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NAS100: Threshold Analysis & Decision FrameworkNAS100: Threshold Analysis & Decision Framework | November 12
Reference Point: 25,625 | 08:45 UTC+4
MARKET PREMISE
The Nasdaq 100 has stabilized within a confined bandwidth, presenting traders with a defined set of bifurcated outcomes. The micro-structure reveals a market in the midst of accumulation, where directional bias remains contested between competing institutional flows.
TECHNICAL ASSESSMENT MATRIX
Primary Trend (Dow Theory Lens): Uptrend remains intact; lower-bound support at 25,500 preserves bullish structure. Failure to maintain this floor signals potential regime shift.
Pattern Development: A Symmetrical Triangle is in formation across the 1H/4H timeframes. Contraction suggests breakout imminent—directional confirmation required.
Elliott Wave Interpretation: Wave IV consolidation underway. Upon completion, Wave V upleg anticipated toward fresh resistance territories.
Harmonic Configuration: Potential bearish Bat pattern exists if price recedes; conversely, completion of bullish Crab pattern supports upside continuation above 25,750.
INDICATOR CONFLUENCE TABLE
| Indicator | Timeframe | Status | Signal |
|-----------|-----------|--------|--------|
| Ichimoku Kumo | 4H | Price-Kumo Contact | Neutral-to-Bullish |
| RSI(14) | 4H | ~50 Median | Energy Stored |
| VWAP Proximity | Intraday | At Fair Value | Equilibrium |
| EMA(50) Stack | 1H | Bullish Alignment | Support Intact |
| Bollinger Squeeze | 30M | Band Tightening | Volatility Expansion Pending |
OPERATIONAL TRADE MATRIX
Bullish Engagement (Primary):
- Activation: Hourly close above 25,700 (Triangle apex breakout)
- Entry Coordination: 25,720–25,750
- Protective Stop: 25,580
- Profit Sequencing: 25,900 (T1) → 26,150 (T2)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.4
Bearish Contingency (Secondary):
- Activation: Sustained close below 25,500 (Foundation breach)
- Entry Coordination: 25,480–25,450
- Protective Stop: 25,650
- Profit Sequencing: 25,250 (T1) → 25,000 (T2)
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1.8
GANN TEMPORAL OVERLAY
Key cyclical windows on the 4D chart suggest consolidation resolution within the 12–15 hour window. Volume profile at the 25,650 level indicates potential liquidity pool; breakouts through this zone warrant heightened position management.
TRADE DIRECTIVE: Await breakout confirmation with concurrent volume expansion. Triangle compression suggests potential catalytic move. Disciplined position-sizing essential given binary outcome structure.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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US100: Bullish Divergence Meets Institutional SupportUS100 1H Analysis – Bullish Divergence at Strong Support
Price is compressing within a descending channel, currently testing a multi-touch support zone around 24,730–24,490. Volume shows signs of accumulation, and RSI reveals bullish divergence, hinting at potential reversal. If support holds, a bounce toward 25,900–26,250 is likely. Breakdown below 24,490 invalidates the setup.
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NSDQ100 key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25180
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25500
Support Level 1: 24655
Support Level 2: 24490
Support Level 3: 24330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Potential for Further CorrectionThe NASDAQ index currently appears to be in a short-term correction, with the price likely to retest 25430 from 25570 before further movement.
- Above 25430–25575: Bullish continuation towards 25700 → 25820 → 25960.
- Below 25430: Bearish momentum is likely towards 25230 → 25010.
Wall Street Tech Rally Resumes | USNAS100 Holds Firm Above 25440USNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Bullish Bias Above 25440
The Nasdaq continues to trade with bullish momentum after stabilizing above 25440, supported by strength in tech stocks and improving market sentiment.
Above 25440: Bullish continuation toward 25700 → 25820 → 26170 (ATH).
Below 25430: Bearish correction possible toward 25230 → 25000 → 24760.
Pivot: 25440
Support: 25230 · 25000 · 24760
Resistance: 25570 · 25700 · 25820
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25440, but a confirmed 1H close below 25430 could trigger a short-term bearish correction toward 25230–25000.
USNAS1OO Appear Breakout phase, with bullish pressure building.The USNAS100 (NASDAQ 100) appears to be in a consolidation-to-breakout phase, with bullish pressure building.
U.S. stock index futures are advancing on Monday following positive developments in Washington toward ending the U.S. government shutdown the prolonged shutdown had delayed key economic data releases and increased uncertainty over growth. Renewed optimism for resolution has improved risk sentiment, prompting buying momentum in equity futures.
If price sustains above 25,000 and momentum continues, bulls could “shut down” the recent NASDAQ decline by pushing toward 25,750 – 26,005 a strong breakout with volume could trigger further upside toward 26,250–26,500, aligning with the next major resistance zone.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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US100 (NASDAQ 100) – Short TradeSetup Type: Short Position
Entry: Around 25,650 (Resistance zone)
Stop Loss: 25,787
Target: 24,850
Analysis:
Price is retesting a key resistance zone after a strong impulsive move upward. A rejection from this level could indicate the start of a short-term correction. If bearish confirmation appears (e.g., lower high formation or bearish engulfing candle), short positions could be valid toward 24,850 support.
Bias: Bearish below 25,787
Invalidation: Break and close above 25,787
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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 10 November 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from support level 25000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 26250.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support zone between the round support level 25000.00 and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support zone was strengthened by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from October.
Given the clear daily trend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 26250.00 (top of the previous impulse wave i).






















