Silver’s 220% Rally: Still Worth Buying Now?Many have recommended investing in silver in recent years. I wasn’t a strong believer, but seeing its 220% growth — even outperforming gold — is impressive. For new investors, silver carries high risk at current levels. In my view, $50 would be a much more attractive entry price
Trade ideas
Silver – Can the Break to Record Highs Be Maintained?Silver’s impressive upside run so far this week, which has seen it trade from a low of 56.165 on Monday to register a new record high at 58.96 yesterday, seems to be taking a pause in early trading on Thursday morning, with the price currently trading down around 1.8% at 57.44 at time of writing (0700 GMT).
With liquidity in the Silver market nowhere near as deep as in its bigger parent Gold, these types of exaggerated moves can happen more frequently, especially when trading at new extremes such as the record high that was reached a mere 24 hours ago. Where Silver moves next into the weekend may be determined by a combination of factors, such as positioning, performance of the US dollar and technical factors.
From a positioning standpoint, the debasement trade which has been underpinning much of Silver’s rally over the last 3-6 months still remains in place but can at times be subject to pullbacks as the trade can get crowded and this may be part of the reason for the drop this morning. There could be potential for further profit taking into Friday’s close, especially with the pivotal Federal Reserve interest rate decision now less 7 days away (December 10th).
From the US dollar point of view, as mentioned above, with the Fed rate decision now around the corner, traders may be more sensitive to the release of any available US labour market data. Today’s scheduled release of the Challenger Job Cuts at 1230 GMT and Weekly Jobless Claims at 1330 GMT could lead to further US dollar volatility, which may impact Silver prices. As a general rule a higher dollar makes Silver more expensive for foreign investors and vice versa.
Finally, interlinked with these two drivers are the technicals. Whether key support or resistance levels hold or a broken on a closing basis could lead to bigger directional moves into the weekend or early next week. So being apprised of these levels in advance can be prudent from a risk management approach.
Technical Update: Can New All-Time Highs Maintain The Push Higher?
Silver has enjoyed a positive late‑November to early‑December period, advancing more than 21% from the November 21st low of 48.62 to Wednesday’s 58.96 high. This move has produced new all‑time highs, with fresh upside acceleration following the closing break above the previous 54.45 October 17th record high.
While it might be argued that this type of price activity remains constructive with the potential for further gains, some traders may view the latest upside moves as becoming over‑extended, raising the risk of future price weakness.
In this environment, staying aware of relevant support and resistance levels may prove valuable in gauging Silver’s next directional themes.
Possible Resistance Levels: .
New all‑time highs place price activity into uncharted territory, making it difficult to establish valid resistance levels. In such cases, Fibonacci extensions can provide valuable guidance, highlighting potential areas where fresh selling pressure may emerge once more.
For Silver, Fibonacci extension calculations based on the last significant correction seen between October 17th and October 28th suggest that current price strength may be approaching a potential resistance at 59.79, which is the 61.8% extension level.
A closing break above 59.79 might now be required to open scope for a push to higher levels like the 100% extension level which sits at 63.15.
Possible Support Levels:
It is often difficult to determine with certainty when upside conditions have become over‑extended and of course this alone doesn’t guarantee price weakness. As such, closing breaks below support may be required to trigger a corrective phase in price. In the case of Silver, traders may view Monday’s session low of 56.16 as the first support.
Closing breaks below the 56.16 level, if seen, could reinforce the possibility of over‑extended upside conditions leading to continued price weakness. Such moves could open the way for tests of 54.95, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and possibly even extend toward 53.75, the deeper 50% retracement level.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Silver Poised for Breakout to the New High.Silver is consolidating below a descending trendline but holding above the 20 Ma. Buyers are defending higher lows with strong bullish pressure. Rising momentum signals a breakout is near. A close above the trendline could trigger a significant move to new highs.
XAG/USD : Bearish Pullback Meets Bullish Reversal at Key DemandXAG/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis: Bearish Pullback Meets Bullish Reversal Signals at Key Demand Zone
This TradingView chart, authored by GoldMasterTrades on December 4, 2025, at 13:49 UTC-5, depicts the XAG/USD (Silver/US Dollar) pair on a 30-minute timeframe. It illustrates intraday price action spanning approximately December 2 to December 6, 2025, based on the x-axis timestamps (from 21:00 on Dec 2 through 12:00 on Dec 6). The candlestick format highlights a recent downtrend amid high volatility, with annotations pointing to a potential bullish turnaround. At the time of the snapshot, XAG/USD is quoted at 57.319, with a high of 57.424, low of 57.186, close of 57.234, marking a decline of -0.085 (-0.15%) and robust volume of 19.61K.
The overall narrative captures silver's volatile nature in late 2025, where the metal has surged over 83% year-to-date amid supply fears and industrial demand, but now faces short-term corrective pressure. The chart shows a sharp sell-off from highs near 58.00, probing a reversal zone around 57.20, accompanied by a volume burst and pattern bust—classic signs of exhaustion and impending recovery. This setup aligns with broader market dynamics, where silver recently hit record highs above $58.85 before pulling back. Below, I'll dissect the chart in a professional TradingView idea style, incorporating technical details, fundamentals, and trader insights for comprehensive depth.
Chart Overview and Timeframe Context
The 30-minute chart provides granular insights into short-term momentum, perfect for day traders navigating silver's sensitivity to USD strength, interest rates, and commodity cycles. XAG/USD, often correlated with gold but amplified by industrial uses (e.g., solar panels, electronics), has been in a parabolic uptrend throughout 2025, breaking all-time highs amid global supply constraints.
Key visual components:
Candlesticks: A series of red bearish bodies dominate the left and center, indicating seller control, with increasing wick lengths signaling volatility. Recent candles at the bottom show smaller bodies and longer lower shadows, hinting at buyer defense.
Annotations:
Green horizontal band: "Reversal Zone - Demand Zone" around 57.00–57.20, with a green circle marking the pivot low.
Purple label: "Volume Burst" at the trough, denoting a surge in activity.
Black upward arrow and label: "Pattern Bust," suggesting a failed bearish continuation.
"Ask" in red at 57.436 and "Bid" in blue at 57.237, reflecting the current spread.
U.S. flag and lightning icons at the bottom, likely indicating U.S. data releases (e.g., ahead of key jobs data).
Price Scale: Y-axis from ~56.00 to 59.00, with the action centered around 57.00–58.00, a psychologically significant area post-recent highs.
This configuration screams "bull trap reversal": bears push aggressively lower, but high-volume absorption at support sets the stage for a squeeze higher.
Technical Analysis: Patterns and Indicators
From a pure price action lens, the chart reveals a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, with reversal cues emerging:
Downtrend Structure: The left side features a topping pattern with lower highs from ~58.50, cascading into a steep decline of about 1.5% (over 80 pips). This forms a descending channel, with red candles exhibiting long upper wicks—evidence of rejection at resistance. The move likely triggered by profit-taking after silver's explosive rally to $58.85 earlier in the week.
Reversal Zone and Demand Dynamics: The green band (57.00–57.20) represents a high-probability demand zone, where prior support (possibly from 4H/ daily charts) intersects with Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2% retracement of the recent leg up). Price tagging this area with a "Volume Burst" indicates capitulation: sellers exhaust, and institutions accumulate. In ICT/SMC frameworks, this is a liquidity sweep followed by order block defense.
Volume Burst and Momentum Shift: The purple annotation highlights a spike in volume (19.61K overall, but localized burst at lows), a bullish divergence signal. High turnover at extremes often precedes reversals, as it reflects panic selling absorbed by smart money. If overlaid with RSI (implied but not shown), expect oversold readings rebounding above 30.
Pattern Bust Mechanics: The "Pattern Bust" label with an upward arrow points to a failed bearish setup—likely a flag or head-and-shoulders continuation. Instead of breaking lower, price rejects the zone and forms a potential hammer/doji, trapping shorts and fueling a short-covering rally. A close above 57.50 would confirm the bust, targeting prior highs.
Key Levels and Projections: Support holds at 57.00 (zone low), with resistance at 57.80 (mid-channel) and 58.00 (psychological). Upside extensions could reach 58.50–58.90, aligning with record highs. Downside risks if the zone fails: 56.60–56.00, as noted in recent analyses.
This technical picture favors bulls if confirmed, but silver's volatility demands caution—average true range (ATR) likely elevated post-surge.
Fundamental Context for XAG/USD
Silver's 2025 performance has been stellar, up over 83% YTD driven by industrial demand (e.g., green energy) and supply fears, but December 4 sees a 1.67% dip to 57.51 amid USD rebound and data anticipation. Key drivers include:
Supply Constraints: Growing fears of shortages have propelled prices, with analysts eyeing $60+ long-term.
Economic Data: Pullback tied to rejection at $58.90 ahead of U.S. jobs data, which could influence Fed rate cut expectations.
Market Sentiment from X: Recent posts show mixed views—bullish on record breaks (e.g., "Ons Gümüş 58.8$ seviyesiyle tüm zamanların rekorunu kırdı") but bearish targets to 53-54$ if downside accelerates. Traders signal buys on H1 timeframes if 57.52 holds, or shorts on breaks. Elliott Wave forecasts suggest more upside post-correction.
Cross-reference with economic calendars: Watch NFP or inflation prints for volatility spikes.
Trade Idea: Bullish Reversal Setup with High R:R Potential
Capitalizing on the chart's signals:
Entry: Long on confirmation above 57.40 (breaking the downtrend line), or dip-buy in the reversal zone with volume support.
Stop Loss: Below the demand low at 56.90, risking 30–50 pips.
Take Profit: TP1 at 57.80 (prior resistance), TP2 at 58.50 (recent highs), TP3 at 59.00+ if momentum builds. Trail stops using 30-min ATR.
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum—aim for 60–100 pips upside.
Alternative: Short on zone failure below 57.00, targeting 56.60.
Timeframe Fit: Suited for intraday (2–8 hours), aligning with London/NY sessions.
This idea leverages SMC concepts like order blocks and liquidity grabs for edge.
Risk Management and Trader Mindset
Silver's leverage amplifies risks—volatility can wipe accounts without discipline. Core principles:
Position Sizing: Risk 0.5–1% per trade; use calculators to scale based on stop distance.
Emotional Control: Don't chase—wait for pattern bust confirmation to avoid whipsaws. Journal setups for review.
Multi-Timeframe Validation: Check 1H/4H for uptrend intact; avoid trading during low-liquidity hours.
Broader Mindset: View pullbacks as opportunities in bull markets. Study historical silver zones (e.g., 2021 surge) for patterns. Continuous education via webinars or X communities enhances edge.
Cautionary Note: Fundamentals like Fed policy can override techs—trade with news filters.
In summary, this 30-minute XAG/USD chart signals a high-conviction bullish reversal amid a corrective dip, with volume and structure supporting upside. If validated, it could propel silver back toward $58–60 resistance. Monitor real-time developments on TradingView or reliable platforms. Trade responsibly.
Silver’s Next Move in an Overextended PositionAfter breaking out of what appeared to be a cup-and-handle pattern on 25 November, silver prices have surged from around $51.40 to $58.65. The metal now looks overextended, with the RSI at 75.25, and trading above its upper Bollinger Band for the fourth consecutive day. This suggests that silver may be due for a retest of the 20-day moving average or for a few days of sideways consolidation before the next move is established.
On the hourly chart, silver prices have formed what appears to be a trading range since 30 November, broadly between $56.60 and $58.90, with $58.90 acting as resistance and $56.60 as support. A break below $56.60 could set up a move back towards $53.90, which would then become an important level of support. If that were to be broken, silver could potentially fall further towards $50.75. Such a development might also indicate that a larger reversal is starting to take shape, although it is far too early to make that assumption.
Conversely, a breakout above $58.90 would be a very bullish signal and would suggest that silver’s move higher could extend for some time. While a precise price objective is difficult to determine, using a 100% extension of the breakout to the recent high at $58.90 would imply that silver could rise to around $67.10.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
SILVER BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 5,701.3
Target Level: 5,814.5
Stop Loss: 5,626.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Silver’s Cup & Handle Breakout – Road to $60+ Silver has completed a textbook cup and handle formation and is breaking above the key resistance level at $54. The pattern shows a rounded bottom (cup) formed between $46-$54, followed by a consolidation handle, with price now surging toward new highs at $56.5
Technical Setup:
• Cup depth: Approximately $8 (from $46 low to $54 resistance)
• Breakout level: $54.00
• Price target calculation: $54 + $8 = $62.00+
With momentum like this, the technical target comes in around $62
As long as silver stays above old resistance ($54–$55), bulls are in the driver’s seat.
Risk Management: Consider stops below the handle low around $50 to protect against false breakouts.
This setup aligns with broader precious metals strength and represents a continuation pattern following silver's major 2025 rally.
XAGUSD: Bullish Wave 5 Setting a Path Toward 56.000?Hey Realistic Traders!
"Silver Riding Gold’s Momentum, New ATH in the horizon?"
Let’s dive into the technical analysis to answer the question and see what the chart is really telling us.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, OANDA:XAGUSD has once again rebounded around the EMA200, with repeated bounces reinforcing the strength of its broader bullish trend. During Wave 4, Silver consolidated within a falling wedge pattern, a corrective formation that typically appears as downside momentum weakens within a larger uptrend. A breakout from this pattern signals renewed bullish pressure and often marks the beginning of Wave 5 in Elliott Wave theory.
Following the breakout, price action supports the case for a developing impulsive Wave 5. The bullish Marubozu candlestick indicates stronger buying interest, while the MACD golden cross adds confirmation to the bullish bias. Together, these signals strengthen the view that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls.
Based on Fibonacci projections, Wave 5 may extend toward the 1.0 Fibonacci ratio, aligning with the second upside target near 56.000. Before reaching that level, price may encounter the historical resistance zone around the first target at 54.082, where a temporary pullback could occur.
This bullish wave count remains valid as long as price stays above 49.216. A move below this level would invalidate the potential formation of Wave 5 and shift the outlook back to neutral.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver
Gold or Silver?Right now: SILVER!
I know, I know! Crazy schitt! Don't look at me!
The chart’s telling the story — Silver hasn’t even really started its move yet. Don’t blame me, I’m just reading the data.
Silver is up 87% year-over-year and outperforming gold by 11%, which is still on the low end historically.
That suggests Silver either has room to run from here, or it’s simply the safer relative play versus gold on a risk-adjusted basis.
If you’ve got space in your portfolio, it’s a reasonable addition.
If it hits nose-bleed levels, we reassess.
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
SILVER - Moon Pump Could Be UnderWaySILVER has printed very positive candles since re-testing prior ATH resistance (turning support) last week.
Now pushing up, there is no more structure and therefore no more liquidity traps.
This is the area where the "roof can come off" and if Silver pushes up much further then it will likely be heading into the rocket ship ultra impulsive phase - replicating its historical price action.
Its a positive open to the week and if this continues much further then it is odds on to hit some high notes.
FWIW, the previous wave up topped tidily in the Phi band (on chart) - and pushing on up like this already signals a potential next wave up.
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
SILVER USDHI GUYS
I have stopped trading silver until it rallies all the way up to area of interest as illustrated.
NOTE . this was due to a false price pattern i posted last week.
i have to know every move before it happens once an error occurs then i make correction or wait for a few months to edit the trading future script on 6 month 12 month and 24 months
Silver Forming Major Top Near Supply Downside Retracement LikelyThe chart shows Silver reaching a major Strong Supply Zone near the 58–60 level, where price has reacted multiple times in the past. After a strong impulsive rally driven by Buyer Control, the market broke above the previous Buyer Zone, confirming bullish strength. However, once price entered the upper supply region, momentum started to fade, forming a clear Rounded Top Pattern — a classic distribution structure indicating exhaustion of buyers.
Following the breakout retest, buyers failed to continue upward, and sellers stepped in aggressively from the supply zone. The chart now shows a shift from buyer dominance to seller pressure, with price beginning to curve downward inside the rounded top. This shape reflects decreasing highs, weakening demand, and early reversal signals.
The projected move suggests that once the neckline of the rounded top breaks with strong bearish candle confirmation, price is likely to fall toward the first Target Zone around 54, which aligns with the Seller Zone and previous breakout structure. If bearish continuation remains strong, the next logical target lies in the Demand Zone Area between 48–49, where liquidity is expected to support a potential reversal or consolidation.
Overall, this chart indicates a high-probability corrective phase, with sellers preparing to reclaim control as the market rejects the supply zone and transitions into a deeper pullback phase. Buyers must show strong defense at the mid-support; otherwise, Silver could decline further toward the lower demand region.
XAG/USD Long Position OpportunityBased on the daily technical analysis of XAG/USD, the overall trend remains bullish. Price is holding above the key support zone of $56–$56.5, which indicates strength for long positions. If this support sustains, the next upside target is expected in the $58–$60 resistance zone.
A temporary pullback is possible due to overbought conditions, but the broader trend continues to favor long trades.
Please let me know if you require a detailed entry and risk management plan.
SILVER (XAGUSD) – 4H Technical AnalysisBias: Bullish after expected retest | Target: 63.25 (Triangle Projection)
Status: WAIT FOR RETEST → BUY ON CONFIRMATION. Trade Plan (Swing)
ENTRY
Wait for retest of:
$54.00 – $54.50 zone
Or deeper wedge support at $52.80–53.20
Confirmation required:
Reversal candle (4H)
Volume spike
No lower-low below $52.50
STOP LOSS
Conservative SL: $51.90
Structural SL: $50.80 (below wedge support)
TARGETS
T1: $58.50
T2: $60.80
T3: $63.25 (Triangle Projection)
Overall Verdict
SILVER is in a strong uptrend and forming a textbook bullish continuation pattern.
The current breakout is false, and the chart strongly suggests:
A pullback to $54 zone
Bounce from support
Final breakout towards 63.25
This aligns perfectly with your annotations.
Bias: Strong Bullish after Retest
Current Action: WAIT for pullback (no buying at the top)
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Trading involves risk; please conduct your own due diligence before taking positions.
FROM RALLY TO REALITY, SILVER'S CORRECTION IS STRUCTURALPeace be unto you
Primary Chart: Silver Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
A) Wave Analysis: Minor wave 3 peaks, sharp correction looms
Price is currently completing minor wave 3 that began printing on the 4th of October 2023. Minor wave 1 started printing on the 1st of September 2022 and terminated on the 5th of May 2023. Minor wave 2 sideways correction began when minor wave 1 terminated and terminated when minor wave 3 started printing. Minor wave 4 is expected to be a sharp correction in line with the law of Elliot Waves Guideline on Corrections (Wave 2 and 4) which states that "if wave 2 is a sharp correction, expect wave 4 to be a sideways correction, and vice versa". Thus, minor wave is forecasted to be sharp and retrace to 50% and 61.8% retracement levels of minor wave 3, i.e. minor wave is forecasted to terminated within the 38.6814 and 34.5068 levels before price begins printing minor wave 5 to complete intermediate wave (3) as indicated on the primary chart.
B) Indicator(s) Analysis: Bearish Divergence confirmed and bulls losing altitude. The EMA magnet activated, pullback before the next push. The MACD flips the script, and a seasonal shift is detected.
1) EMA 50 & 150 (Weekly) - Though strongly bullish, price will pull back to touch these moving averages before it continues to rally.
2) RSI 14 (Weekly) - The RSI has rallied above the 70 upper band in August 2025 and reached a peak in October 2025. On the 3rd of November 2025 the RSI reached a trough, and it is now printing a lower high whilst price is printing a higher high. This is known as a Strong Bearish Divergence signaling that bulls are growing weak and that price will collapse on its weight.
3) MACD H (Weekly) - Price has been printing above the MACD centerline indicating that bulls have been strong, but on the 20th of October 2025 we have seen a down close on MACD Histograms indicating a possible trend reversal and a change of season. This is the time to go short.
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnalysis
#PreciousMetals
XAG/USD Key Zone Reaction – Are Bulls Ready to Take Control?🥈 XAGUSD: SILVER VS US DOLLAR 💰
Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint | Swing Trade Analysis
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE & SETUP
✅ Current Price Action: $48.34 | 52-Week Range: $28.16 - $54.50
✅ Technical Trend: Bullish Bias Confirmed
✅ Setup Type: Double Pullback Retest of 200 SMA
🎯 THE THIEF STRATEGY: LAYERED ENTRY APPROACH
This is NOT a single entry point strategy. We employ the THIEF LAYERING METHODOLOGY — multiple limit orders positioned at strategic support zones to maximize entry efficiency and reduce average entry price.
📍 ENTRY LAYERS (Buy Limit Orders):
Layer 1: $48.000 ⭐ (Immediate Support)
Layer 2: $48.500 ⭐ (Pullback Zone)
Layer 3: $49.000 ⭐ (Resistance Break)
Layer 4: $49.500 ⭐ (Extended Support)
💡 Pro Tip: You can increase/decrease layers based on your risk tolerance and position size. Accumulate, don't dump!
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
📌 Thief Original SL: $47.000
⚠️ This is MY suggested level based on technical structure
🔴 IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) — Set YOUR OWN stop loss based on YOUR risk profile
💪 This is YOUR money, YOUR risk, YOUR decision
Adjust SL based on your strategy, account size, and risk/reward ratio
🚀 PROFIT TARGET STRATEGY
🎪 Target Zone: $54.000
📈 Technical Basis: 200 SMA acts as strong dynamic resistance
⚡ Market Structure: Overbought territory warning
🔔 Trap Alert: Potential sell-side liquidity trap at resistance
⚠️ Target Notes:
🔴 IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) — Set YOUR OWN take profit target
📊 Don't just copy my TP blindly — analyze price action yourself
💼 You earn the profits, you manage the exit — YOUR choice, YOUR reward
Consider trailing stops or partial profit-taking strategy
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Key Dollar Pairs)
1️⃣ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Correlation: INVERSE ↔️ As DXY strengthens, XAG/USD weakens
Why Monitor: Strong dollar headwind for silver prices
Watch Level: DXY above 105.00 = bearish for silver
Strategy: If DXY rallies, reduce silver long positions
2️⃣ $XAU/USD (Gold vs Dollar)
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ Silver follows gold's lead
Why Monitor: Gold is the "big brother" in precious metals
Watch Level: If gold breaks $2,100, silver likely follows
Strategy: Gold weakness = caution on silver longs
3️⃣ FX:EURUSD (Euro vs Dollar)
Correlation: INVERSE ↔️ Weak dollar = strong euro
Why Monitor: Dollar weakness supports precious metals
Watch Level: EURUSD above 1.1200 = bullish for silver
Strategy: Strong euro environment = tailwind for XAG
4️⃣ FX:USDJPY (Dollar vs Japanese Yen)
Correlation: INVERSE ↔️ Dollar weakness supports risk-on sentiment
Why Monitor: Risk appetite indicator (yen often "fear" currency)
Watch Level: USDJPY below 145.00 = risk-on (silver bullish)
Strategy: Lower USDJPY = better environment for commodities
5️⃣ SP:SPX / S&P 500 Index
Correlation: POSITIVE ✅ Risk-on markets support commodities
Why Monitor: Stock market rallies often lift precious metals
Watch Level: SPX new highs = bullish momentum for silver
Strategy: Market strength = broader bullish sentiment
📋 TRADE CHECKLIST BEFORE ENTRY
✅ Price action confirms double pullback on 200 SMA
✅ DXY showing weakness or neutral bias
✅ XAU/USD supporting bullish thesis
✅ No major macro events in next 4-6 hours
✅ Volume confirmation on breakout
✅ Risk/Reward ratio minimum 1:2
✅ Position size = % of account (YOUR decision)
⚡ KEY TRADING RULES
Layering ≠ Averaging Down Losers
Build positions at PRE-PLANNED levels only
Don't add to losing positions outside your strategy
Stop Loss is Sacred
NO moving stops to breakeven without reason
Protect capital first, chase profits second
Take Profits Strategically
Partial exits: Scale out at resistance zones
Don't go all-in, don't take all-out at once
Dollar Monitoring is Mandatory
Strong DXY = reconsider position
Weak DXY = stay long with conviction
Risk Management Over Everything
Your SL & TP = your rules
No trade is worth emotional decision-making
Silver can accelerate the momentumSilver is moving within the strong momentum expansion, having jumped for more than 4 daily volatility levels from the 20-day moving average for the last several days.
That usually represent a strong price discovery pattern, when the market searches for the new equilibrium: $60 is considered to be the next possible stop, but may extend beyond this level with ease.
ETF and options volume have been growing so far. Metal traders rotate from Gold to Silver, as it produces the next big fally.
As it's the overheated market, the idea might unfold quickly on the H1 timeframe, if the price would lock inside of a consolidation area as shown at the chart.
Timing is crucial in such situations, as volatility is quite high.
Remember - this is not a signal, it's just the idea for a trade. Consider making your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
$XAG > $BTC? The 1980 "Curse" is Finally Broken.We just witnessed history. Stop scrolling and look at the chart.
For 45 years, the $50 level was the "Graveyard of Bulls."
1980: The Hunt Brothers cornered the market, peaked at $50, and crashed.
2011: The retail mania hit $49 and collapsed.
Today, that ceiling is gone. NASDAQ:XAG hasn't just "broken out"; it has shattered the most significant resistance level in modern financial history. We are trading at $58+, well into price discovery mode.
The "No-BS" Reality: While CRYPTOCAP:BTC is fighting for its life to hold support during this liquidity crunch, Silver has done what "Digital Gold" promised to do but couldn't.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Status: Flushing leverage, correlating with tech stocks, and failing to act as a hedge.
NASDAQ:XAG Status: Breaking a 45-year suppression cycle to become the #1 performing asset.
The Setup (The Cup & Handle of the Century): This is a 45-year technical structure. The "Cup" started in 1980. The "Handle" ended this month.
The Breakout: $50 is now the floor, not the ceiling.
The Target: The measured move from the 1980 peak targets $85.89 - $89.15.
My Outlook: The "Gold 2.0" narrative is being tested in real-time.
Long NASDAQ:XAG : I am riding this breakout to the $89 target.
The "Re-test" Buy: If we dip back to $50 (the 1980 High), that is a generational buying opportunity. Old resistance must become new support.
Verdict: The "relic" just outperformed the "future." The 1980 curse is dead.
👇 Discussion: Is CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing its "Gold 2.0" audition, or is this just a temporary rotation before Crypto catches up to AMEX:SLV & AMEX:GLD Sectors ? Let me know your targets below.
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 5,852.3.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 5,592.7 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XAGUSD: countertrend setup🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 1-hour timeframe, Silver (XAGUSD) is forming a classic "Head and Shoulders" reversal pattern, signaling a potential shift from the recent uptrend to a bearish correction. Price is currently testing the critical neckline support around 56.600; a confirmed breakdown below this level would validate the pattern. The projected trade aims for a decline toward the confluence of the ascending trendline and the 100 SMA near the 54.750 support zone.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: The metal is facing selling pressure as traders book profits ahead of crucial US economic data due this week, specifically the ISM Services PMI and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). Market sentiment suggests that any signs of resilience in the US labor market could bolster the Dollar and bond yields, thereby weighing on non-interest-bearing assets like Silver. Additionally, year-end portfolio rebalancing in December often triggers volatility and corrective moves in commodities.
❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL) ❗️
➡️ Entry Point: Sell on breakdown of the neckline support (approx. 56.300 – 56.600)
🎯 Take Profit: 54.059
🔴 Stop Loss: Above the right shoulder resistance (approx. 57.903)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.






















