-term selling pressure. However, this move could be part of a technical accumulation phase before a stronger bullish impulse.
🧭 Key Levels:
• Immediate support: $59.50 – $60.00
• Resistance zone: $61.50 – $63.00
• Short-term trend: bearish
• Mid-term outlook: potential reversal
🚀 Projection:
After this short-term downside pressure, I expect a strong recovery move toward the $75–$80 area in the upcoming pre-bullish phase. A confirmed close above $63.00 would likely trigger renewed buying momentum.
⚠️ Watch this zone closely — accumulation here could be the fuel for the next big move.
#WTI #CrudeOil #Futures #CL1 #Commodities #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Energy #Oil #4H
Crude Oil Approaches Key Resistance While Demand Dynamics Shift Current Price: $61.72
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $66.50
- T2 = $69.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $59.50
- S2 = $58.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis incorporates insights from thousands of experienced market participants, combining technical expertise and macroeconomic understanding to identify high-probability opportunities in Crude Oil trading. Many professional traders emphasize the importance of tracking supply-demand balances, geopolitical risks, and seasonal consumption patterns, particularly in the energy market. Market sentiments continue to show consensus on the role of current economic recovery alongside global energy demand dynamics.
**Key Insights:**
Crude Oil is currently trading at $61.72, presenting a strong long-term opportunity as global consumption and demand patterns trend upward amid easing recession fears in major economies. Recent market inventory data highlights declining stockpiles, which could support upward price movement. Additionally, OPEC+ discussions regarding production cuts are anticipated to play a pivotal role in maintaining the supply-demand equilibrium, creating potential bullish pressure for the asset.
The weakening U.S. dollar, observed amid dovish signals from the Federal Reserve in 2025, is another key driver enabling higher crude oil prices. Historically, energy commodities such as Crude Oil tend to perform well in weak dollar environments since they are priced in USD on global markets. Furthermore, China’s recent economic stimulus measures have contributed to projections of increased industrial activity, enhancing demand for crude oil.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past few months, Crude Oil has experienced a pullback from its highs near $75 earlier this year. Concerns around global monetary tightening slowed momentum, dropping prices to the recent low of $57 in September. However, Crude Oil has rebounded significantly in October following strong U.S. GDP growth reports and confirmation of declining inventory levels. Currently trading at $61.72, crude appears poised for continued upside as market conditions stabilize.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technically, Crude Oil’s price action exhibits bullish momentum. The asset recently broke above its 50-day moving average, suggesting renewed buying interest. Additionally, positive RSI divergence signals strengthening internal price structure, while MACD indicators show upward crossover signals, reinforcing the bullish narrative. Experts emphasize that if Crude Oil sustains a rally above $62, the next resistance at $66.50 could be tested quickly, given the historical strength of demand at this price level.
On the macroeconomic front, geopolitical tensions in oil-producing nations remain a concern, which could tilt the balance further toward supply-side constraints. Moreover, the International Energy Agency (IEA) recently updated its forecast, projecting higher oil demand in Q4 2025, primarily driven by travel seasonality and improved economic activity in emerging markets.
**News Impact:**
Recent developments in OPEC+ negotiations regarding oil output curbs have reignited bullish sentiment among traders and market analysts. The organization’s ongoing efforts to stabilize prices while avoiding oversupply have supported projections for sustainable growth. Additionally, signs of global economic stabilization coupled with continued global travel and industrial demand have heightened optimism for higher prices in the coming months.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Crude Oil’s strategic significance in the global economy, paired with improving fundamental trends, makes it an attractive long trade at current levels. The $61.72 price point offers a compelling entry opportunity with nearby technical support at $59.50. Traders should target the $66.50 level as a short-term upside, potentially reaching $69 by the end of Q4 2025 if demand forecasts remain robust. Maintaining stops at $59.50 and $58.00 will help manage potential downside risks against macro uncertainty.
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CL1! waiting roomThis days price of CL1! is moving towards daily Supply, after reaction from Daily Demand zone.
Based on longterm trend of CL I'am thinking about rejection from daily supply and moving towards Weekly Demand zone (as you can see White Path).
But of course, there is a chance of Changing Character (Invalidation of daily Supply), retrace towards new created Daily Demand zone, and claiming liquidity higher.
Crude oil: Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00Crude Oil Market Analysis:
Crude oil has been declining recently and has reached strong support near 55. A break of this level would open up further downside. Today's outlook for crude oil remains bearish. Continue selling on minor rebounds, focusing on selling opportunities around 58.90. The new contract also bearishly suggests no buying opportunities. This selling strategy has persisted for a long time.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Federal Reserve has once again implemented loose monetary policy, and with the added support of CPI, market uncertainty is high, prompting a surge in gold prices.
Trading Recommendations:
Crude oil: Sell around 58.60, target 56.00-55.00
CRUDE OILPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
CRUDE OIL BEARISH MOVEMENT - WYCKOFF METHOD🧠 Wyckoff Distribution in Action (Phase B–D Transition)
Instrument: Light Crude Oil Futures (3-Minute)
Concept: Wyckoff Distribution × Smart Money Logic
🔍 Market Narrative
PSY → BC → AR → ST → SOW → UT (B) — structure clearly shows the composite operator distributing above 59.00.
The Upthrust (UT) confirms liquidity grab above the FVG (59.00–59.10) zone — a classic false breakout trapping breakout buyers.
High-volume rejection at UT → shift in market structure confirms Phase C → D transition.
⚙️ Key Confluences
FVG + Order Block Alignment: UT formed right inside a 3-min OB nested in higher FVG zone — supply stacked on HTF.
SOW (B): Weak demand reaction showing reduced effort to rally.
LPSY Formation: Lower-high retest entries aligning with bearish OB (smart money selling the retest).
Volume Confirmation: Climax volume during UT, fading on pullbacks — textbook distribution.
🎯 Trade Bias
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: LPSY retest near 58.80–58.85
Target: 58.20 (previous demand zone / Phase D markdown objective)
Invalidation: Close above UT high (~59.10)
CRUDE OIL (WTI) BUY SETUPCrude oil has pulled back to a strong support zone, aligning perfectly with the bottom of its ascending structure. Price action is showing signs of buyers stepping in, which could lead to a natural continuation of the uptrend.
🛢 Additional bullish factors:
🟢 Price reacted strongly from support, indicating accumulation.
🟢 Supply-side tensions and global demand outlook continue to support higher prices.
🟢 Technical structure favors a push toward higher highs if support holds.
📈 TP Levels:
TP1: 65.88
TP2: 66.65
TP3: 67.39
TP4: 68.13
SL below support 🚫
OIL WYCKOFF PHASEPhase A – Stopping the Downtrend
SC (Selling Climax): Heavy selling pressure absorbed by strong hands.
AR (Automatic Rally): First sign of demand entering the market.
ST (Secondary Test): Price revisits the lower range to confirm support.
Phase B – Building a Cause
Market continues ranging within support and resistance.
ST Phase B represents testing and liquidity grabs within the range.
Purpose: to absorb remaining supply and trap impatient sellers.
Phase C – Spring (Manipulation)
Price dips into the lower accumulation zone to trap breakout sellers.
Strong rejection signals institutional buying and start of accumulation completion.
Phase D – Markup Initiation
LPS (Last Point of Support): Higher low formed after the spring.
SOS (Sign of Strength): Price breaks above resistance with increased momentum.
Market structure shifts to bullish, confirming accumulation completion.
Phase E – Trend Continuation (Projection)
Expecting price to retest the breakout level before continuation toward higher liquidity pools.
Light Crude Oil (CL) Weakness Expected to PersistThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for oil indicates that a decline from the September 26, 2025, high is unfolding as a five-wave impulse. Starting from that peak, wave ((i)) concluded at $60.40, as depicted on the 45-minute chart. Subsequently, wave ((ii)) rallied in a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern. From the low of wave ((i)), wave (a) reached $62.12, followed by a pullback in wave (b) to $60.72. The upward move in wave (c) peaked at $62.93, completing wave ((ii)) at a higher degree.
Oil then continued its descent in wave ((iii)), structured as an impulsive sequence. From the wave ((ii)) high, wave (i) dropped to $61.78, and wave (ii) corrected to $62.87. Wave (iii) extended lower to $58.22, with a bounce in wave (iv) reaching $60.17. In the near term, as long as the pivot at $62.93 holds, any rally is expected to falter in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, leading to further declines. The potential downside target lies between $53.2 and $56.9, based on the 100% to 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((i)). This analysis suggests continued bearish momentum, with limited upside potential unless the key pivot is breached.






















