SILVER (XAGUSD): Consolidation & Bullish MovementThe price of SILVER is currently exhibiting trading behavior within a broad horizontal range.
Following a test of its support level, an inverted head and shoulders pattern was formed.
It is anticipated that this consolidation will persist, with a probable price increase towards the range's resistance level.
SILVER trade ideas
XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
๐ Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
โข A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
โข First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
๐ Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. ๐
SELL XAGUSDSilver has hit a key resistance around $40.65 โ $40.70 while forming a rising wedge pattern, a bearish signal. From this zone, I expect a rejection and a strong drop toward the support area near $37.80.
๐ Bearish Outlook
Resistance: $40.65 โ $40.70
First Target: $39.50
Final Target: $37.80
SILVER TO $750 IN THE NEXT DECADE ?This has to be the biggest Cup & Handle Formation in Human History. Holy Smokes.
Ok, let's dive into the Fundamentals:
1) Industrial Demand: Silver is essential in various high-growth industries such as electronics, solar energy, and medical devices. As technological advancements continue, the demand for silver is expected to increase significantly.
2) Investment Demand: Economic uncertainty, inflation, or financial crises often lead investors to seek precious metals like silver as a safe haven.
3) Supply Constraints: Silver mining production may face challenges due to factors like depleted mines, increased extraction costs, or regulatory changes. Supply shortages can occur if production cannot keep up with demand, which will ultimately lead to a short squeeze.
4) Monetary Policy and Inflation: Central banks' monetary policies, such as maintaining low interest rates or implementing quantitative easing, can weaken currencies.
5) Green Energy Initiatives: The push for renewable energy sources, particularly solar power, relies heavily on silver for photovoltaic cells. As global efforts to combat climate change intensify, the demand for silver in green technologies is likely to rise, boosting its price.
(aka Agenda 2030 - The Great Reset)
What scares me about this chart is that it suggests terrible events are imminent.
The impact of these events cannot yet be measured, but they will be catastrophic for humanity.
Stay Safe and keep stacking as fast as possible, NFA!
CYANE
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,066.6
Target Level: 3,923.7
Stop Loss: 4,160.4
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
Silver Price Retreats from a 14-Year HighSilver Price Retreats from a 14-Year High
As the XAG/USD chart shows, yesterday silver climbed above $41.40 per ounce. The last time silver traded at this level was in September 2011. The rise in XAG/USD was supported by gold surging to a record high, which we reported yesterday.
Furthermore, Goldman Sachs analysts have issued a gold price forecast for mid-2026, according to which XAU/USD could rise to:
โ $4,000 under the base case;
โ $5,000 if 1% of the private US Treasury market flows into gold. This scenario would imply a loss of Federal Reserve independence, higher inflation, and the US dollar weakening as a so-called reserve currency.
Technical Analysis of XAG/USD
Analysing XAG/USD fluctuations, we can identify two ascending channels:
โ Medium-term (shown in blue): in play since early summer;
โ Short-term (shown in purple): reflecting increased demand over the past two weeks.
Within this context, it is evident that silver has encountered a resistance cluster formed by the upper boundaries of these channels. For short- and medium-term traders, this suggests that XAG/USD may be considered overvalued โ potentially triggering a wave of profit-taking on long positions.
Signs of demand exhaustion include:
โ A bearish divergence on the RSI indicator;
โ The aggressive decline from the upper channel boundary (highlighted by the orange arrow).
Bulls may find support at the median line and lower boundary of the purple channel.
Given the above, we might assume that the purple channel could still sustain silverโs upward momentum by inertia. At the same time, the formation of a bearish reversal pattern (e.g. a double top) near the upper blue boundary could occur, followed by a correction towards the psychological $40 level (where a buyer imbalance was previously observed).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SILVERโS SUPERCYCLE: $40 Retest Could Ignite a Moonshot to $66Silver OANDA:XAGUSD ) has finally broken out of a multi-year resistance zone, soaring past $40 for the first time since 2011. With technical momentum building and macro tailwinds in place, this could be the beginning of a supercycle rally in precious metals.
Trade Plan:
๐น Entry Zone: Watching for a pullback to $40.00 โ a former resistance turned key support
๐น Stop Loss: $38.00 (below support, invalidates breakout if breached)
๐น Targets:
โโข TP1: $44.00 โ $48.00
โโข TP2: $58.00 โ $66.00
Why This Setup?
โ
Breakout from multi-decade cup & handle formation
โ
Bullish momentum driven by inflation hedging, weak USD, and rising industrial demand
โ
Historical precedents suggest that confirmed breakouts in silver often move fast and far
Watchlist:
๐ต๏ธ Keep an eye on volume, RSI divergence, and how price reacts near $40. A healthy pullback and strong bounce would validate the setup.
#Silver #XAGUSD #SilverStackers #Commodities #PreciousMetals #GoldVsSilver
#BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MetalsTrading #SpotSilver #TradingSetup
#MacroTrading #SafeHavenAssets #InflationHedge #SilverSqueeze #Supercycle
Silver is once again on a path that will lead to higher goals!Given the trend that began at the beginning of 2020, it seems that this precious metal has found a special place among investors and is consolidating itself in this position.
It should be noted that for whatever reason this consolidation occurs, the goals above $ 100 per ounce of silver are achievable.
The lagging behind the price of silver in comparison to the growth of the price of gold indicates attractive investment opportunities and, to quote us "noble Iranians", "maybe too soon is too late!"
SILVER Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 39.719 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 39.114
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Resistance
Here is my latest structure analysis for Silver.
With a current bull, run the price successfully violated
39.0 - 39.5 supply area that turned into a demand zone now.
The closest strong supply zone that I see is based on a major
rising trend line and 41.0 psychological level.
It looks like the price may easily reach that soon.
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, itโs clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
Silver(XAG/USD)-BullishBreakout&Continuation Setup Towards$4,200Silver has completed a prolonged sideways consolidation and successfully broken above the resistance area, showing strong bullish momentum. Price is now retesting the breakout zone, which may act as support before the next upward move. If the bullish trend holds above $3,750โ$3,800, the next target lies near $4,200.
Key levels:
Resistance: $4,000 โ $4,202
Support: $3,600 โ $3,750
Trend Bias: Bullish above support zone
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice
Silver (XAG/USD), Major Technical Resistance at $41/42The silver price (XAG/USD) has risen significantly since our bullish analysis of July 29; now a major technical resistance is approaching
Precious metals prices are directly influenced by the Federal Reserveโs monetary policy outlook, and the Fed will announce a decisive monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 17. This Fridayโs NFP report (September 5) will also strongly affect the probability of Fed action on September 17.
By clicking on the chart below, you can first revisit our bullish analysis of July 29, which proved accurate.
Since last spring, gold prices have been capped by the major technical resistance at $3500/3550, with several potential scenarios depending on the Fedโs decision. These scenarios were detailed in our full analysis yesterday, accessible via the chart below.
From a technical perspective, a major resistance zone at $41/42 is approaching
The XAG/USD price has appreciated sharply since our late July bullish technical analysis. We now highlight the proximity of significant technical targets that could influence the market in the short term.
There is indeed a confluence of technical resistances between $41 and $42: a horizontal resistance dating back to 2011, the upper bound of a bullish channel in place since 2020, and a Fibonacci extension within the C-wave fractal count.
It would therefore not be surprising to see silver consolidating in the short term. The first strong technical support lies between $35 and $37. In the longer term, the historical record high remains the natural bullish target for XAG/USD.
Institutional positioning on XAG/USD will be decisive, especially capital inflows into US spot Silver ETFs
The underlying bullish trend in silver appears healthy given the strong capital inflows into Silver ETFs since early 2025.
This positive dynamic is directly linked to the fact that the US dollar (DXY) has been the weakest major currency on Forex in 2025.
How can one anticipate the end of the bullish trend in XAG/USD? Technical analysis signals matter, but monitoring the capital dynamics in Silver ETFs will be just as critical.
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Silver | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
๐ง Market Overview:
Iโm watching silver closely for a potential short setup. Price action suggests a possible head and shoulders formation, but Iโm still waiting for confirmation from key variables before committing. For example:
- Iโd like to see the current 1H candle close within my range
- Lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left.
๐ Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.0
Entry price = 40.88
Stop loss price = 41.14
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 40.17
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 39.77
๐ก GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation before entering means fewer trades, but higher-quality ones.
๐ Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts โ I would like to hear them.
๐ Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
๐ง Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
๐ Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
๐ฏ Entry: 41.29
๐ Stop Loss: 41.67
๐ฐ Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
๐ฐ Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
๐ก GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. Thatโs why itโs key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
๐ Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts โ Iโd love to hear them.
๐ Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
SILVER XAGUSD SILVER BULLS WINS ON ECONOMIC DATA REPORT AND KEEPS GAINS
BREAKDOWN.
Indicator Current Forecast Previous
Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Non-Farm Employment Change 22,000 75,000 79,000
Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
Fed Interpretation:
Average Hourly Earnings (0.3% m/m): In line with forecasts and previous data, showing steady wage growth. Stable wage growth suggests moderate inflation pressure from labor costs.
Non-Farm Employment Change (22,000): Significantly below forecast (75,000) and previous month (79,000), indicating a sharp slowdown in job creation. This suggests labor market cooling, potentially reflecting economic slowdown or more cautious hiring by employers.
The agency responsible for the US Non-Farm Employment Change data is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor
The report, often released on the first Friday of each month, measures the change in the number of people employed in the US excluding farm workers, private household employees, and nonprofit organization employees.
It is based on the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey which covers about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 worksites.
The data provides detailed insights into employment, hours worked, and earnings across various industries.
The report is closely watched as a key indicator of labor market health and overall economic performance.
Unemployment Rate (4.3%): Slightly increased from previous 4.2%, matching forecast. A rising unemployment rate confirms some softening in labor market conditions.
The agency responsible for measuring and reporting the Unemployment Rate in the United States is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which is part of the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL).
Key Points:
The Unemployment Rate is part of the monthly Employment Situation Report produced by the BLS.
It measures the percentage of the labor force that is jobless but actively seeking work.
Data for the unemployment rate is collected through the Current Population Survey (CPS), which surveys approximately 60,000 households.
The BLS releases the unemployment rate and other labor statistics on the first Friday of every month.
The Department of Labor oversees the BLS, which is responsible for gathering and disseminating this critical labor market data that influences economic policy, including Federal Reserve decisions.
Summary:
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): the official source for the unemployment rate.
U.S. Department of Labor (DOL): the parent department supervising BLS operations.
The unemployment rate data helps assess economic health and guides policy decisions on employment and inflation.
Overall Fed Takeaway:
The marked slowdown in job growth combined with a slight rise in unemployment signals weakening labor market strength
Stable wage growth limits upside inflation risks from labor costs.
These signals suggest easing inflation pressures and a slowing economy, which might encourage the Fed to pause further rate hikes or consider cutting rates soon to support growth.
The Fed will likely weigh this data alongside other inflation and economic indicators to decide the next policy step but may lean cautiously towards easing given the weaker jobs data.
In summary, todayโs data points to a moderating labor market with controlled wage inflation that supports a more dovish Fed approach in upcoming meetings.
DXY DEFENDED 97,428 ON DATA RPORT AND CLOSE THE 4HR ABOVE KEY SUPPORT STRUCTURE TO 97.722 AS AT REPORTING.
THE US 10Y BOND YIELD 4.056% SINKING TODAY BUT ON STRUCTURE THE US10Y IS ON DEMANDFLOOR AND BOND BUYING COULD OFFSET GOLS GAINS TODAY.
OPEN OF NEXT WEEK GOLD WILL CORRECT BECAUSE ITS OVER BOUGHT.
#GOLD #DXY #US10Y #DOLLAR
Silver is in an 11-year Uptrend using Time@Mode MethodThe Silver market has been chopping around between $50 at $8.5 for the last 20 years but has been following the methodology I call "Time At Mode" from the observation that markets tend to trend for the same amount of time as the most common price across an accumulation level (or distribution level).
As you can see here with Silver, from 1993 to 2002, it went sideways and every year touched the $5 level and if you look carefully the "highest low" was in 1999 at $4.87. That is the official mode for the uptrend starting from the low in 1991.
Why did the uptrend start in 1991? 1991 was the lowest low for the following 5 bars, so we can methodically label the 1991 low the "start" of the uptrend. Counting forward from 1991 we can see the wide range from $4 to $7 across the following 10 years.
In 2003 I have marked a "range expansion" bar where the advance to the high that year was greater than the previous year's range. That "range expansion" is the sign of a change in the market and a signal that the market has detached from the mode and is ready to trend. What I have noticed is that the market will trend for the same number of bars as touch one single price line across the mode.
The 10th year wasn't the highest high of the uptrend of 10 years, but it was the "highest low" for the uptrend. You can also notice that the price moved up by 3x the range around the mode. The "range" is the highest to lowest measurement of those bars that between the start and end of the mode line.
By adding the "RAM" (range around mode) to the mode, you establish a likely price target for the trend. In this case, silver moved 3x the RAM or Range.
Since the peak in silver in 2011, silver has built a new mode at the $15 level and it too started to trend in 2019 by Range Expanding but then 2020 reversed that jump start and stopped out that signal.
2020 again saw a range expansion out of the mode and triggered a new 11-year uptrend which is labeled now ending in 2030.
The upside target is measured using a %-graph and measuring from $8.458 in 2008 to the high in 2011 at $48.8 and using that % to project up from the mode at $15.1897, which is the low of the year 2017.
So, the target is for $93 by the year 2030 which sounds impressive but is a bit over 143% spread out over 5 years for a compound gain of 19.5% per year.
The typical way to trade Time@Mode is to hold 2 positions, one to exit when the price target is hit and one to exit when the time expires.
See you in 2030 to see if this trade panned out.
Cheers,
Tim
8/27/2025 10:39AM EST
Silver XAGUSD Overextended With Range-Bound Price Action๐ฅ XAGUSD (Silver) is overextended in my view ๐. Price has recently pushed into new highs ๐ผ and is now moving sideways in a range ๐โoften a sign that larger entities ๐ผ may be working their orders.
โ๏ธ This could be a form of distribution, as silver has moved into a zone of thin liquidity ๐. To facilitate bigger positions, institutions may need to generate liquidity by keeping price sideways โธ๏ธ before the next move.
๐ My current bias is for a retracement back into equilibrium โ๏ธ and towards an unresolved bullish imbalance ๐ that remains below.
โ ๏ธ This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice ๐
XAGUSD 4HTrading Outlook for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we review trading perspectives and short-term outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The marketโs reaction toโor breakout fromโthis zone will determine the next price movement toward the specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight key levels ahead of the price and the marketโs potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
XAGUSD H1 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 40.96, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 40.22, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAG/USD Technical + Macro Analysis ยฆ Bullish Layer Strategyโก XAG/USD Silver Swing & Scalping Trade | Thief Layer Strategy
๐ ๏ธ Trade Plan (Bullish Pending Order)
Entry (Breakout Trigger): $41.400 โก
Layered Entries (Thief Strategy):
$41.000
$41.200
$41.400
(You can increase/reduce limit layers based on your own plan โ confirm after breakout. Set TradingView alarms for alerts.)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): $40.600 (after breakout confirmation)
โ ๏ธ Adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance.
Target (Exit Zone): $42.200 ๐ฏ
Resistance + overbought + trap zone = take profit opportunity.
๐ก Thief Strategy = Using multiple buy limit orders (layering style entries) to scale into position at breakout confirmation levels.
๐ Why This Plan (Thief Style)
โ
Technical breakout aligned with resistance test.
โ
Fundamentals & sentiment confirm upside bias.
โ
Layering entries reduce risk & capture volatility.
โ
Plan respects upcoming macro events โ CPI & Fed.
๐ XAG/USD Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.56% (โฒ +0.23)
Dayโs Range: $40.54 โ $41.34
52-Week Range: $27.70 โ $41.49
Year-to-Date Performance: +42.32% ๐
๐ฐ๐ Fear & Greed Index
Stock Market Sentiment: Greed (53/100) ๐
Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (0/100)
Drivers:
Weak US labor data โ boosting Fed rate cut expectations.
S&P 500 above 125-day MA โ bullish momentum.
Low VIX โ reduced fear.
๐๐ Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish (Long): 60% ๐
Bearish (Short): 40% ๐ฐ
Institutional Outlook:
Technical Bias: Strong Buy โ
๐๐ Fundamental & Macro Drivers
Fed Rate Cut Probability (Sep 2025): 100% โ
US Dollar Weakness โ supports precious metals.
Upcoming Events:
๐
Sep 11: CPI Report (volatility risk).
๐
Sep 16โ17: Fed Meeting (critical rate decision).
Industrial Demand: Electronics + solar keeping silver in steady demand.
๐๐ป Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) ๐
Score: 75/100 (Strong upside potential).
Why Bullish?
Technical indicators = Strong Buy signals.
Fed dovish stance โ USD weakness.
Geopolitical risks โ safe-haven demand.
Risks: Hot CPI data โ possible USD rebound.
๐ Key Takeaways
Silver is up +42% YTD โ momentum intact.
Breakout levels align with Thief Layer Strategy.
Fed meeting (Sep 16โ17) = major catalyst.
CPI data (Sep 11) = short-term volatility watch.
๐ Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
AMEX:SLV (Silver ETF)
COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures)
COMEX:SI1! (Silver Futures)
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
#Silver #XAGUSD #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #Scalping #Commodities #Breakout #LayerStrategy #Fed #CPI #Metals
Silver reached an important supply range!According to the previous analysis, the trend of silver was exactly bullish, and currently silver has reached an important supply range, in which we have the possibility of a 3D formation, after which we can have our own expectations and predictions of the rise or fall of this metal, in case of penetration or non-penetration.