How to Trade NASDAQ NAS100 Retracements Into An Imbalance🚀 NASDAQ NAS100 Analysis – Watching for a Bullish Opportunity 📈
I'm currently focused on the Nasdaq NAS100. On the weekly timeframe, it remains in a strong bullish trend 💹. Recently, however, we've seen a sharp and aggressive retracement. Given that the market was overextended, this pullback is healthy and expected, as price seeks to tap liquidity pools and rebalance ⚖️.
Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, we can clearly identify a bullish imbalance 🔹. This area serves as my key point of interest for a potential move lower. The ideal scenario is for price to hold above the imbalance low and then break structure bullishly 🔼.
Key conditions for a high-probability long trade:
Price must not break below the imbalance low 🚫⬇️
Price must establish higher highs and higher lows to confirm bullish momentum 🔝
If these conditions align, I will be looking for a long entry opportunity. ⚠️ Not financial advice – this is purely market analysis for educational purposes.
Trade ideas
Weakness PersistsI'm loathe to make a prediction here since I've been wrong so many times but I feel that today might be a bull trap. I still feel strongly the NASDAQ is in a bubble and I do hold a short in SNAS.AX. I'm thinking a close today below the rising blue trend line implies the breakdown is still in effect.
NASDAQ POTENTIAL LONG 2 NOV 2025SWING TRADE
4H structure remains BULLISH
Waiting for the swing PB to look for longs at marked potential entry areas if 15m structure shifts BULLISH in either of these zones.
15m structure is currently BEARISH and will wait for MSS before looking for longs.
I am not interested in shorting the PB but instead going with the trend.
Currently up +-2000 points on NSDQ for SEP and OCT.
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Insta garethxsavage
NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single day’s selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction.
Market Dynamics
The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations.
Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum — even positive earnings guidance wasn’t enough to support prices.
Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%.
The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration.
Macro & Other Drivers
The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%.
Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10–30bn/week).
Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone.
Political Context
Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York’s first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact.
Takeaway for Nasdaq 100
The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally.
Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens.
Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today — all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ BullishThe NASDAQ is currently reacting at a key daily market structure level.
Heading into the New York session, I’m anticipating a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity levels before price shifts upward, possibly targeting new all-time highs
#NASDAQ #US100 #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
NAS100 | Bearish Momentum Extends The Nasdaq 100 fell about 2.1% (~500 points) as projected, maintaining a bearish outlook while technology stocks continued to weigh on market sentiment.
Below 25,700: Bearish continuation towards 25,340 → 25,230 → 25,000.
Above 25,700: Short-term recovery towards 25,820 → 26,170.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Early November Movements Raise ConcernsNasdaq 100 Analysis: Early November Movements Raise Concerns
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index gained around 6% in October, supported by several key factors:
→ The meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, which helped ease tensions in trade relations between the world’s two largest economies.
→ A 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
→ Positive earnings from major tech companies, including a strong report from Alphabet (GOOGL).
However, the market’s behaviour in early November is cause for concern — on the morning of 4 November, the stock index fell to its lowest level in a week. Bearish sentiment is being fuelled by:
→ uncertainty over the timing of the end of the government shutdown;
→ a weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI report, which may reflect the impact of Trump’s tariffs on US industry.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 30 October, we:
→ confirmed the relevance of the upward channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary was showing signs of resistance;
→ drew a steeper trajectory consisting of three orange lines;
→ suggested a profit-taking scenario, in which bears would attempt to push the Nasdaq 100 index down towards the median line of the blue channel.
This scenario has since materialised, as:
→ the median line has repeatedly acted as support (highlighted in blue);
→ the breakout level of the orange lines at 26,120 has turned into a resistance zone.
At present, the Nasdaq 100 index is trading in the lower half of the channel, indicating that the bullish momentum from late October has faded. Bulls might find support near the gap area, reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰
📊 Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
🔍 Technical Foundation
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
🎯 Layer 1: 24,800
🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
🎯 Layer 3: 25,200
🎯 Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
🛡️ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
🎯 Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
⚡ Key Technical Points
✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
🎭 The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
📢 Community Support
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
NasdaqNasdaq is showing a correction pattern after a previous upward movement. The price closed below the old support zone and was rejected, confirming a resistance zone at 25,923.4.
The loss of this support reinforces the continuation of the corrective movement, with a projected drop towards the next support zone at 25,569.8, a point where there is convergence with the previous low and a potential area for absorbing buy orders.
US100 (NAS100) The Tech Sector's Next Breakout📊 Technical Context: The Range-Bound Reality
The 4-hour chart reveals that the NAS100 is currently entrenched in a narrow consolidation channel, forming a high-probability decision zone. The recent price action has tested a pivotal support region following a downward correction from the peak.
Key Structural Levels (Based on 4H Chart):
• Current Pivot: The index is trading near 25,866.9, which sits just above the primary consolidation floor.
• Immediate Resistance (Ceiling): The first significant barrier is the zone around 26,167.3.
• A definitive 4H candle close above this level would signal a short-term bullish breakout.
• Critical Support (Floor): The key technical floor is the consolidation range low near 25,560.0. This level must hold to maintain the current neutral to bullish structural bias.
Upside Targets:
• A break above 26,167.3 unlocks the path to the first swing high target at 26,566.8 (a +278.0 point move from the ceiling).
• The major continuation target sits at the recent swing high of 27,004.0 (a total upside potential of approximately +719.6 points).
Downside Targets:
• A decisive 4H candle close below 25,560.0 would invalidate the immediate range.
• The next major support and downside target is exposed at 25,217.4 (a downside target of approximately -519.2 points).
Technical Verdict: The market is poised for a volatility expansion move once a clear breakout occurs from the 25,560.0 - 26,167.3 range. The longer the consolidation persists, the more forceful the eventual move is likely to be.
📰 Fundamental Headwinds & Tailwinds
To achieve an Editor's Pick, this technical setup must be grounded in the macroeconomic forces driving the technology sector (NASDAQ's primary composition).
The Fed & Interest Rates (High Volatility Risk):
• The price action is highly sensitive to signals regarding interest rate cuts.
• Hawkish Commentary (Headwind): Any shift to a tighter monetary stance by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could quickly lead to a break of the 25,560.0 support, as higher rates reduce the present value of future earnings for growth stocks.
• Dovish Commentary (Tailwind): Signals indicating a pause or potential for future cuts will act as a strong fundamental catalyst, likely fueling a breakout toward 27,004.0.
Corporate Earnings and GDP Data (Directional Catalysts):
• Positive Earnings: Strong quarterly reports from the 'Magnificent Seven' (the largest NASDAQ components) are essential. Positive surprises can provide the fundamental fuel needed for a break above 26,167.3.
• Inflation/Employment Data: Upcoming releases of major economic indicators (such as the Consumer Price Index or Non Farm Payroll) will dictate market sentiment. Reports suggesting persistent inflation are a risk factor, while softening data supports a relief rally.
💡 Potential Trading Strategy
Traders should adopt a reactive, breakout-based strategy rather than anticipating the direction within the current range.
1. Bullish Breakout (Long Setup):
• Entry Confirmation: Wait for a clean 4H close above the resistance zone of 26,167.3 on increased volume, ideally coinciding with a positive fundamental catalyst.
• Initial Target: 26,566.8.
• Secondary Target: 27,004.0.
• Risk Management: Place a stop loss just below the consolidation ceiling (e.g., 26,000.0).
2. Bearish Breakout (Short Setup):
• Entry Confirmation: Wait for a decisive 4H close below the critical support of 25,560.0, triggered by adverse fundamental news or technical momentum.
• Initial Target: 25,217.4.
• Risk Management: Place a stop loss just above the broken support (e.g., 25,750.0).
FINAL SUMMARY
The NAS100 is presenting a high conviction "wait and confirm" setup. The technical structure provides clear boundaries, while the fundamental landscape (Fed policy and earnings) is poised to deliver the catalyst. Do not trade the range; trade the break.
DECODED RESISTANCE ANALYSIS NDX (NASDAQ)DECODED RESISTANCE ANALYSIS NDX (NASDAQ)
After testing the support at $14,717 in Q4 2026 (as mentioned yesterday in my post), the stock market will rise to reach a new high over the next four years, with the DECODED resistance at $57,660, marking the end of the first Grand cycle.
Once the first Grand cycle ends, a huge correction will occur. The market will turn bearish and decline over the next 19 years, forming lower highs. During this period, the market will drop to the support level $16,229.
The second Grand pattern will form around 2050/2051.
I see what others call impossible, every support and resistance I draw is already written. I do not predict, I decode, even in uncharted areas.
This message is for educational purposes only. Always DYOR.
NAS100US100 4H CHARTUS100 4H — Price reacting near 0.382 Fib (25,484) after impulsive move. Current zone may act as inducement for deeper liquidity sweep into 0.5/0.618 (25,394–25,304). Watching for displacement and BOS above 25,741 to confirm bullish intent. If price sweeps 0.618 and leaves bullish PA, that’s my POI for long setups.
$QQQ: Doubtful Low The QQQ is currently showing a lower high and a lower low, indicating a likely corrective Zig Zag pattern, with wave C only slightly longer than wave A. The 1x1 Extension is positioned at 586. Last Friday's promising bounce was halted at the horizontal resistance level of 613.
The RSI has reached the same area where previous bounces occurred during the rally from the April low. The bulls need to demonstrate that last Friday's low can serve as a springboard for a recovery.






















