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1TSLA trade ideas

LONG | TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA TSLA is pressing against a key confluence zone $352–$356 (TP1), aligning with daily and weekly resistance. A confirmed breakout could open the path toward $367 (TP2) and $404 (TP3) in the medium term. Supports: $326 / $318 – must hold to maintain bullish momentum. Bias: Bullish if above $326; consolidation or pullback likely if rejected at $356. A monthly close above $367 would confirm a long-term cup breakout, projecting toward the $500 area over the next cycles.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by shkspr
Tesla Financials: Q1 2025The market is currently staging a short-term rally - essentially a speculative mean reversion bounce as a reaction to -55% crash from all-time high. This move appears driven largely by retail traders seizing what it perceives as a rare opportunity to accumulate an oversold "large-caps". While retail participation and opportunistic capital are supporting the current bounce, this alone is insufficient to sustain a full recovery. As the price approaches higher levels, particularly near key supply zones, it will likely encounter significant resistance, resulting in reversal. Let's not forget the fact that figures in Tesla’s Q4 '24 financial report initiated bearish sentiment among institutional investors which resulted in market crash. Similarly, the upcoming Q1 earnings report presents a clear downside risk, as the significant events throughout this quarter will inevitably be reflected in the financial figures! Anticipated impact of significant developments on Tesla’s Q1 2025 Financial Statements 🛑 Revenue Decline • U.S. Market Weakness: Lower-than-anticipated vehicle sales in the U.S. directly reduce automotive revenue. • Severe European Slump: A significant 76% sales decline in Germany and weakness elsewhere in Europe will notably reduce international revenues. • Chinese Market Challenges: A substantial 49% sales drop in China will negatively affect one of Tesla’s crucial growth markets. • Cybertruck Weakness and Recalls: Reduced demand and multiple recalls of Cybertruck models further erode revenue growth. • Resale Value Decline and Trade-Ins: Increased vehicle trade-ins indicate lower demand, causing inventory buildup, discounting pressures, and further sales reductions. 🛑 Gross Margin Erosion • Price Reductions and Sales Incentives: Competitive pressures and lower demand likely forced Tesla to reduce vehicle prices and offer incentives, compressing gross margins. • Increased Competition from BYD: BYD’s advanced battery technology (providing 400 km of range in just 5 minutes of charging) pressures Tesla to increase R&D spending or cut prices further, negatively affecting margins. • Production Challenges (Supply Chain and Battery Issues): Ongoing global supply chain disruptions and difficulties scaling battery production significantly increase manufacturing costs, further squeezing gross margins. 🛑 Increased Operating Expenses • Recall Costs and Legal Expenses: Vehicle recalls, along with lawsuits related to product issues such as phantom braking, will significantly increase warranty provisions, legal fees, and related operating expenses. • Protests and Vandalism Costs: Public backlash and vandalism necessitate additional expenditures on security, facility repairs, and public relations initiatives. • Employee Turnover Costs: Departures of key personnel result in increased recruiting, training, onboarding, and severance expenses. 🛑 Net Income and EPS Impact • Analyst Earnings Downgrades: Already-reduced EPS projections by major analysts suggest Tesla will likely report earnings below expectations, reflecting revenue shortfalls and elevated expenses. • $1.4 Billion Financial Discrepancy: If confirmed or unresolved, this discrepancy could lead to substantial asset impairments, restatements, or write-downs, negatively impacting net income and earnings per share (EPS). 🛑 Cash Flow and Liquidity Pressures • Lower Operating Cash Flows: Reduced revenue coupled with rising operating costs (including recalls, lawsuits, security, and PR spending) severely diminish cash generated from business operations. • Increased Capital Expenditures: Additional CapEx is likely required to address battery production bottlenecks and delays in autonomous driving technology development, resulting in elevated investing cash outflows. • Investor Divestment and Stock Volatility: Negative investor sentiment could lead to costly equity financing conditions if Tesla needs to raise capital, adversely affecting financing cash flows and liquidity. 🛑 Balance Sheet Risks • Rising Inventory Levels: Weak sales combined with continued vehicle production may lead to increased inventory levels, reducing cash and potentially requiring markdowns or provisions. • Debt and Liquidity Challenges: Deteriorating credit metrics or covenant breaches could make refinancing existing debt more expensive or complicated, negatively impacting Tesla’s financial stability.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
7
Tesla Near Term SpeculationBuilding on the flag formation from the past 3 years, its possible an rising wedge could form. Very early days and highly speculative, but if price plays out somewhat like my chart, an ascending wedge could form. Indicating that Tesla may have hit a near/mid term high and can't won't break through for a few years, with several implied price crashes going into 2026 and 2027. Economic conditions and the apparent slow down in sales, would also support the technical analysis with macro fundamentals. Very curious to see how things play out, again, highly speculative, just wanted to post to remind myself to keep and eye on this. The potential volatility is presenting interesting trades ahead.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by sin3rgy
Tesla Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025- Tesla broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 414.50 Tesla recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the resistance level 360.00 (which has been reversing the price from February), resistance trendline of the daily up channel from July and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from June. Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 414.50 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FxProGlobal
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Tesla would do that"?I wrote this on my July 29th chart description (below): "Price action really has less to do with the news making Elon a hero, then a villain and then back and forth...but moreso to do with price action patterns that just keep repeating". Since then, the pattern has played out exactly as anticipated, and my 1st take profit target just hit (+22%). July 29th chart: Now the question remains, will Telsa hit my next target range (T2). Although it is a much larger range than my T1, I will monitor price action closely and use TA to get out near the top before the next major retracement. Let me know if you're into Tesla and if you are interested in me charting the top of this run. May the trends be with you.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
2
Tesla Breakout? For the majority of the calendar year TESLA has been in a range between $220 - $365 with a clear midpoint of $295. From March to the beginning of May TESLA bounced between range low and the midpoint until finally breaking through into the upper half of the range where it has stayed ever since. However, there is a clear diagonal resistance level that is preventing higher highs. So will TESLA breakout, or will it lose the midpoint? Structurally it is clear that the bulls have a set level they are happy to buy at (Midpoint) but the bears are getting more aggressive with their selling, hence the lower highs. This compression inevitably leads to an impulse move but the direction is not so clear. Bullish scenario: A clean breakout with volume that makes a new higher high, signaling a shift in structure. A pullback and retest of the breakout would be an ideal opportunity to go long and aim for that range high before expecting resistance. Bearish scenario: The lower highs keep printing until the midpoint is lost and price accepts below it, that would then signify to me the new trading range is between Range Low and Midpoint. The fakeout scenario is a risk but with price so close to the midpoint already it follows the same invalidation criteria as the bullish scenario, the midpoint is vital to both sides.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ProR35
Follow-through buying on TSLA?Following a one-sided 6.0% gain in Tesla’s share price on Thursday, this helped lift the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh records. As shown in the chart below, the TSLA Stock rallied through a 6M resistance level of US$360.03 to a high of US$368.99, levels which have not been seen since earlier this year. Further buying could now be seen for the Stock towards the resistance between US$389.72 and US$383.09. However, before reaching said area, a pullback may occur, retesting US$360.03 as support, with a dip into 1M support from US$343.88 possible. Written by the FP Markets Research Team
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FPMarkets
Possible retrace before upside moveThe initial upward move from 214 is corrective in nature. Since the current correction to 273 doesn't seem to be proper ABC correction, I am expecting further C wave correction to the Green box. Breaking the Red Box and the trendline with a retest will invalidate further downward correction. Based on the Major Indexes structure, I am not expecting Tesla to retrace below 213 as depicted by red line . Note **Disclaimer** : All details shared here is for educational purpose only. Please do your own research and consider appropriate risk management before making short term or long-term investment decisions. Approach Market always with probabilities and make sure risk management in place. Request your support by like, comment and follow
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Deep_Man
3
TSLA Support & Resistance Lines for September Month 2025TSLA’s September map uses the same monthly bands. Expect faster moves and occasional overshoots; size accordingly. 30-minute for 2–3-day swings Longs Rejection at lower band: Buy back toward half-step; add on clean midline reclaim. Acceptance + retest: Hold above a line and retest from the top → ride to next line. Shorts (when price trades above lines) Volatility fade: TSLA often overshoots the upper band. If a 30-min prints a wicky close back inside, short the fade. - Targets: Nearest half-step, then midline. - Stop: Above the overshoot high (give TSLA a bit of air). UTAD-style failure: If TSLA holds above a band briefly but fails the retest (can’t sustain closes above, sellers reclaim), short on the first failed retest. - Targets: Half-step → next line down. - Invalidation: Clean 30-min close back above the failed line. Management Scale at each line; go flat if a 30-min close invalidates your level. Trail quickly after TP1—TSLA snaps. 1–3 hour for weekly swings Bias Acceptance above midline → continuation to the next band. Rejection at upper band → path back to midline more likely. Shorts 1–3h exhaustion above band: Bodies compress, momentum fades, then a close back inside → short toward the half-step/midline. Break-and-fail sequence: Close above a band → lose it → retest from below fails → short continuation lower. Risk: Stop just above the lost line; tighten on first target tag.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OnePunchMan91
TSLA $375 Call –Momentum + Options Flow Edge! ⚡ **TSLA 1‑Day Earnings/Weekly Scalp!** 📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 🎯 **Strike:** \$375 CALL 💵 **Entry:** \$1.38 (Ask) 🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.69 → strict 50% 📈 **Profit Target:** \$2.07 (\~+50%) 📊 **Confidence:** 70% (Moderate Bullish) ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open 💎 **Why This Trade:** * Multi-timeframe momentum bullish (daily RSI 70.4, weekly RSI 67.8) * Institutional call flow C/P = 1.57 → strong directional skew * Low VIX (14.9) supports call buying * Balanced strike with high liquidity (OI 16,237) * Quick scalp: exit by Thursday close — avoid Friday gamma crush ⚠️ **Key Risks:** * 1 DTE → extreme gamma & theta decay * Underlying volume moderate → pullbacks possible * News can reverse the move rapidly * Use **small position sizing** (1–3% max risk) 💡 **Execution Tips:** * Use limit at ask (\$1.38) or slightly better for control * Hard stop at \$0.69 * Scale out at \$2.07 or partial at \$1.80 * Monitor intraday VWAP & price action; abort if momentum stalls 🎯 **Quick Take:** Cheap, high-conviction 1-day scalp with defined risk & asymmetric upside. Fast in, fast out, gamma-aware trade.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by quantsignals
1
Tesla Short: Stop above $368, TP at $298In this video, I re-initiated the short idea for Tesla. Reason being that I observed that around $367-ish is an important price point (although I have no idea why). Also, the move up has been more corrective in nature (since I drew ABCDE). The move also resembles a rising wedge. In any case, the most important point in this idea is the stop loss which should be set above $368. The ultimate Take Profit Target for me is $298 with a short-term target of $344. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by yuchaosng
3
TESLA Lagging BehindA compelling reason to buy Tesla stock now—despite it being beaten down—is the asymmetric risk-reward setup driven by its depressed valuation relative to long-term growth potential. Sentiment is currently low due to concerns about EV demand, competition, and Elon’s distractions, but this pessimism is largely priced in. Meanwhile, Tesla still holds massive optionality: AI-driven autonomy, energy storage, and Dojo supercomputing. If even one of these verticals scales meaningfully, current prices may prove a generational entry. At the moment, we are hitting some of my key support levels being the anchored vwap from the low , as well as the previous Value Area High range retest within the formation of this broader triangle, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside should we get a strong breakout. I will be watching for further down side as the current risk is only approx 6-7% for a potential upside of 60%-70% , a massive Risk to reward. Should this reclaim the downtrend vwap, it can be a strong sign of strength for this stock to move back to ATH's as tesla is massively lagging behind.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by afurs1
3
TESLA about to start a parabolic rally to $600.Exactly 3 months ago (June 06, see chart below) we called a bottom buy on Tesla (TSLA) right when it was trading at $284.70: The price followed this prediction precisely, got out of the Bull Flag and eyes now a new 4-month High above $368. This would be a break above the 4-month Ascending Triangle, a pattern we last saw during the stocks previous Bullish Leg in mid-end 2024. As you can see, that break-out delivered the Higher High test of Tesla's 3-year Channel Up at $488. At the same time we are about to form a 1D Golden Cross, which makes the bullish sentiment even stronger. As with our June 06, we still expect the price to reach $600 and price a new Higher High on the long-term Channel Up ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
3