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Nasdaq slides as volatility growsNasdaq was pushed down to the local support area, as the sentiment for the stock market has worsened due to a certain degree of deleveraging for stocks and investors moving to safety. VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) has climbed above 20, which pushes the market’s volatility expectations higher and may trigger nervous reactions for tech stocks. The longest duration of downswings for Nasdaq is about 15-17 days, which allows us to project the downward move to a longer time period, with a further development of the bullish pullback, as shown at the chart. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDShort
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single day’s selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction. Market Dynamics The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations. Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum — even positive earnings guidance wasn’t enough to support prices. Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%. The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration. Macro & Other Drivers The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%. Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10–30bn/week). Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone. Political Context Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York’s first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact. Takeaway for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally. Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens. Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today — all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Is this OTE or the beginning of a bear market?Is this OTE or the beginning of a bear market? ICT OTE Theory defines the .62 retracement of a given range as the Optimum entry for the continuation of the bullish trend. Seeking Liquidity above the previous high. We can compare this to the supply and demand theory using SMA 10 20 50. The moving averages indicate. Price currently sits below the value area between the 10 and 20 and has reacted off the 50. Which put us in No mans land. the 10 & 20 being above the 50 indicate the a bullish Bias. If we are going bearish then we want to see the 10 & 20 below or crossing the 50 and price below the 50. This would be a strong setup and signal to go short. with price targets of 24224 & 22683. HTF analysis : The M,W,D charts are still extremely bullish. Current Sentiment: You tube videos and News reports are warning of a reversal and/or short term bearish move lower. My Conclusion: WE are Bullish until proven differently. Next week will either support my conclusion or prove otherwise. So Stay flat and/or hedge your current positions to protect yourself the market response.
NASDAQ:NDX
by dclemens561
NASDAQ100 | Wave 4 Correction Within ChannelPrice has respected a clean ascending channel, completing a clear 1–2–3 wave sequence. We’re now seeing a corrective pullback that aligns with the wave 4 region — testing the midline support of the channel. As long as this structure holds, the broader wave (3) remains intact. Scenarios: Scenario A: If the lower channel and wave 4 region hold → potential continuation higher toward wave 5 and the upper boundary near 26,600–26,800. Scenario B: If the channel support breaks → deeper correction likely toward 25,800 before any potential resumption of trend.
IG:NASDAQ
by Alchemy Markets
USNAS100 / Fed Caution and Earnings Weigh on MomentumUSNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Futures Stall Near Highs as Fed Turns Cautious 🇺🇸 Wall Street futures held near record levels after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut, as traders weighed Powell’s cautious tone, Big Tech earnings, and a new U.S.–China trade deal. 🔽 Below 26,170: Bearish momentum toward 26,050 → 25,890 → 25,700. 🔼 Above 26,180: Trend turns bullish toward 26,500 → 26,850. Pivot: 26,170 Support: 26,050 · 25,890 · 25,700 Resistance: 26,300 · 26,500 · 26,850 USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,170, though strong tech earnings could trigger short-term upside volatility.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100 (1H) Market Outlook📈 NAS100 (1H) Market Outlook NASDAQ is approaching a major resistance zone, with price currently extending within the upper boundary of a rising channel. We may see a short-term bullish continuation into the top trendline, followed by a potential corrective drop back toward the 25,300–25,400 demand zone. 🧭 Key Levels: 🟥 Resistance Zone: 26,100 – 26,200 🟩 Support Zone: 25,300 – 25,400 ⚙️ Potential setup: Wait for rejection confirmation before short entry. 📊 Market structure remains bullish overall, but extended exhaustion near the top trendline could trigger a pullback before continuation. ✨ Precision. Patience. Profit. #NAS100 #US100 #IndexTrading #Forex #StressFreeTrading
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by StressFreeTrading9
US100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel MomUS100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel Momentum Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that the US and China will reach a deal. US President Donald Trump said that the US and China are ready to "reach" a trade deal, as he is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week in South Korea during his Asia tour. This decision gave the market a breather and increased optimism about an improvement in business sentiment. The indices came out of consolidation to create new record highs. US100 has already reached 25670 and looks set to rise further as shown in the chart with targets: 25900; 26400 and 26700 This week, the FED is also expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4% from 4.25%. These expectations should help indices to rise further US100 may test 25300 again before moving further. So, take note of this. However, so far, US100 remains strong, and this momentum could continue to grow further. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
12
NASDAQ 100 Analysis ! The current price of the NASDAQ is $26,127, and my projection points to $32,000 in the coming months, entering 2026. This analysis is based exclusively on price action, following Al Brooks' methodology, through the technical analysis developed by Josias Baltazar, one of his closest students. Use this projection as a reference for your decisions, whether in stocks or wherever you deem it appropriate. I'll leave this analysis here... and I'll return in the future to see how it played out.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by JARTRADING2
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook. Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control. Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards. Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market: 1. What is the trend? 2. Support and resistance, which is it? You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart. The Trend Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end. Support & resistance Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag. The Put / Call ratio Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal. Why 26000? The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity. Previous years: Conclusion Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation. A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different. If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000. Ww
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by without_worries
1
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by Money_Dictators
NAS100 | US100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical OutlookUS100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical Outlook 📊 Market Structure: Price has recently formed a weak high around 26,200, rejecting from a premium / supply zone, signaling potential short-term bearish pressure. The previous upward structure showed a BOS (Break of Structure) near 25,000, confirming bullish intent earlier — but now momentum is slowing as price returns below the PDH (Previous Day High). The current 4H candles show strong bearish reaction, indicating sellers defending the premium zone. 📉 Key Levels: Supply Zone (Premium Area): 26,000 – 26,200 Equilibrium Zone: Around 24,800 – 25,000 Immediate Support: 25,800 (current PD level) Weekly Pivot (PW): 25,400 (potential short-term target) 📈 EMA Confluence: Price has rejected from above the 89 EMA (blue) and is now testing below it. The 200 EMA (yellow) continues to trend upward, showing long-term bullish momentum, but the shorter EMAs suggest a short-term pullback. As long as price stays below 89 EMA, bias remains bearish to neutral in the near term. 🎯 Trade Scenarios: Scenario 1 – Short-Term Sell Setup: Entry Zone: 25,950 – 26,100 (retest of premium area or EMA rejection) Take Profit: 25,400 (PW) Stop Loss: Above 26,250 Confluence: Supply zone + weak high + bearish EMA alignment Scenario 2 – Bullish Continuation (after retracement): Wait for price to retrace to the equilibrium zone (24,800–25,000) Look for bullish reaction with confirmation from Stochastic RSI divergence Target: Return to 26,000 📊 Indicators Insight: Stochastic RSI: Currently dropping from overbought territory, indicating possible continuation of short-term downside. Momentum slowing — ideal for short retracement trades before potential reversal. Summary: US100 is rejecting from premium resistance near 26,200. Short-term bias: bearish retracement toward 25,400 or deeper 25,000 equilibrium zone. Long-term bias remains bullish, supported by 200 EMA structure — watch for confirmation before re-entry buys.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by InnovationCapital
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰 📊 Asset Overview NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup 🔍 Technical Foundation Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up. Current Market Structure: We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead. 💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏 This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry: Entry Layers (Limit Orders): 🎯 Layer 1: 24,800 🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level) 🎯 Layer 3: 25,200 🎯 Layer 4: 25,400 Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively. Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes. 🛡️ Risk Management Stop Loss Zone: 24,600 ⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk! 🎯 Profit Target Primary Target: 26,000 Why this level? Strong historical resistance zone Overbought territory on multiple timeframes Potential bull trap formation area Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels ⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷 🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar: 📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows 📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum 📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction 📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting 📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative 📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves 📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks 📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors! ⚡ Key Technical Points ✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift ✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels ✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream) ✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning ✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive ⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations. 🎭 The Thief's Final Words "In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎 This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you. Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us. 📢 Community Support ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The-Thief