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CFDs on Silver (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Silver (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Silver (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Silver (US$ / OZ)

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Silver Surge: Supply Constraints and Global Demand Impact PricesMarket Trends and Price Surge Silver prices CAPITALCOM:SILVER have experienced a remarkable upswing, climbing over 74% on the COMEX since January, surpassing gold’s gains for the year. In the past 30 days alone, the price has jumped by more than 21%. We can see heightened market activity. This rally is in line with gold's rising price, but it has gained speed due to specific supply and demand factors. Supply Shortages and Liquidity Challenges A critical factor behind the price surge is a pronounced shortage of silver, particularly evident in London. The scarcity has triggered a short squeeze, where investors betting on price declines face losses as prices rise, forcing them to cover positions. A short position involves selling a silver contract with a commitment to deliver at a future date; if prices climb instead, losses mount, and delivery obligations intensify without available supply. London’s benchmark prices have spiked, recently showing a $3 premium over New York futures, an unusual gap prompting some traders to ship silver across the Atlantic, a move typically reserved for gold due to silver’s bulk and transport costs. COMEX warehouse stocks, hovering around 500 million ounces in late summer, have shown no significant buildup despite minor fluctuations, suggesting much of the metal is tagged as “eligible” but not readily available. London vault inventories, per LBMA data , continue to decline monthly, underscoring a persistent supply deficit. Liquidity crunch, amplified by elevated lease rates for borrowing silver, signals ongoing market strain. Industrial and Indian Demand Pressures The supply crunch is worsened by robust demand, especially from industrial sectors like electronics, batteries, and solar panels, where silver is indispensable. India, the largest consumer, has intensified this pressure. Since the country meets 80% of its silver needs through imports, it doubled its imports this year ahead of Diwali, which is the main period for purchasing silverware, jewelry, coins, and industrial materials. Geopolitical and Economic Influences The rally is also supported by expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions. China’s export restrictions, introduced in April for seven rare earth elements and expanded to 13 with Announcement No. 61 , include controls on magnets and processing technologies vital for defense and advanced chips. Access-restricting measures have heightened concerns about supply disruptions, prompting the US to bolster domestic production. Investment Considerations Much of silver’s trading occurs via derivatives rather than physical metal, a pattern reminiscent of supply chain disruptions during the pandemic, which halted production due to part shortages. Reliance on derivatives, coupled with limited physical stocks, underpins the current price momentum, outpacing even gold. Companies in tech and manufacturing often use derivatives to mitigate silver shortage risks, though the market’s small size amplifies volatility. Gold offers a stable long-term entry point, while silver requires timing due to its volatility. Technical indicators, such as the daily MACD, show strong upward momentum for silver, akin to gold’s bull market, but it is entering overbought territory, signaling potential for sharp intra-day swings. So, silver at this moment a high-risk, high-reward option, unsuitable for cautious investors.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by juliakhandoshko
Silver Ascending channel breakdown down trend strong📉 #Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe ⚙️ Price has broken down from the ascending channel, showing clear rejection and strong selling pressure from the resistance area near $49.200. 💥 Bears are gaining momentum, confirming a potential short-term downtrend. 🎯 Technical Targets: 1️⃣ $48.500 – Initial support / 1st target 2️⃣ $47.500 – Secondary bearish objective 3️⃣ $46.000 – Major support zone / Final target 🚨 Bias: Bearish 📊 Structure: Channel breakdown 💪 Momentum: Sellers in control 🕒 Watch for retests of the $49.200 zone for potential short entries with confirmation. #SilverAnalysis #XAGUSD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by ExpertTraderASK
1
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals. Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows: wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1 wave 3 target = $48 wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3 wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start) I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones. Fundamentals Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves. Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Cryptogold14
1
SILVER: Next Move Is Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 49.211 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 49.730.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
Silver (XAG/USD) Outlook: Bearish Momentum Dominates Amid CorrecSilver (XAG/USD) Outlook: Bearish Momentum Dominates Amid Correction Silver prices have experienced a sharp decline today, dropping over 4.8% to hover around $49.88 after opening near $52.40. This pullback follows a recent surge that pushed the metal to all-time highs above $54 last week, driven by safe-haven demand and dovish Federal Reserve signals. However, profit-taking and reduced geopolitical tensions appear to be spurring the current reversal, with technical indicators pointing to further downside potential in the short term. Key factors influencing today's movement include: - **Technical Breakdown**: The price has broken below a short-term ascending channel and key support at $50, signaling a shift from the prior bullish trend. Resistance now sits at $50.25–$51.50, while immediate support levels are at $49.20, with deeper targets around $47.50–$48 if selling pressure persists. A close below $49.80 could accelerate declines toward $45.50–$46 in the coming sessions. Overbought conditions from the rapid rally—evident in indicators like RSI dipping below 50 and a bearish MACD crossover—support this corrective phase. - **Market Sentiment**: Real-time trader discussions highlight expectations of a multi-week correction after the historic bull run, with some eyeing a retest of $45 before any resumption of upside. Broader risk-off flows, including softer equity markets and a strengthening USD, are adding headwinds, though upcoming US economic data like the Leading Index could provide minor relief if it surprises positively. - **Fundamental Context**: While long-term drivers like industrial demand (e.g., in solar and electronics) and inflation hedges remain intact, near-term forecasts suggest easing from peaks. Analyst views lean bearish for the session, with overall ratings classifying the pair as a "Strong Sell" based on moving averages and oscillators. For the remainder of October 21, 2025, the direction appears downward, with potential for continued selling unless a rebound above $50 materializes by close. Traders should monitor for volatility around support zones, as a failure to hold could extend losses, while a false breakdown might trigger a quick recovery to $51–$52.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by DCAChampion
The start of silver's MULTI-DECADE breakout! $XAGUSDUsing spyfrat trading system's to judge the parabolic move of silver. Based on this system Silver has been on parabola since Sept 25 when both the daily and weekly RSI(30) went above 70. Since then, it went on several instances of Parabolic high risk(PHR) when the Daily RSI > Weekly RSI which is followed by a red day, the last one being last Thursday which I think is a healthy pullback to try to establish 50 as the new support. However, a bigger retracement is still a possibility especially because it just blew past the Fib target 1 (0.886) like it was nothing but got rejected at fib target 2 (1.13). So, i think there will be a consolidation between these prices until we stabilize above 50 then reach for higher targets in the coming months. search spyfrat trading strategy online
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by gmajor2323
Silver is in the Down TrendHello Traders In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XAGUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by ForexMasters2000
Grok Analysis of Gold/Silver Ratio - 4 month Price TargetsI asked Grok: Gold and silver 4 months price targets using Gold-silver ratio analysis of m2. Grok: Gold Target $4,800 +13% Grok: Silver Target: $70 +35% Grok 4 month Summary Thought for: 4m 33s These targets align with a distribution of expert forecasts, which range from $4,000-5,500 for gold and $45-100 for silver in early 2026, but are specifically adjusted using the M2 and ratio framework. Risks include faster-than-expected M2 contraction (e.g., due to Fed policy) or geopolitical events accelerating precious metals demand. Not financial Advice
TVC:SILVERLong
by Fractalhead566
SILVER Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 51.814 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 52.913 Recommended Stop Loss - 51.290 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAGUSD – Breakout Of Trend Line and Rejection Of Resistance ....Silver (XAGUSD) continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, following a strong rejection from the resistance zone around 48.60 – 49.00. Price retested the descending trendline but failed to hold above it, confirming a continuation of the broader bearish trend. The structure remains bearish while below the resistance zone, and the next downside target lies near the 46.00 support area, aligning with previous demand and volume clusters. Resistance Zone: 48.60 – 49.00 Current Price: Around 48.45 Target Point: 46.00 Stop Loss: Above 49.20 (structure break) 📉 Trade Plan (Short Setup): Entry: 48.40 – 48.80 (resistance retest area) Stop Loss: 49.20 Take Profit: 46.00 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3+ After rejecting the resistance and respecting the trendline, Silver is showing potential for bearish continuation toward 46.00. Price remains below the cloud, indicating a sustained downtrend. Unless the resistance breaks, sellers are likely to dominate the next leg. This is a trend-continuation short setup, ideal for traders following the bearish momentum.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Richard_Griffiths7