TSLA – Downside Extension Followed by Potential Rebound PhaseTesla has continued to slide after its recent peak, with price action forming a deeper corrective leg. The latest reaction suggests a rebound scenario may develop if momentum begins to shift, paving the way for a possible recovery sequence in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Trade ideas
TSLA at a Turning Point: Cup & Handle Breakout or Breakdown?The chart shows a clear Cup & Handle pattern forming on the daily timeframe. Price touched the descending resistance (blue line) and failed to break out, placing TSLA at a critical decision point.
Key Points:
• Main Resistance: 450–465 zone (descending trendline + neckline of pattern)
• Major Support: 395–400 zone
• The 50-day MA is currently acting as near-term resistance.
Bullish Scenario (If price breaks above 465)
A breakout with a daily close above 465 would likely trigger:
• Target 1: $500
• Target 2: $545
• Target 3: $600
Bearish Scenario (If 395 breaks)
A breakdown below 395 may lead to:
• Bearish Target 1: $360
• Target 2: $325
Suggested Stop-Loss:
• $394 (for long positions)
Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🎀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still confirm the breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just two months ago, Tesla perfectly broke out of the major ascending triangle pattern. In the meantime we just witnessed a major consolidation at the all time high. Quite likely that Tesla will soon confirm the breakout, launching another parabolic rally from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tesla / Palantir Fractal - 50 Days of identical price action?On oct 7th I suggested that Tesla and Palantir had been in a 'fractal" pattern. Since identifying this pattern, it's been 50 days of identical price action (on the 15 minute timeframe). But this fractal goes back much further in time.
Fractals are a mathmatical anomaly, if you understand linear equations (and believe the market is "random"). All assets are doing the same patterns over and over, on all time frames. You just need to see it for what it is.
May the truth be with you.
TSLA:Truncated 5th at 474 A-Bottom 382 Confirmed-3Scenarios MapTSLA: Truncated 5th at 474 ☠️ A-Bottom 382 Confirmed – 3 Scenarios Mapped: B to 440/460 or Bust? C-Targets 287-367 + Fed Cut Catalyst Dec 9-10:
Tesla's 5-wave impulsive rally from $273 to $474.07 is officially terminated in a classic Truncated 5th Wave pattern – one of the most reliable bearish setups in Elliott Wave theory.
Key Confirmation Signals:
Wave ⑤ high: 474.07 = exact same price as sub-wave (i) of ③ (textbook same-price failure)
Screaming RSI bearish divergence at the top
Volume collapse + SMA20/50 death cross (Sep) → truncation locked in
Current structure: ABC zigzag correction (likely Wave IV of larger cycle or Wave A of bear impulse).
Wave A: 474.07 → 382.78 (0.786 retracement of entire impulse, Nov 14 low)
Wave B: Now underway as platform consolidation post-hammer reversal (Nov 23 low 383.76, RSI oversold confirmed)
-Primary target: 430-440 (0.618 Fib of A) by early Dec
-If breakout 445: Extend to 460 (0.786 Fib, 35% odds – accelerated rally fueled by Fed doves)
MACD/RSI Fuel for B-Wave:
MACD bullish divergence emerging (-3.85 turning up) → Gold cross by Nov end
RSI oversold hammer → Short-term bounce to 410+ expected
3 Scenarios for Wave C (Post-B Top):
| Scenario | Probability | B-Wave High | C-Wave Target | Key Condition |
|-------------------|-------------|-----------------|-----------------|----------------------------------------|
| **Weak B: Deep C** | 50% | 430-440 (Platform Type) | 287-293 (C=1.618×A) | B stalls at 440; Dec FOMC mild cut → Extension from 319 (1.272×A) low |
| **Strong B: Shallow C** | 35% | 445-460 (Accelerated Rally) | 361-367 (C=1.0×A) | Break 445 on Fed fuel; Shallow due to strong rebound |
| **Bullish Invalid: Extended ⑤** | 15% | >485 (Break Secondary Resistance) | 550-600+ (0.618 of Impulse) | Weekly close >485 negates ABC → Wave ⑤ resumes |
Catalysts to Watch:
Dec 9-10 FOMC: Expected 25bp cut (89% odds post-Williams) – Long shadow potential for B acceleration (see chart)
Bear confirm: <380 break → C accelerates to 250 (2.0×A, high-volume 2024 low)
Timeframe: B ends early Dec; C launches mid-Dec, bottoms Jan 2026 (4-6 weeks)
Trade with stops: Long B to 440 (trail below 380); Flip short at B top divergence.
This is not financial advice – DYOR.
TESLA IS ENTERING A CRITICAL ZONETesla currently remains in an uptrend while moving inside the existing ascending channel. The most recent reaction came from the trendline, but an important structure has formed above: a clear double top pattern . After the pattern completed, price declined and is now retesting the neckline, which has already acted as resistance. The 50 EMA is also positioned at this same level, adding confluence.
According to the mechanics of the double top, the expected downward projection is typically equal to the distance between the top of the pattern and the neckline. That measured move aligns almost perfectly with the lower support zone and the 200 EMA , forming a strong confluence area.
Additionally, there is an imbalance inside that lower region, which commonly pulls price back to fill it. RSI has formed a downtrend and is moving toward the 30 level, which supports the likelihood of a continued decline.
If price breaks above both the RSI downtrend and the neckline, the move back upward along the channel becomes possible. However, the bearish confirmations remain strong unless a significant positive catalyst invalidates the setup.
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story.
EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164.
This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup.
🧮 Fundamental Context
Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically:
Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase.
EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half.
Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend.
Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening.
The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation.
Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality.
📉 Technical Structure
Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure.
We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion.
Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline.
Key levels to watch:
📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550
📍 Primary cluster: around $250
📍 Support zone: $150 – $200
The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200.
That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg.
⚠️ Market Outlook
While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply.
Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals.
And those fundamentals are pointing downward.
📊 Summary
EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉
Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics
Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150
Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure
Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️
Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story.
Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
Tesla Is Moving Toward a Key Support ZoneHello everyone, Tesla is entering a sensitive phase as the strong rally from 310 USD to 406 USD over the past two months begins to lose momentum. The recent decline is not just a normal pullback; the repeated appearance of red FVGs shows that buying pressure is fading while sellers are gradually taking control again. At the moment, the 401 USD level is acting as the nearest support. If this area fails to hold, Tesla could slide further toward 395 USD — a zone with green FVGs and heavy volume where strong buying previously pushed the price upward.
On the fundamental side, the news flow isn’t helping. Tesla’s Q3/2025 report showed adjusted profits dropping nearly 29% even though revenue still grew around 12%, indicating that operational efficiency is weaker than expected. Rising costs, lower income from regulatory credits, and massive investments in AI and robotics continue to squeeze margins. At the same time, competition from Chinese and European EV manufacturers is intensifying, putting additional pressure on Tesla’s future market share. With the broader tech market shifting toward a risk-off mood, growth stocks are taking heavier hits — and Tesla is clearly feeling that weight.
Given both technical structure and market sentiment, the most reasonable scenario right now is a continued move down into the 395 USD support zone to test liquidity and gauge the market’s reaction. This level remains a strong technical area and could trigger a meaningful bounce if buyers step in. However, if 395 USD breaks under negative news or persistent outflows from growth assets, the decline could extend toward 385–380 USD. On the flip side, if a major positive catalyst appears — such as notable progress in robotaxi development, better margins, or a breakthrough in battery technology — the 405–410 USD region would be the first recovery target.
For now, Tesla is standing at a “pivot zone” — a place where the market will soon reveal whether this is just a pause before another upward leg, or the beginning of a deeper corrective cycle.
TSLA Losing Momentum – Uptrend Breakdown RiskLooking at the current picture, both news flow and technical signals show that Tesla is entering a challenging phase. A series of recent negative developments — from large funds selling off, to declining sales in China, and Elon Musk potentially taking a loss on his latest share purchases — have clearly shaken market confidence. As a result, TSLA has been under continuous selling pressure, and its price action has weakened significantly compared to the previous bullish period.
On the chart, the resistance area around $447 continues to act as a “steel ceiling”: every touch has been firmly rejected. The recent strong bearish candle pushed TSLA back into the Ichimoku cloud, breaking the short-term upward structure. More importantly, the price is now at risk of losing the uptrend line that has held since April, indicating that medium-term bullish momentum is fading.
If TSLA fails to reclaim the $430–$447 zone in the next recovery attempts, a drop toward $329 becomes a very realistic scenario — this level has been a major support in the past and aligns with the lower boundary of the primary trend channel.
Tesla - Withstanding all weakness!🏹Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq back in 2013, we witnessed a lot of triangle breakouts. And starting all the way back in 2020, Tesla once again created a bullish triangle. Last month we saw the breakout and this month we have to see the confirmation
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tesla (TSLA) – Technical Analysis OverviewHello friends, I haven't shared an analysis for a long time. I'm back in the market. Don't forget to follow me for my regular analysis.
The chart shows that Tesla continues to hold its medium-term upward trend. The price recently tested the 408–410 support zone, which aligns with the rising trend line, and has reacted from that level. This area is technically significant, as it coincides with both trend support and a region where short-term liquidity has accumulated.
On the upside, the first notable resistance appears around 462–465. The projected ~13% potential move on the chart also points toward this region, suggesting that a rebound toward this level is plausible as long as the trend support remains intact.
Looking at the indicators:
RSI is currently within the 41–48 range, not in oversold territory but reflecting weakened momentum. This supports the idea that price is stabilising near a meaningful support area.
MACD remains in negative territory, indicating that bullish momentum has not fully recovered yet. A clearer shift toward the zero line would help confirm any sustained upward move.
In summary:
* The 408–410 zone is acting as a solid support.
* The broader trend structure remains intact and upward.
* 462–465 is the first major target area.
* However, momentum indicators are still soft, so confirmation through stronger candles would be constructive.
Volatility may remain elevated in the short term, but as long as the price stays above trend support, upward attempts appear more likely.
Disclaimer: This is a technical assessment only and does not constitute investment advice.*
QuantSignals V3 TSLA Alert: Strong Bearish MomentumTSLA 1M | QuantSignals Katy | 2025-11-20
Direction: PUT (Bearish)
Confidence: 75%
Current Price: $427.76
Final Target: $411.82 (-3.73%)
30min Target: $419.17 (-2.01%)
Entry: $427.76
Take Profit: $415.01
Stop Loss: $434.18
Volatility: 24.9%
Analysis:
Katy AI predicts steady bearish movement over the month.
Momentum favors downside, with 1M horizon showing consistent decline.
Strong confidence (75%) and moderate volatility suggest high-probability put setup.
Trade Setup & Edge:
Entry aligns with current price at resistance level.
Tight stop limits risk while capturing projected downside.
Short-term 30-min target gives early exit option if quick profit is desired.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Moderate volatility; adjust position size accordingly.
Tesla: A overview of itHi!
Trend Analysis:
TSLA has been trading in an ascending channel for several months, with higher highs and higher lows visible since April.
The recent price action broke above the midline of the channel but is currently consolidating near the $420-$425 area.
Pattern Formation:
A Double Top pattern near the $460 level formed.
This pattern signals a potential reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance zone (marked in pink).
The neckline of this double top appears around $400, which is also a key support zone.
Potential Price Action:
Short-term rebound:
TSLA could retest the resistance zone near $455-$460.
If it fails to break this area convincingly, the double top pattern could trigger a reversal.
Medium-term correction:
If the reversal occurs at the resistance zone, price may fall toward the neckline/support area near $380.
This aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and previous support levels.
What are these "algorithms" I'm always talking about?I talk a lot about “ algorithms ” - but for newer followers, it can feel abstract or confusing.
This video breaks down the core logic behind how I analyze any chart and tell a story to set up for the best possible trade.
Here I discuss:
- What is liquidity
- How the market builds liquidity
- Why certain movements/patterns repeat with accuracy
- How tapering, liquidity, and the basics of supply and demand form algorithmic behavior
If you want to understand the power behind the charts I show every day, this is for you.
(It's difficult to do this in a 10 minute video - which is why I have students who I work with one-on-one to dive deeper into learning this process. I don't sell myself or a course - I simply want you all to learn something that is truly helpful and beautiful. I post everything I know on here as often as I can!)
Happy Trading :)
TSLA at a Critical Pivot! TSLA at a Critical Pivot! Bounce Coming or Fake Pump Before a Bigger Drop? 🚀⚠️
Alright, TSLA traders… this one is getting interesting.
Based on the weekly, daily, hourly structure AND the GEX map you provided, TSLA is sitting right at a decision zone where institutions will either:
✅ push it toward $435–$450
or
❌ dump it back into the $390–$380 liquidity pocket
Let’s break it down clean and human — like we always do.
🟦 Weekly Timeframe (Big Picture)
TSLA finally broke out of the long consolidation and now pulling back into previous structure.
Key observations:
* Weekly candle rejecting near $475–$500 supply
* Price holding above key weekly support around $410–$417
* Rising trendline still intact
* No major breakdown yet
If the weekly holds above $410, the trend continues bullish.
If it loses $410, weekly structure turns bearish quickly.
🟩 Daily Timeframe
This is where it gets tricky.
Daily chart shows:
* CHoCH + BOS signals around $420
* Strong rejection at daily supply $470–$500
* Retest of demand zone $390–$405
* Price currently hovering in the middle
This daily structure tells me:
TSLA bounced, but it's not out of trouble yet.
We need a clean daily close above $425–$430 to unlock the upside again.
If daily closes below $410, sellers will take control fast.
🟨 1H Timeframe (Trader Zone)
On the 1H:
* Multiple CHoCH/BOS flips
* Price stuck in a range $410–$428
* Weak momentum on the latest bounce
* Overhead supply sitting right above current price
This looks like:
📌 accumulation OR distribution
1H will decide the next move:
✅ Break & hold above $428 = continuation toward $435–$450
❌ Reject $428 and break $410 = drop into $395–$385
🔥 GEX Outlook (Institutional Positioning)
Your GEX chart is very clear:
📈 CALL Walls:
* $428 / $435 / $450 cluster
* Highest positive NET GEX at $410–$420
📉 PUT Walls:
* $390
* $385
* $380 major support
Institutions are:
✅ defending $410–$420
✅ hedged heavily around $435
❌ willing to let price fall toward $390 if $410 fails
This aligns PERFECTLY with the price structure.
🧭 My Thoughts
TSLA looks stronger than NVDA and SPY in the short-term.
This bounce is not random — GEX shows real defense at $410 and buyers stepped in.
However…
If TSLA fails to break above $428 convincingly, this bounce becomes a trap, and that drop toward $390–$385 becomes very likely.
🎯 Trade Levels to Watch
Bullish Scenario
* Entry: above $428
* Target: $435 → $450
* Stop: below $417
Bearish Scenario
* Entry: below $410
* Target: $395 → $385
* Stop: above $423
🚀 Option Thoughts
If trading options:
Calls only make sense above $428
Puts become high conviction below $410
Inside that range = chop risk
✅ Conclusion
TSLA is sitting at the most important zone of the week.
If $428 breaks cleanly → continuation to $450
If $410 breaks → fast flush to $390–$385 liquidity
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TSLA In Trouble! WARNING!🚫 Why No One Should Be Holding TSLA Right Now
Charting:
Triple Top! Rising wedge fully formed 3-wave rising wedge structure that has hooked and broken! mini double top.
I’ve been saying this for a while — no one should be long TSLA. The stock has done nothing since 2021, yet the hype machine for the boy band keeps spinning.
Ask yourself honestly: Where does Tesla actually lead anymore?
Not in EVs
Not in autonomy
Not in robots
Not in AI
Not in tech innovation
It’s become a stock story with no story left.
And when leadership is built on hype, not execution, it always ends the same way.
Never invest in toxic leadership or cult narratives.
TSLA is a real company, sure — but in fundamental terms, it’s an $8 stock wearing a $450 costume.
If you agree and sell, and it's wrong. Guess what? You will have a bunch of cash waiting to buy it. If you disagree, you won't have a bunch of cash waiting to buy lower BC YOU NEVER SOLD! You can't "BUY THE DIP" Ubless you first SELL THE RIP! It's 2nd-grade math that the boy band who will come in here hating on my call again cannot do. They will give me colorful charts, tell me about cup and handles while riding it all the way down!
They are always buying but NEVER selling. That's the trick with paper money, you can never run out of it. hahah!
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
QuantSignals V3 | TSLA High-Probability Weekly PUT TradeTSLA QuantSignals V3 – Weekly PUT Trade (2025-11-19)
Trade Signal:
Direction: BUY PUTS (Short)
Strike Price: $402.50
Entry Range: $8.35–$8.45 (mid $8.40)
Target 1: $12.60 (50% gain)
Target 2: $16.80 (100% gain)
Stop Loss: $5.88 (30% risk)
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (2 days)
Position Size: 3% of portfolio
Confidence: 65% (Medium)
Market Analysis:
Trend: NEUTRAL overall, short-term bearish bias (-0.67% predicted decline)
Price Action: Current $401.88, trading below VWAP $406.38
Technicals: EMA bearish, weekly momentum neutral (-0.61%), key support $380.97, resistance $432.75
Options Flow: Put/Call Ratio 1.39, institutional put-heavy positioning
Volatility: Rising VIX (19.83 vs 18.44 avg) indicates increasing market nervousness
News Sentiment: Mixed; positive news not lifting price, sector skepticism present
Competitive Edge:
Katy AI downside prediction combined with strong bearish options flow and technical weakness
$402.50 strike balances risk/reward near-the-money
Mid-week entry captures potential late-week volatility
Tight stop loss mitigates gamma risk
Risk Notes:
2-day expiry creates high gamma and time decay risk
Rising VIX may increase premiums but also volatility
Moderate conviction requires careful position sizing
Monitor actively through expiration
TSLA Momentum Play: QuantSignals V3 Sees Strong UpsideTSLA | QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction (2025-11-21)
Current Price: $385.51
Predicted Close: $396.06 (+2.74%)
30-min Target: $393.15 (+1.98%)
Trend: Bullish
Confidence: 75%
Volatility: 27.4%
Trade Signal
Direction: CALL
Entry: $385.51
Target: $393.95
Stop Loss: $379.73
Expected Move: +2.74%
Summary: 1 trade signal generated from 1 successful analysis.
Midterm Stock Forecast for TeslaNASDAQ:TSLA at $391 shows weakening technical structure, suggesting a continuation toward $340. H1 trendlines indicate fading bullish pressure. Fundamentals remain mixed: energy storage grows, but auto margins face pressure and competition intensifies. The $340 zone is a key demand area for potential midterm stabilization.
Tesla (TSLA) – Key Levels Tightening Up Ahead on Nov. 20TSLA is coiling inside a clean rising wedge on the 1H and 15M charts. Price is grinding toward the apex with buyers slowly stepping in, but sellers are still defending the 410–415 zone. This tension usually leads to a breakout move, up or down, depending on how the opening momentum comes in.
Tomorrow, traders will be watching TSLA because it’s sitting right at the intersection of trendline pressure + GEX walls — perfect setup for volatility.
1. 1H Timeframe – Bigger Picture
* TSLA is trapped between 395 support and 410–415 resistance.
* The rising wedge support is doing its job. Every dip into 395–398 gets bought.
* If TSLA clears 415, it can quickly push toward 422–425, then 430.
* If it rejects again, the wedge breaks down toward 400, then 390.
What matters:
This structure is tight. A move outside the wedge tomorrow will set direction for the next 2–3 sessions.
2. 15M Timeframe – Intraday Setup
* Strong BOS + CHoCH stack that reversed the downtrend earlier today.
* Price is now retesting the mid-range around 410.
* Bears are active at 410.30–411.50 (multiple rejections).
* Bulls defending the 401–402 block and 398–400 FVG zone.
If buyers hold 401–402:
TSLA can attempt 415 → 422.
If sellers break 398:
Expect a fast unwind toward 390–392.
The 15M gives the intraday trigger for the bigger 1H structure.
3. GEX / Options Sentiment – Confirms the Levels
This is the clean part:
* Highest positive GEX resistance at 422–425.
Options dealers hedge aggressively there → hard ceiling unless volume comes in.
* 410 is the HVL zone — right where price is stuck.
This level often acts like a magnet and chop zone.
* Below price, 400 / 395 / 390 are stacked with negative GEX →
this acts like put support. Traders love to take premium here.
What this means:
GEX supports the same ranges the chart shows:
* Above 415 → clear air pockets toward 422–425.
* Below 400 → air pocket toward 390.
Trading Outlook for Nov 20
Bullish Scenario
* Needs to reclaim 415 with strength.
* First target: 422
* Next target: 425–430
* Momentum confirmation: volume spike + 15M BOS continuation.
Bearish Scenario
* Lose 398–400, preferably on a breakdown during first 15–30 minutes.
* Target: 390–392
* Next: 382 (deep range sweep)
Neutral / Range
* If price sits between 402–410, expect chop.
* This is where most retail gets trapped.
Probability Summary (Not Signals)
* Breakout above 415: moderate probability if NASDAQ is strong.
* Reject & fade into 400: high probability if SPY pulls back.
* Chop 402–410: base case until macro gives direction.
Final Note
Everything lines up cleanly across 1H, 15M, and GEX — the exact setup traders search for before a trend day. TSLA will be heavily watched tomorrow because whichever side wins this 410 battle will control the next big move.






















