XAG/USD Technical + Macro Analysis ¦ Bullish Layer Strategy⚡ XAG/USD Silver Swing & Scalping Trade | Thief Layer Strategy
🛠️ Trade Plan (Bullish Pending Order)
Entry (Breakout Trigger): $41.400 ⚡
Layered Entries (Thief Strategy):
$41.000
$41.200
$41.400
(You can increase/reduce limit layers based on your own plan — confirm after breakout. Set TradingView alarms for alerts.)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): $40.600 (after breakout confirmation)
⚠️ Adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance.
Target (Exit Zone): $42.200 🎯
Resistance + overbought + trap zone = take profit opportunity.
💡 Thief Strategy = Using multiple buy limit orders (layering style entries) to scale into position at breakout confirmation levels.
🔎 Why This Plan (Thief Style)
✅ Technical breakout aligned with resistance test.
✅ Fundamentals & sentiment confirm upside bias.
✅ Layering entries reduce risk & capture volatility.
✅ Plan respects upcoming macro events → CPI & Fed.
📊 XAG/USD Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.56% (▲ +0.23)
Day’s Range: $40.54 – $41.34
52-Week Range: $27.70 – $41.49
Year-to-Date Performance: +42.32% 🚀
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
Stock Market Sentiment: Greed (53/100) 📈
Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (0/100)
Drivers:
Weak US labor data → boosting Fed rate cut expectations.
S&P 500 above 125-day MA → bullish momentum.
Low VIX → reduced fear.
📉📈 Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish (Long): 60% 😊
Bearish (Short): 40% 😰
Institutional Outlook:
Technical Bias: Strong Buy ✅
🌍📉 Fundamental & Macro Drivers
Fed Rate Cut Probability (Sep 2025): 100% ✅
US Dollar Weakness → supports precious metals.
Upcoming Events:
📅 Sep 11: CPI Report (volatility risk).
📅 Sep 16–17: Fed Meeting (critical rate decision).
Industrial Demand: Electronics + solar keeping silver in steady demand.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) 🐂
Score: 75/100 (Strong upside potential).
Why Bullish?
Technical indicators = Strong Buy signals.
Fed dovish stance → USD weakness.
Geopolitical risks → safe-haven demand.
Risks: Hot CPI data → possible USD rebound.
💎 Key Takeaways
Silver is up +42% YTD → momentum intact.
Breakout levels align with Thief Layer Strategy.
Fed meeting (Sep 16–17) = major catalyst.
CPI data (Sep 11) = short-term volatility watch.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
AMEX:SLV (Silver ETF)
COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures)
COMEX:SI1! (Silver Futures)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Silver #XAGUSD #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #Scalping #Commodities #Breakout #LayerStrategy #Fed #CPI #Metals
SILVER trade ideas
Silver’s Bullish Transition: $50 and BeyondSilver OANDA:XAGUSD FX:XAGUSD TVC:SILVER COMEX:SI1! has completed a multi-decade accumulation phase and is now entering a global bullish supercycle, capable of reshaping the balance of power in the precious metals market. Below is the current view across timeframes, structures, and macro drivers.
🔭 Global Perspective
Since the early 1980s, silver has been moving within a broad corrective structure, with two major corrections: from 1980 to 1995 and from 2011 to 2020.
Now there is strong evidence that a transition phase — wave (III) — has begun, which could potentially break historic highs and push prices toward $100+.
Upon reaching the $50 mark, the chart would complete a classic institutional "cup with handle" pattern, similar to gold, potentially triggering an exponential rally.
⏱ Mid-Term View
Since August 2022, silver has been developing an impulsive structure.
The deep correction we observed in April 2025 likely represents wave C of a flat correction, completing wave (4) of the current impulse.
Currently, silver is building wave (5). Within it, the first subwave (i) has either been completed or is still forming.
In the coming weeks or month, a local pullback is possible, followed by a continuation of the bullish rally, with a medium-term target in the $42–50 range.
🌐 Macro and Fundamental Drivers of Growth:
📈 Inflation and declining real interest rates — Silver, like gold, acts as an inflation hedge, especially during periods of monetary easing.
💵 Weakening U.S. Dollar — A falling DXY and potential QE strengthen demand for silver.
⚙️ Growing industrial demand — Silver is essential for solar panels, electronics, electric vehicles, and the medical sector.
🌍 Green energy transition — Silver is a critical material for photovoltaic technologies and the expansion of renewable energy.
📉 Structural supply deficit — Declining mining investment and ore grades are forming a long-term supply shortage.
🏦 Increasing institutional interest — ETFs, hedge funds, and banks are expanding their exposure to silver, boosting liquidity and long-term price support.
⚠️ Geopolitical risks — Metals act as a safe-haven amid rising global instability and de-dollarization trends.
📌
The supercycle is intact — we are likely within wave (III).
Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall structure remains bullish.
Medium-term target — $42–50.
The full cycle may take years, but the directional bias is clear.
Fundamental factors strongly support the technical outlook, pointing to significant long-term upside.
XAGUSD testing resistance, breakout ahead?Silver has climbed into the spotlight, trading more than 40 USD per ounce, its highest level over a decade. Silver benefits from a dual role as it is both a safe haven and an industrial metal. On the defensive side, expectations of a Fed rate cut and heightened geopolitical tensions encourage investors to seek shelter in precious metals. On the growth side, silver demand is being reinforced by the global energy transition, with China’s booming solar exports driving stronger metal consumption. This combination of investor demand and industrial use gives silver a unique support base, suggesting prices can remain elevated and may have further room to rise if geopolitical risks flare or renewable energy momentum accelerates.
XAGUSD extended its rally within the ascending channel, with prices testing the 127.2% Fibonacci Extension. Sustaining its bullish momentum and a break above the resistance at 41.30 may prompt a further rally toward the ascending channel's upper bound and 161.8% Fibonacci Extension at 43.00. Conversely, a retreat below 41.50 may see XAGUSD retrace toward the support at 39.50.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Silver - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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XAG/USD Market Robbery Plan – Entry, SL, and Escape Route💎 XAG/USD Silver vs U.S Dollar Heist Plan (Swing/Scalping Trade) 💰🚀
🌟Hello Money Makers, Robbers & Thief OG’s🌟
The vault is open… and this time it’s SILVER (XAG/USD)! ⚡
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s the robbery blueprint:
📈 Entry (The Break-In):
The thief doesn’t wait at the door… we layer in quietly. Place multiple buy limit orders at:
(39.900)
(39.700)
(39.500)
(Feel free to add more layers if you want to expand the robbery bag 🏦).
Any pullback = our silent entry.
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief Escape Route):
This is Thief SL @38.700.
But remember, dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), adjust SL according to your own risk appetite & position size.
🎯 Target (The Police Barricade 🚓):
Police waiting heavy at 42.000 – so don’t get caught!
Our escape van target is set @ 41.000 💰.
Grab the loot and vanish before the chase starts! 🏃♂️💨
💎 Thief Notes:
Silver shines but can trap greedy robbers. Always layer in wisely, manage risk, and respect the Thief Code.
⚠️ Trading Alert:
Beware of sudden news explosions 📢 – they trigger alarms in the market vault! Use trailing SL if the loot gets heavy.
🔥💵 Support our robbery squad 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 to fuel the getaway car 🚘💨.
Every like = more strength for our crew. Stay sharp, stay stealthy, and keep robbing the market with Thief Trader Style! 🏆🥷💰
#SilverHeist #XAGUSD #ForexThief #SwingTrade #ScalpingPlan #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader #MarketRobbery #BullishSilver #SmartTrading
(Alchemy Markets) Silver Sees 45 Year Trend LineSilver has rallied nearly 45% from the April low reaching $41/oz. Silver prices can now see a very long-term trend line connecting the 1980 and 2011 price highs , a 45-year trend line in the making. (red line)
If Silver were to rally that high, a bearish reaction would likely be felt.
However, Silver has a wall of Elliott wave relationships and market geometry it needs to contend with first.
The rally from the September 2022 low is quite mature from an Elliott wave perspective. The rally is unfolding as an impulse wave pattern labeled 1-2-3-4-5 and it appears Silver is in the late stages of wave 5.
Wave 5 would need to subdivide as 5-waves and current prices appear to have completed wave ((iv)) at the July 31 low.
If this wave labeling is correct, then Silver is in wave ((v)) of 5 of (C)...an ending wave at 3 degrees of trend.
We can use common wave relationships and market geometry measurements to estimate where this current up wave may travel to.
There is a cluster of wave relationships between 41.59 - 44.92 plus a parallel price channel to help hold down Silver.
Lastly, there is some histogram divergence noted on the MACD indicator.
All of these symptoms mixed together suggest rallies in Silver may be limited with the bulk of the trend behind it.
IF this is correct, then another down-up sequence may finish silver off and lead to a decline back to the wave 4 extreme, near $29.
Though not expected, if silver does plow above $44.92, then the 1980 trend line will likely offer a bearish reaction.
Silver = to the moon??? September 03, 2025Who’s Loading Up:
A top dog at Pan American Silver Corp., a heavyweight in North American silver digs, just scooped up a hefty chunk of shares.
Deal Size: This exec grabbed 50,000 shares at $22.50 a pop on August 28, 2025, dropping $1.125 million—talk about putting skin in the game!
Company Lowdown
Pan American Silver Corp. runs 10 mines across the Americas, packing 468 million ounces of silver and 6.7 million ounces of gold. Based out of Vancouver, they’ve got cash flowing like a river, fueling big bets like La Colorada Skarn and Escobal.
Sector Vibes:
• The Silver Institute’s calling for a fifth straight supply crunch in 2025, with photovoltaics and AI tech demand hitting all-time highs.
• Tariff threats, green energy boom, and a possible Fed rate cut in September 2025 could send silver soaring.
Big Funds Jumping In
Last quarter (June–August 2025), heavy hitters like Sprott Asset Management (+8% in Pan American), BlackRock Inc. (+5% in iShares Silver Trust), and Invesco Ltd. (+6% in VanEck Silver Miners ETF) piled into silver.
Buzz on X says Saudi Central Bank’s dipping its toes into silver via iShares Silver Trust (SLV), ditching its gold-only playbook.
London Vaults Drying Up
The LBMA’s silver stash is under siege from a supply deficit. With 150 million ounces short in 2024, the Silver Institute hints reserves might shrink 5–10% yearly if demand keeps raging, setting the stage for a price explosion.
1979 Boom & 2025–2026 Wild Cards
1979 Flashback: The Hunt Brothers’ silver grab, plus inflation and oil chaos, rocketed silver from $6 to $50/oz (+700%). Gold jumped from $300 to $850/oz on similar vibes.
2025–2026 Triggers:
Inflation’s sticky above 3%, the USD’s wobbling from tariffs, and a Fed cut looms in September 2025. Watch for U.S.-China trade wars, Middle East flare-ups, or a BRICS metals exchange—any could ignite a 1979-style silver rocket if deficits worsen.
Price Targets:
Short-Term (3 months): $60.00 (+46.9%)
Mid-Term (6–12 months): $120.00 (+193.7%)
Long-Term (18–24 months): $240.00 (+487.5%)
🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
SILVER H1 | Price signals a potential bearish dropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 40.93, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 40.36, which is a pullback support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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SILVER DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS let’s break this XAG/USD (Silver, Daily timeframe) chart down step by step:
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1. Current Market Context
Price is trading at 40.95, very close to recent highs.
Momentum is clearly bullish, with strong impulsive candles breaking above previous resistance zones.
Structure shows consistent higher highs & higher lows, confirming a bullish trend.
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2. Key Institutional Zones (Marked on Chart)
🔴 Supply / Short Zones
39.57 – 38.81:
This red zone was a major supply area where sellers previously stepped in.
Price consolidated, then broke above strongly.
This zone is now flipped into demand — meaning institutions may defend it on any pullback.
🔵 Demand / Long Zones
36.53 – 35.77:
Strong institutional demand zone. Previous breakout base.
If price retraces deep, expect institutions to re-enter longs here.
35.01 – 34.25:
Secondary demand zone. Historically defended with multiple reactions.
33.49 – 32.73:
Key structural base where the last big rally originated. Very strong institutional footprint.
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3. Trendline & Price Action
The ascending trendline drawn from May – July 2025 supports the bullish continuation narrative.
Price respected it multiple times before the breakout toward 40+.
If price corrects, watch for retests of trendline + demand zones aligning (confluence)
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4. Next Possible Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation (Most Probable)
A breakout and sustained close above 41.00–41.20 could accelerate a move toward 42.50 – 43.00 (next liquidity pool).
Momentum buyers likely target liquidity sitting above 41.85.
🔵 Bullish Pullback
A correction toward 39.50 zone (recent breakout level) would be healthy and could serve as a high-probability long re-entry.
Deeper retracement could retest 36.50 – 35.70 (major demand), offering swing long opportunities.
🔴 Bearish Reversal (Low Probability for Now)
Only a daily close below 35.70 would threaten the bullish structure.
That would open doors for a bigger drop back toward 34.20 – 33.50 demand.
---
5. Institutional Positioning Perspective
Longs or Buy orders are likely built around the 36.50 → 35.00 demand levels.
Short-term profit-taking could occur near 41.00 – 42.00 supply, but unless institutions dump massively, dips remain buy opportunities.
Current momentum suggests institutions are defending longs and running price into higher liquidity pools.
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✅ Summary:
Silver (XAG/USD) is in a strong bullish trend. As long as price holds above 39.50, buyers remain in control with targets at 42.50–43.00. Pullbacks into 39.50 or deeper 36.50–35.70 zones are opportunities for institutional re-accumulation (longs). A bearish reversal would only be confirmed below 35.70.
XAGUSD, Elliott wave analysisOutlook for XGUUSD on the 3-day chart.
There have been no changes since the last update.
We are currently in sub-wave (3) of wave (ⅲ).
Sub-wave (3), indicated by the green line, will likely be an extension.
If this scenario assumption is correct, the upward trend will continue.
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 40.740 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 40.955 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 41.109.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER (XAGUSD) LONG Every 48 weeks silver forms a higher low and then rallies. A resistance at 40.00 and resistance at 41.30 is coming. When that happens, silver will spike to 53.00, 55.15, or 88.85. It will blow you away. This is a big trade! Hope you own some silver. "If not, then what are you waiting for?"
In my opinion Silver will out do Gold and Platinum will out do Silver and Gold. A platinum chart will be coming soon. Don't sleep on Platinum. Let me know your thoughts in the comment.
SILVER: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the SILVER pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAGUSDSuccess in the FX, indices, and gold markets comes from discipline, not luck — I win by combining deep market analysis with strict risk management, keeping emotions out of trading, and focusing on long-term consistency rather than quick gains. Every trade is based on research, patience, and clear strategy, allowing me to grow steadily while protecting capital.