Nasdaq’s Battle at the Golden Support!On the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) chart, the index has pulled back after a strong rally to around 26,000, now testing a critical support zone near 25,000–25,200. This area is technically significant because it aligns with three key factors:
1. The main ascending trendline (blue line)
2. The 50-day moving average
3. A previous horizontal support level
In the short term, if the index holds above 25,000 and forms a bullish reversal candle, it could rebound toward the next resistance around 26,200–26,500. The stop loss for this bullish scenario would be a confirmed breakdown below 24,800.
However, if the price drops below 24,800 and stays there, a deeper correction toward 23,800–24,000 becomes likely — which aligns with the lower boundary of the medium-term channel.
From a long-term perspective, as long as the index trades above its 50-day moving average (currently around 20,300), the primary trend remains bullish, with potential upside targets between 27,000 and 28,000.
In short, this current zone represents the dividing line between trend continuation and a medium-term correction for the Nasdaq 100.
Trade ideas
NDX - POTENTIAL PULLBACK IN PLAY - SHORT SHORT INTO LONGGood Morning,
Always trade with risk assessment in mind. You can lose money quickly without an exit strategy. I choose a 7% stop based on my risk.
We are looking for a .5% exhaustion gap into todays market to show initiation of the pullback.
Trade Safely
Enjoy!
US100 (NASDAQ 100) Long SetupAnalysis:
The market formed a strong bullish leg earlier and is now pulling back to retest a key support zone around 25,300. If price holds this level and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or structure break), we could see continuation to the upside.
Bias: Bullish above 25,300
Invalidation: Break below 25,145
Setup Type: Long Position
Entry: Around 25,300 (support retest)
Stop Loss: 25,145
Target: 25,720+
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Is this OTE or the beginning of a bear market?Is this OTE or the beginning of a bear market?
ICT OTE Theory defines the .62 retracement of a given range as the Optimum entry for the continuation of the bullish trend. Seeking Liquidity above the previous high.
We can compare this to the supply and demand theory using SMA 10 20 50. The moving averages indicate. Price currently sits below the value area between the 10 and 20 and has reacted off the 50.
Which put us in No mans land.
the 10 & 20 being above the 50 indicate the a bullish Bias.
If we are going bearish then we want to see the 10 & 20 below or crossing the 50 and price below the 50. This would be a strong setup and signal to go short. with price targets of 24224 & 22683.
HTF analysis : The M,W,D charts are still extremely bullish.
Current Sentiment: You tube videos and News reports are warning of a reversal and/or short term bearish move lower.
My Conclusion: WE are Bullish until proven differently. Next week will either support my conclusion or prove otherwise. So Stay flat and/or hedge your current positions to protect yourself the market response.
NASDAQ Channel Up still stands buy needs a pull-back.Nasdaq (NDX) reached the top of its 5-month Channel Up and got rejected. It completed a +9.59% rise from the last 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom (Higher Low for the pattern), similar to the previous Bullish Leg.
The maximum a Bullish Leg has increased by inside this pattern is +10.87%. As a result, either now or just above it, the pattern would require a technical pull-back. The most usual buy signal is on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the most effective when the 4H RSI breaks below its oversold (30.00) barrier.
Our next Buy Zone is within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement range.
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq Fails to Return to Record HighsOver the past six trading sessions, the Nasdaq index has begun to show a notable bearish correction of more than 2.6% in the short term, reinforcing a downward bias that remains active at this stage. So far, the selling pressure has persisted as the market grows increasingly concerned about the performance of several companies linked to artificial intelligence, which have maintained significant valuations without yet reporting profits strong enough to justify those price levels. This situation has started to raise warning signals and trigger a short-term decline in confidence, which, if sustained, could become a key driver of stronger selling pressure in Nasdaq movements over the coming sessions.
Uptrend Still Holding
Despite recent corrections, the Nasdaq index has managed to preserve a steady upward trendline since around April 14 of this year, and so far, there has not been a strong enough sell-off to cause a meaningful break of this trend in the short term. However, if the current selling pressure continues, it could increase the risk of weakening the buying trendline, which has recently entered a phase of consolidation or pause over the past few sessions.
RSI
The RSI indicator line remains oscillating close to the 50 level, suggesting a technical balance between buying and selling strength over the average impulses of the last 14 trading sessions. As long as this behavior persists, the market may enter a more pronounced phase of indecision in the short term, reflecting the absence of a clear directional bias in price movements.
MACD
The MACD indicator, meanwhile, has started to show a neutral pattern, as its histogram continues to approach the zero line. This indicates indecision in the strength of short-term moving averages and could be signaling the formation of a more significant technical neutrality, where the market seeks an equilibrium point before defining a new directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
26,000 points – Main resistance: Corresponds to the recent record highs and stands as the most important bullish barrier to watch. Movements that manage to hold above this level could confirm a stronger buying bias, potentially allowing the uptrend to continue on the chart.
25,115 points – Near support: This zone coincides with the most recent price retracements and could act as a technical barrier against potential short-term downward corrections.
23,800 points – Critical support: This level corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on the chart. Bearish movements that reach and break below this area could put the current trendline at risk and generate a stronger selling bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US100 is in a strong uptrend and continues to set new highsUS100 is in a strong uptrend and continues to set new highs.
An all-time high was set last week near 26256, and there is a good chance that US100 will continue to rise.
The price is rallying again and once it moves above the triangle, another uptrend could begin.
Comments from the FED that they may cut rates further in the coming months are supporting the indices by raising hopes and the upward momentum is linked to the booming economy
Key targets:
26400 and 26700
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Nasdaq long then short: Expecting one last wave upIn this analysis, I talk about the wave structure for Nasdaq and highlighted that wave 1 is currently the longest wave and that means wave 5 cannot be longer than wave 3. This gives us a maximum target of 26300 that is already hit on 30th Oct. So while I do expect another up wave for Nasdaq, this will likely be a double top with the same high as 30th Oct before we start on a longer-term move down.
Nasdaq: Sharp tech drop sets up critical support testNasdaq slid 2% yesterday in its sharpest tech-led drop since late summer—are we looking at a healthy correction, or could there be a deeper move ahead?
Caution returned to tech stocks as AI valuations and a handful of Big Tech earnings disappointed. The broader market also retreated, with traders watching for the next move from both the Fed and the earnings calendar.
Key drivers:
AI and semiconductor leaders like Nvidia, AMD, and Palantir led the selloff as investors questioned how much further the AI trade can run.
Hawkish remarks from multiple Fed officials raised doubts about any imminent rate cuts, even after the recent 25bp cut, fuelling profit-taking in volatile growth names.
Top Wall Street banks cautioned about stretched valuations, warning a 10–20% correction was possible as positioning remains crowded in mega caps.
Technically, the Nasdaq is pulling back from historic highs, testing median channel support with RSI retreating toward neutral. Key resistances are near 25500 and 25750, with support showing at 25200 and then under 25k.
Stay nimble and respect the potential range between 25450 and 25870 as pivotal for the next Nasdaq swing. Wait for strong resistance confirmation, but don’t ignore bounce risk if earnings and data surprise to the upside.
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US100 – 1H Demand Zone Bounce | Bullish Reversal SetupTechnical Outlook
Price tapped into a clean 1H demand block.
Early bullish reaction from intraday support.
Potential retracement targets: 25,800 → 26,200
Setup invalid if price closes below 25,270
💰 Trade Plan (Example)
Entry: 25,380–25,400
Stop Loss: Below 25,270
Take Profit: 26,200
🧠 Bias: Bullish (Short-term bounce expected)
🎯 Focus on confirmation candle or structure break above 25,600 for momentum continuation.
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NAS100 - Bullish Structure in Progress @ Demand AreaDear friends in trading,
🎯Bullish structure in progress...
🎯If price breach and hold above 25470 it can potentially launch a rally to 25970.
❌ It can also fail and fall back to demand area - watch 25300 (2HR candle)
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🙏🏻Thank you in advance for your continued support.
USNAS100 | Buyers Hold Control Above 25440USNAS100 | Overview
The price reached the resistance zone after stabilizing above 25440.
Currently, it appears to be retesting 25440 before attempting another push higher toward 25700 – 25820.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm further bullish momentum toward the all-time high (ATH) at 26170.
However, a move below 25440 would indicate renewed bearish pressure toward 25220, with a confirmed break below 25220 activating a broader downward trend.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25440 · 25230 · 25010
Outlook:
Bullish while above 25440, targeting 25700–25820.
Bearish scenario activates only below 25220.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Forgotten Gap
A week ago, US100 formed a gap up opening.
It looks like the index is finally ready to fill it.
A breakout of a major horizontal support is a strong bearish signal.
Expect a bearish continuation to 25420.
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Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers
Summary:
Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in.
Logic:
CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment.
But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth.
With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025.
Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations.
Scenario Outlook:
If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two.
That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names.
NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again.
Trading View:
Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally).
Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode.
Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
USNAS100 | Bearish Bias Holds Below 26,180 Ahead of Key DataUSNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Testing Pivot Zone, Awaiting Breakout 🇺🇸
The NASDAQ 100 is testing the pivot zone at 26,095–26,180, with momentum still bearish as long as it trades below this range.
🔽 Below 26,180: Bearish bias toward 25,890 → 25,700 → 25,340.
🔼 Above 26,180: Bullish reversal toward 26,500 → 26,850.
Pivot Zone: 26,095–26,180
Support: 25,890 · 25,700 · 25,350
Resistance: 26,320 · 26,500 · 26,850
USNAS100 remains bearish below 26,180, but a confirmed break above this level could signal the start of a new bullish leg.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 is expected to soon retest the horizontal supply area before continuing its bearish move toward the target zone.
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Stop Loss: 25,877$
Take Profit: 25,607$
Entry: 25,728$
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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