NATURAL GAS CFD forum

yesterday

Here’s to why I love trading 🤑

yesterday

exiting shorts here for the week.
Price is currently sitting at the point of control for 4h and 1h and is inside range
1h: 3.13 support, 3.32 resistance
4h: 3.15 support, 3.33 resistance
1d: 3.15 support, 3.33 resistance

Interesting alignment of dynamic support and resistance across timeframes. With mixed bullish and bearish signals across timeframes. So I exited all my shorts and will revise from Monday on.

There's static support from a bullish orderblock (green area) at 1h 3.09-3.20. Below this we have another bullish orderblock at 4h 2.99-3.08 and another at 1d from the latest swing low at 2.75 and a historical one at 2.60.

Price got rejected by dynamic resistance at the 1w but shows less bearish sentiment for volume (KVO) and momentum (FVZO) which makes me consider that the recent swing low on the 1w might be a potential bottom near 2.75.

For the daily we have bearish divergence and rejection from the dynamic resistance, with momentum and volume declining but still bullish sentiment with price sitting near dynamic support.

At 4h momentum is oversold and volume shows declining bearish sentiment with price sitting near dynamic support.

At 1h momentum and volume show bearish sentiment and appear oversold near dynamic and historical support.

So, It's a mixed bag at this point, the only thing safe to do for me is exit shorts since it's not clear if we have downtrend or uptrend continuation.

For a short entry I'm looking at price pullback near a dynamic resistance around 3.20 and getting rejected with bearish divergence. If dynamic resistance breaks with volume that's invalid short setup and will be looking to enter long at a pullback if the broken resistance holds as support.

For a long entry I need to see the support area 3.13-3.09 holding with price above dynamic support and bullish divergence pile up. If dynamic support breaks with volume that's invalid long setup and will be looking to enter short at a pullback if the broken support holds as resistance.

Good luck everyone!

The-Thief

yesterday

🚀 XNG/USD Market Pulse Report – Sept 19, 2025
Quick Snapshot 📊
Steady amid balanced supply and cooling demand signals.
Daily Move: Down 1.11% – Minor dip after testing resistance, but holding key levels.

😊 Investor Mood Check
Overall Sentiment: Mixed but leaning optimistic 🟢
Investors are balancing steady inventories with growing export hopes. No panic, just watchful eyes on weather and global needs.

Retail Traders
Bullish: 55% 🟢
Bearish: 35% 🔴
Neutral: 10% ⚪
Optimism from LNG demand and autumn chill, but inventory builds spark caution.

Institutional Traders
Bullish: 60% 🟢
Bearish: 30% 🔴
Neutral: 10% ⚪
Strong buys on export growth; big players net short but flipping positive on macro tailwinds.

Measures the crowd's pulse: Higher bulls signal confidence in upside, while bears eye supply gluts.

😨📈 Fear & Greed Gauge
Current Level: Neutral (50/100) ⚖️
Fear Side 😰: Mild worries from robust U.S. production and flat Asian demand – keeping prices grounded.
Greed Side 😏: Building excitement around colder forecasts and record LNG shipments – fueling quiet buying.

This balanced vibe means no wild swings yet; watch for greed spikes if exports surge.

💎 Fundamental Scorecard
Score: 7/10 🟢 (Solid but not screaming buy)
Supply Side ⛽: U.S. output steady at 117 Bcf/d – ample stocks prevent squeezes.
Demand Drivers ❄️: Heating season ramps up; AI/data centers add steady pull.
Export Edge 🌍: LNG hits all-time highs, offsetting domestic softness.

Core strength from global hunger, but watch for overproduction drag.

🌍 Macro Outlook Score
Score: 8/10 🟢 (Bright horizons ahead)
Global Growth 📈: Asia's rebound and Europe's storage push lift demand.
Weather Wildcard ☀️➡️❄️: Cooler autumn trends boost U.S. heating needs.
Policy Plays 🏛️: Stable regs favor exports; no big shocks on horizon.

Big picture favors steady climbs, with winter upside potential.

🎯 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bull (Long) 🟢📈
Expect gradual upside toward $3.00+ by quarter-end, driven by exports and seasonal demand. Bears lurk on inventory reports, but momentum tilts positive – 60% confidence in longs.

Main Takeaway: Stay long-biased, but trim on spikes. Energy's steady flow keeps the bull humming. 💨

albert_krivograd

yesterday

Interesting news out of Texas: the Sandy Creek coal plant is offline until at least next summer according to ERCOT. H/T
933 megawats unaveilable untill atleast aprill 2027

lambaa02

yesterday

can we see 3.05 today..?

ShanTheMan93

yesterday

downside is very limited although there is still room could see 2.80 before turning but I wouldn’t be shorting as it’s oversold now and winter is almost near