Trade ideas
SILVER Strong Rejection! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER Price just reacted from a horizontal demand area after a deep liquidity sweep below the previous low. Buyers stepped in strongly, hinting at a possible continuation higher toward the target zone near $52.80 where unfilled orders remain. Expect bullish momentum to extend if the demand zone holds.
Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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That's exactly what happened.If we measure the percentage from the bottom of the cup to the rim, we get ~1200%.
We now plot the same value from the rim line to get an idea of the possible movement.
You might say that at this price, silver would be disproportionately expensive relative to gold.
Take a look at 1980 (the year when this “cup with a handle” began to form).
Silver was worth 49% of the total capitalization of gold.
Silver corrective pullback supported at 5130The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5130 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5130 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5360 – initial resistance
5445 – psychological and structural level
5500 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5130 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
5065 – minor support
4980 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the silver holds above 5130. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
a longer and deeper correction likely imoIn my opinion (IMO), we may be seeing the start of a longer and deeper correction...I could be off on this, however the bounce we are seeing at the moment is weekand looks corrective...this tells me we will likely see another major 5 wave move down...so either we see a 5-3-5 wave sequence or a 3-3-5 wave sequence...either way...I see us going back down to $38-$40 range in what will likely take a month or two to complete. I know this is not what we want to hear as silver bulls...but in the near to medium term I am bearish.
XAGUSD 22 octI’ve identified a cup and handle pattern in silver, which is a bullish signal as it has already broken out. Based on the projection of this cup and handle pattern, we could see silver reaching a price range of 78-90 in the coming months. This outlook is supported by the current market situation, where gold prices are already high and the limited supply of gold, driven by massive physical gold buying recently, is making silver an attractive alternative for hedging.
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 48.642 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 48.162.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Nasty reversal candle on Silver monthly chart.Silver.
That is one nasty reversal candle on monthly chart.
Problem is that it's happening with price historically stretched from moving average, where corrections start.
There is an outlier chance we still get a melt-up.
8 more trading days to see how the dust settles.
Potential Double Bottom at Key Structure on XAGUSDRecently, Silver has made headlines by pushing into new all-time highs, marking another impressive milestone in what has been a strong bullish run. However, as with any extended move, what followed was a period of relief to the downside. This healthy pullback gives the market a chance to reset before potentially continuing higher.
Reaction at a Key Level of Structure
During this pullback, price has reacted around a previous area of structure, a zone that acted as both resistance in the past and now may serve as support. This is exactly where we often look for the market to find balance — and possibly, the beginning of a new leg to the upside.
A Potential Double Bottom Formation
What’s particularly interesting right now is that Silver appears to be halfway through forming a potential double bottom pattern. This classic price pattern is one of the most recognizable reversal setups in trading, often signaling that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are beginning to step back in.
If the second bottom completes it could serve as a strong confirmation that the market is ready to resume its bullish trend — offering an excellent opportunity for traders with a bullish bias to rejoin the move.
The Takeaway
For Silver bulls, this is a key moment to pay attention to. The market has pulled back into structure, reacted positively, and is forming a recognizable reversal pattern, all while still sitting within a broader uptrend.
While patience is required for the pattern to fully confirm, the potential double bottom setup represents a textbook example of how structure and price action work together to reveal high-quality trading opportunities.
Please leave any questions, comments or trading ideas below and I wish you guys a safe & profitable week of trading ahead.
Akil
Silver forming a long-term “Cup and Handle” - as Gold didSilver seems to be repeating the same institutional “Cup and Handle” structure that we recently saw play out perfectly on Gold.
On Gold, the price completed the entire measured move — equal to the depth of the cup — before entering consolidation.
Now, Silver is building a very similar long-term formation, and this setup could define the market direction for the next several years.
🧠 Technical Context
On the higher timeframes (1W and 1M), Silver has formed a clear rounded base — the cup.
The current consolidation area represents the handle, and price is now approaching the upper boundary of that handle.
Once we see a decisive breakout above the handle resistance, institutions will likely defend that zone on the first retest.
This pattern is one of the most reliable continuation formations in long-term trends, especially when accompanied by rising volume near the breakout area.
There’s a very important condition: this pattern becomes active only after the handle breakout.
Before the breakout, it’s just an unconfirmed structure — the pattern is validated only once the handle level is broken.
🎯 Trade Plan
Breakout Level (Handle Resistance): around $50.0 – $51
Usually, the breakout happens on high volume, accompanied by several strong bullish candles
Retest Zone: $30 – $35.0
Target (long-term extension): $600.0+
Stop-Loss: according to your risk management strategy
📊 Summary
If Silver repeats the Gold scenario, we might see a clean breakout–retest–continuation structure with very limited pullbacks once the move begins.
This could mark the start of a multi-year bullish phase in silver.
I’ll be monitoring the breakout confirmation and volume profile closely before entering.
Once confirmed, the upside potential looks substantial compared to the risk.
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only
Silver Price Falls Below $50Silver Price Falls Below $50
According to the XAG/USD chart, silver has fallen below the $50 mark after setting a historic high on 17 October, when the price briefly climbed above $54.40 for the first time.
Since then, the market has turned lower:
→ Silver formed a bearish ABCD pattern and broke below the key $50 psychological level.
→ A similar move occurred in gold, which dropped this week from around $4,375 to nearly $4,000 per ounce.
As many media outlets have noted:
→ The decline in precious metals appears to be a correction within a broader uptrend;
→ The fundamental outlook remains strong.
However, the aggressive nature of the sell-off raises concern.
→ On one hand, the drop may have been driven by an overheated rally and heavily leveraged long positions.
→ On the other, the speed of the decline suggests the autumn metals rally could be nearing exhaustion.
Technical Analysis of the XAG/USD Chart
An analysis of XAG/USD reveals several key turning points, allowing the construction of a widened ascending channel. This week’s drop has stretched the channel downward, effectively turning the former lower boundary into the new median line.
Bullish perspective:
→ The new lower boundary of the expanded channel acts as strong support.
→ A bullish RSI divergence has formed.
→ Price action near point D this morning resembles a potential Triple Bottom pattern.
Bearish perspective:
→ Selling pressure this week has been highly effective, with bears managing to break through:
$52.60, which has now flipped from support to resistance;
The $50 psychological level.
Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that bulls may attempt to use the lower boundary of the expanded channel to restart the autumn uptrend. However, after such a sharp sell-off, confidence may remain fragile. Should $50 now act as resistance, bears could target the next support near $45.88.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Silver (XAGUSD) Setup — VWAP & Volume Profile Trade PlanXAGUSD Silver is in a strong bullish trend on the higher timeframes, but we’ve seen an aggressive short-term reversal 🔁. I’m using VWAP and Volume Profile to help plan my trade and identify value/support areas 📊.
If price remains above VWAP and shows support from the volume profile, I’ll look for a long opportunity — otherwise I’ll stay flat and wait for confirmation 🚦. Everything’s explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
DEAD RECKONING: Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin vs. the Empire of DebtWhy This Time, Silver's Surge Might Signal a Systemic Shift—Not Another 1980 or 2011 Collapse
The world built on credit is sailing blind through heavy seas. Gold leads, silver amplifies, and Bitcoin holds the digital line as the Empire of Debt drifts toward its reckoning.
The Setup: A Colossus on the Brink
Picture the scene: a sovereign-debt Goliath staggering under $38 trillion in outstanding U.S. obligations—124 percent Debt to GDP ratio—while $600 trillion in derivatives lurk like a ready-to-blitzkrieg enemy beneath the surface.
The financial establishment, floating inside an $8 trillion post-GFC and COVID bailout bubble, ignores the real economy’s warnings. Re-industrialization is a mere concept and future hope, purchasing managers’ indexes are sliding, consumer defaults are climbing, housing is staggeringly unaffordable, and wages are dramatically lagging.
Gold, piercing $4,000 per ounce after a 62 percent 2025 surge, flashes the first distress signal. Central banks are buying more than 1,000 tons a year, and BRICS nations have piled up 6,000 tons , shifting half their trade off the dollar grid.
Silver, breaking above $50 and up 79 percent in 2025, exposes the weakening grip of paper suppression: 179 million ounces short, backwardation over $ 3, and a 265-million-ounce deficit that the derivatives complex can’t conceal.
NOTE: It will be interesting to see if the emergency cargo flights of Silver from New York to the LBMA in London will resolve the supply squeeze occurring across the pond.
Bitcoin, climbing to $126,000 and a $2.65 trillion market cap , thought recently struggling, up only 16.8% in 2025, fights beside them—half rebel, half captive—its decentralized ideals tangled in ETF custody, tech-related risk, and institutional leverage.
NOTE: Many argue that BITCOIN may have reached its 4-year cycle top with the recent print high of $126,272 . So long as any primary 4th wave bear market drop can stay above the old high at $69,000 , BITCOIN will then be poised to make new all-time-highs in the next bull phase. Caution is warranted for HODLERS if the $69,000 level is breached amid the next bear market, as that might suggest that the $126k crest marked a Super-Cycle first wave advance, and that an 80-90% decline would likely follow, bringing BTC down as far as $12,600 before the next bullish super cycle ensues.
These are not rival camps but brothers-in-arms: gold as the signal, silver as the amplifier, Bitcoin as the experiment in digital sovereignty.
Gold: The Beacon of the Sovereign-Debt Era
Gold’s ascent isn’t speculative froth—it’s a barometer of political and fiscal exhaustion.
Central-bank demand has turned relentless, with over 6,000 tons amassed in emerging-market vaults. The dollar’s share of global reserves, once dominant, is slipping below 58 percent as trade settles increasingly in local currencies or metals.
In a historic shift, the value of central banks’ gold reserves, now exceeding $4.5 trillion at $4,200 per ounce, has surpassed their U.S. Treasury holdings of approximately $3.8 trillion, marking the first such crossover since 1996.
This milestone underscores a growing preference for gold as a sanctions-proof, inflation-resistant asset amid rising geopolitical and fiscal uncertainties.
Behind the curtain, Washington’s debt mountain grows steeper, and an $8 trillion Fed balance sheet props up a system whose real wages stagnate. Gold sees through the façade.
Historically, gold rallies when confidence in sovereign debt erodes. 2025’s move feels structural, not cyclical. As technology enables tokenized gold settlement, physical bullion could soon anchor cross-border trade— $15 trillion a year moving outside the dollar’s orbit.
If that transition accelerates, gold’s total market value could multiply several times, transforming from a commodity to a monetary foundation once more.
Gold knows when governments lie; it rises on truth withheld.
Silver: The Fierce Ally
Silver’s run above $50 signifies more than nostalgia for 1980 or 2011. Industrial demand is devouring supply—solar, EVs, and India’s record imports have created a five-year deficit exceeding 265 million ounces .
Only about 100 million ounces remain deliverable on COMEX, a fraction of the market. Bullion banks sit on short positions equal to 12 percen t of global above-ground stock—an exposure large enough to spark contagion if prices keep climbing.
Backwardation above $3 per ounce and lease rates near 35-100 percent reveal a tightness the paper market can’t disguise. Supply discipline, not speculative frenzy, defines this cycle.
Following their ongoing pilots in tokenized gold, though entirely speculative, BRICS nations could extend similar efforts to silver, enabling scalable trading on blockchain platforms and restoring the metal’s monetary role alongside its yellow counterpart.
Unlike the boom-and-bust manias of the past, this move is grounded in fundamentals: dwindling supply, soaring utility, and faith migrating from financial promises to tangible reality.
Silver is gold’s conscience—smaller, scrappier, and impossible to suppress indefinitely.
BITCOIN: Brother in Arms, Bound by Chains
Bitcoin remains the digital insurgent in this triad. ETFs and state holdings—about 207,000 coins —have mainstreamed it, yet also blunted its radical edge. Transaction fees, volatility, and custodial control keep it from fulfilling the dream of instant, peer-to-peer cash.
Still, Bitcoin’s resilience commands respect. Its artificial 21-million-coin limit mirrors gold’s authentic scarcity, and its censorship resistance has made it a refuge in sanctioned economies. While institutional adoption ties it to Wall Street’s boom-bust rhythm, the core idea—money without permission—endures.
A major equity or credit unwind could knock it hard, but each cycle burns away speculation and strengthens the hands of true believers. Its role may ultimately be symbolic: proving that digital trust can exist outside the fiat web, even if imperfectly.
Gold has history, silver has utility, and Bitcoin has possibility.
The Cracks in the Real Economy
Beneath obscene market valuations lies stagnation. Small businesses close faster than they open. Household debt delinquencies rise while wage gains stagnate. Wall Street’s financialized economy levitates; Main Street’s productive one flounders.
Gold and silver prices are the seismograph warnings of such disparity and injustice. Their message: the ground beneath policy orthodoxy is giving way.
The next downturn may not mimic the inflationary shocks of the 1970s, the liquidity crunch of 2008, or the devastation of the 1930s depressionary deflation, but it will feel every bit as harsh.
Following a blow-off bubble top, a deflationary contraction could emerge—credit imploding under its own weight—forcing the Fed to choose between saving markets or saving the dollar’s credibility.
After Wall Street’s bubble mania peaks, an epic crash looms—forcing the Fed to choose: prop up markets or preserve the dollar’s fading trust. Desperate reflation efforts will likely follow, unleashing brutal stagflation with no clear ending.
Zero interest rates are unlikely to return; their side effects were too corrosive. Too strong a run toward the safe-haven dollar could shatter global balance sheets. The Fed walks a narrowing ridge.
Expect a world of oscillation—temporary rallies in the dollar and bonds, followed by renewed bids for tangible assets.
In such turbulence, metals may take up some safe-haven slack and regain their ancient role as monetary anchors, not investments. Bitcoin will need to prove itself amid such chaos.
America’s Fortress—But Not Forever
The United States is not Venezuela or Argentina.
Its reserve-currency status, military reach, and deep capital markets insulate it from runaway inflation. The dollar’s 58 percent reserve share and $3.5 trillion in foreign Treasury holdings remain formidable bulwarks.
But even fortresses erode.
BRICS nations now settle roughly half their trade outside the dollar. Their 6,000-ton gold cache is both insurance and a declaration.
If tokenized trade systems gain traction, the dollar’s unique privilege—to export inflation and import goods—will weaken.
America will likely manage a softer dollar to stay competitive, avoiding extremes that could trigger global chaos. Despite this, cracks are evident. Tariffs, debts, and deficits gnaw at the foundation—each with second, third, and fourth-order effects.
The empire won’t collapse in a day, but the margin of invincibility is gone.
The Establishment’s Countermoves
The narrow class of financial elites won’t surrender quietly. Expect renewed quantitative easing , aggressive swap lines , and tariffs or sanctions to defend dollar dominance and hegemony.
As digital-asset rules and surveillance intensify, governments adopt digital IDs, CBDCs, and tokenized gold —a desperate bid and admission that the fiat system is dying.
Such measures may stabilize the surface but could deepen the underlying rift between protected financial power and genuine merit-based wealth. Each intervention buys time while eroding trust—a classic symptom of late-cycle finance.
When manipulation becomes policy, markets stop believing in miracles.
The United Front
Gold, silver, and Bitcoin tell variations of the same story: distrust in promises backed only by debt.
Each represents a different path toward autonomy—physical, industrial, or digital—but all push against the same current of engineered dependence.
Gold leads as the monetary lodestar.
Silver echoes its signal through scarcity and utility.
Bitcoin experiments at the frontier, still volatile but alive with intent.
Together they form a loose alliance of realists—investors, savers, and skeptics—who sense that something fundamental has shifted.
Following the late 2020s and early 2030s—the expected fallout of the Fourth Turning—the world may witness a new architecture: metals backing trade, blockchains verifying trust, and fiat reduced to what it was always meant to be—credit, not creed.
Watch unemployment, the housing and credit markets, silver deliveries, and BRICS’ next summit. Those are potential fuses in this quiet pre-revolution stage of seismic transition.
Closing Reflection
We navigate by dead reckoning now—plotting our course from known hazards rather than clear horizons.
The Empire of Debt still commands vast power, but every chart, every ounce, and every block on the chain suggests the same direction: away from illusion and back toward something real.
Gold leads.
Silver shines.
Bitcoin fights.
And somewhere beyond the coming revolution, a sounder form of money waits to be rediscovered.
Bullish on Silver: Why Upside Potential Looks PromisingAccording to short-term Elliott Wave analysis, Silver (XAGUSD) has been in a strong impulsive rally since July 31. The metal initially surged to $38.73 in wave (1), pulled back to $36.94 ended wave (2), and then resumed its upward momentum in wave (3) higher. Whereas wave 1 of (3) ended at $39.06 high, wave 2 pullback ended at $38.06 low. Then a rally to $53.57 high ended wave 3. A subsequent corrective phase, wave 4, formed a zigzag pattern with a final low at $50.42, completing the wave 4.
Silver then launched into wave 5, characterized by a five-wave internal structure. From the wave 4 low, the metal advanced in waves ((i)) to $51.93 and ((ii)) to $51.28 low, with minor sub-waves in waves (i) ended at $53.36 high and (ii) ended at $52.42 low. Up from there, wave (iii) ended at $54.42 high and wave (iv) at $53.40 low. Now as long as Silver stays above $50.40, dips are likely to attract buyers, potentially in a 3, 7, or 11-swing sequence, supporting further upside. This outlook suggests the bullish trend remains intact, with potential for additional gains as the impulsive structure unfolds.
#XAGUSD(SILVER): Price is likely to drop at $41 area. The current trading price of XAGUSD (SILVER) is at an all-time high. This is attributed to global uncertainty and the decline of the US Dollar. However, the lack of significant volume to support this level suggests a potential rapid decline. This decline could facilitate the price reaching a key level of $41.
There are two potential benefits from this drop. Firstly, it would allow for maximisation of trading by selling. Secondly, when the price reaches this level, we can purchase at the discounted price.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
Three Failed Probes Hint at Silver UpsideAfter three failed probes beneath $48 and a bullish engulfing candle, some upside may be in store for silver.
While entry on a pullback would be preferred, longs could be considered around current levels with a stop below $48 for protection, targeting $51, which acted as both support and resistance earlier this month.
Even though the momentum picture has changed dramatically over the past week, RSI (14) has flattened just above 50 while MACD remains in positive territory despite crossing the signal line from above. Combined, the message is one of diminished upside pressure, not an outright bearish signal. As with this setup, more emphasis should be placed on price action rather than retaining a specific directional bias.
Good luck!
DS






















