Tesla: A overview of itHi!
Trend Analysis:
TSLA has been trading in an ascending channel for several months, with higher highs and higher lows visible since April.
The recent price action broke above the midline of the channel but is currently consolidating near the $420-$425 area.
Pattern Formation:
A Double Top pattern near the $460 level formed.
This pattern signals a potential reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance zone (marked in pink).
The neckline of this double top appears around $400, which is also a key support zone.
Potential Price Action:
Short-term rebound:
TSLA could retest the resistance zone near $455-$460.
If it fails to break this area convincingly, the double top pattern could trigger a reversal.
Medium-term correction:
If the reversal occurs at the resistance zone, price may fall toward the neckline/support area near $380.
This aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and previous support levels.
Trade ideas
Tesla - The triangle is still valid!🎀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still confirm the breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just two months ago, Tesla perfectly broke out of the major ascending triangle pattern. In the meantime we just witnessed a major consolidation at the all time high. Quite likely that Tesla will soon confirm the breakout, launching another parabolic rally from here.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA – Downside Extension Followed by Potential Rebound PhaseTesla has continued to slide after its recent peak, with price action forming a deeper corrective leg. The latest reaction suggests a rebound scenario may develop if momentum begins to shift, paving the way for a possible recovery sequence in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TSLA at a Turning Point: Cup & Handle Breakout or Breakdown?The chart shows a clear Cup & Handle pattern forming on the daily timeframe. Price touched the descending resistance (blue line) and failed to break out, placing TSLA at a critical decision point.
Key Points:
• Main Resistance: 450–465 zone (descending trendline + neckline of pattern)
• Major Support: 395–400 zone
• The 50-day MA is currently acting as near-term resistance.
Bullish Scenario (If price breaks above 465)
A breakout with a daily close above 465 would likely trigger:
• Target 1: $500
• Target 2: $545
• Target 3: $600
Bearish Scenario (If 395 breaks)
A breakdown below 395 may lead to:
• Bearish Target 1: $360
• Target 2: $325
Suggested Stop-Loss:
• $394 (for long positions)
Tesla / Palantir Fractal - 50 Days of identical price action?On oct 7th I suggested that Tesla and Palantir had been in a 'fractal" pattern. Since identifying this pattern, it's been 50 days of identical price action (on the 15 minute timeframe). But this fractal goes back much further in time.
Fractals are a mathmatical anomaly, if you understand linear equations (and believe the market is "random"). All assets are doing the same patterns over and over, on all time frames. You just need to see it for what it is.
May the truth be with you.
TSLA:Truncated 5th at 474 A-Bottom 382 Confirmed-3Scenarios MapTSLA: Truncated 5th at 474 ☠️ A-Bottom 382 Confirmed – 3 Scenarios Mapped: B to 440/460 or Bust? C-Targets 287-367 + Fed Cut Catalyst Dec 9-10:
Tesla's 5-wave impulsive rally from $273 to $474.07 is officially terminated in a classic Truncated 5th Wave pattern – one of the most reliable bearish setups in Elliott Wave theory.
Key Confirmation Signals:
Wave ⑤ high: 474.07 = exact same price as sub-wave (i) of ③ (textbook same-price failure)
Screaming RSI bearish divergence at the top
Volume collapse + SMA20/50 death cross (Sep) → truncation locked in
Current structure: ABC zigzag correction (likely Wave IV of larger cycle or Wave A of bear impulse).
Wave A: 474.07 → 382.78 (0.786 retracement of entire impulse, Nov 14 low)
Wave B: Now underway as platform consolidation post-hammer reversal (Nov 23 low 383.76, RSI oversold confirmed)
-Primary target: 430-440 (0.618 Fib of A) by early Dec
-If breakout 445: Extend to 460 (0.786 Fib, 35% odds – accelerated rally fueled by Fed doves)
MACD/RSI Fuel for B-Wave:
MACD bullish divergence emerging (-3.85 turning up) → Gold cross by Nov end
RSI oversold hammer → Short-term bounce to 410+ expected
3 Scenarios for Wave C (Post-B Top):
| Scenario | Probability | B-Wave High | C-Wave Target | Key Condition |
|-------------------|-------------|-----------------|-----------------|----------------------------------------|
| **Weak B: Deep C** | 50% | 430-440 (Platform Type) | 287-293 (C=1.618×A) | B stalls at 440; Dec FOMC mild cut → Extension from 319 (1.272×A) low |
| **Strong B: Shallow C** | 35% | 445-460 (Accelerated Rally) | 361-367 (C=1.0×A) | Break 445 on Fed fuel; Shallow due to strong rebound |
| **Bullish Invalid: Extended ⑤** | 15% | >485 (Break Secondary Resistance) | 550-600+ (0.618 of Impulse) | Weekly close >485 negates ABC → Wave ⑤ resumes |
Catalysts to Watch:
Dec 9-10 FOMC: Expected 25bp cut (89% odds post-Williams) – Long shadow potential for B acceleration (see chart)
Bear confirm: <380 break → C accelerates to 250 (2.0×A, high-volume 2024 low)
Timeframe: B ends early Dec; C launches mid-Dec, bottoms Jan 2026 (4-6 weeks)
Trade with stops: Long B to 440 (trail below 380); Flip short at B top divergence.
This is not financial advice – DYOR.
TSLA: Fundamentals Are Collapsing While Valuation Stays in OrbitTesla is trading near multi-month highs… but the fundamentals tell a very different story.
EPS has dropped by 50%, revenue growth has almost stalled, and yet the stock still carries a Forward P/E of 164.
This combination — slowing growth and extreme valuation — looks like the definition of an institutional bubble setup.
🧮 Fundamental Context
Over the past few years, Tesla’s growth has slowed dramatically:
Revenue rose from 31B → 53B → 81B → 96B → 97B — barely any increase.
EPS climbed from 0.2 → 1.6 → 3.6 → 4.3 — and then fell by half.
Quarter-over-quarter metrics remain negative, with no visible recovery trend.
Meanwhile, the Forward P/E of 164 implies double-digit expansion ahead — which clearly isn’t happening.
The fundamentals simply do not justify this kind of valuation.
Right now, Tesla’s numbers resemble the early phase of a valuation compression cycle — where prices eventually catch up with reality.
📉 Technical Structure
Technically, Tesla has been moving in a broad sideways range, forming what looks like a long-term Wave 4 structure.
We’re currently inside the “B” leg, which could already be complete or near completion.
Once that wave ends, the next expected move is a Wave C decline.
Key levels to watch:
📍 Upper resistance zone: $400 – $550
📍 Primary cluster: around $250
📍 Support zone: $150 – $200
The chart shows clear volume concentration around $250 — once that level breaks, the next liquidity pocket sits between $150 and $200.
That’s where a potential bottoming cluster could form before the final upward leg.
⚠️ Market Outlook
While other FANG names maintain solid balance sheets and stable earnings, Tesla’s fundamentals are deteriorating sharply.
Yes, the stock may still see short-term pumps driven by sentiment or Musk’s fan base — but markets always return to fundamentals.
And those fundamentals are pointing downward.
📊 Summary
EPS and revenue both trending lower 📉
Forward P/E at 164 — completely disconnected from growth metrics
Technical range suggests potential decline toward $200–$150
Current price action likely part of a larger corrective structure
Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution ⚠️
Tesla isn’t a short-term “growth story” anymore — it’s a valuation risk story.
Until earnings stabilize and margins recover, this stock looks massively overpriced.
TESLA IS ENTERING A CRITICAL ZONETesla currently remains in an uptrend while moving inside the existing ascending channel. The most recent reaction came from the trendline, but an important structure has formed above: a clear double top pattern . After the pattern completed, price declined and is now retesting the neckline, which has already acted as resistance. The 50 EMA is also positioned at this same level, adding confluence.
According to the mechanics of the double top, the expected downward projection is typically equal to the distance between the top of the pattern and the neckline. That measured move aligns almost perfectly with the lower support zone and the 200 EMA , forming a strong confluence area.
Additionally, there is an imbalance inside that lower region, which commonly pulls price back to fill it. RSI has formed a downtrend and is moving toward the 30 level, which supports the likelihood of a continued decline.
If price breaks above both the RSI downtrend and the neckline, the move back upward along the channel becomes possible. However, the bearish confirmations remain strong unless a significant positive catalyst invalidates the setup.
TSLA Losing Momentum – Uptrend Breakdown RiskLooking at the current picture, both news flow and technical signals show that Tesla is entering a challenging phase. A series of recent negative developments — from large funds selling off, to declining sales in China, and Elon Musk potentially taking a loss on his latest share purchases — have clearly shaken market confidence. As a result, TSLA has been under continuous selling pressure, and its price action has weakened significantly compared to the previous bullish period.
On the chart, the resistance area around $447 continues to act as a “steel ceiling”: every touch has been firmly rejected. The recent strong bearish candle pushed TSLA back into the Ichimoku cloud, breaking the short-term upward structure. More importantly, the price is now at risk of losing the uptrend line that has held since April, indicating that medium-term bullish momentum is fading.
If TSLA fails to reclaim the $430–$447 zone in the next recovery attempts, a drop toward $329 becomes a very realistic scenario — this level has been a major support in the past and aligns with the lower boundary of the primary trend channel.
Tesla - Withstanding all weakness!🏹Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since Tesla was listed on the Nasdaq back in 2013, we witnessed a lot of triangle breakouts. And starting all the way back in 2020, Tesla once again created a bullish triangle. Last month we saw the breakout and this month we have to see the confirmation
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
QuantSignals V3 TSLA Alert: Strong Bearish MomentumTSLA 1M | QuantSignals Katy | 2025-11-20
Direction: PUT (Bearish)
Confidence: 75%
Current Price: $427.76
Final Target: $411.82 (-3.73%)
30min Target: $419.17 (-2.01%)
Entry: $427.76
Take Profit: $415.01
Stop Loss: $434.18
Volatility: 24.9%
Analysis:
Katy AI predicts steady bearish movement over the month.
Momentum favors downside, with 1M horizon showing consistent decline.
Strong confidence (75%) and moderate volatility suggest high-probability put setup.
Trade Setup & Edge:
Entry aligns with current price at resistance level.
Tight stop limits risk while capturing projected downside.
Short-term 30-min target gives early exit option if quick profit is desired.
⚠️ Risk Warning: Moderate volatility; adjust position size accordingly.
TSLA at a Critical Pivot! TSLA at a Critical Pivot! Bounce Coming or Fake Pump Before a Bigger Drop? 🚀⚠️
Alright, TSLA traders… this one is getting interesting.
Based on the weekly, daily, hourly structure AND the GEX map you provided, TSLA is sitting right at a decision zone where institutions will either:
✅ push it toward $435–$450
or
❌ dump it back into the $390–$380 liquidity pocket
Let’s break it down clean and human — like we always do.
🟦 Weekly Timeframe (Big Picture)
TSLA finally broke out of the long consolidation and now pulling back into previous structure.
Key observations:
* Weekly candle rejecting near $475–$500 supply
* Price holding above key weekly support around $410–$417
* Rising trendline still intact
* No major breakdown yet
If the weekly holds above $410, the trend continues bullish.
If it loses $410, weekly structure turns bearish quickly.
🟩 Daily Timeframe
This is where it gets tricky.
Daily chart shows:
* CHoCH + BOS signals around $420
* Strong rejection at daily supply $470–$500
* Retest of demand zone $390–$405
* Price currently hovering in the middle
This daily structure tells me:
TSLA bounced, but it's not out of trouble yet.
We need a clean daily close above $425–$430 to unlock the upside again.
If daily closes below $410, sellers will take control fast.
🟨 1H Timeframe (Trader Zone)
On the 1H:
* Multiple CHoCH/BOS flips
* Price stuck in a range $410–$428
* Weak momentum on the latest bounce
* Overhead supply sitting right above current price
This looks like:
📌 accumulation OR distribution
1H will decide the next move:
✅ Break & hold above $428 = continuation toward $435–$450
❌ Reject $428 and break $410 = drop into $395–$385
🔥 GEX Outlook (Institutional Positioning)
Your GEX chart is very clear:
📈 CALL Walls:
* $428 / $435 / $450 cluster
* Highest positive NET GEX at $410–$420
📉 PUT Walls:
* $390
* $385
* $380 major support
Institutions are:
✅ defending $410–$420
✅ hedged heavily around $435
❌ willing to let price fall toward $390 if $410 fails
This aligns PERFECTLY with the price structure.
🧭 My Thoughts
TSLA looks stronger than NVDA and SPY in the short-term.
This bounce is not random — GEX shows real defense at $410 and buyers stepped in.
However…
If TSLA fails to break above $428 convincingly, this bounce becomes a trap, and that drop toward $390–$385 becomes very likely.
🎯 Trade Levels to Watch
Bullish Scenario
* Entry: above $428
* Target: $435 → $450
* Stop: below $417
Bearish Scenario
* Entry: below $410
* Target: $395 → $385
* Stop: above $423
🚀 Option Thoughts
If trading options:
Calls only make sense above $428
Puts become high conviction below $410
Inside that range = chop risk
✅ Conclusion
TSLA is sitting at the most important zone of the week.
If $428 breaks cleanly → continuation to $450
If $410 breaks → fast flush to $390–$385 liquidity
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TSLA Momentum Play: QuantSignals V3 Sees Strong UpsideTSLA | QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction (2025-11-21)
Current Price: $385.51
Predicted Close: $396.06 (+2.74%)
30-min Target: $393.15 (+1.98%)
Trend: Bullish
Confidence: 75%
Volatility: 27.4%
Trade Signal
Direction: CALL
Entry: $385.51
Target: $393.95
Stop Loss: $379.73
Expected Move: +2.74%
Summary: 1 trade signal generated from 1 successful analysis.
Midterm Stock Forecast for TeslaNASDAQ:TSLA at $391 shows weakening technical structure, suggesting a continuation toward $340. H1 trendlines indicate fading bullish pressure. Fundamentals remain mixed: energy storage grows, but auto margins face pressure and competition intensifies. The $340 zone is a key demand area for potential midterm stabilization.
Nasdaq 100, Tesla and Apple OutlookWall Street is on the verge of closing lower for a third week for the first time in eight months. I explain why I think there could be further losses ahead, why Tesla (TSLA) is a preferred short setup and why to keep an eye on Apple (AAPL).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
Tesla Reversal Signal Triggered at the 200 SMA!TSLA 🚗 Bullish Pullback Playbook — Smart Layered Entry Setup!
📈 Asset:
TSLA — Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ)
Swing Trade Playbook | Trend-Continuation Setup
🧠 Market Thesis
TSLA shows a bullish pullback into the 200-Day Simple Moving Average, a level historically respected by trend-followers. The latest Heikin-Ashi Doji Reversal signals buyers regaining momentum ⚡ — suggesting the pullback is stabilizing and demand is stepping back in.
This combination of trend support + reversal confirmation forms the core of this structured swing setup.
🎯 Plan Overview
A clean bullish continuation strategy using a refined layered entry method (professionally framed as “scaled limit entries”). This maintains your signature thief-style energy, but aligned with TradingView rules and presentation standards. 😎
🟢 Entry Plan (Layered / Scaled Limit Orders)
Using a scaling approach allows better average pricing during volatility.
Proposed buy-limit layers:
Buy Limit 1 → $420.00
Buy Limit 2 → $410.00
Buy Limit 3 → $400.00
👉 Traders may increase or reduce the number of layers based on risk tolerance and personal strategy.
🔻 Stop-Loss (Risk Control)
A defensive stop-loss is placed near $380.00, below recent liquidity pockets and under the 200 SMA structure.
⚠️ This level is optional — traders should select their own SL based on personal risk management.
🎯 Take-Profit Zone
Target area sits around $470.00, where:
Major historical resistance awaits
Overbought conditions often develop
High-volume sellers tend to re-enter
This zone is treated as a profit-taking escape point, but traders can exit based on their own judgment.
📡 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Insight)
Keeping the global view helps improve trade confidence:
NASDAQ:QQQ — High correlation with mega-cap tech, TSLA often follows Nasdaq momentum.
NASDAQ:NDX — Strong tech index correlation; strength supports TSLA continuation.
SP:SPX — Broad-market risk sentiment gauge.
NASDAQ:NVDA / NASDAQ:AMD — Momentum flow in growth-tech impacts liquidity rotation into TSLA.
AMEX:XLY — Consumer Discretionary ETF (TSLA is a major component).
Key takeaway:
Strong tech-sector momentum + risk-on environment = enhanced TSLA bullish continuation probability 📊⚡
🧰 Notes for the Community
Dear Traders (Thief OG-style Family 😄) —
SL/TP levels shared here are only examples for educational purposes. You’re always free to manage your own positions using your own risk preferences. Trade smart, trade safe, trade stylish. 💼✨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
This is a thief-style trading strategy presentation strictly for fun and educational purposes. Not financial advice.
#TSLA #Tesla #SwingTrade #BullishSetup #LayeredEntries #HeikinAshi #200SMA #NASDAQ #MomentumTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #RiskManagement #TraderLifestyle #StockMarket
QuantSignals V3 | TSLA High-Probability Weekly PUT TradeTSLA QuantSignals V3 – Weekly PUT Trade (2025-11-19)
Trade Signal:
Direction: BUY PUTS (Short)
Strike Price: $402.50
Entry Range: $8.35–$8.45 (mid $8.40)
Target 1: $12.60 (50% gain)
Target 2: $16.80 (100% gain)
Stop Loss: $5.88 (30% risk)
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (2 days)
Position Size: 3% of portfolio
Confidence: 65% (Medium)
Market Analysis:
Trend: NEUTRAL overall, short-term bearish bias (-0.67% predicted decline)
Price Action: Current $401.88, trading below VWAP $406.38
Technicals: EMA bearish, weekly momentum neutral (-0.61%), key support $380.97, resistance $432.75
Options Flow: Put/Call Ratio 1.39, institutional put-heavy positioning
Volatility: Rising VIX (19.83 vs 18.44 avg) indicates increasing market nervousness
News Sentiment: Mixed; positive news not lifting price, sector skepticism present
Competitive Edge:
Katy AI downside prediction combined with strong bearish options flow and technical weakness
$402.50 strike balances risk/reward near-the-money
Mid-week entry captures potential late-week volatility
Tight stop loss mitigates gamma risk
Risk Notes:
2-day expiry creates high gamma and time decay risk
Rising VIX may increase premiums but also volatility
Moderate conviction requires careful position sizing
Monitor actively through expiration
Tesla (TSLA) – Technical Analysis OverviewHello friends, I haven't shared an analysis for a long time. I'm back in the market. Don't forget to follow me for my regular analysis.
The chart shows that Tesla continues to hold its medium-term upward trend. The price recently tested the 408–410 support zone, which aligns with the rising trend line, and has reacted from that level. This area is technically significant, as it coincides with both trend support and a region where short-term liquidity has accumulated.
On the upside, the first notable resistance appears around 462–465. The projected ~13% potential move on the chart also points toward this region, suggesting that a rebound toward this level is plausible as long as the trend support remains intact.
Looking at the indicators:
RSI is currently within the 41–48 range, not in oversold territory but reflecting weakened momentum. This supports the idea that price is stabilising near a meaningful support area.
MACD remains in negative territory, indicating that bullish momentum has not fully recovered yet. A clearer shift toward the zero line would help confirm any sustained upward move.
In summary:
* The 408–410 zone is acting as a solid support.
* The broader trend structure remains intact and upward.
* 462–465 is the first major target area.
* However, momentum indicators are still soft, so confirmation through stronger candles would be constructive.
Volatility may remain elevated in the short term, but as long as the price stays above trend support, upward attempts appear more likely.
Disclaimer: This is a technical assessment only and does not constitute investment advice.*
TESLA: Long Signal Explained
TESLA
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy TESLA
Entry - 391.16
Stop - 384.56
Take - 403.96
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TESLA Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The market is trading on 391.16 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 403.74
Recommended Stop Loss - 384.61
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK






















