DECODED ANALYSIS OF NDX (NASDAQ) DECODED ANALYSIS OF NDX (NASDAQ)
The quarterly first grand pattern is currently in its second last stage, a dip is required, after which a significant upward move will follow.
The key decoded support level is $14,717 in Q4 2026.
Once this grand pattern completes, approx 70% correction will occur, initiating a new grand pattern.That final cycle takes decades to complete it's uptrend.
This message is for educational purposes only, always DYOR.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ100 (US100) | Accumulation Phase in the Bullish trendHey Traders,
This is a zone where the market usually changes direction a lot, so be careful.
Trend: Primary Bullish
Weekly: 🟢
Daily: 🔴
H4: ⚪️
Phase: Accumulation
Bullish: D Close > 25,611.1 | → 25,844.7 → 25,913.2
Bearish: W Close < 24,016.3
Be Patient!
Peter
nas100 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
NSDQ100 The Wek Ahead, Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25180
Resistance Level 2: 25300
Resistance Level 3: 25500
Support Level 1: 24655
Support Level 2: 24490
Support Level 3: 24330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100 8H - real correction or just another dramatic rehearsal?NAS100 held the 24850–25000 demand zone with precision, forming a classic false break followed by a sharp recovery back into the rising channel. Volume expansion on the reversal, strong lower wicks, and sustained support at the dynamic trendline all signal that the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. The path toward 26300 inside the channel stays open, and a breakout above this level unlocks the next target at 27300 - the upper boundary of the current impulse.
The NAS100 index represents the core of the US tech sector, reflecting demand for IT, cloud infrastructure, AI technologies, communication platforms, and high-growth digital companies.
Fundamentally , the backdrop on November 15 strengthens the bullish case: the market continues to price in a softer Fed stance, bond yields are easing, major tech companies are raising guidance, and demand for AI-driven solutions remains stable. With inflation trending into a manageable range and expectations for improved credit conditions rising, liquidity is rotating into high-beta assets, providing structural support and limiting corrective depth. Strong margins, solid earnings and resilient tech demand continue to anchor the broader uptrend.
As long as price holds above 24850–25000, the bullish scenario remains active. A confirmed breakout above 26300 opens the way toward 27300. Any controlled pullback into 24850–25000 remains a buy zone within the prevailing trend.
NASDAQ likes to overact, but more often than not it’s simply warming up before the next performance.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 is reacting inside the horizontal supply, where bearish orderflow continues to cap every rally attempt. With liquidity sitting below the prior swing lows, price is positioned for a corrective push lower.
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Stop Loss: 25,210
Take Profit: 24,901
Entry Level: 25,048
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US100 Price Action Outlook Weak High Target&Liquidity SweepZonesThe chart highlights a weak high above current price action, suggesting potential upside liquidity targets. Below, key downside levels at 25,067 and 24,739 mark liquidity pools and possible retracement zones if price rejects current resistance. The structure shows a recent break of structure with both bullish and bearish scenarios in play.
Price is reacting near a resistance area after a recent bounce. The weak high above suggests liquidity may be targeted before any reversal. If price rejects this zone, the next downside levels to watch are 25,067 and 24,739, where liquidity sits and buyers may step in. Structure remains mixed, with both upward liquidity grabs and potential pullbacks likely
Possible undercutIf this is an expanding ending diagonal, wave (4) can be considered complete. But according to fibs drawn from wave (1) beginning to top and wave (3) beginning to top one more undercut is possible to 0.76-0.786 and 0.86-0.886 area intersaction at VWAP from August 2 low. Shorting from here is risky, but that area may be a good spot to buy.
Nasdaq slides down as markets wobbleNasdaq is being pushed down, driven by raising concerns about valuations of AI companies despite strong earnings from NVDA and other giants. Volatility (VIX) stays near 20 but the hard landing for Nasdaq might boost it and lead to another several days of bearish rally as shown at the chart. According to statistical studies, bearish swings for Nasdaq rarely last for more than 19-20 days, so if it continues to move down, it might reverse in 5-10 days at the statistic support level, as shown at the chart.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
NASDAQ-100 (USTEC) | Elevated risks arise Sentiment:
- Extreme Fear in the market (F&G = 23)
- Investors are bearish (49% bearish vs 37% bullish)
- Volatility elevated but not extreme (VIX 20)
- Higher Put activity and an elevated put/call ratio (1.11)
- Hedge funds unwinding crowded AI longs (50% market cap concentration)
- Record institutional options activity positioning for Q4 2025-Q1 2027
- COT report: No latest data due to the US government shutdown
Interpretation:
- Put hedge elevated = cautious as institutional hedging and distributing stocks to retail
- Extreme Fear + High Bearishness = Potential buying opportunity (later stage)
- When sentiment is this negative, often near bottoms
Fundamental:
- Valuation Concerns:
- 24-25x Forward P/E - vs 20-22 for 5-year average
- 3.08-3.37x P/S ratio - 2.35-2.41 for 5-year average
- Dec Fed cut probability is declining
Technical:
- USTEC broke the ascending trendline and EMA21, indicating potential mean reversion to EMA78, which is just above the support cluster at around 24000.
- Breaking below 24000 may prompt a decline to the following support cluster at around 23000, which is a prominent zone for sentiment contrarians step into the market if market fear remains at an extreme level.
My take on this:
- The distributing process may last for a while before reaching more extreme panic sentiment, prompting consideration of a contrarian approach based on technical levels.
- Therefore, we need to watch the price action to determine the best entry setup for the Long position. Then, for now, short-term pressure is the better take.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NASDAQ NAS100 Under Pressure – Watching for a Break of StructureThe NASDAQ is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart. Sellers are gradually stepping in, and we can see US100 bearish momentum starting to take control. The market is under pressure, and price action is hinting at potential continuation to the downside.
I’ll be watching closely for a NAS100 break below the current range low — if price retests that level and fails to reclaim it, that would confirm a bearish market structure shift 🔻. Such a setup could provide a high-probability short opportunity as momentum accelerates to the downside.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — purely for educational and analytical purposes.
Smart Money Positioning on US100 – Liquidity Flow ExplainedRepeated failed highs, deep liquidity sweeps, and a tightly trapped range — the US100 is showing textbook smart money behavior.
Let’s decode how liquidity pockets, fake breakouts, and institutional accumulation are shaping the next 600+ point move.
🧭 Market Story – Where We Are Now
The US100 has been in a broad liquidity cycle after a strong rally.
Price is consolidating within a re-accumulation or distribution phase, hinting that smart money is positioning quietly before expansion.
🔹 Key Liquidity Zones
🟩 Breakout Level – 25,600
The make-or-break point.
Holding above 25,600 = bullish continuation potential.
Losing it = likely sweep back into liquidity below.
🔵 Liquidity Pocket – 26,150 → 26,350
This zone is loaded with stop liquidity.
Multiple failed breakouts = engineered liquidity traps.
A decisive breakout with volume could unleash a sharp institutional expansion toward 26,600–26,800.
🔴 Weekly Low Zone – 24,660 → 24,610
Where the market performed a major liquidity sweep before reversing.
Strong reaction = signs of accumulation.
A revisit here could form the final liquidity grab before the next rally.
🧩 Structure Breakdown
Sweep of Lows → Reaction — liquidity collected below prior swing lows.
Box Phase → Accumulation or Distribution — institutions building orders.
Trendline Rejections → Liquidity Creation — every “failed attempt” tells a story.
Compression Phase → Expansion Loading — pressure building before the breakout.
⚖️ Possible Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Breakout
Price holds above 25,600
Clean break above 26,150–26,350 liquidity pocket
Expansion move likely toward 26,600–26,800
🩸 Bearish Liquidity Trap
Rejection from 25,600 → 24,823 / 24,660 zone
Final liquidity sweep before strong reversal
Watch for aggressive bullish recovery candles
💡 Institutional Insight
Each failed breakout isn’t weakness — it’s intent.
Smart money builds liquidity where retail enters wrong.
When both sides’ liquidity is consumed, true direction begins.
👉 Liquidity is not just a zone — it’s market psychology visualized.
🧠 Educational Takeaway
The US100 demonstrates the full liquidity cycle at work:
Sweep → Trap → Accumulate → Expand.
Every fakeout clears inefficiency and builds the fuel for the next impulse.
Don’t chase — track where liquidity builds and follow the flow.
📊 Final Thoughts
The index is coiling between 25,600 and 26,350 — volatility is loading.
Above → Expansion Phase (trend continuation)
Below → Liquidity Sweep Phase (bullish trap setup)
Patience > Prediction.
Let the liquidity tell the truth — not emotions.
💬 Your Turn:
Do you expect a clean breakout or another trap before lift-off?
Share your bias below — let’s discuss how liquidity might play it out!






















