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Bullish bounce off 50% FIbonacci support?Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance. Pivot: 99.41 1st Support: 99.13 1st Resistance: 100.29 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
NOV.9,2025 ANALYSIS ON DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION trading Below 55 EMA on 4H however 4H divergence at support zone is promising for uptrend continuation. Trend is still up on the daily chart and currently getting push back from the 200SMA. There are indicators supporting uptrend continuation such as the MACD histogram still up on weekly chart and unconfirmed RSI Bullish divergence on the 4H timeframe. A breakdown below 99.029 could target the 98.700 level next. However if the current support holds then our next target is 100.608 for the coming week and confirmation signal is a candle open and close above the 55 EMA on the 4H timeframe. BTC BEARISH SIDEWAYS consolidating on the weekly 55 EMA support. While the weekly 55 EMA has acted as a support during previous rallies on BTC, I think this time is different until proven otherwise by the chart as there is no RSI divergence, MACD momentum signal similar to previous signals on the current weekly chart. A breakdown of the 55 EMA on the weekly chart is very likely to reach the triple tops target of $88,016. Trade cautiously until we breakout of the daily sideways channel described in the video presentation. NAS100 & SP500 BEARISH with 4H mom trending down. There is a support on the daily 55 EMA or weekly 9 EMA, but evidence supporting the bearish case is the MACD crossover and bearish histogram bars on daily charts. Weekly MACD and RSI signals serious divergences since July, 2025. My conclusion is that based on Bullish engulfing candle on 4H, I think there will be a bounce to the rise targets on the charts before dumping. GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: both consolidating in a pennant triangle on the 12H timeframe and I suggest it's best to wait for a breakout of the triangle for either a re-test of the all time highs to create a weekly divergence on the indicators or below the pennant triangle lows for the lower targets. I did also examine the US10Y Yields as it affects both the dollar index and the equites market. The US10Y Yield seem to have bottomed it's downtrend on the 4H chart and currently consolidating above the 200 EMA and 55 EMA. I will be monitoring an uptick or a breakdown from this support zone. These are my observation on the market this week and I thank you for visiting my publications. Please give the publication a boost, comment with your insights and share with a trader you care about. They will thank you when it saves them from a bad trade or a missed opportunity. Have a profitable and great trading week. Cheers .
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RICHINVESTOR
DXY is approaching a very area of value!As the US government shudtown started along with DXY's bullish trend is continuing except past weeks, needed pullback. with price formed a weekly pin par, which could bring early this week price to further down and, which may approach the most confluenced point of 99.15 which is the previous reistance turn support leading a possible buy zone for trend continuation. Aligning 3 high confluence of 1. Trend line 2. Resistance turns support and 3. weekly low upon price action rejection, and reversal confirmation to bullish it is a probability bullish market.
TVC:DXYLong
by ForexWizard01
DXY is on an upward path, albeit with some hesitation.DXY is attempting to move away from the bottom of the channel and target higher levels. If the 101.14 level is broken, we can expect the median line of the advancing channel to be reached in higher timeframes. However, it is important to note that the release of economic data has been halted due to the government shutdown, which must be taken into consideration. Additionally, the FOMC’s decision to either lower or maintain Funds Rate is another key factor influencing this situation.
TVC:DXYLong
by mhmdtrader
Higher timeframe outlook for DXY : 8 November 2025Monthly timeframe Bias : Bullish Analysis: Price has formed a low in September 2025, creating a dealing range with the dealing range high forming in January of 2025. This has set a the dollar index in a relative discount condition warranting a bullish bias. Please do note this bullish bias is mainly enforced by lower timeframes which will be addressed below. The current bullish draw on liquidity on this timeframe is the monthly bearish fair value gaps at 103.197 to 101.977. Weekly timeframe Bias : Bullish Analysis: Price has displaced above 99.563 and has closed above the high leaving a bullish weekly fair value gap. This is a key indication that price wants to tread higher and is driving the monthly narrative. It is expected that price to retrace into this bullish weekly fair value gap within the next 1-2 weeks before heading higher towards the monthly draw on liquidity. 4 hourly timeframe Bias : Initial bearish with an expectation of bullish reversal to the upside. Analysis: This week has seen the dollar index displace below 99.671, leaving a bearish 4H fair value gap. This is an indication that price is still looking to tread lower into further discount before a reversal upside. Note the 4H bearish order block aligning with the monthly opening price for November 2025. This adds confluence that price would reach for this bearish 4H order block and lower taking out the low of 99.398 heading into the bullish weekly fair value gap. As mentioned in the 4hourly bias, there is an expectation of bullish reversal. This is where the 4hour timeframe starts to align with the weekly and monthly timeframe. It is expected that this bullish reversal will occur after price heads into the bullish 4H fair value gap at 99.225. A bullish reversal would be confirmed once there is a bullish market structure shift confirmed with a bullish 4h fair value gap, a bullish 4H balanced price range, or an intermediate term low forming after price reacts off the 4H buyside imbalance sellside inefficiency. Side note s - Should this analysis not pan out the next point of interest would be the bullish rejection block and propulsion block on the 4H chart. Should these not hold, the bias may turn bearish. - This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. The financial markets carry significant financial risk. - For ease of readability, please turn off all indicators in my chart. This can be done by using the Ctrl+Alt+H function. Should you see multiple charts you can view one chart at a time by clicking on the one chart while holding down the Alt button.
TVC:DXYLong
by Th3L1qu1d1ty
dxy 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker
World Trade Impacts on Market1. Introduction: The Global Nature of Trade In today’s interconnected world, no country operates in isolation. Nations depend on each other for raw materials, technology, energy, and consumer goods. This interconnectedness, facilitated by globalization, free trade agreements, and technological advancements, has turned world trade into the backbone of global economic growth. The effects of trade ripple through various markets — financial, commodity, labor, and even digital. Trade flows determine the direction of capital, affect inflation rates, and shape investment opportunities. A disruption in one part of the world, such as a supply chain bottleneck in Asia or a political crisis in the Middle East, can influence prices and investor sentiment worldwide. 2. Trade and Economic Growth One of the most significant impacts of world trade on markets is its role in driving economic growth. Open economies that engage actively in trade tend to grow faster than closed economies. When countries export goods and services, they earn foreign exchange, which strengthens their currency reserves and supports domestic investment. Importing advanced technologies and machinery enhances productivity and competitiveness. For example, China’s rapid rise to become the world’s second-largest economy is largely due to its trade-oriented policies. Similarly, export-driven economies such as Germany, Japan, and South Korea have thrived by focusing on global markets. Growth in trade often translates to rising corporate profits, which boosts stock markets and attracts foreign investors. 3. Impact on Stock Markets Stock markets are highly sensitive to international trade trends. When global trade expands, companies involved in exports, logistics, and manufacturing often see increased revenues. Investors respond positively, pushing stock prices higher. Conversely, trade slowdowns, tariffs, or geopolitical tensions can lead to stock market volatility. For instance, during the U.S.-China trade war (2018–2019), uncertainty over tariffs led to significant declines in global equity markets. Export-heavy industries such as automobiles, semiconductors, and agriculture experienced sharp losses due to disrupted trade flows. Conversely, when trade relations improve, optimism returns to the markets, leading to rallies and renewed investor confidence. Trade also impacts sectoral performance — for example, commodity-exporting companies benefit from high global demand, while domestic-focused sectors might remain unaffected. Therefore, investors closely monitor trade data, global supply chains, and export-import statistics to predict market trends. 4. Impact on Currency Markets World trade has a direct connection to foreign exchange (Forex) markets. When a country exports more than it imports, it experiences higher demand for its currency, strengthening its exchange rate. Conversely, trade deficits (more imports than exports) can weaken a currency. For example, if India exports software services worth billions of dollars, foreign clients need Indian rupees to pay for these services, leading to a stronger INR. However, if India imports large amounts of crude oil, it must pay in U.S. dollars, increasing demand for USD and weakening the rupee. Global trade imbalances also influence monetary policies. Central banks may intervene to stabilize their currencies when trade-related pressures become too strong. Thus, traders and investors watch trade balances, export data, and global demand indicators closely to anticipate currency movements. 5. Impact on Commodity Markets Commodities such as oil, gold, steel, and agricultural products are the foundation of world trade. International demand and supply determine their prices. A surge in global trade usually increases the demand for raw materials, leading to higher commodity prices. Conversely, trade disruptions or global recessions reduce demand, causing price declines. For example: Crude oil prices fluctuate based on global trade volumes, shipping activity, and industrial production. Gold prices often rise during trade conflicts or economic uncertainty, as investors seek safe-haven assets. Agricultural commodities depend heavily on trade agreements and weather patterns in major exporting nations. Hence, world trade patterns influence inflation, production costs, and ultimately, consumer prices across markets. 6. Employment and Labor Market Impacts World trade also affects job creation and wage levels. Export industries often generate large-scale employment, especially in developing countries. However, increased competition from imports can lead to job losses in domestic industries that cannot compete globally. For instance, India’s textile and IT sectors have benefited significantly from global trade, creating millions of jobs. On the other hand, industries exposed to cheaper imports (like steel or electronics) have sometimes suffered layoffs. Labor markets must therefore adapt to trade-driven structural changes by focusing on innovation, skill development, and productivity improvement. 7. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Capital Flows Trade liberalization encourages foreign direct investment (FDI). Multinational corporations (MNCs) set up production facilities in countries with strategic trade advantages — such as low labor costs, favorable tax policies, or access to key markets. FDI inflows create employment, transfer technology, and boost local markets. For example, automobile giants like Toyota and Hyundai invested in India to serve both domestic and export markets. Similarly, U.S. tech companies have established R&D centers in developing countries to leverage skilled human resources. As trade barriers fall, capital flows more freely, creating interconnected global markets that react swiftly to any trade-related news. 8. Trade Wars and Protectionism While free trade promotes growth, trade conflicts can destabilize markets. Protectionism — through tariffs, quotas, and trade barriers — distorts market efficiency and raises costs for consumers and producers alike. Trade wars, such as the one between the U.S. and China, reduce global growth prospects and shake investor confidence. Protectionist policies often lead to inflationary pressures (as imports become expensive), reduced exports, and declining business profits. Global supply chains become disrupted, affecting industries from semiconductors to agriculture. Consequently, financial markets become volatile, and currencies fluctuate unpredictably. 9. Supply Chain Globalization and Market Interdependence Modern trade is not just about exporting finished goods — it’s about global supply chains. A single product like a smartphone involves components sourced from multiple countries. This interdependence means that disruptions in one country (due to natural disasters, political instability, or pandemics) can have global ripple effects. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted this vulnerability. Factory shutdowns in China led to worldwide shortages of electronics, automotive parts, and consumer goods. As supply chains recovered, inflationary pressures spread globally, affecting interest rates and stock valuations. Investors now track supply chain data as closely as trade statistics to assess market risks. 10. Environmental and Social Impacts World trade also influences environmental and social policies. The demand for raw materials and energy-intensive goods contributes to carbon emissions and climate change. To counter this, many countries are adopting ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) frameworks and promoting green trade initiatives like carbon credits and renewable energy exports. Markets are beginning to reward sustainable trade practices. Investors favor companies that align with eco-friendly standards and responsible sourcing. Thus, the intersection of trade and sustainability is shaping new market trends and investment opportunities. 11. Conclusion: The Future of World Trade and Markets World trade remains a powerful engine driving global market dynamics. Its impacts are broad and deep — influencing economic growth, currency values, commodity prices, employment, and investment flows. However, as globalization evolves, new challenges such as digital trade, geopolitical tensions, and environmental concerns will redefine how markets respond to trade patterns. In the future, digital trade, AI-driven logistics, and regional trade alliances (like RCEP and EU partnerships) will shape global commerce. Markets that adapt to these transformations with innovation, transparency, and resilience will thrive in the next era of global trade. Final Thought In essence, world trade acts as the heartbeat of the global economy. It integrates nations, drives competition, and promotes prosperity. But it also introduces complexity and vulnerability. Understanding its impacts helps market participants — from policymakers to investors — navigate an ever-changing financial landscape shaped by the flow of goods, services, and ideas across borders.
TVC:DXYEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week: - Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again - Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea
TVC:DXYLong
by SalvoVaccaro
DXY Macro Thesis – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Before Global Risk💵 DXY Macro Thesis – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Before Global Risk Unwind The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has been forming a multi-year Wyckoff re-accumulation structure since late 2023, following the broad risk-on cycle that stretched across BTC, gold, and equities. After completing a Spring and successful Test in the 95 – 96 region, the index now shows clear signs of Phase D emergence, suggesting the dollar is quietly preparing for its next markup phase. 🧩 Structural Context Phase A–C (2023 – 2025): Composite operator absorbed liquidity from over-extended risk assets while DXY built a broad base between 92 – 104. Phase D (Current): We’re witnessing the Last Point of Support (LPS) formation around 99–100 — strengthening price structure, decreasing volatility, and the first signs of demand dominance. Phase E (Next): Expected breakout and markup toward upper-range resistance zones. 📊 Technical + Macro Alignment Zone Function Commentary 98.6 – 100.8 Re-accumulation axis. Current control range; sustained closes above 100.82 = Phase D confirmation 105.9 – 108.0 Mid-range objective Dealer hedging likely shifts positive Gamma → supports sustained advance 110 – 114 Primary target zone Historic supply band; aligns with USD liquidity tightening & global risk-off acceleration 116 – 123 Buying climax / terminal rally Final markup phase before next global rebalancing cycle. 🌐 Macro Narrative This re-accumulation in DXY likely coincides with the early-stage unwind of speculative excess across BTC, gold, and global equities. As liquidity rotates back into the dollar and short-dated yields stay elevated, risk assets face compression while USD strength re-emerges. Stablecoin dominance metrics (USDT.D + USDC.D) have begun climbing again > 7.8 %, confirming risk-off capital rotation consistent with the early stages of a macro tightening leg. 🎯 Outlook ✅ Base case: Phase D markup resumes → targets 110–114, then potential buying climax 116–123 into 2026. ⚖️ Alternate: Range extension 98.6–100.8 through Q1 2026 (continuing absorption). ❌ Invalidation: Weekly close < 98.6 opens redistribution toward 95 → 92.6.
TVC:DXYLong
by JavierXBT
dxy 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker