Trade ideas
NASDAQ Excellent rebound on the 1D MA50. Bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and last Friday made another 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern, and rebounded.
This has market the last two bottoms of the Channel Up and kickstarted the Bullish Legs, which have both been at +9.59%. As you realize, this it technically the pattern's strongest Support and most optimal buy entry for the medium-term.
We expect at least another +9.59% rally on the emerging Bullish Leg, targeting 26950.
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Nasdaq Diverges From Dow Gains — Will It Follow?From a daily perspective, the Nasdaq is testing the upper bound of a parallel channel that has been respected since the August 2025. Price action previously broke to the mid-zone of the duplicated channel near 26,300, declined to the lower border of the original pattern near 24,650, and has since rebounded toward the upper edge around 25,700.
The scenarios from here are as follows:
• Bullish case: A confirmed hold above 25,700 could redirect gains toward 26,300, after which another bullish projection targets the upper boundary of the duplicated channel near 26,800–27,000.
• Bearish case: A drop back below 25,200 could pull prices toward 24,650, with further downside potential extending below the August–November support zone toward 23,900, 23,500, and, in extreme cases, 22,700.
As the longest U.S. government shutdown in history comes to an end, the Dow has extended its gains toward new records near 48,500, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 remain in a neutral hold, raising questions about the sustainability of further highs in 2025.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers
Summary:
Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in.
Logic:
CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment.
But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth.
With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025.
Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations.
Scenario Outlook:
If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two.
That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names.
NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again.
Trading View:
Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally).
Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode.
Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
US100: Bullish Divergence Meets Institutional SupportUS100 1H Analysis – Bullish Divergence at Strong Support
Price is compressing within a descending channel, currently testing a multi-touch support zone around 24,730–24,490. Volume shows signs of accumulation, and RSI reveals bullish divergence, hinting at potential reversal. If support holds, a bounce toward 25,900–26,250 is likely. Breakdown below 24,490 invalidates the setup.
Follow @GoldenZoneFX for more content and valuable insights.
US100 Reversal Map – Hull MA + Heikin Ashi Confirmation🧠 US100 / NASDAQ100 Profit Pathway Setup — The Thief’s Bullish Escape Plan! 💰🚀
📊 Market Bias: Bullish (Day Trade Setup)
The Thief Trader has spotted a golden pathway in the NASDAQ100 (US100)!
Here’s the breakdown of the plan — straight from the thief’s vault 🕵️♂️📈
🎯 Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish continuation confirmed
Technical Confirmation:
✅ Double Pullback on Hull Moving Average
✅ Retest Zone successfully defended
✅ Heikin Ashi Bullish Doji signaled a trend reversal confirmation
💡 Momentum is shifting upward — the trend has officially changed!
💎 Entry Strategy (Layered Thief Style)
The Thief Strategy applies a layered entry method — multiple buy limits to average into strength.
📥 Buy Limit Layers:
25,300
25,400
25,500
25,600
(Traders can adjust or add more layers based on risk appetite and confirmation zones.)
🛡️ Stop-Loss Setup
This is the Thief SL @ 25,100
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending my SL as your SL — always customize risk and secure your own bag. Manage your position with discipline and independence! 💼
🎯 Take-Profit Zone
Target: 26,200
🚨 The Police Barricade Zone acts as a strong resistance — overbought levels spotted and potential bull trap alert!
Kindly exit with profit before the officers arrive. 😎
⚠️ Note: Profit-taking is at your discretion. Book and Run!
📈 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insight)
NASDAQ:NDX / CAPITALCOM:US100 / NASDAQ:QQQ : All mirror NASDAQ movement.
SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY : Often correlate with NASDAQ’s momentum (watch divergence for clues).
TVC:VIX : If volatility spikes, expect pullbacks on tech-heavy indices.
TVC:DXY : A weak dollar often fuels US100 bullish legs — keep an eye on it.
NASDAQ:AAPL / NASDAQ:MSFT / NASDAQ:NVDA : Leading drivers of NASDAQ — if they pump, the index follows. 💪
🧩 Key Insights
Hull MA alignment confirms momentum shift.
Retest + bullish Heikin Ashi Doji = market reversal confirmation.
Layered entries give flexibility in volatile intraday conditions.
Dynamic risk management is key — never marry a position.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #ThiefTrader #DayTrading #IndexTrading #HullMA #HeikinAshi #LayeredEntries #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #PriceAction #MarketReversal #TradingCommunity #BullishPlan #SmartMoneyFlow #TradeIdeas #ThiefStrategy
Nasdaq Potential for Further CorrectionThe NASDAQ index currently appears to be in a short-term correction, with the price likely to retest 25430 from 25570 before further movement.
- Above 25430–25575: Bullish continuation towards 25700 → 25820 → 25960.
- Below 25430: Bearish momentum is likely towards 25230 → 25010.
Nasdaq Battle between correction & innovationNASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) currently sits at a crucial inflection point, defined by the overwhelming dominance of the technology sector's structural growth against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic and technical vulnerability. After a historic rally driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria, the market is undergoing a necessary and sharp correction, testing key support levels established during the latest bullish surge.
The Durable Foundation: AI, Earnings, and Profitability
The core bullish case for the NDX remains robust, fundamentally driven by the "Magnificent Seven" and the pervasive, non-negotiable surge in AI infrastructure spending. Unlike the speculative rallies of previous cycles, today's leaders are characterized by deep profitability, substantial cash flow, and diverse revenue streams.
Recent corporate earnings reaffirm this strength, with the technology sector posting strong double digit growth. This profitability suggests that investment in AI is being funded through internal cash flow, making the rally more sustainable than the debt fuelled expansion seen two decades ago. The long term trajectory is further supported by an accommodative Federal Reserve pivot, which is now in rate cutting mode a supportive contrast to the tightening cycle that ended the 2000 rally. The secular trend of technological innovation is accelerating, transforming AI from a growth narrative into an essential business imperative.
Macroeconomic and Sentiment Headwinds
Despite underlying corporate strength, recent market action signals a decisive sentiment shift rooted in macro uncertainty and high valuations. The index has experienced its steepest weekly decline since March, indicating heavy profit taking and a collective "reality check" among traders.
Several factors are contributing to this sentiment reversal:
1. Concentration Risk: The sheer weight of the largest components now represents an extraordinary percentage of the overall market capitalization, making the NDX acutely sensitive to volatility in just a few key names.
2. Labor Market Cooling: Data showing a significant spike in job cuts (particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors) has unsettled investors, suggesting that economic cooling is accelerating faster than anticipated.
3. Consumer Confidence: A sharp drop in consumer sentiment reflects heightened anxiety related to economic uncertainty and political instability, which historically dampens forward looking market optimism.
4. Valuation Concerns: While not at 2000 extremes, valuations remain elevated, shifting the market’s focus entirely from multiple expansion to demanding flawless execution and continuous earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: The Critical 25,000 Support Test
From a technical perspective, the NDX has been in a clear, rising trend channel over the medium to long term, confirming a persistent buy the dip mentality. However, the recent sell off has introduced significant short term caution.
The index is currently testing a non negotiable support zone around 25,000. This level is psychologically important and corresponds to a previous major breakout point. A decisive breakdown below this support could trigger a cascading sell off as automated stop loss orders are activated, potentially paving the way toward the next major supports at 24,500 and, more critically, 23,980.
Key Technical Levels:
• Immediate Support: 25,000
• Secondary Supports: 24,500, then 23,980
• Immediate Resistance: 25,200, followed by 25,500 and 25,700
Conclusion: Navigating the Volatility
Nasdaq 100 remains an index of unparalleled innovation and long term potential, yet its short term path is fraught with risk. The outlook hinges on the NDX's ability to hold the critical 25,000 support level. A bounce from this zone would confirm the resilience of the dip buyers and maintain the medium term bullish structure. Failure to hold this level, however, would signal a deeper technical correction is underway, shifting the focus to the lower support zones as the market cleanses its excessive exuberance. Traders should remain nimble, respecting the clear shift in short term momentum while maintaining conviction in the long term, secular growth of the technology giants.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from support level 25000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 26250.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support zone between the round support level 25000.00 and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was strengthened by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from October.
Given the clear daily trend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 26250.00 (top of the previous impulse wave i).
NAS100 Intraday Technical AnalysisNAS100 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025
Nasdaq 100 at 25,454 (2:05 PM UTC+4) — multi-chart confluences signal breakout setup.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D re-accumulation; Dow Theory primary uptrend intact; Gann Square-of-9 vibration levels 25,520/25,320.
🗺️ Multi-Timeframe Breakdown:
1D: Broadening wedge; RSI 63 (mild bearish divergence); Ichimoku cloud support 25,180; bullish engulfing pattern intact.
4H: Rising wedge 25,280-25,520; Elliott Wave (3) mid-extension; anchored VWAP from Oct 29 = 25,180 (buy anchor).
1H: Cup-and-handle breakout base at 25,360; BB expanding; VWAP reclaimed post-morning dip.
30M: Symmetrical triangle; hidden bull divergence (RSI higher lows); volume contracting pre-breakout.
15M: Bull flag over 25,340; Tenkan>Kijun bullish; stochastic RSI reset—ready for push.
5M: Falling wedge retest 25,420; hammer candlestick confirms demand; watch bull trap on volume weakness.
🎯 PRIMARY LONG SETUP
Entry: 25,360-25,390 (VWAP + flag support) — wait for bullish 15M close above 25,380.
Stop Loss: 25,300 (below symmetrical triangle base).
Target 1: 25,480 (+26 pips).
Target 2: 25,540 (+86 pips).
Target 3: 25,620 (+166 pips — harmonic alt bat PRZ).
Confirmation: RSI >55, volume >20% of 20-day avg, VWAP slope upward.
⚡ MOMENTUM ADD-ON: Scale above 25,520 ONLY if RSI>65 & volume surge confirmed; trail stop to 25,460 once first target prints.
🔻 REVERSAL SHORT SETUP
Entry: 25,600-25,640 (supply zone) — trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence.
Stop Loss: 25,700 (above rising wedge).
Targets: 25,500 → 25,420 → 25,320 (Gann support).
Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection.
🚨 BREAKOUT & BREAKDOWN ALERTS:
BULL: 1H close >25,540 confirms Wave (3) extension; target 25,720; move stop to BE+20.
BEAR: 1H close <25,300 with volume expansion opens 25,180 cloud base test; watch VWAP support.
📊 INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) expanding; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope UP; EMA21>EMA50>EMA200 (bullish stack).
⚠️ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat completes 25,620; rising wedge failure <25,320 = Wyckoff UTAD signal; H&S only valid if neckline 25,260 breaks.
📈 TIMING & RISK: Gann 90° window 15:30 UTC; ATR(14)=90 pts; CPI whispers & Fed speakers elevate volatility. Risk ≤1% per setup; lock partials; avoid sub-average volume chases.
Educational purposes only. Align with your plan, manage risk, adapt to real-time action.
A Hunter Waits Patiently, Then Strikes Like a Lion - US100 - 1HMy dear friends, greetings,
My friends, I have set the buy levels for US100 at 24,872 and 24,677.
I will never enter a trade or put myself at unnecessary risk before these levels are reached.
My friends, in order to consistently win in this market and to become a successful trader, patience is essential.
If you act with patience and strategy, you will always be a winning trader, just like me.
I would also like you to know that my target is set at the 26,168 level.
My friends, every single like from you is my greatest motivation to share these analyses.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their appreciation.
With my respect and love.
NASDAQ Double Top Rejection Still At PlayI do not believe the bears are quite done yet in this market. What I am seeing currently is a bullish correction or retest of this double top rejection.
Momentum to the downside will resume soon enough. For now however, enjoy the ride to the upside - cautiously.
This is a buy to sell setup. My overall bias is bearish.






















