NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR forum
๏ปฟ
TP at: 1.10763$
News volatility remains the biggest risk here, as stop hunts are common before continuation.
โ Stay disciplined, trade safe, and follow me to keep up with my latest 5RR strategies.

I think if it is to happen, it might happen by next week

Here are all my 1:5 risk-to-reward setups on AUD crosses, provided as reference trade ideas.

Price Levels ๐
Daily High: 1.1048
Daily Low: 1.1021
52-Week High: 1.1150
52-Week Low: 1.0875
Retail & Institutional Sentiment ๐ค
Retail Sentiment: 62% Bullish (Long), 38% Bearish (Short)
Institutional Sentiment: 55% Bullish (Long), 45% Bearish (Short)
Overall Mood: Moderately Bullish, driven by retail optimism
Fear & Greed Index ๐จ๐ช
Score: 68/100 (Greed Territory)
Indicates strong buying interest, but caution for overbought conditions
Fundamental Score Points ๐
AUD Fundamentals: 6.5/10
Strong Australian labor data, but softening inflation pressures
RBA likely to maintain rates, with potential cut by Q4 2025
NZD Fundamentals: 6.0/10
RBNZ expected 25 bps rate cut soon, signaling dovish stance
NZ business confidence at 11-year high, supporting NZD
Macro Score Points ๐
Score: 6.8/10
Global risk-on sentiment supports AUD due to commodity ties
NZD faces pressure from US tariff uncertainty and USD strength
AUD/NZD benefits from relative AUD resilience vs. NZD
Overall Market Outlook ๐ฏ
Score: 7.0/10 (Bullish, Long Bias)
Rationale:
Technicals show support at 1.1010, resistance at 1.1060
Layered buy entries align with bullish momentum
Risk of pullback if RBNZ cut or US tariff news escalates
Key Takeaways ๐
Bullish sentiment dominates, but greed signals caution โ ๏ธ
AUD stronger on fundamentals, NZD softer on policy outlook ๐
Long bias favored, target 1.1120, stop loss 1.0980 ๐ธ


๐ซ ban @ 1.0955