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NAS100 trade ideas

Technical Analysis for NAS100Closing Price: 23,716.40 (16th Aug 2025, 2:05 AM UTC+4) Analysis Methods: Japanese Candlesticks, Harmonic Patterns (ABCD, M/W), Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Gann Theory (Time/Square of 9/Angles), Ichimoku, RSI, Bollinger Bands, VWAP, Moving Averages (MA/EMA/SMA/WMA). 1. Long-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly) Elliott Wave: NAS100 is likely in Wave (V) of a multi-year bull cycle (Wave III peak: 24,500 in Jul 2025, Wave IV correction to 22,800). Target: 24,800–25,200 for Wave V completion (1.618 extension of Wave I). Gann Price Forecasting: Square of 9: √23,716.40 ≈ 154.00 → Key resistance at 155² = 24,025, then 156² = 24,336. Major Support: 153² = 23,409 (Gann 45° angle). Ichimoku (Weekly): Tenkan/Kijun: Bullish crossover (Tenkan: 23,200 > Kijun: 22,900). Cloud: Price above thick Senkou Span (23,000–23,300) – bullish momentum. Moving Averages: Monthly EMA(50): 22,500 (primary trend support). Swing Outlook: Bullish but extended. Final Wave V rally possible to 24,800–25,200. 2. Medium-Term Swing (4H/Daily) Harmonic Patterns: Bearish ABCD on 4H: A: 23,900 → B: 23,400 → C: 23,800 → D: 23,730–23,750 (1.272 BC extension). Bullish Bat (M Pattern) on daily: Potential reversal zone near 23,400 (0.886 XA retracement). Wyckoff Phase: Distribution signs above 23,700: Upthrust at 23,780 (15th Aug) on declining volume. Lack of demand above 23,750. Gann Theory: Time Window: Aug 19–21 (Square of 9 date cluster) for reversal risk. Price-Time Squaring: 23,716 aligns with Aug 16 – watch for consolidation. Indicators: RSI(14) + Bollinger Bands (Daily): RSI: 67 (neutral-bullish, not overbought). Price testing upper BB(20,2) at 23,750 – band expansion suggests volatility. VWAP (Daily): 23,600 (swing support). Swing Trade Setup: Short near 23,750 (ABCD target) → Target 23,400. Stop-loss: 23,850. Long near 23,400 (Bat + Gann 153² support) → Target 24,000. Stop-loss: 23,300. 3. Intraday Outlook (5M–4H) Key Levels: Resistance: 23,750 (Gann 1x1 angle), 23,800 (psychological). Support: 23,650 (VWAP), 23,600 (Kijun Sen), 23,500 (200-EMA). Indicators: Ichimoku (1H): Tenkan: 23,710, Kijun: 23,680 → Price straddling Kijun (neutral bias). Cloud: Thin bullish cloud (23,650–23,670) – intraday support. RSI + Bollinger Bands (1H): RSI(14): 60 (neutral). Price pinned to upper BB(20,2) – overextended above 23,730. VWAP + MAs: VWAP: 23,650 (intraday baseline). EMA(20): 23,700 (dynamic resistance). Candlestick Patterns: 4H Shooting Star at 23,780 (15th Aug) → Bearish reversal signal. 1H Bearish Engulfing below 23,720 – confirms short-term weakness. Gann Intraday Squaring: Time Cycles: 10:00–12:00 UTC+4 (geometric volatility window). Price Harmony: Breakdown below 23,700 targets 23,650 → 23,600. Intraday Trade Plan: Sell below 23,700 → Target 23,650 (VWAP) → 23,600 (1H cloud). Buy above 23,750 only if RSI <65 → Target 23,800. Stop-Loss: 30–40 points risk. Summary of Key Signals Time Frame Bias Entry Target Stop-Loss Intraday Bearish <23,700 23,690–23,700 23,600–23,650 23,740 Swing Bullish 23,400–23,450 24,000–24,300 23,300 Swing Bearish 23,750–23,780 23,400–23,500 23,850 Critical Events Ahead: Gann Reversal Window: Aug 19–21 (watch for tech earnings/Fed minutes). Daily Close >23,800 invalidates bearish ABCD and targets 24,025. Risk Note: NAS100 is sensitive to interest rate expectations. Tight stops advised in FOMC blackout period. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade . (world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
US100 Near End of Wave ((v)) of 3 of (5)Overall Wave Structure (2016–2025): Wave 1 (or Sub-Wave Extension, 2016–2018): From ~4,266 (Feb 2016 trough) to ~8,109 (Sep 2018 peak). This is often labelled as an impulsive advance, subdivided into five smaller waves, driven by post-financial crisis recovery and tech innovation. Wave 2 (Correction, Late 2018): A sharp 3-wave (A-B-C) zigzag down to ~6,190, retracing about 38.2% of Wave 1 (Fibonacci level). This aligns with classic Elliott rules for wave 2 corrections being deep but not exceeding the start of wave 1. Wave 3 (Extended Rally, 2019–2021): The strongest impulse, from ~6,190 to ~16,057 (Nov 2021 peak). Subdivided into five sub-waves, with extensions in sub-wave iii, reflecting the pandemic-era tech surge. Wave 4 (Major Correction, 2022): A complex 3-wave decline (A-B-C) to ~10,213 (Oct 2022 trough), retracing ~38.2%–50% of Wave 3. Sources describe it as a "setup for higher highs," not the end of the bull cycle. Wave 5 (Ongoing Advance, 2023–2025): From ~10,213 to current, but really near the peak of wave ((v)) 5(3), with prospect of a deep corrective. Character of the end of wave 5 includes a broadening market, with the main group of drivers of growth being stagnant. Wave 5 is also characterised with euphoria, sometimes things looks rossy, bright and never ending bullishness before an abrupt pivot down.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by marquiserr
NAS100 4H Channel: Bounce or Breakdown?NASDAQ100 has been trending within a clean ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. We’re now sitting at a crucial decision point — the midline and horizontal support around 23,670. This zone has historically acted as a strong S/R pivot. If price holds, we could see another bullish bounce toward 24,000+. But if it breaks and closes below, we may get a clean drop toward the bottom of the channel — with 23,200 and 22,663 as targets. Plan: • Wait for a 4H close above or below the 23,670 level • Bullish scenario: Bounce toward upper channel (~24,300) • Bearish scenario: Drop to lower channel boundary with incremental TP levels Structure: • 4H rising channel structure still intact • Price testing midline zone • Horizontal level at ~23,670 adds confluence • No confirmed break of channel yet Key Zones: • Support: 23,670 (midline + structure support) • Bullish flip zone: 23,967 • Bearish continuation zones: ‣ 23,200 ‣ 22,994 ‣ 22,663
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by AutoMarkets
US100 – Bullish Momentum Holds Strong After BreakoutHello, what are your thoughts on CAPITALCOM:US100 ? The US100 index is trading around 23,852, holding steady after a strong breakout from the previous resistance, now acting as new support at 23,685. This bullish structure is supported by the latest US economic data, which eased investor concerns — with lower inflation readings and recovering corporate earnings, boosting risk appetite. On the 4H chart, price remains above both the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating strong underlying momentum. The recent breakout was followed by a period of consolidation, showing healthy market behavior before the next upward move. As long as price stays above the trendline, buyers maintain full control. Even if a short-term pullback occurs, the support zone at 23,687 remains a solid base for buyers to re-enter near 24,200. My outlook is bullish, what do you think? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
3
NSDQ100 sideways consolidation support at 23664Yesterday’s market action flipped from Wednesday’s pattern, with US Treasury yields jumping (10yr +5.1bps) after a much hotter-than-expected July Producer Price Index. Headline PPI surged +0.9% MoM (+3.3% YoY) vs. +0.2%/+2.5% expected — the largest monthly gain since March 2022 — and core PPI rose +0.6% MoM (+2.8% YoY) vs. +0.2%/+2.5% expected. The surprise beat every Bloomberg economist’s forecast and dims the chances of a September Fed rate cut. However, PPI components tied to core PCE — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — showed only a modest uptick (+0.29% vs. +0.26%), offering some relief. Despite rate cut bets being pared back, the S&P 500 still closed slightly higher (+0.03%), logging a third straight record high. Geopolitical note: Trump and Putin are set to meet in Alaska tonight over Ukraine, with low expectations for an immediate breakthrough. Conclusion for NASDAQ-100: The hotter inflation print and higher yields introduce near-term headwinds, especially for rate-sensitive growth stocks. However, the market’s resilience yesterday suggests bullish momentum remains intact for now — but upside in the NASDAQ-100 may be capped until inflation data eases or Fed policy expectations shift dovishly again. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23965 Resistance Level 2: 24120 Resistance Level 3: 24290 Support Level 1: 23664 Support Level 2: 23533 Support Level 3: 23422 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
2
NDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positionsNDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positions. (QLD, TQQQ) While the market continues to break all-time highs, market participants remain cautious. Some are even anticipating a pullback in September, and overall, expectations for a correction are widely present. Interestingly, market participants often have a good instinct for major turning points. The issue, however, is timing—they tend to act too early. ** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology. It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
TVC:NDQLong
by TurbaRex
Up Up Up... Nothing Can Stop NAS From RisingLet's take a look at the big picture in the NASDAQ: Do you see how nicely the spring crash landed on the 50% retracement of the upward movement since fall 2022? Now that we've crossed the old ATH, the targets are clear, and they're way up in the NASDAQ. The summer correction is therefore likely to fail and probably turn into a listless sideways slide. By September at the latest, however, the NAS should pick up speed again and head for targets between 25,000 and 26,000 - at the very least. Clear skies!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ochlokrat
NAS100 – Potential Short Setup After Sharp RallyOn the 5-minute chart, NAS100 has made a strong upward move following a sharp drop earlier in the session. Price is now approaching a potential exhaustion point near 23,940–23,960. I expect a reversal from this zone, followed by a move back toward 23,725 and possibly lower. Trade Plan: Sell Entry: 23,940–23,960 zone after confirmation Stop-Loss: Above 23,960 Take-Profit: 23,725 initial target; further downside possible if momentum continues Notes: Watch for reversal candlestick patterns or break of short-term structure before entering. This setup is based on intraday momentum and may require fast execution.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by mitraism
Potential inverse head and shoulders on NASDAQ (CASH100) - 15minI’m watching the Cash100 for a potential long setup. On the 15min chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern appears to be forming — potentially a continuation pattern following this week’s strong upward move. I’m still waiting for confirmation of key variables, which will be assessed at 11:30am (GMT+1). Trade Details: 📊 Risk/Reward: 2.4 🎯 Entry: 23 845 🛑 Stop Loss: 23 825 💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 23 891 💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 23 912 #GTradingMethod Tip: Lower volume on the right shoulder vs. the left shoulder strengthens the setup. Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by GTradingMethod
3
NAS100 — Nasdaq 100 Index Holds Ascending ChannelMarket Overview: On the 1H chart, NAS100 continues to move within an ascending channel, holding support at 23,804. EMA144 (23,631) remains the key dynamic support. The upside target is the upper channel boundary near 24,170. Technical Signals & Patterns: Ascending channel; EMA144 as dynamic support; Series of higher lows; Steady hold above 23,804 level. Key Levels: Support: 23,804, 23,631 Resistance: 24,170 Scenario: Primary: holding above 23,804 could lead to growth toward 24,170. Alternative: a break below 23,804 and EMA144 may trigger a decline to 23,631.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by DENOLLAFINANCERU
USNAS100 | Holding Above ATH – Key Pivot at 23870USNAS100 at Record Highs on Fed Rate Cut Hopes Nasdaq indexes held at record highs on Wednesday, supported by growing confidence that the Federal Reserve could restart its monetary policy easing cycle next month. Technical Outlook: The price has stabilized in a bullish trend after breaking its all-time high, with a 4H candle closing above it on strong volume. As long as it trades above 23870, the bullish trend remains intact toward 24090. To turn bearish, the price would need to close at least 1H below 23870, targeting 23690. Resistance: 24090, 24190 Support: 23690, 23430
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Bullish continuation?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 23,670.91 1st Support: 23,281.34 1st Resistance: 24,400.68 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
2