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two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish. Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down. P.S. Success depends on proper risk management. #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by Wall_StreetWolf
4
US100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel MomUS100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel Momentum Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that the US and China will reach a deal. US President Donald Trump said that the US and China are ready to "reach" a trade deal, as he is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week in South Korea during his Asia tour. This decision gave the market a breather and increased optimism about an improvement in business sentiment. The indices came out of consolidation to create new record highs. US100 has already reached 25670 and looks set to rise further as shown in the chart with targets: 25900; 26400 and 26700 This week, the FED is also expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4% from 4.25%. These expectations should help indices to rise further US100 may test 25300 again before moving further. So, take note of this. However, so far, US100 remains strong, and this momentum could continue to grow further. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
12
NASDAQ 100 Analysis ! The current price of the NASDAQ is $26,127, and my projection points to $32,000 in the coming months, entering 2026. This analysis is based exclusively on price action, following Al Brooks' methodology, through the technical analysis developed by Josias Baltazar, one of his closest students. Use this projection as a reference for your decisions, whether in stocks or wherever you deem it appropriate. I'll leave this analysis here... and I'll return in the future to see how it played out.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by JARTRADING2
NAS100 Bearish Setup | Momentum Weakness Detected before FOMCNAS100 is showing early signs of a potential reversal after a strong bullish rally. Price action has formed a bearish divergence on the RSI — with price making higher highs while RSI prints lower highs — signaling fading momentum among buyers. Volume has also declined during the recent upswing, suggesting weak participation in the continuation move and potential exhaustion near the recent top. A sell setup is active with the stop loss marked in red above the previous high to protect against false breakouts, while the target zone highlighted in green aligns with the next structural support and volume-based demand area. A decisive close below near-term support would confirm bearish intent and open the path toward the target zone. Traders should monitor momentum indicators for confirmation of sustained weakness before continuation.
FX:NAS100Short
by coolbouy
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 29 October 2025 - Nasdaq-100 broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 27000.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 26000.00 and the resistance trendline of the extended daily up channel from May. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave iii of the impulse wave 5 from the start of Septembers. Given the strong daily uptrend and rising daily Momentum, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 27000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii).
FXPRO:NDAQ100Long
by FxPro
NSDQ100 bullish breakout ahead of tech earningsGlobal equities largely consolidated over the past 24 hours, but US tech stocks extended their strong run, propelling the Nasdaq 100 to another record close. The Nasdaq gained +0.80%, outpacing broader benchmarks as AI-related enthusiasm and mega-cap momentum continued to dominate trading. Market Highlights Narrow Leadership: Despite the Nasdaq’s gains, market breadth was strikingly thin. Only 104 S&P 500 constituents advanced—the fewest on any up day since at least 1990—underscoring how dependent recent rallies have become on large-cap tech strength. AI Momentum: Nvidia (+4.98%) led the charge after CEO Jensen Huang unveiled multiple new partnerships (Uber, Palantir, Crowdstrike), a $1bn investment in Nokia, and plans to connect quantum computing with Nvidia AI chips. Nokia surged nearly 21% to its highest level in a decade. Microsoft (+1.98%) jumped after revealing a 27% stake in OpenAI, alongside a massive $250bn Azure services commitment from OpenAI, lifting Microsoft’s market cap back above $4 trillion. PayPal (+3.94%) rallied after an earnings upgrade and a new partnership with OpenAI. Amazon (+1.00%) advanced despite announcing plans to cut 14,000 corporate roles to streamline operations. Magnificent 7: The group gained +1.27%, setting fresh highs, with investors rotating further into AI leaders ahead of tonight’s Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta earnings. Macro & Outlook All eyes now turn to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision later today, where a 25bps rate cut is fully priced in. Market participants will parse Chair Powell’s comments for guidance on the pace of future easing and any mention of lingering inflation or financial conditions. Volatility may rise post-Fed, with the Nasdaq 100 particularly sensitive to any shifts in rate expectations and tonight’s mega-cap tech earnings. Takeaway Momentum in the Nasdaq 100 remains intact but increasingly narrow, driven by AI exuberance and corporate partnerships rather than broad-based earnings strength. A dovish Fed and upbeat results from Microsoft, Alphabet, or Meta could reinforce upside momentum—but any disappointment may trigger a sharp reaction given stretched positioning. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100)The NASDAQ index continues its strong bullish trend, currently trading near a new all-time high around 26,140. 📉 A minor correction is expected toward the 26,000 support zone. If the price breaks and holds below this level, a further decline toward 25,800 is likely. 📈 However, if the price bounces from 26,000, the index may retest the recent high or even create a new record high. 💡 Key Trading Levels: ✅ Buy: On confirmed bounce from 26,000 or 25,800. 🔻 Sell: Below 26,000 after confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Fadi_radar
USNAS100 Extends Rally to New All-Time Highs?USNAS100 | Bullish Continuation Toward New Highs The index recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and has already stabilized above it, supporting further bullish momentum toward 25,400 → 25,550. The main driver behind the move remains strong corporate earnings. However, to confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 1H candle below 25,170, which would expose 25,100 → 25,010. A sustained break below those levels could extend the decline toward 24,850. Pivot Line: 25,230 Resistance: 25,400 – 25,550 Support: 25,100 – 25,010 – 24,860
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
2
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook. Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldn’t exit the market fast enough, some didn’t actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control. Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards. Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market: 1. What is the trend? 2. Support and resistance, which is it? You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. That’s emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart. The Trend Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end. Support & resistance Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, that’s a red flag. The Put / Call ratio Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to “short” this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal. Why 26000? The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. It’s a gift horse of an opportunity. Previous years: Conclusion Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation. A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different. If you’re betting against the trend, you’re not fighting the market, you’re fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. It’s grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000. Ww
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by without_worries
1
Bullish channel breakout on USTEC, potential for further gains? USTEC rose to fresh highs as AI demand and strong semiconductor orders bolstered investor sentiment. SK Hynix customers have secured its entire memory chip lineup for 2026, reinforcing confidence in tech earnings momentum. Attention now turns to upcoming earnings from Big Tech to gauge the sustainability of the USTEC's rally. From a technical perspective, USTEC broke out of the ascending channel's upper bound at 26000. If the index sustains its bullish momentum above the 26000 threshold, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 127.2% Fibonacci Extension and resistance at 27200. Conversely, if USTEC returns within the channel and 26000 threshold, the index may retest the support at 25200.  By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by lixing_gan
USNAS100 ForecastThe US100 chart shows strong bullish momentum, breaking above key resistance levels. Price is expected to retrace slightly toward the 25,750–25,500 support zone before resuming its upward move toward the 26,400–26,500 target area. Overall trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows formation. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Pintu_sahu01
US100 – Buyers Take Full Control as Market Breaks Out4H Technical Zone Analysis Zone 1: Monday’s All-Time High This zone marks Monday’s all-time high, where the market initially paused after a strong impulse move. The breakout above this level signals clear bullish dominance, but as price extends into record territory, this zone now serves as a potential pivot area. Should price revisit it, traders will be watching for whether former resistance can act as support — a successful retest here would confirm the breakout’s strength and validate continued upward momentum. Zone 2: Tuesday’s Demand Base This area represents the level where buyers decisively regained control during Tuesday’s session, driving a sharp rally that broke above prior highs. It reflects the origin of the latest bullish leg and highlights strong demand from institutional participants. As long as price holds above Zone 2, intraday sentiment remains bullish and pullbacks into this area are likely to attract renewed buying interest. A sustained move below, however, would suggest momentum exhaustion and open the door for a deeper retracement. Sentiment Overview The Nas100 surged yesterday, driven by a wave of optimism following encouraging headlines on both the macro and geopolitical fronts. Markets rallied after reports of a “constructive” round of US-China trade talks in Malaysia, which eased fears of renewed escalation and reignited risk appetite across global equities. At the same time, a softer-than-expected US CPI print reinforced hopes that inflation pressures are moderating, prompting renewed speculation that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more dovish tone once government operations resume. Tech and semiconductor stocks once again led the advance, supported by strong earnings and continued enthusiasm around AI and digital infrastructure. The index pushed into fresh record territory, underscoring how dominant the tech sector remains as a driver of sentiment. Heading into today’s session, the tone is cautiously constructive. The market is buoyed by improved trade relations and stable inflation expectations, yet traders are aware that valuations are stretched and macro visibility is limited due to the ongoing US government shutdown. With key data releases delayed and the index at all-time highs, volatility could spike on any unexpected headlines or shifts in tone from policymakers.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
NAS100 (1H) Market Outlook📈 NAS100 (1H) Market Outlook NASDAQ is approaching a major resistance zone, with price currently extending within the upper boundary of a rising channel. We may see a short-term bullish continuation into the top trendline, followed by a potential corrective drop back toward the 25,300–25,400 demand zone. 🧭 Key Levels: 🟥 Resistance Zone: 26,100 – 26,200 🟩 Support Zone: 25,300 – 25,400 ⚙️ Potential setup: Wait for rejection confirmation before short entry. 📊 Market structure remains bullish overall, but extended exhaustion near the top trendline could trigger a pullback before continuation. ✨ Precision. Patience. Profit. #NAS100 #US100 #IndexTrading #Forex #StressFreeTrading
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by StressFreeTrading9
NasdaqHello traders! Last Friday, we had a major selloff in the 25,000 region, which quickly sent the Nasdaq crashing by more than 4% in just a few hours. In technical analysis, 24,000 is a price that has been broken previously and is now being tested as weekly support. If we expand this movement, we project a target price of 26,000, continuing the upward movement. The technology sector remains promising with advances in artificial intelligence, and we have no news of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Happy trading!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by caueblanes