AAPLChart practice
Levels marked and the timeframe color code:
yearly = black
monthly = pink
weekly = grey
daily = red.
posted on a 4hr chart.
1AAPL trade ideas
AAPL relative strength to US30 today Because APPLE is going up but US30/US2000 is falling like crazy, we can say that APPLE is one of the strongest stock in comparison with the overall stock market in US
What you think about this trade?
Commodity Futures Trading in the Global Market1. Historical Evolution of Commodity Futures Trading
Ancient Trading Roots
Commodity trading dates back thousands of years, with evidence from Mesopotamia and Ancient Greece showing contracts for the future delivery of crops.
In Japan during the 17th century, rice futures were traded at the Dojima Rice Exchange, one of the earliest organized futures markets.
The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
Established in 1848, CBOT standardized forward contracts into formal futures contracts.
Grain farmers in the U.S. Midwest needed to protect themselves against unpredictable prices, while buyers wanted stable supply at predictable rates.
Futures contracts solved this by locking in future delivery prices, reducing uncertainty.
Expansion to Other Commodities
After grains, futures expanded to include livestock, metals, energy, and eventually financial instruments like currencies and interest rates.
By the late 20th century, futures markets had become central not just to commodities but also to global finance.
2. Fundamentals of Commodity Futures
What is a Futures Contract?
A futures contract is a standardized agreement to buy or sell a commodity at a specific price on a future date, traded on an organized exchange.
Key features:
Standardization – Each contract specifies quantity, quality, and delivery terms.
Margin and Leverage – Traders post margin (collateral) to participate, giving them leverage.
Clearinghouses – Ensure counterparty risk is minimized.
Expiration & Settlement – Contracts either settle physically (delivery of the commodity) or financially (cash-settled).
Types of Commodities Traded
Agricultural Commodities – Wheat, corn, soybeans, coffee, sugar, cotton.
Energy Commodities – Crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, heating oil.
Metals – Gold, silver, copper, aluminum, platinum.
Soft Commodities – Cocoa, rubber, palm oil.
3. Key Participants in Global Commodity Futures
1. Hedgers
Farmers, miners, oil producers, airlines, and manufacturers use futures to protect against price volatility.
Example: An airline buys jet fuel futures to lock in prices and protect against oil price spikes.
2. Speculators
Traders who take positions based on price expectations, seeking profits rather than delivery.
Provide liquidity to the market but also increase volatility.
3. Arbitrageurs
Exploit price discrepancies across markets or between spot and futures prices.
Help align prices globally.
4. Institutional Investors
Hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds use commodity futures for diversification and inflation hedging.
5. Market Makers & Brokers
Facilitate transactions, ensuring continuous liquidity.
4. Global Commodity Futures Exchanges
United States
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group) – World’s largest futures exchange, trading agricultural, energy, metals, and financial futures.
New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) – Key hub for energy futures like crude oil and natural gas.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) – Specializes in energy and soft commodities like coffee, cocoa, and sugar.
Europe
London Metal Exchange (LME) – Benchmark for industrial metals like copper, aluminum, and nickel.
Euronext – Trades agricultural and financial futures in Europe.
Asia
Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) – Major player in metals, energy, and chemicals.
Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) – Leading Indian commodity exchange.
Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) – Focuses on energy, metals, and rubber.
Singapore Exchange (SGX) – Emerging hub for global commodities, especially Asian benchmarks.
5. Mechanics of Commodity Futures Trading
1. Opening a Position
Long position (buy futures) if expecting prices to rise.
Short position (sell futures) if expecting prices to fall.
2. Margin System
Initial margin: Upfront collateral to open a position.
Maintenance margin: Minimum balance required.
Daily mark-to-market adjusts accounts based on price movements.
3. Settlement Methods
Physical delivery: Actual exchange of the commodity.
Cash settlement: Price difference settled in cash, common for financial futures.
4. Price Discovery
Futures markets reflect expectations of supply and demand.
Example: Rising oil futures may signal geopolitical risks or expected shortages.
6. Importance of Commodity Futures in the Global Economy
1. Risk Management
Producers and consumers hedge against adverse price swings.
2. Price Discovery
Futures prices act as benchmarks for global trade.
Example: Brent crude futures influence oil prices worldwide.
3. Market Liquidity
Continuous trading provides deep liquidity, enabling efficient transactions.
4. Economic Indicators
Futures prices offer insights into future economic trends (e.g., rising copper prices suggest industrial growth).
7. Challenges and Criticisms
1. Speculative Excess
Excessive speculation can cause price bubbles, hurting real producers and consumers.
Example: 2008 oil price surge partly attributed to speculative trading.
2. Volatility & Market Shocks
Futures markets can amplify volatility, especially during geopolitical or weather-related events.
3. Market Manipulation
Large players can influence prices (e.g., "cornering the market").
4. Regulatory Concerns
Need for global harmonization as futures markets are interconnected.
8. Regulation of Global Commodity Futures
United States
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) oversees futures and options markets.
Europe
European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) sets regulations under MiFID II.
Asia
Each country has its regulator: SEBI (India), CSRC (China), FSA (Japan).
Global Cooperation
IOSCO (International Organization of Securities Commissions) works on harmonizing standards.
9. Technological Transformation in Commodity Futures
Electronic Trading
Transition from open-outcry trading floors to electronic platforms like CME Globex.
Algorithmic & High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
Now dominate volumes, enabling faster price discovery but raising flash crash risks.
Blockchain & Smart Contracts
Potential to streamline settlement, reduce fraud, and improve transparency.
10. Case Studies
Oil Futures (NYMEX WTI & ICE Brent)
Key benchmarks for global crude oil pricing.
The 2020 COVID-19 crisis saw WTI futures turn negative, highlighting the complexities of storage and physical delivery.
Gold Futures (COMEX)
A hedge against inflation and financial instability.
Demand spikes during geopolitical crises or economic uncertainty.
Agricultural Futures (Chicago Board of Trade)
Corn, wheat, and soybean futures directly impact global food prices.
Conclusion
Commodity futures trading is more than just speculation—it is the nervous system of the global economy. From farmers securing prices for their harvest to airlines hedging jet fuel, and from speculators driving liquidity to regulators ensuring stability, futures markets are indispensable.
They provide transparency, risk management, and global price discovery. Yet they also bring challenges of volatility, speculation, and regulatory complexity.
Looking ahead, technological innovation, sustainability concerns, and the rise of emerging markets will reshape global commodity futures trading. Its importance will only grow as commodities remain the backbone of human survival, industrialization, and energy security.
Apple earnings on the 29th look to shortApple earnings on the 29th look to short for the monthly gap at 124 only visible when selecting monthly mode.
AAPL Game Plan: September 8, 2025
Premarket Range:
* High: $240.34 (PMH estimate from chart)
* Low: $239.01(AHL)
* PDH: $241.32
* PDL: $238.49
* VWAP + 13EMA clustered around $239.75–239.85
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO: Range Break + Squeeze Toward $241.32–243.00
Trigger:
* Strong open above \$240.34 (PMH)
* Price holds above AHH \$239.86
* SPY + NQ support the move
* VIX remains < 16
Setup:
* Long on reclaim of $240.34 or bounce off \$239.86 support flip
* Use tight stop below VWAP or \$239.
Targets:
* TP1: \$241.32 (PDH)
* TP2: \$243.00
* TP3 (Stretch): $248.00 (macro level from wedge top)
Risk:
* False breakout → snap back into range
NEUTRAL SCENARIO: Ping-Pong Between \$239.00 and \$240.34**
Trigger:
* Price stuck inside PM range
* No volume confirmation
* VIX drifting but not spiking
Setup:
* Fade extremes:
* Long near \$239.01–239.20 (AHL + EMA zone)
* Short near \$240.20–240.34 (PMH test)
* Avoid middle zone congestion (\$239.50–239.80)
Targets:
* TP1: \$239.85
* TP2: \$240.30
* TP3: \$238.70 if range breaks down
Risk:
* Breakout trap while fading levels
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO: Breakdown to \$238.00–236.00
Trigger:
* Break below AHL $239.01 → then PDL \$238.49
* VIX rises > 16
* SPY breaks VWAP / tech turns red
Setup:
* Short on flush through \$238.49 with volume
* Can also short failed reclaim of $239.01 after break
* Keep stop tight above $239.50–239.60
Targets:
* TP1: $237.75
* TP2: $236.00 (major DP level)
* TP3 (Stretch): $228.00 (
AAPLE Inc. High Probale Plummet To Be TriggeredAAPL which has been on a quite an ecstacy in the past few weeks might have its Joy short-lived due to activities its did below. Activities being 'The change of character"
AAPL LongBroader Market Structure (AAPL 1H):
The broader structure has shifted bullish after a strong recovery from the lows near $223.78, which marked the prior Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside. Since then, price has reclaimed higher levels and printed a clear Break of Structure (BOS) above $241.32, confirming bullish continuation. This transition suggests sellers have lost control and the market is now favoring higher highs unless a key demand zone is broken.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
The demand zone between $237–239 is fresh, formed after buyers stepped in with strength and drove price impulsively higher. This makes it a strong candidate for a retest and bounce. The deeper demand around $228–230 remains significant since buyers created a clean rally from that base, but given that it has been tapped once already, it is somewhat weaker than the higher zone. On the supply side, there’s no immediate strong resistance overhead until new highs are formed, giving bulls open space to extend the move.
Price Action Within Marked Region:
At present, price is consolidating near the top after breaking higher, and the projection suggests a pullback into the $237–239 demand zone before resuming upside. The candles are showing reduced momentum after the breakout, hinting that a corrective retracement is likely before continuation.
Current Trade Bias & Outlook:
The bias is bullish, with the expectation that price will dip into demand before resuming higher toward $245–248. The invalidation level for this bullish outlook would be a break below $228, which would erase the recent BOS and tilt structure bearish again.
Momentum & Candlestick Behavior:
Momentum favors buyers, as seen in the impulsive move that cleared prior highs. However, current candles show signs of slowing, which supports the idea of a short-term pullback before buyers re-enter. No reversal patterns have formed yet at the highs, so the structure still supports continuation.
AAPL Sept 5th Playbook
On the 4H chart, Tuesday’s green candle is still holding — looks like a possible bull flag forming. On the 2H, AAPL is stacking green candles and trending up.
If price dips, it’s gotta fight through **238.17** and **238.06** before momentum breaks. If it holds and pushes pre-market highs, upside levels to watch are **241.96 → 250**.
3 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish:
* Hold above 238 → push through PMH → breakout attempt toward 241.96 then 250 test.
* Above 241.96 could open momentum for a stronger run.
Sideways:
* Chop zone between 238 – 241, consolidation before the next leg.
🔴 Bearish:
* Lose 238 → break below PDL → quick fade back to 236 / 234 zone.
Key Levels
* Support: 238.17 / 238.06 → 236
* Resistance: 241.96 → 250
* Bias: Bullish as long as 238 holds.
💡 My take → watching for a **consolidation bounce off 238** → possible breakout toward 241.96+.
AAPL Clean HTF setup to ATHsAfter creation of another bullish fair value gap in the monthly timeframe, AAPL looks destined to get to and through the current all time high.
Low resistance draw on liquidity.
I think we get a blow off top.
Trap late bulls, then smart money will send us to Hades so they can reposition and get lower prices.
Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month HighApple (AAPL) Shares Jump to a Six-Month High
As the AAPL chart shows, yesterday the price rose above $238 – its highest level since early March.
The optimistic sentiment was fuelled by:
→ A court ruling concerning Google, which we reported on yesterday. Apple shares advanced after the court allowed Alphabet to continue paying Apple for preloading Google Search on the iPhone. Bank of America analysts even raised their AAPL price target to $260.
→ The upcoming Apple presentation scheduled for 9 September. Expectations are that the event could unveil the iPhone 17 and new Apple Watch models, which may provide a bullish catalyst.
Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stocks
Analysing the chart in early August, we:
→ identified an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ noted that, given the aggressive rally (accompanied by bullish gaps) and a strong fundamental backdrop, any corrections were likely to be limited.
Since then:
→ AAPL has moved higher, justifying the expansion of the blue channel;
→ the pullback (marked by an arrow) was minor, as expected, confirming the median line of the expanded channel as support;
→ in the short term, we could identify grounds for a new upward trajectory (shown in orange).
Yesterday’s price action in AAPL:
→ produced a wide bullish gap at the open (which may act as support);
→ broke through the long-term descending trendline (R), which had been acting as resistance;
→ indicated that the $235 level (around the August high) now functions as support.
Within this context, we could assume that:
→ in the short term, AAPL may maintain its upward trajectory within the orange channel;
→ in the longer term, bulls may target the upper boundary of the blue channel – located near the psychological $250 mark. Reaching this level could trigger stronger selling pressure.
In the event of a significant correction (for example, due to disappointment with new product launches), potential support levels could include:
→ the median of the blue channel;
→ the trendline R.
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Apple Inc. (AAPL) Thrives on iPhone and Service SalesApple Inc. (AAPL) is one of the world’s most valuable technology companies, known for its iconic products like the iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, and AirPods. The company also generates strong recurring revenue through services such as the App Store, Apple Music, and iCloud. Apple’s growth is fueled by constant product innovation, a loyal global customer base, and expanding services that complement its hardware ecosystem.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume shows bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone by moving above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be set just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure profits while allowing room for more upside potential.
The key is whether the price can rise above 240.55 and hold
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(AAPL 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
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The HA-High to DOM(60) range on the current 1D chart is 229.27-232.78.
Therefore, if the price remains above the 229.27-232.78 range, a step-like uptrend is highly likely.
However, looking at the chart overall, the 226.67-240.55 range corresponds to the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is necessary to check for support within the 226.67-240.55 range.
If it rises above 240.55, it is expected to attempt to rise to the 250.42-260.10 range.
The 250.42 and 255.59 levels correspond to the DOM(60) indicator on the 1M chart and the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart, respectively.
Therefore, to sustain the mid- to long-term uptrend, the price must rise above 250.42-255.59 and maintain its position.
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Based on the basic trading strategy mentioned earlier, this is currently within the range for a partial sell-off.
Buying in this range requires a short and quick response, so be cautious.
Buying is possible when the 226.67-240.55 range shows support.
If it falls below 226.67, cut your losses and wait to see how the situation develops.
If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remains there, there's a possibility of a medium- to long-term downtrend, so a countermeasure is needed.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 192.31.
This point is located within the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 182.94-199.62, making the 182.94-199.62 range an important support area.
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(1M chart)
The area highlighted by the circle represents an important area.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Apple Wave Analysis – 3 September 2025- Apple broke the resistance level 234.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 240.00
Apple recently broke with the upward gap above the resistance level 234.00, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1 at the start of August.
The price earlier reversed from the support level 225.00 (former strong resistance from March and April).
Given the multi-month uptrend, Apple can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 240.00, former resistance from the start of March.
Could be a good month for Apple. Apple has potentially broken out of a recent flag pattern. While I typically don't use hourly charts, in this case, it does present the situation more clearly. The next target price will be 260 USD, although I plan to continue holding my long position until it reaches over $270. Since the predicted Golden Cross, Apple has been very bullish. With increased trading activity.
Forming lack of market confidence in AI market overall and its associated potential bubble, Apple remains a well-rounded stock to hold. We could see further rewards, especially since they have not yet heavily invested in the AI market and are not as reliant on its future revenue and value. So could be bubble protected to some extent, if it pops.
With September approaching and the "sell in May and walk away" period coming to an end, I expect trading volumes to increase and a rebalancing of portfolios, with capital likely flowing back into Apple. Additionally, Apple has its September launch event coming up, and expectations are high. Overall, Apple looks promising for potential returns in September. Although Q3 numbers could be bearish given the current market climate, Apple appears more stable and less bubble-like than other stocks in the Magnificent Seven...
As previous too much fear regarding Apple for the last few quarters. Which presented some really good entry points and good returns.
AAPL Technical Analysis-Sep. 3Apple exploded higher off the 227.5 – 228 support zone, staging a sharp rally that broke through short-term resistance and reclaimed momentum. The move was confirmed by a strong MACD bullish cross with expanding histogram, and Stoch RSI pushing deep into overbought, signaling strong momentum but also potential near-term exhaustion.
Price is now pressing into 237–238, a heavy resistance cluster from both prior supply and options positioning. This zone represents the immediate test for bulls. A clean breakout would open the path toward 240, and potentially 242.5, where the next resistance bands align.
On the downside, 232.5 – 233 is now first support. Below that, 230 and then 227.5 serve as key demand levels. Losing those would negate today’s breakout momentum and shift control back to sellers.
🔍 Options / GEX Confirmation
* Resistance:
* 237 (20% GEX concentration) → current rejection zone.
* 240 – 242.5 → stacked resistance confirmed by call positioning.
* Support:
* 233 – 232.5 (3rd call wall / structural support) → bulls must defend this to keep momentum.
* 230 → strong pivot zone.
* 227.5 → deep support and base of the breakout.
Options flow confirms exactly what the chart is showing: 237 is a key battleground, while 240–242.5 remains the ceiling until bulls prove control.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
* Bullish: Hold above 233 and break through 237 with volume → targets 240, then 242.5.
* Bearish: Failure at 237 and a drop back under 233 → downside targets 230 → 227.5.
Apple’s rebound was explosive, but the 237–238 zone is the real test. If buyers can push through, upside momentum extends toward 240–242.5. If not, watch for a pullback to 233 or even 230 before attempting higher.
A New iPhone Is Coming. Should You Upgrade or Just Fix Your Old This year, your best iPhone upgrade might be a fresh battery, a clean screen and some new software tricks. Plus, the extra cash you get to keep in your pocket.
AAPL STRONG MONTHLY BULLISH REVERSALA very strong August for AAPL. My previous view had been for price to drift lower to $200 support over the quiet summer weeks. I was wrong. Strong bullish reversal on the monthly chart. Does it have what it takes to climb back to previous highs and beyond? Will watch September price action.
Apple September SetupSeptember hasn’t been Apple’s friend historically — average return is around –4.5% and over the last 5 years we’ve seen more red than green. Institutions usually use this month to rebalance into Q4, which can weigh on tech.
This year we’ve also got the Sept 9 “Awe Dropping” event (iPhone 17 lineup, Apple Watch updates, maybe AirPods). That’s a clear catalyst, but sometimes it’s “buy the rumor, sell the news.”
Here’s how I’m looking at it:
⬆Bull Scenario (Breakout)
If Apple clears 234 with volume and holds above, bulls could push it higher. Clean breakout = momentum continuation 🚀.
🔄 Sideways Scenario (Chop)
Apple tags 234, stalls, and just chops. No clear trend, just range trading while the market waits for a catalyst .
📉 Bear Scenario (Double Top / Puts)
Apple rejects at 234, goes sideways, then dumps. That would set up a **double top** and open downside risk back toward 219 .
For me → last week wasn’t great P\&L-wise, so I’m focusing on patience this month. Not trying to predict which path plays out, just mapping the if/then so I’m ready.
👉 What’s your bias going into September?
AAPL | Money will Rotate into this MEGA CAP | LONGApple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other varieties of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, AppleCare, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak in April 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.
APPL Premarket setupAAPL Setup:
Bias: Bullish → Needs confirmation
Watching price action after open (first 15m candle)
CALL Setup
Break & Hold Above: 233.41 (PDH)
TP1: 234.14
SL: 232.40
Additional Confirmation: 9 & 21 EMAs stays above 50 EMA
No-Trade Zone:
Between 232.76 (PMH) and 231.26 (PML)
Expect chop / fakeouts here — wait for clean break & retest
PUT Setup
Break & Close Below: 231.26 (PML)
TP: 230.59 (200 EMA)
SL: 231.60
Additional Confirmation: 9/21 cross back below 50 EMA
Wait for structure. First 15m sets tone.
AAPL SELL 249.7On the daily chart, AAPL is fluctuating upward. Currently, we can pay attention to the resistance near 249.7 above. This position is a short-selling position for a potential bearish bat pattern. At the same time, this position is in the previous supply area.
