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GL1! trade ideas

Gold Lags Behind SilverGold lags behind silver. I’m referring to silver’s percentage gains outpacing gold, not suggesting that silver is becoming more expensive than gold. Investors and traders focus on percentage gains, whereas consumers buying jewelry make decisions based on how much it’ll actually cost them. Last year, silver’s 60% gain outpaced gold’s 40%, and year-to-date, silver has once again outperformed gold with a 52% gain compared to gold’s 36%. Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
gold is at a decision point to continue upward or retrace furthe1->3 : creates solid major buyers in number 2 , if price closes below number 2 this is obviously invalidated and sellers are showing their hand now 3->4 : we return back to number 2 buyers what do I think will happen next ? * if number 2 buyers can prove themselves, this could be a very good market edge for the buyers to push the market higher, conversly if we push below number 2 , we would wait for a pull back below to other support, as the uptrend is too strong to consider a full on reversal * frequency shifted obv return is possible and using that support to predict buying orders, * hidden bullish rsi and mfi
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by jacesabr_real
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish! Look For Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Sept 1 - 15th. Gold has been ranging for months. August closed strong, above the high of July. I am looking for continuation of this bullish momentum in September. Wait for buying opportunities. Be patient. +FVGs will form, and present the best POIs for long entries. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
Gold Surge: Preparing for a Possible Pullback at Supply ZoneThroughout August, gold has steadily risen in value, experiencing only minor retracements along the way. Currently, the price is approaching a significant daily supply zone, situated at the top of the market. Recent data indicates that non-commercial traders have been increasing their short positions over the past few weeks, hinting at a potential capitulation or liquidation of positions soon. Meanwhile, retail investors continue to push longs, whereas commercial traders remain positioned more neutrally, gradually adding to their holdings. Moving forward, I will closely monitor the next supply zone, as it could present an ideal opportunity to initiate a short position, capitalizing on potential market exhaustion at this resistance level. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GC1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by FOREXN1
4
Dipping my toes with 1-Ounce Gold Futures CME in 2025 launched a new futures instrument called 1-Ounce gold. Day trading margin requirement is $16.5 and overnight trading margin requirement is $165. This has been a great way to start trading in live markets with low capital requirements. 1OZ price action closely mirrors GC gold futures so there is a lot of content and experts that share their ideas about where gold is going. 1OZ is equivalent to 1/100 of Gold Futures and tick sizes are 0.25 equivalent to $0.25. Great for a beginner like myself to get a feel of the markets to test strategies and also experience the emotions of being in a position; being up and being down. These emotions cannot be simulated when backtesting or paper trading. While experiencing these emotions, I have been journaling how the trades make me feel and behave. I have learnt more about myself that day-to-day life experiences do not subject me with. I started my journey mid-2025 and so far I have had more losing trades than wins. However, 0.25 tick only represent 25c I treat it as the paying the market a low-fee for my education. Who knows if I will be resilient enough to continue this journey in the months or years to come? We all have to start somewhere/sometime. Hope I have the discipline to stay the course and not give up. Is anyone out there a beginner like myself trading 1OZ? Please comment and tell me how 1OZ has been treating you?
COMEX:1OZZ2025
by perpetualcurrent
2
Gold Setting Up for Weekly Low Sweep – Watching 3650sGold has stalled out at the highs this week and is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong 2-week bullish run. Thursday’s close left us hovering just above key support in the 3650s. For Friday, I’m watching for a break and close below yesterday’s low on the 1H chart. If we get that confirmation, I’ll be looking for continuation shorts targeting Monday’s low and potentially the 8HR FVG around 3600–3620 to close out the week. If bulls defend this level again, then the range may extend — but the cleaner move is down into untested imbalances below. This sets up Friday as a key day: ✅ Break yesterday’s low = downside liquidity run in play ❌ Hold support again = chop/range into next week
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
The 2-Sigma Rejection: Gold's Multi-Indicator Reversal Blueprint# The 2-Sigma Rejection: Gold's Multi-Indicator Reversal Blueprint ## Market Structure Evolution (Points 1→4) Price action has completed a measured retracement to proven institutional buying zones, establishing Point 4 as a critical inflection level where smart money historically accumulates positions. This calculated pullback to tested support creates the foundation for a high-probability reversal setup. ## The Confluence Matrix: Four Pillars of Confirmation ### **Momentum Divergence Dual Signal** - **RSI Bullish Divergence**: While price printed a lower low at Point 4, the Relative Strength Index formed a higher low, revealing underlying strength masked by price action - **MFI Confirmation**: Money Flow Index mirrors the RSI divergence, indicating that capital flows are diverging positively from price - a signature of accumulation during apparent weakness ### **Bollinger Band Extremity Alignment** - **Price at Lower Band**: Point 4 precisely tags the lower Bollinger Band, marking a statistically significant oversold extreme - **OBV Breaking Below Its Lower Band**: A rare occurrence where On-Balance Volume pierces below its own Bollinger Band lower boundary - historically a powerful mean reversion signal that suggests panic selling into strong hands ### **The 2-Standard Deviation Rejection** Using Point 1 as the VWAP anchor creates a statistically robust framework: - Point 4 achieves a perfect touch and rejection from the 2nd standard deviation below VWAP - This represents a 95% statistical extreme, where price typically finds aggressive buyers - The rejection from this level confirms institutional algorithms are defending this mathematically significant zone ## Technical Synthesis This setup presents a textbook convergence of statistical extremes and momentum divergences. The simultaneous occurrence of: - Dual momentum divergences (RSI + MFI) - Dual Bollinger Band extremes (Price + OBV) - 2-sigma VWAP deviation test Creates a rare "perfect storm" reversal setup where multiple independent indicators reach oversold extremes simultaneously. ## Probability Assessment When price touches the lower Bollinger Band while OBV breaks below its own band, historical data suggests a >70% probability of mean reversion within 5-10 bars. Combined with the momentum divergences and VWAP deviation test, this creates an asymmetric risk-reward scenario favoring long positions. ## Risk Management Framework - **Stop Loss**: Below Point 4 with buffer for volatility - **Initial Target**: VWAP mean reversion (1st standard deviation) - **Extended Target**: Upper Bollinger Band or Point 3 resistance - **Invalidation**: Sustained break below 2nd VWAP deviation would negate the setup ## Key Takeaway The convergence of statistical extremes across multiple non-correlated indicators at Point 4 creates a institutional-grade reversal setup. The 2-sigma VWAP rejection, combined with rare OBV Bollinger Band penetration and dual momentum divergences, presents a compelling mean reversion opportunity with clearly defined risk parameters.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by jacesabr_real
GOLD | Buy & Sell Setup | 09 Sep 2025 – 10:32 EDTGOLD | Buy & Sell Setup | 09 Sep 2025 – 10:32 EDT Buy Zone: 3709 – 3682 Scenario 1 : Buy Entry: 3700 Stop Loss: 3685 Targets: TP1 → 3745   (1:3) Analysis: From Buy Zone (3709 – 3682) creates possibilities for a buy move. Scenario 2 : Sell Entry: 3685 Stop Loss: 3700 Targets: TP1 → 3670 TP2 → 3621 TP2 → 3604 Analysis: Below Buy Zone (3709 – 3682) creates possibilities for a sell move. Stay alert on updates here. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
COMEX:GC1!
by TrendReset
QQQ Macro Stress Gold ripping higher (+60% YoY) Investors are hedging inflation risk, currency debasement, or policy uncertainty Gold outperformance shows capital fleeing to “hard money” rather than growth assets CRBS/US10Y above 8% + US10Y trending down is a classic stagflation warning Economy faces cost pressures (gold pricing in inflation fears) Bond market is saying “growth is slowing/policy will ease" Commodities are saying “inflation pressures are rising" That’s the exact recipe for stagflation - weak real growth, sticky/accelerating inflation This is bearish-biased for QQQ unless CRBS/US10Y cools back below +8% because of multiple compression risk - growth narrative struggles if inflation is sticky while real growth is soft Valuations pressured by elevated yields No reflationary support from commodities Historically underperform in stagflation regimes This setup (gold vertical, CRBS/US10Y sinking) = stagflation hedge regime QQQ continues higher if yields stabilize & capital rotation pauses (20%) Possible if Fed pivots or inflation fears calm while liquidity remains strong QQQ consolidates near highs (30%) Yields + inflation fears cap upside, but strong AI/earnings narrative prevents a deep selloff Most likely outcome (50%) is stagflation + sticky yields compress multiples (5%–10% correction risk) CRBS/US10Y >8% while US10Y trends lower is one of the cleanest stagflation warning signals For QQQ it usually shifts probabilities heavily toward correction For gold/commodities it confirms continued strength
COMEX:GC1!
by pakoumal
Gold Eyes $3,700 Amid Overbought SignalsGold broke out of a multi-month trading range when the spot price finally cleared resistance around $3,450. It took some time for the ascending triangle to play out, and this could mean gold is now on its way towards $3,700. However, the metal has quickly reached overbought levels and may be due for a pause. Breaking Out The breakout could be significant and may trigger a move to much higher levels over time; it just doesn’t mean it will all happen at once. One way to measure the breakout from the ascending triangle pattern suggests the precious metal could climb to about $3,700. The relative strength index also confirms the breakout, rising above a downtrend that had formed between April and August. The rise above the trend line on the RSI confirms the breakout and signals that the consolidation period has ended. Overbought However, the precious metal did not take long to reach overbought levels, with its value rising above the upper Bollinger Band and the relative strength index climbing over 70. This could mean that gold is due for a pause—a period of sideways consolidation—before moving on to higher prices. It could also suggest that the metal is about to run out of steam, having expended too much energy breaking out of the consolidation range, and may be due for a sharp pullback to $3,440 to retest the breakout, or even a decline towards the lower Bollinger Band near $3,200. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025
by cmcmarkets
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session. My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by jasonrraynor
GC 4H icc analysisGold has been in a clear uptrend and ran into resistance between 3574.6/3587.9. Price broke the zone and indicated that sellers were weak above 3587.9, continued to climb making a new high before correcting back below the zone. Once price hit a support, it continued back above 3587.9 aggressively making a new indication and a new high. Entry: around 3587.9 (after reversal confirmation on 1 hour) Stop loss: Below last low Target: Last swing high Not financial advice.
COMEX:GCV2025Long
by greenlite_ceo